Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#125
Expected Predictive Rating+3.1#121
Pace71.2#94
Improvement+2.5#89

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#89
First Shot+5.4#52
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#300
Layup/Dunks+7.0#10
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#275
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement+1.5#112

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#204
First Shot-4.4#314
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#4
Layups/Dunks-5.4#348
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#309
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#29
Freethrows-1.6#287
Improvement+1.1#123
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 36 - 46 - 8
Quad 416 - 122 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 80   @ Colorado L 88-90 2OT 23%     0 - 1 +7.9 +4.7 +3.6
  Nov 14, 2024 134   South Dakota St. W 78-69 53%     1 - 1 +10.5 +4.2 +6.3
  Nov 18, 2024 120   @ Washington St. L 69-83 38%     1 - 2 -8.6 -4.0 -4.5
  Nov 20, 2024 163   @ California Baptist W 79-68 49%     2 - 2 +13.6 +5.4 +7.8
  Nov 23, 2024 360   Prairie View W 114-98 96%     3 - 2 -2.9 +15.7 -20.9
  Nov 29, 2024 7   @ Texas Tech L 64-89 4%     3 - 3 -2.5 +0.2 -2.7
  Dec 04, 2024 131   St. Thomas L 75-87 62%     3 - 4 -12.9 +3.3 -17.0
  Dec 07, 2024 142   @ North Dakota St. L 70-82 44%     3 - 5 -8.2 -12.3 +5.3
  Dec 16, 2024 296   Air Force W 81-76 88%     4 - 5 -5.5 +2.7 -8.2
  Dec 21, 2024 301   @ Denver W 82-75 77%     5 - 5 +1.7 +14.9 -12.6
  Jan 02, 2025 284   Weber St. W 89-72 87%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +7.1 +11.7 -4.5
  Jan 04, 2025 215   Idaho St. W 93-92 OT 78%     7 - 5 2 - 0 -4.7 +7.4 -12.3
  Jan 09, 2025 188   @ Montana St. W 83-82 54%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +2.2 +14.6 -12.4
  Jan 11, 2025 155   @ Montana W 81-57 47%     9 - 5 4 - 0 +27.0 +7.1 +19.9
  Jan 16, 2025 201   Portland St. W 72-69 76%     10 - 5 5 - 0 -2.1 +2.4 -4.4
  Jan 18, 2025 336   Sacramento St. W 68-64 93%     11 - 5 6 - 0 -10.3 -2.0 -7.7
  Jan 23, 2025 269   @ Idaho L 76-77 71%     11 - 6 6 - 1 -4.3 +4.5 -8.9
  Jan 25, 2025 294   @ Eastern Washington W 67-62 75%     12 - 6 7 - 1 +0.1 -4.8 +5.2
  Feb 01, 2025 244   Northern Arizona W 87-69 82%     13 - 6 8 - 1 +10.7 +11.0 -0.1
  Feb 03, 2025 215   @ Idaho St. W 86-72 60%     14 - 6 9 - 1 +13.8 +15.0 -0.8
  Feb 06, 2025 155   Montana L 78-86 68%     14 - 7 9 - 2 -10.4 +3.3 -13.9
  Feb 08, 2025 188   Montana St. W 73-66 74%     15 - 7 10 - 2 +2.7 +3.0 +0.2
  Feb 13, 2025 336   @ Sacramento St. W 77-61 85%     16 - 7 11 - 2 +7.2 +2.3 +5.1
  Feb 15, 2025 201   @ Portland St. L 71-82 57%     16 - 8 11 - 3 -10.6 -2.6 -7.4
  Feb 20, 2025 294   Eastern Washington W 95-76 88%     17 - 8 12 - 3 +8.6 +17.3 -8.6
  Feb 22, 2025 269   Idaho W 92-74 85%     18 - 8 13 - 3 +9.2 +19.1 -8.4
  Mar 01, 2025 244   @ Northern Arizona W 83-73 65%     19 - 8 14 - 3 +8.2 +9.1 -0.8
  Mar 03, 2025 284   @ Weber St. W 68-63 74%     20 - 8 15 - 3 +0.6 -5.3 +6.0
  Mar 09, 2025 284   Weber St. W 76-52 81%     21 - 8 +16.9 +1.1 +16.3
  Mar 11, 2025 188   Montana St. W 72-45 64%     22 - 8 +25.5 +6.1 +22.1
  Mar 12, 2025 155   Montana L 83-91 58%     22 - 9 -7.7 +15.8 -24.2
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%