Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#184
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#168
Pace65.5#262
Improvement-2.5#311

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#165
First Shot+1.3#137
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#250
Layup/Dunks+2.0#109
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#120
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#343
Freethrows+3.9#14
Improvement-1.2#278

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#212
First Shot+0.1#170
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#307
Layups/Dunks+2.5#81
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#70
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#280
Freethrows-1.3#273
Improvement-1.3#283
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 41.5% 45.6% 40.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.6 15.1
.500 or above 94.0% 97.9% 92.6%
.500 or above in Conference 98.2% 98.7% 98.0%
Conference Champion 58.4% 63.2% 56.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four5.0% 2.8% 5.8%
First Round39.4% 44.4% 37.5%
Second Round1.3% 1.8% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Away) - 26.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 33 - 7
Quad 416 - 419 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 135   James Madison W 83-69 51%     1 - 0 +12.5 +9.5 +3.2
  Nov 12, 2024 221   @ William & Mary L 73-84 46%     1 - 1 -11.3 -6.1 -4.9
  Nov 16, 2024 248   @ Hampton W 67-58 52%     2 - 1 +7.2 +3.4 +5.1
  Nov 20, 2024 94   @ Stanford L 63-70 18%     2 - 2 +1.4 -0.2 +0.9
  Nov 22, 2024 107   @ Grand Canyon L 73-91 21%     2 - 3 -10.6 +4.3 -14.7
  Nov 25, 2024 223   @ UC Davis W 76-55 47%     3 - 3 +20.5 +7.9 +12.7
  Dec 01, 2024 306   @ Stony Brook W 77-66 64%     4 - 3 +6.0 +7.3 -0.4
  Dec 09, 2024 149   Hofstra L 67-80 56%     4 - 4 -15.7 +1.5 -18.4
  Dec 11, 2024 12   @ Baylor L 69-94 4%     4 - 5 -6.0 +2.3 -8.3
  Dec 15, 2024 205   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-71 42%     4 - 6 -8.1 -4.1 -4.5
  Dec 19, 2024 291   Alabama St. W 71-54 71%     5 - 6 +10.0 -2.1 +13.2
  Dec 20, 2024 310   Grambling St. W 76-70 75%     6 - 6 -2.3 +7.2 -8.9
  Dec 29, 2024 123   @ High Point L 71-78 26%    
  Dec 31, 2024 3   @ Tennessee L 57-81 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-63 93%    
  Jan 06, 2025 327   @ Delaware St. W 75-70 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 76-57 96%    
  Jan 13, 2025 350   @ Morgan St. W 80-72 77%    
  Jan 25, 2025 255   Howard W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 01, 2025 253   South Carolina St. W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 03, 2025 274   NC Central W 75-67 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 17, 2025 327   Delaware St. W 78-67 85%    
  Feb 22, 2025 362   @ Coppin St. W 73-60 88%    
  Feb 24, 2025 350   Morgan St. W 83-69 90%    
  Mar 01, 2025 253   @ South Carolina St. W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 03, 2025 274   @ NC Central W 72-70 57%    
  Mar 06, 2025 255   @ Howard W 74-73 53%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.0 6.8 16.1 18.3 12.2 3.9 58.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.7 9.7 5.2 0.8 22.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.5 5.3 1.6 0.1 11.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.5 7.2 12.7 18.2 21.3 19.1 12.2 3.9 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 3.9    3.9
13-1 100.0% 12.2    12.1 0.2
12-2 95.9% 18.3    15.6 2.7 0.0
11-3 75.5% 16.1    9.5 5.8 0.7 0.0
10-4 37.7% 6.8    1.9 3.3 1.5 0.1
9-5 7.7% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 58.4% 58.4 43.0 12.3 2.6 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 3.9% 61.9% 61.9% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.3 1.5
13-1 12.2% 57.0% 57.0% 14.2 0.1 1.0 3.3 2.4 0.2 5.3
12-2 19.1% 50.7% 50.7% 14.8 0.0 0.4 2.9 5.2 1.2 9.4
11-3 21.3% 44.2% 44.2% 15.2 0.1 1.2 5.1 3.1 11.9
10-4 18.2% 36.8% 36.8% 15.6 0.0 0.2 2.5 3.9 11.5
9-5 12.7% 30.5% 30.5% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.7 3.1 8.9
8-6 7.2% 22.7% 22.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 5.6
7-7 3.5% 18.6% 18.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6 2.8
6-8 1.3% 11.4% 11.4% 16.0 0.1 1.1
5-9 0.4% 11.6% 11.6% 16.0 0.0 0.4
4-10 0.1% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.0 0.1
3-11 0.0% 0.0
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 41.5% 41.5% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 2.3 8.8 16.4 13.8 58.5 0.0%