Oakland
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#183
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#216
Pace58.9#359
Improvement+2.4#60

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#152
First Shot-1.4#218
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#57
Layup/Dunks-0.2#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#160
Freethrows-2.0#298
Improvement+4.3#6

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#226
First Shot+0.8#145
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#344
Layups/Dunks+4.4#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#298
Freethrows+2.5#35
Improvement-1.9#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.4% 16.2% 11.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.0 14.9
.500 or above 32.5% 60.8% 30.9%
.500 or above in Conference 79.4% 87.8% 78.9%
Conference Champion 8.3% 13.9% 8.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.5%
First Four2.1% 0.5% 2.2%
First Round10.6% 16.0% 10.3%
Second Round0.5% 1.5% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 34 - 65 - 13
Quad 410 - 515 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 58   @ Boise St. L 43-87 11%     0 - 1 -31.6 -20.4 -14.3
  Nov 13, 2024 21   @ Illinois L 54-66 5%     0 - 2 +5.8 -8.8 +14.4
  Nov 16, 2024 8   @ Kansas L 57-78 3%     0 - 3 -0.1 +1.7 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2024 305   Eastern Michigan L 64-68 82%     0 - 4 -14.9 -7.4 -8.1
  Nov 30, 2024 208   @ Toledo W 85-52 43%     1 - 4 +33.7 +17.9 +19.1
  Dec 05, 2024 168   Wright St. W 66-64 59%     2 - 4 1 - 0 -1.4 -2.4 +1.3
  Dec 07, 2024 187   @ Youngstown St. L 50-66 39%     2 - 5 1 - 1 -14.4 -10.7 -6.1
  Dec 17, 2024 14   Michigan St. L 58-77 7%     2 - 6 -3.3 -0.4 -4.9
  Dec 19, 2024 218   @ Cleveland St. L 75-92 45%     2 - 7 1 - 2 -17.0 +9.9 -28.3
  Dec 22, 2024 121   Loyola Chicago W 72-71 36%     3 - 7 +3.6 +8.9 -5.2
  Dec 23, 2024 69   Oregon St. L 74-80 OT 20%     3 - 8 +1.9 +7.6 -5.9
  Dec 25, 2024 166   @ Hawaii L 70-73 OT 36%     3 - 9 -0.4 +0.4 -0.8
  Dec 30, 2024 31   @ Arkansas L 62-79 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 132   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 256   Robert Morris W 70-63 75%    
  Jan 09, 2025 168   @ Wright St. L 69-73 36%    
  Jan 11, 2025 205   @ Northern Kentucky L 63-65 42%    
  Jan 15, 2025 351   IU Indianapolis W 75-61 91%    
  Jan 18, 2025 321   @ Detroit Mercy W 69-64 67%    
  Jan 22, 2025 160   Purdue Fort Wayne W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 256   @ Robert Morris W 67-66 53%    
  Jan 30, 2025 329   Green Bay W 77-66 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 205   Northern Kentucky W 66-62 64%    
  Feb 06, 2025 187   Youngstown St. W 67-64 61%    
  Feb 12, 2025 351   @ IU Indianapolis W 72-64 77%    
  Feb 16, 2025 321   Detroit Mercy W 72-61 84%    
  Feb 21, 2025 160   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 72-76 35%    
  Feb 23, 2025 218   Cleveland St. W 69-64 67%    
  Feb 27, 2025 132   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 69-75 30%    
  Mar 01, 2025 329   @ Green Bay W 74-69 69%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.0 2.2 0.9 0.1 8.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.3 2.7 0.5 0.0 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.0 6.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 14.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.9 7.3 3.3 0.3 0.0 15.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 3.6 6.9 3.7 0.3 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 6.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 13.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 4.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 10.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.7 1.6 0.3 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.2 6.0 9.3 13.5 15.7 16.0 14.0 10.2 6.2 2.7 0.9 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 96.7% 0.9    0.8 0.1
16-4 79.9% 2.2    1.5 0.6 0.0 0.0
15-5 49.2% 3.0    1.3 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
14-6 17.5% 1.8    0.3 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 8.3% 8.3 4.1 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 36.5% 36.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.9% 33.6% 33.6% 13.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 2.7% 28.2% 28.2% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 1.9
15-5 6.2% 23.5% 23.5% 14.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.7
14-6 10.2% 19.8% 19.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.0 8.2
13-7 14.0% 15.4% 15.4% 14.9 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.2 11.9
12-8 16.0% 11.6% 11.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 1.0 0.7 14.2
11-9 15.7% 8.6% 8.6% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.1 14.4
10-10 13.5% 5.8% 5.8% 16.0 0.0 0.8 12.7
9-11 9.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.4 9.0
8-12 6.0% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.2 5.8
7-13 3.2% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.1 3.1
6-14 1.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.4
5-15 0.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 0.6
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 11.4% 11.4% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.4 4.3 3.5 88.6 0.0%