Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#190
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#167
Pace66.3#223
Improvement-2.7#289

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#142
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#242
Layup/Dunks+3.1#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#102
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#339
Freethrows+3.3#28
Improvement+0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#256
First Shot+0.0#180
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#341
Layups/Dunks+3.6#53
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#311
Freethrows-1.4#280
Improvement-2.8#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 47.3% 58.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round47.2% 58.8% 0.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 33 - 34 - 7
Quad 416 - 320 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 166   James Madison W 83-69 56%     1 - 0 +10.9 +7.2 +3.9
  Nov 12, 2024 234   @ William & Mary L 73-84 48%     1 - 1 -12.2 -4.2 -7.7
  Nov 16, 2024 213   @ Hampton W 67-58 44%     2 - 1 +8.8 +4.5 +5.6
  Nov 20, 2024 81   @ Stanford L 63-70 15%     2 - 2 +2.6 +1.7 +0.1
  Nov 22, 2024 90   @ Grand Canyon L 73-91 17%     2 - 3 -9.5 +6.1 -15.4
  Nov 25, 2024 238   @ UC Davis W 76-55 50%     3 - 3 +19.4 +6.9 +12.6
  Dec 01, 2024 324   @ Stony Brook W 77-66 70%     4 - 3 +4.0 +5.2 -0.3
  Dec 09, 2024 217   Hofstra L 67-80 66%     4 - 4 -18.8 +1.6 -21.5
  Dec 11, 2024 26   @ Baylor L 69-94 5%     4 - 5 -7.2 +3.3 -10.6
  Dec 15, 2024 225   @ Northern Kentucky L 62-71 46%     4 - 6 -9.7 -6.8 -3.4
  Dec 19, 2024 288   Alabama St. W 71-54 71%     5 - 6 +9.6 +0.0 +10.7
  Dec 20, 2024 328   Grambling St. W 76-70 80%     6 - 6 -4.4 +8.7 -12.4
  Dec 29, 2024 87   @ High Point W 77-74 17%     7 - 6 +11.6 +12.4 -0.5
  Dec 31, 2024 6   @ Tennessee L 52-67 2%     7 - 7 +8.0 +1.1 +4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 81-59 94%     8 - 7 1 - 0 +3.2 +2.7 +1.4
  Jan 06, 2025 310   @ Delaware St. W 73-64 67%     9 - 7 2 - 0 +2.8 -7.5 +9.8
  Jan 11, 2025 361   Coppin St. W 92-69 94%     10 - 7 3 - 0 +3.6 +11.8 -8.8
  Jan 13, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. L 74-78 74%     10 - 8 3 - 1 -12.3 -2.7 -9.7
  Jan 25, 2025 316   Howard W 92-75 84%     11 - 8 4 - 1 +5.0 +9.5 -4.8
  Feb 01, 2025 198   South Carolina St. W 67-65 OT 62%     12 - 8 5 - 1 -2.8 -9.8 +6.8
  Feb 03, 2025 318   NC Central W 81-78 84%     13 - 8 6 - 1 -9.1 +9.2 -18.0
  Feb 15, 2025 359   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 75-63 86%     14 - 8 7 - 1 -1.3 +1.9 -2.3
  Feb 17, 2025 310   Delaware St. W 96-84 83%     15 - 8 8 - 1 +0.3 +2.3 -3.8
  Feb 22, 2025 361   @ Coppin St. W 79-63 87%     16 - 8 9 - 1 +2.1 +7.7 -4.9
  Feb 24, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 69-60 87%     17 - 8 10 - 1 -4.8 -8.9 +4.6
  Mar 01, 2025 198   @ South Carolina St. L 88-91 41%     17 - 9 10 - 2 -2.3 +16.3 -18.6
  Mar 03, 2025 318   @ NC Central L 87-91 OT 69%     17 - 10 10 - 3 -10.6 +8.3 -18.9
  Mar 06, 2025 316   @ Howard W 81-69 68%     18 - 10 11 - 3 +5.5 +3.1 +2.4
  Mar 12, 2025 359   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-70 91%     19 - 10 -9.1 +1.6 -10.2
Projected Record 19 - 10 11 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3 100.0% 47.3% 47.3% 15.5 1.0 22.9 23.4 52.7
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 47.3% 47.3% 0.0% 15.5 1.0 22.9 23.4 52.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 47.3% 100.0% 15.5 2.1 48.4 49.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 33.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 19.7%