Oakland
Horizon
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -0.7 172
Results Rating -0.8 171
Pace 74.1 44
Improvement -6.0 355

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 97 C- C+ B B- C+
Defense D+ 291 D+ C- D+ B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 C- 56% 233 +2.2 97
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 157 C 39% 161 -0.1 184
Three Pointers 36% 283 C- 33% 245 -3.3 297
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 120 C- -1.7 232
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 208
Second Chance C 30.9% 169 B- 1.10 73 C+ 0.34 104
Turnovers B 14.4% 47
Freethrows B- 0.33 115 B- 75% 83 B- 0.25 87
Total Offense B- +3.2 97

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 54% 88 D 13.1% 304
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 40% 24 F 11.6% 362
Three Pointers C 84% 193 C- 1.2% 258
Total B- 60% 93 F 8.5% 362

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 273 D 64% 323 +0.3 193
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 152 F 46% 354 +1.9 320
Three Pointers 43% 104 C+ 33% 146 +0.8 221
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 122 D +3.1 300
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 271
Second Chance D- 34.7% 331 B- 0.96 70 C- 0.33 239
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 268
Freethrows A- 0.24 18 C- 73% 230 B+ 0.17 26
Total Defense D+ -3.8 291

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F 63% 362 C+ 12.7% 99
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 52% 363 C- 3.7% 252
Three Pointers F+ 92% 353 C- 0.6% 220
Total F 70% 359 C 5.6% 175

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.8 114 16.6 65
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 38 0.16 133
Improvement -5.9 #359 -0.1 #196

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 196 169 143
Results Rating Rank 207 173 112
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 5 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20% 21% 17%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.1
.500 or above 73% 81% 41%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 4% 5% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 1%
First Round20% 21% 16%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Wisconsin-Milwaukee (Home) - 78.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 36 - 46 - 10
Quad 410 - 517 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 1 @Michigan L 78 - 121 1% -27  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 A- +10 A+ D A F -19 F D- F
 Fri, Nov 7 7 @Purdue L 77 - 87 2% -3  21% 0 - 2 B+ +14 A- +11 B- A A B +4 B A+ F
 Wed, Nov 12 6 @Houston L 45 - 78 2% -21  0% 0 - 3 D+ -8 F -13 D- D- B- C+ +0 B- C D
 Mon, Nov 17 51 @Central Florida L 83 - 87 10% -5  2% 0 - 4 B +10 B+ +9 C+ C A- C+ +1 C C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 248 @Eastern Michigan L 91 - 97 55% -1  30% 0 - 5 D+ -8 A +12 A- C+ A+ F -19 F A- D+
 Mon, Nov 24 216 Lamar W 83 - 68 60% +4  68% 1 - 5 B+ +12 B +6 D+ A+ B- B+ +6 B F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 194 @Montana W 95 - 87 44% +4  75% 2 - 5 B +9 A +12 A D- B D+ -4 C- F C-
 Wed, Dec 3 261 Purdue Fort Wayne W 101 - 92 78% +8  92% 3 - 5 1 - 0 C +0 A +12 B+ B- A F -12 D- D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 161 Toledo W 98 - 97 60% -1  32% 4 - 5 C- -2 B+ +8 C B A+ F -10 D F C
 Sat, Dec 13 94 @Northern Iowa L 63 - 75 18% -5  11% 4 - 6 C- -3 D- -6 C- C F B +4 C+ B+ F+
 Wed, Dec 17 195 @Northern Kentucky W 82 - 77 44% +2  67% 5 - 6 2 - 0 B- +6 B- +4 D F+ A+ C+ +2 C+ C D-
 Sat, Dec 20 10 Michigan St. L 70 - 79 4% -4  24% 5 - 7 B +10 B+ +8 A C C B- +2 A- C+ C-
 Mon, Dec 29 153 @Wright St. L 73 - 88 35% -14  1% 5 - 8 2 - 1 D- -12 D+ -3 F D D+ F+ -9 F C+ B-
 Thu, Jan 1 198 @Youngstown St. W 85 - 83 44% -4  21% 6 - 8 3 - 1 C+ +3 A+ +15 A B- A F -12 B F F
 Sun, Jan 4 179 Robert Morris W 96 - 73 63% +14  94% 7 - 8 4 - 1 A +19 A+ +20 C+ A A+ C -1 C- A- D-
 Fri, Jan 9 314 Cleveland St. W 97 - 72 86% +13  90% 8 - 8 5 - 1 B+ +13 B- +5 F A+ D+ B+ +7 A+ F+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 153 Wright St. L 84 - 94 58% -17  0% 8 - 9 5 - 2 D- -13 C+ +2 C- D A+ F -15 F A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 271 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 73 - 60 60% +9  99% 9 - 9 6 - 2 B +10 F+ -10 F B+ F A+ +19 A+ C+ B
 Sun, Jan 18 225 @Green Bay W 88 - 63 50% +11  87% 10 - 9 7 - 2 A+ +24 A+ +17 B+ A+ C A +10 B- A C+
 Wed, Jan 21 325 IU Indianapolis L 85 - 103 88% -8  12% 10 - 10 7 - 3 F -31 C -0 F B+ A F -31 F F D
 Sat, Jan 24 255 @Detroit Mercy W 95 - 87 56% +4  82% 11 - 10 8 - 3 B- +6 A+ +19 A- C+ A+ F -13 F C C
 Wed, Jan 28 261 @Purdue Fort Wayne W 74 - 65 58% +1  59% 12 - 10 9 - 3 B- +6 C- -2 D F+ A A +9 A+ F F+
 Sun, Feb 1 195 Northern Kentucky W 76 - 65 66% +2  62% 13 - 10 10 - 3 B- +6 F+ -8 F A+ B- A+ +13 A+ B+ D
 Wed, Feb 4 314 @Cleveland St. L 78 - 91 71% +2  69% 13 - 11 10 - 4 F -19 D- -7 F+ D- F+ F -12 F B- D
 Thu, Feb 12 198 Youngstown St. L 82 - 86 67% -3  14% 13 - 12 10 - 5 D -9 B- +4 A C C F -13 D- D C-
 Sun, Feb 15 179 @Robert Morris L 69 - 93 40% -7  12% 13 - 13 10 - 6 F -22 D+ -2 D F+ C+ F -21 F F D+
 Fri, Feb 20 225 Green Bay L 68 - 73 72% -3  16% 13 - 14 10 - 7 D- -12 D- -7 F A+ F+ D -5 C- D+ D-
 Sun, Feb 22 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 87 - 78 79%
 Wed, Feb 25 325 @IU Indianapolis W 93 - 86 74%
 Sat, Feb 28 255 Detroit Mercy W 87 - 80 76%
Totals 15 - 15 12 - 8 -1 B- +3 F C- C+ D+ -4 C- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C- C C- C- 44% 40% 36% C+ C- C B- C+ B B- B- B- D+ D F C+ D 36% 21% 43% C+ D+ D- B- C- D+ A- C- B+
1.13 56% 39% 33% -2 0 1.00 31% 1.1 .34 14% .33 75% .25 1.14 64% 46% 33% +3 0 1.08 35% 1.0 .33 15% .24 73% .24
Nov
3		 Michigan A- D- A+ A+ A+ 31% 28% 41% B- A+ F A+ D A C+ A+ B F F F F F 32% 15% 53% A F A+ F D- F A+ F A+
1.00 42% 47% 40% +1 -1 1.02 13% 1.4 .18 14% .23 87% .20 1.56 85% 56% 52% +25 0 1.53 26% 2.3 .61 10% .19 92% .17
Nov
7		 Purdue A- A+ F C- B 22% 33% 45% D B- A B A A C- A C+ B F B- B- B 28% 22% 50% C+ B A A+ A+ F A- A A
1.10 83% 28% 32% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.2 .37 13% .20 75% .15 1.24 82% 38% 33% +6 -1 1.13 29% 0.9 .26 7% .23 67% .15
Nov
12		 Houston F F F F F+ 42% 30% 28% C D- C F D- B- D+ C C- C+ F A- B+ C+ 24% 35% 42% B B- F+ A- C D A+ A+ A+
0.73 44% 23% 25% -14 -1 0.72 26% 0.6 .16 21% .31 67% .20 1.26 92% 32% 30% +4 -3 1.04 45% 0.9 .40 10% .14 63% .09
Nov
17		 Central Florida B+ F D+ A+ C 44% 15% 40% B+ C+ B- D- C A- A+ A+ A+ C+ B F B- C 38% 21% 40% C C F+ B+ C- C F B F
1.14 43% 38% 43% -1 +1 1.02 28% 0.9 .25 14% .42 85% .35 1.20 55% 64% 33% +4 0 1.10 42% 1.1 .45 15% .41 72% .29
Nov
21		 Eastern Michigan A C A+ A A- 51% 12% 37% A- A- D+ A C+ A+ C- D+ D+ F F F F F 40% 20% 40% D- F A+ C A- D+ C+ F D+
1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21 1.31 73% 82% 45% +21 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21
Nov
24		 Lamar B A F F D- 50% 17% 33% B+ D+ C+ A+ A+ B- A+ C A+ B+ B- C+ A B+ 27% 31% 42% C- B D- F+ F A+ D- C+ D
1.17 71% 25% 19% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.6 .53 16% .53 69% .37 0.96 50% 38% 27% -7 -2 0.85 39% 1.1 .44 23% .29 69% .20
Nov
25		 Montana A A+ F A+ A 49% 25% 26% B- A B F D- B A+ B A+ D+ C+ D- F+ C- 47% 16% 36% D C- F F F C- D- A+ B-
1.22 77% 23% 43% +9 0 1.21 35% 0.6 .22 13% .46 74% .34 1.12 58% 44% 40% +4 +1 1.13 31% 1.4 .42 19% .35 59% .21
Dec
3		 Purdue Fort Wayne A A+ F A A- 34% 20% 46% D B+ D+ A B- A A C A F D+ A- D- D- 37% 11% 52% D+ D- C- D- D+ F D B+ C-
1.31 89% 9% 42% +11 0 1.23 31% 1.3 .40 14% .36 75% .27 1.20 63% 29% 38% +4 +1 1.12 22% 1.1 .24 10% .29 65% .19
Dec
6		 Toledo B+ C A+ F+ D+ 67% 6% 27% A+ C F A+ B A+ B- D+ C+ F C- F A+ D 46% 25% 29% D+ D F B- F C A- D B+
1.26 60% 50% 29% +1 +4 1.11 21% 2.0 .41 6% .27 70% .19 1.24 59% 88% 22% +8 0 1.17 45% 0.9 .42 15% .21 79% .17
Dec
13		 Northern Iowa D- D D F D- 62% 6% 33% A+ C- C- B C F A F B- B C B- B- B- 48% 15% 37% D+ C+ C A+ B+ F+ F A+ F
0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +4 0.88 23% 1.0 .23 23% .34 63% .21 1.03 60% 38% 32% 0 +1 1.04 22% 0.8 .16 11% .42 59% .25
Dec
17		 Northern Kentucky B- D C+ C- D 45% 22% 33% C D C- F F+ A+ A+ C- A+ C+ F B+ A+ C+ 40% 17% 43% C+ C+ D+ B C D- A+ D A
1.13 52% 42% 33% -2 0 0.98 32% 0.8 .27 14% .46 69% .32 1.06 70% 30% 24% -3 +1 0.97 33% 0.9 .30 14% .19 75% .14
Dec
20		 Michigan St. B+ F+ C+ A+ A 41% 22% 37% B A C- B C C C- A+ B B- F A+ A- A- 31% 29% 41% B A- D+ B C+ C- D- C+ D
1.03 43% 36% 47% +1 0 1.04 18% 0.8 .15 18% .23 92% .21 1.16 80% 21% 30% 0 -2 0.98 43% 1.0 .43 16% .40 74% .30
Dec
29		 Wright St. D+ F B F+ F 41% 22% 37% C F B+ F D D+ A+ C+ A+ F+ C- C- F F 48% 21% 31% D+ F C- B- C+ B- F+ D F+
1.03 45% 45% 28% -7 0 0.88 38% 0.7 .25 18% .52 73% .38 1.24 61% 40% 60% +14 +1 1.31 32% 1.0 .32 18% .38 77% .29
Jan
1		 Youngstown St. A+ A+ F A+ A 41% 24% 34% C- A D+ A+ B- A A+ C- A+ F F A+ B+ B 31% 12% 58% C+ B F D- F F F+ D F
1.29 76% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .36 14% .60 74% .44 1.26 75% 0% 30% -3 +1 0.98 42% 1.2 .49 11% .34 75% .25
Jan
4		 Robert Morris A+ C A+ F B 35% 31% 33% F C+ A- A A A+ A+ A+ A+ C F C+ A- D+ 33% 33% 33% A C- B A- A- D- D- D D-
1.41 59% 73% 19% +4 -2 1.06 37% 1.2 .44 9% .59 89% .53 1.07 76% 35% 29% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 15% .29 71% .21
Jan
9		 Cleveland St. B- C- A F F 42% 14% 44% B- F A+ B- A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F D A+ A+ 34% 28% 38% A- A+ F B+ F+ D A+ D A+
1.31 60% 50% 23% -5 +1 0.95 53% 1.1 .60 16% .43 89% .39 0.97 71% 41% 9% -9 -1 0.82 39% 0.9 .35 16% .16 80% .13
Jan
11		 Wright St. C+ C- B- C C 40% 31% 29% D- C- F A+ D A+ A+ C A+ F F+ F F F 36% 32% 32% A F F A+ A- A+ B F D
1.15 57% 44% 33% +1 -1 1.02 19% 1.3 .24 8% .48 72% .34 1.28 68% 59% 53% +19 -2 1.38 42% 0.6 .25 25% .27 100% .27
Jan
15		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee F+ D+ F F F 54% 16% 30% B- F C A+ B+ F A B+ A A+ B B- A+ A+ 46% 25% 30% D+ A+ D- A C+ B C- A+ B-
0.98 56% 13% 20% -12 +2 0.82 31% 1.5 .44 21% .41 79% .32 0.81 50% 36% 6% -17 0 0.68 36% 0.9 .32 17% .29 56% .16
Jan
18		 Green Bay A+ B D A+ A- 52% 26% 22% C+ B+ A+ D A+ C A+ F B A F F A+ C 28% 26% 47% A+ B- C- A+ A C+ A F B+
1.38 67% 33% 50% +8 0 1.20 53% 1.1 .56 14% .47 62% .29 0.98 77% 50% 23% 0 -1 1.00 25% 0.6 .16 17% .26 86% .23
Jan
21		 IU Indianapolis C F F A+ F 49% 8% 43% B F C- A+ B+ A A F C+ F F F F F 25% 42% 33% A+ F F B- F D A+ B+ A+
1.19 42% 0% 43% -5 +2 0.96 34% 1.5 .53 14% .49 63% .31 1.44 80% 64% 50% +24 -4 1.43 48% 1.0 .48 14% .05 67% .03
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Detroit Mercy A+ A- A+ D+ B+ 53% 11% 36% B+ A- C+ C C+ A+ B+ A+ A+ F F F F F 18% 34% 48% B F F A- C C A+ F A
1.38 68% 50% 32% +5 +2 1.17 34% 1.1 .38 7% .41 85% .34 1.26 70% 63% 41% +16 -3 1.27 39% 0.8 .30 16% .14 100% .14
Jan
28		 Purdue Fort Wayne C- D F B D- 52% 8% 40% A- D D F F+ A A- D- B A A+ F A- A+ 37% 3% 59% F A+ C+ F F F+ A+ A+ A+
1.07 56% 0% 38% -2 +3 1.04 31% 0.8 .25 14% .34 70% .24 0.94 36% 50% 29% -13 +2 0.81 20% 1.7 .34 12% .11 57% .07
Feb
1		 Northern Kentucky F+ F A+ F F 56% 15% 30% A- F C A+ A+ B- B C+ B A+ A- B- A+ A+ 35% 10% 55% D+ A+ B- A- B+ D A A+ A+
1.00 37% 63% 19% -15 +2 0.76 33% 1.7 .56 18% .39 71% .27 0.85 50% 33% 21% -14 +1 0.76 28% 0.9 .24 14% .20 62% .12
Feb
4		 Cleveland St. D- A- B F F+ 36% 22% 42% D+ F+ D- D+ D- F+ B+ B A- F B- F F F 27% 11% 63% C- F F A+ B- D B- C- C+
1.09 72% 45% 24% 0 0 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 81% .29 1.28 53% 50% 49% +14 0 1.30 41% 0.6 .23 15% .30 78% .23
Feb
12		 Youngstown St. B- C- A+ A- A 33% 19% 48% C A D- A+ C C F F F F F F C+ F+ 25% 13% 62% B D- F A D C- D- F F
1.17 59% 70% 40% +11 0 1.23 24% 1.3 .31 19% .26 67% .18 1.23 77% 57% 33% +7 0 1.15 42% 0.9 .36 19% .32 100% .32
Feb
15		 Robert Morris D+ F+ B D F+ 56% 16% 29% B+ D B- F F+ C+ B A A F F F F F 38% 11% 51% F+ F F F F D+ B+ A+ A+
1.04 48% 43% 31% -6 +2 0.93 32% 0.6 .19 15% .43 83% .36 1.41 80% 50% 41% +15 +1 1.34 44% 1.3 .56 17% .18 40% .07
Feb
20		 Green Bay D- F B- F F 19% 36% 45% F F A+ A A+ F+ C- A+ A D A+ D- F D+ 35% 23% 42% B+ C- C- C- D+ D- A F B
1.08 33% 41% 19% -14 -3 0.68 45% 1.4 .63 17% .33 100% .33 1.16 41% 45% 45% +3 -1 1.06 26% 1.1 .29 13% .27 87% .24



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 3.6 3.6 1st
2nd 0.1 21.4 41.4 62.9 2nd
3rd 2.0 16.7 18.6 3rd
4th 0.0 6.7 2.2 8.9 4th
5th 0.4 3.6 3.9 5th
6th 0.9 0.8 1.6 6th
7th 0.4 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 1.7 13.2 40.2 45.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 7.9% 3.6    0.9 2.1 0.6
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.6% 3.6 0.9 2.1 0.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 45.0% 22.6% 22.6% 14.1 0.0 1.5 6.1 2.5 0.0 34.8
12-8 40.2% 18.7% 18.7% 14.9 0.0 1.3 5.9 0.3 32.7
11-9 13.2% 14.3% 14.3% 15.4 0.0 1.2 0.7 11.3
10-10 1.7% 9.1% 9.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.5
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 14.5 80.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.2% 100.0% 14.1 0.3 15.2 59.7 24.5 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 8.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.1%
Lose Out 0.5%