Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -8.3 302
Results Rating -9.9 320
Pace 69.4 155
Improvement -3.2 301

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 309 D+ C- D C D+
Defense D+ 264 D D+ C+ D- D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 132 D- 50% 344 -2.3 271
2 Pt. Jumpers 59% 16 C- 37% 202 +2.6 54
Three Pointers 32% 341 B- 36% 86 -3.4 300
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 292 D+ -2.3 263
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.96 280
Second Chance C 30.0% 193 C- 0.99 250 C- 0.30 211
Turnovers D 19.2% 321
Freethrows B 0.34 68 F+ 66% 343 C 0.23 153
Total Offense D -5.4 309

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F+ 34% 346 D+ 12.8% 290
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 204 C- 6.2% 262
Three Pointers B+ 93% 21 C- 1.1% 240
Total D- 47% 328 D- 7.2% 327

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 145 D- 66% 346 +3.8 312
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% 362 C- 40% 264 -3.0 4
Three Pointers 48% 18 C+ 33% 129 +3.0 312
Shot Selection/Accuracy D- +1.2 353 D+ +2.5 278
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 303
Second Chance D 33.4% 298 C 1.03 190 D+ 0.35 266
Turnovers C+ 17.4% 143
Freethrows F+ 0.37 344 C+ 71% 117 D- 0.27 331
Total Defense D+ -3.0 264

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 54% 292 D+ 8.9% 256
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 354 D- 1.1% 351
Three Pointers D+ 88% 295 C 0.8% 173
Total D- 64% 336 D 4.1% 305

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 228 17.2 167
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 96 0.23 347
Improvement +2.3 #88 -5.5 #361

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 319 300 275
Results Rating Rank 332 312 257
Conference Record 7 - 7 9 - 5 10 - 4
Conference Finish 4 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 16
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 20% 15%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 13% 17% 4%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 20% 25% 4%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four18% 19% 15%
First Round9% 10% 7%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Coppin St. (Away) - 74.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 30 - 50 - 8
Quad 413 - 813 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 136 William & Mary L 78 - 81 26% +4  75% 0 - 1 C- -4 D -6 A- F F B- +2 B- F A
 Tue, Nov 11 242 @Old Dominion L 57 - 60 25% -1  34% 0 - 2 C- -4 F+ -9 F B F B +4 B- B- C-
 Fri, Nov 14 170 @Towson L 41 - 51 16% +1  52% 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -23 F B+ A+ A+ +14 A+ A+ F+
 Fri, Nov 21 259 Hampton W 62 - 60 51% +2  74% 1 - 3 D+ -7 D- -7 D D B C+ +1 F B- C+
 Sun, Nov 23 100 @Wyoming L 67 - 75 7% -11  4% 1 - 4 C +0 D+ -3 D+ C- D+ B- +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 29 3 @Arizona L 61 - 98 0% -17  7% 1 - 5 D -9 D+ -4 B- B C C- -3 C C- C-
 Sat, Dec 6 201 @James Madison L 67 - 68 20% -4  6% 1 - 6 C -0 D+ -4 A- C F B- +3 B+ D F
 Wed, Dec 10 44 @Baylor L 67 - 97 3% -16  1% 1 - 7 F+ -16 F+ -9 F D B- D+ -4 D C C+
 Thu, Dec 18 296 Grambling St. L 68 - 80 48% -14  0% 1 - 8 F -20 F -11 F C- B- D- -8 F A+ F
 Fri, Dec 19 337 Jackson St. W 82 - 72 63% +11  83% 2 - 8 C- -2 D+ -3 B F F+ C+ +1 D D+ B+
 Sun, Dec 21 243 @UTEP W 72 - 71 25% +3  66% 3 - 8 C -0 C- -2 B- F F+ C+ +2 D- D- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 120 UC Irvine L 70 - 89 15% -16  0% 3 - 9 F+ -16 C+ +3 B A F F -20 F F D-
 Sun, Dec 28 291 @Louisiana L 54 - 63 36% -9  0% 3 - 10 D- -14 F -12 F D- B- D+ -4 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 352 @NC Central L 67 - 69 60% -3  16% 3 - 11 0 - 1 D- -13 F -12 F F C- C -1 D A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 361 @Delaware St. W 66 - 64 71% -1  34% 4 - 11 1 - 1 D- -12 F -12 C F F C +0 F F A+
 Mon, Jan 12 349 Maryland Eastern Shore L 70 - 74 78% -0  38% 4 - 12 1 - 2 F -20 D+ -4 F A+ B- F -17 D- D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 357 @South Carolina St. W 89 - 82 65% -0  39% 5 - 12 2 - 2 D+ -5 B +7 C A+ F F -12 F D C
 Sat, Jan 24 363 Coppin St. W 103 - 76 88% +15  96% 6 - 12 3 - 2 B- +6 B +7 A+ F F D+ -5 F D C+
 Mon, Jan 26 350 Morgan St. L 78 - 79 78% +3  60% 6 - 13 3 - 3 F+ -18 F -12 F C+ B+ D -5 F B+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 202 @Howard L 60 - 88 20% -15  0% 6 - 14 3 - 4 F -27 F -12 F F C- F -15 F F A+
 Sat, Feb 7 352 NC Central W 75 - 68 79% +3  70% 7 - 14 4 - 4 D -10 F -11 D C+ F C+ +1 D- A- A-
 Sat, Feb 14 361 Delaware St. W 75 - 58 86% +10  85% 8 - 14 5 - 4 C- -3 C+ +3 C- A+ C- D+ -4 C- B D
 Mon, Feb 16 349 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 70 - 66 58% +1  60% 9 - 14 6 - 4 D+ -6 B- +5 A- B D- F -11 F F D
 Sat, Feb 21 357 South Carolina St. W 90 - 71 83% +10  96% 10 - 14 7 - 4 C +1 B- +5 A+ D- D+ D -5 C F A+
 Sat, Feb 28 363 @Coppin St. W 75 - 68 75%
 Mon, Mar 2 350 @Morgan St. W 78 - 76 58%
 Thu, Mar 5 202 Howard L 70 - 73 39%
Totals 12 - 15 9 - 5 -8 D -5 B- D+ D+ D+ -3 B- F+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- B- D+ 40% 59% 32% D+ D+ C C- C- D B F+ C D+ D- C- C+ D+ 40% 12% 48% D- D D C D+ C+ F+ C+ D-
1.01 50% 37% 36% -2 -1 0.96 30% 1.0 .30 19% .34 66% .23 1.13 66% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.10 33% 1.0 .35 17% .37 71% .24
Nov
8		 William & Mary D D+ D A+ A- 40% 12% 48% B- A- C+ F F F A+ F A+ B- B+ F B- B 42% 2% 56% F+ B- D F F A F B F
1.01 55% 33% 46% +7 +1 1.18 33% 0.4 .12 25% .54 55% .29 1.05 53% 100% 32% -3 +3 1.02 30% 1.7 .52 22% .57 71% .40
Nov
11		 Old Dominion F+ F B+ F F 42% 27% 31% D+ F A D+ B F F A+ D+ B F C- A+ B+ 35% 19% 47% D- B- D- A+ B- C- F C- F
0.96 42% 42% 21% -12 -1 0.78 42% 0.9 .39 20% .27 85% .23 1.01 80% 38% 15% -6 0 0.91 30% 0.8 .23 15% .38 74% .28
Nov
14		 Towson F F F+ F F 33% 37% 29% F F B+ B- B+ A+ F+ F F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 22% 16% 61% D A+ B- A+ A+ F+ F+ A- D+
0.69 6% 32% 13% -29 -3 0.39 33% 1.1 .35 10% .21 27% .06 0.86 55% 25% 20% -16 -1 0.69 34% 0.4 .15 13% .35 61% .21
Nov
21		 Hampton D- F C+ A+ D 43% 30% 27% D D C- F D B B F D- C+ F B- D F 21% 28% 51% B+ F B+ C B- C+ B A+ A+
1.00 47% 38% 42% -1 -1 0.98 28% 0.8 .22 15% .42 50% .21 0.97 78% 33% 36% +5 -2 1.07 29% 0.9 .26 19% .30 53% .16
Nov
23		 Wyoming D+ F B+ B- D+ 43% 25% 32% D D+ B F C- D+ A+ B- A+ B- A+ F A- A+ 49% 2% 49% F A+ F F F A F C- F
1.00 42% 45% 36% -4 0 0.93 31% 0.7 .22 18% .53 72% .38 1.12 38% 100% 29% -12 +3 0.84 46% 1.3 .60 21% .59 77% .45
Nov
29		 Arizona D+ B- B F B+ 29% 49% 22% F B- D+ A+ B C F F F C- F+ D A+ C+ 57% 25% 18% D- C C+ D- C- C- F B F
0.81 56% 41% 25% -2 -4 0.89 20% 1.3 .25 19% .15 22% .03 1.30 72% 46% 22% +7 +1 1.18 39% 1.1 .42 13% .70 70% .49
Dec
6		 James Madison D+ A+ C+ B A 42% 40% 18% F A- C+ C- C F C- F F B- F A- A+ B+ 31% 15% 54% C+ B+ A F D F F A+ C
1.03 74% 39% 38% +8 -2 1.13 31% 1.0 .31 23% .34 47% .16 1.05 73% 29% 23% -5 0 0.92 22% 1.6 .36 12% .39 55% .21
Dec
10		 Baylor F+ A+ D+ F D+ 8% 72% 21% F F D D+ D B- A+ D- A+ D+ F B+ F+ D- 29% 37% 34% B+ D C C+ C C+ C F D+
0.88 100% 37% 18% -3 -9 0.79 24% 0.9 .21 16% .41 69% .28 1.27 88% 36% 40% +11 -3 1.19 38% 1.1 .41 16% .33 81% .26
Dec
18		 Grambling St. F D+ F F F 46% 26% 28% D F C+ D+ C- B- A- F F D- F A+ F F 41% 19% 41% D+ F A+ C- A+ F C- D D+
0.92 57% 23% 21% -10 0 0.82 34% 1.0 .34 18% .41 44% .18 1.08 73% 10% 41% +5 0 1.13 7% 1.0 .07 12% .34 77% .26
Dec
19		 Jackson St. D+ B+ B- A+ A 20% 37% 43% F B D+ F F F+ B+ A+ A+ C+ D+ A+ F F+ 24% 34% 42% A- D D+ C D+ B+ C- C+ C
1.12 70% 39% 48% +12 -3 1.18 32% 0.7 .24 19% .41 83% .34 0.99 58% 24% 43% +1 -3 0.98 29% 1.0 .29 22% .28 75% .21
Dec
21		 UTEP C- F A+ A B 38% 24% 38% C B- D+ F F F+ A+ F A+ C+ F A+ B D 36% 18% 46% F D- F B+ D- A+ F A+ D-
1.04 41% 64% 41% +4 -1 1.09 30% 0.7 .21 22% .55 63% .35 1.02 78% 22% 30% +2 0 1.06 39% 0.9 .34 23% .50 44% .22
Dec
22		 UC Irvine C+ D D- A+ A- 28% 41% 30% F B F A+ A F A+ A A+ F F F B+ F 44% 16% 40% F F F F F D- D F F
1.03 46% 32% 50% +1 -3 0.98 23% 1.9 .43 22% .38 80% .30 1.31 73% 50% 30% +6 +1 1.16 41% 1.3 .55 15% .34 85% .29
Dec
28		 Louisiana F F F B+ F 41% 18% 41% C- F D+ F D- B- D- D- F+ D+ C F+ F F 24% 24% 52% D- F C+ A+ A+ F D- D F+
0.92 33% 13% 39% -12 +1 0.80 30% 0.8 .24 17% .33 69% .23 1.07 55% 45% 42% +7 -1 1.13 26% 0.4 .10 12% .29 73% .21
Jan
3		 NC Central F F A F F 43% 26% 32% D+ F B- F F C- B+ F C+ C F A- A+ D+ 50% 14% 36% F D F A+ A+ B- F B+ F
1.00 50% 50% 27% -4 0 0.94 40% 0.6 .24 18% .36 65% .24 1.03 68% 29% 22% -3 +2 1.00 45% 0.3 .14 19% .46 68% .31
Jan
10		 Delaware St. F D+ A+ C C 49% 22% 29% C- C F+ D- F F A D B C C+ F A+ F 42% 15% 44% F F F F F A+ A F B-
0.93 60% 56% 33% +4 +1 1.12 24% 1.0 .24 28% .42 67% .28 0.91 50% 100% 24% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.0 .32 27% .21 82% .17
Jan
12		 Maryland Eastern Shore D+ D F+ F F 44% 26% 31% D+ F C+ A+ A+ B- A+ D A+ F F A+ C- D 44% 14% 42% F D- F B D+ F F D F
1.10 53% 30% 17% -12 0 0.77 34% 2.0 .69 14% .60 70% .42 1.16 68% 0% 33% -1 +1 1.02 35% 0.8 .29 14% .68 76% .51
Jan
17		 South Carolina St. B C- F+ B- C- 62% 8% 30% A- C C A+ A+ F A+ A- A+ F F B- D+ F 31% 18% 51% F F F A D C F+ F F
1.24 61% 33% 36% +2 +3 1.14 38% 1.8 .67 21% .83 79% .65 1.14 67% 33% 36% +3 0 1.08 42% 0.8 .33 21% .39 82% .32
Jan
24		 Coppin St. B A F A+ A+ 39% 7% 54% B A+ C- F F F A+ C+ A+ D+ F A B+ F 37% 17% 46% F+ F D+ D- D C+ F A+ F
1.28 72% 0% 56% +21 +2 1.48 35% 0.8 .27 24% .70 77% .54 0.95 76% 25% 29% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .33 24% .62 47% .29
Jan
26		 Morgan St. F F A+ F F 62% 9% 29% A- F C- B- C+ B+ D F F D F+ D+ D+ F 34% 20% 46% F+ F A+ F B+ C F D+ F
1.03 47% 60% 12% -15 +3 0.79 34% 1.3 .45 12% .40 59% .24 1.04 65% 40% 35% +3 0 1.08 12% 1.5 .18 18% .42 77% .32
Jan
31		 Howard F F F B+ F 51% 16% 33% C+ F F F F C- B+ B- B+ F D A+ F F 50% 9% 41% F F F F F A+ F F F
0.86 40% 13% 38% -12 +1 0.82 24% 0.8 .18 20% .39 73% .29 1.26 59% 25% 44% +6 +2 1.18 59% 1.3 .77 27% .57 86% .49
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 NC Central F D A+ D- F+ 55% 7% 38% A D C+ C+ C+ F A+ B+ A+ C+ B+ F B- F+ 45% 24% 31% D+ D- A B+ A- A- B+ D- B-
1.05 57% 67% 31% 0 +3 1.07 39% 1.0 .39 28% .52 78% .41 0.95 48% 67% 31% +1 0 1.04 21% 0.8 .18 22% .25 79% .20
Feb
14		 Delaware St. C+ A- F B- C- 44% 23% 33% D+ C- B+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A D+ F A- A+ C 42% 29% 29% F+ C- B+ B- B D F D F
1.19 74% 20% 36% +4 0 1.09 39% 1.4 .55 19% .53 59% .31 0.92 63% 27% 18% -8 -1 0.84 19% 0.7 .13 17% .69 72% .50
Feb
16		 Maryland Eastern Shore B- C+ C A+ A+ 33% 28% 40% F+ A- B+ C B D- A+ F B- F B- A+ F F 40% 9% 51% F F F+ F F D D A+ B-
1.18 62% 36% 50% +10 -1 1.20 39% 1.1 .43 19% .44 62% .27 1.12 53% 25% 41% +2 +2 1.09 34% 1.1 .38 20% .28 54% .15
Feb
21		 South Carolina St. B- B- D A+ A+ 49% 16% 35% C- A+ F B- D- D+ D+ B C- D A+ F D+ B+ 51% 13% 36% F C F F F A+ F F F
1.26 67% 38% 59% +17 +1 1.39 28% 1.3 .36 18% .36 76% .27 0.99 30% 80% 36% -8 +2 0.90 42% 1.2 .52 32% .60 83% .50



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1.6 17.9 19.5 1st
2nd 5.9 36.6 42.5 2nd
3rd 2.5 21.8 5.1 29.3 3rd
4th 4.2 4.0 8.2 4th
5th 0.5 0.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 7.1 31.7 43.2 17.9 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 100.0% 17.9    3.0 14.9
9-5 3.6% 1.6    0.3 1.1 0.2
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 19.5% 19.5 3.0 15.2 1.1 0.2



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 17.9% 30.2% 30.2% 16.0 0.0 5.4 12.5
9-5 43.2% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 7.8 35.4
8-6 31.7% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 4.7 27.0
7-7 7.1% 11.2% 11.2% 16.0 0.8 6.3
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 18.7% 18.7% 0.0% 16.0 81.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 5.4% 100.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 7.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.0%
Lose Out 2.3%