Rider
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -14.9 356
Results Rating -20.6 364
Pace 63.8 310
Improvement +0.4 175

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 345 F C- C D- F+
Defense D- 351 F+ C- D- B- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 203 F+ 48% 360 -4.2 327
2 Pt. Jumpers 68% 2 C- 36% 244 +4.5 22
Three Pointers 28% 363 F+ 28% 356 -9.2 364
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.8 345 F+ -7.2 360
1st FG Attempt F 0.84 362
Second Chance C+ 31.2% 163 D- 0.90 336 C- 0.28 250
Turnovers C 17.2% 209
Freethrows D 0.26 314 D 69% 298 D- 0.18 324
Total Offense D- -7.6 345

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 47% 217 C- 12.2% 261
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 158 B 2.9% 43
Three Pointers D+ 79% 290 F 2.3% 357
Total D- 46% 334 C- 6.2% 251

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% 11 C- 60% 231 +5.6 344
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 359 D- 44% 339 -2.1 28
Three Pointers 40% 205 F 40% 363 +3.2 318
Shot Selection/Accuracy F +1.5 364 D- +4.9 347
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.15 355
Second Chance D 34.2% 321 C+ 0.99 122 C- 0.34 258
Turnovers D- 13.9% 336
Freethrows C+ 0.28 120 B+ 69% 28 B- 0.20 78
Total Defense D- -7.3 351

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 250 C- 9.4% 234
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 21% 103 D 2.3% 319
Three Pointers C 84% 186 D- 0.0% 350
Total C- 59% 248 D+ 4.7% 249

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.5 354 16.7 75
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 260 0.22 330
Improvement +4.2 #17 -3.8 #337

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 358 355 350
Results Rating Rank 364 361 358
Conference Record 2 - 18 3 - 17 4 - 16
Conference Finish 13 13 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 99% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 49.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 20 - 00 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 43 - 143 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 22 @Virginia L 53 - 87 0% -17  0% 0 - 1 D- -14 D- -7 D C- F F+ -10 C+ F F
 Wed, Nov 5 111 @Rutgers L 53 - 81 3% -14  1% 0 - 2 F -22 F -17 F C F+ D -6 C D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 29 @Texas L 65 - 99 1% -18  0% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -11 F D+ D+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 6 @Houston L 45 - 91 0% -25  0% 0 - 4 F -21 F -17 F+ D+ F D -6 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 25 363 Coppin St. L 65 - 68 73% +5  79% 0 - 5 F -24 F -19 F F D- D -5 C- F+ C
 Thu, Dec 4 160 @Merrimack L 66 - 68 6% -1  27% 0 - 6 0 - 1 C +1 C +1 C A+ F C -1 F A- D-
 Sun, Dec 7 192 @Quinnipiac L 58 - 72 8% -15  0% 0 - 7 0 - 2 D- -13 F -13 F D D+ C -1 C+ F+ F
 Tue, Dec 9 330 Bucknell L 38 - 51 47% -8  0% 0 - 8 F -27 F -37 F F F A- +8 B- A D
 Tue, Dec 16 265 @Delaware L 57 - 65 13% -6  3% 0 - 9 D -11 F -13 F B+ C- C+ +1 C+ C+ D-
 Mon, Dec 22 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79 - 100 1% -11  11% 0 - 10 D+ -7 B +7 D+ A+ B F -13 F F D-
 Mon, Dec 29 319 Manhattan L 71 - 74 43% +2  75% 0 - 11 0 - 3 F+ -16 F+ -9 F B- F+ D- -7 C D- C-
 Sun, Jan 4 191 Siena L 65 - 74 17% -7  12% 0 - 12 0 - 4 D- -14 D+ -2 D+ F+ A F -13 C- F B-
 Fri, Jan 9 264 @Fairfield L 62 - 68 13% -8  1% 0 - 13 0 - 5 D -9 F+ -9 D+ F C- C -1 A+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 181 Marist L 49 - 71 16% -12  2% 0 - 14 0 - 6 F -26 F -21 F D- C+ D- -6 F A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 249 Iona W 72 - 68 25% +7  91% 1 - 14 1 - 6 C- -4 B- +5 D+ A+ C F+ -8 D+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 17 235 @St. Peter's L 58 - 69 10% -4  12% 1 - 15 1 - 7 D- -12 F+ -9 F B+ F D+ -5 F+ F+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 286 Sacred Heart L 85 - 105 33% -12  1% 1 - 16 1 - 8 F -30 D- -6 D F A- F -22 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 284 @Mount St. Mary's L 61 - 71 16% -0  50% 1 - 17 1 - 9 D- -14 D -5 F A C+ F -11 F D+ D-
 Fri, Jan 30 319 @Manhattan L 90 - 95 23% -2  20% 1 - 18 1 - 10 D- -12 A +11 C+ B- A+ F -24 F C- F+
 Sun, Feb 1 235 St. Peter's W 81 - 78 23% -6  2% 2 - 18 2 - 10 C- -4 A- +10 A+ F B+ F -14 D- F F
 Thu, Feb 5 181 @Marist L 52 - 81 7% -18  3% 2 - 19 2 - 11 F -27 F+ -8 F C+ C F -25 F C- D
 Sat, Feb 7 160 Merrimack L 47 - 73 14% -16  0% 2 - 20 2 - 12 F -29 F -18 F D+ A F -17 F F B+
 Fri, Feb 13 284 Mount St. Mary's L 55 - 65 32% -5  14% 2 - 21 2 - 13 F -20 F -19 F C- B+ C- -2 F B+ A
 Sun, Feb 15 286 @Sacred Heart L 75 - 86 16% -11  5% 2 - 22 2 - 14 F+ -15 D+ -4 D- D A- F -11 F+ F D-
 Fri, Feb 20 344 Canisius L 66 - 72 52% -6  0% 2 - 23 2 - 15 F -21 F -12 F F A+ F -10 F A- A-
 Sun, Feb 22 336 Niagara L 65 - 66 49%
 Fri, Feb 27 249 @Iona L 65 - 78 11%
 Sun, Mar 1 191 @Siena L 61 - 77 7%
Totals 3 - 25 3 - 17 -15 D- -8 F F+ F+ D- -7 F+ D D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- F+ C- F+ F+ 38% 68% 28% F+ F C+ D- C- C D D D- D- C- D- F D- 47% 13% 40% F F+ D C+ C- D- C+ B+ B-
0.98 48% 36% 28% -7 -2 0.84 31% 0.9 .28 17% .26 69% .18 1.19 60% 44% 40% +5 +2 1.15 34% 1.0 .34 14% .28 69% .18
Nov
3		 Virginia D- D F C+ C- 33% 45% 23% F D B+ F C- F A+ F A+ F+ D- F+ A B- 47% 9% 45% D- C+ F D F F F A+ F
0.83 46% 28% 33% -9 -4 0.78 33% 0.7 .23 22% .58 62% .36 1.36 68% 50% 29% +2 +2 1.11 54% 1.2 .63 9% .59 56% .33
Nov
5		 Rutgers F F F F F 38% 30% 32% D+ F A+ F C F+ A A A+ D A+ C D- B- 42% 11% 47% F C F A D+ F F A+ F
0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29 1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +2 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35
Nov
18		 Texas F F D+ C- D- 25% 43% 32% F F D+ D+ D+ D+ D A+ B- C- F F D+ F 39% 9% 53% F+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A+ C-
0.87 36% 33% 33% -8 -4 0.79 21% 0.9 .19 16% .29 89% .25 1.32 82% 60% 37% +13 +2 1.32 18% 1.0 .18 8% .49 65% .32
Nov
20		 Houston F F F+ F F 40% 27% 33% C+ F+ B+ F D+ F F A+ D+ D F F F F 38% 26% 36% F+ F A A+ A+ D+ A+ F A+
0.67 44% 25% 20% -16 -1 0.69 33% 0.6 .19 34% .20 100% .20 1.35 77% 53% 48% +19 -1 1.38 31% 0.7 .21 10% .12 100% .12
Nov
25		 Coppin St. F F F C F 51% 20% 29% C+ F B F F D- A+ C A+ D B- B- C- C 58% 25% 17% F C- F B+ F+ C C A+ A-
0.92 32% 30% 36% -14 +1 0.76 40% 0.4 .18 20% .56 75% .42 0.96 50% 31% 33% -7 +1 0.90 43% 0.8 .36 23% .33 50% .16
Dec
4		 Merrimack C F A+ D C- 52% 25% 23% C+ C A- A A+ F C- F D C C+ F D- F 34% 12% 54% C+ F A+ C A- D- A+ A+ A+
1.05 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 48% 1.2 .59 24% .33 63% .21 1.08 53% 67% 37% +4 +1 1.12 15% 1.0 .15 13% .20 64% .13
Dec
7		 Quinnipiac F F C- A+ D+ 26% 50% 24% F F D+ D D D+ F F F C A C+ C- B+ 59% 11% 30% F C+ C- F F+ F A+ B- A+
0.85 36% 33% 46% -4 -5 0.85 30% 0.9 .27 19% .14 50% .07 1.05 45% 33% 35% -7 +3 0.93 33% 1.2 .41 12% .15 67% .10
Dec
9		 Bucknell F F B- F F 34% 34% 32% F+ F F F F F F F F A- C+ A A+ B+ 46% 8% 46% F B- A A+ A D A+ C+ A+
0.62 36% 43% 23% -11 -2 0.76 17% 0.7 .11 25% .20 33% .07 0.84 55% 25% 23% -10 +2 0.85 19% 0.8 .16 18% .16 75% .12
Dec
16		 Delaware F F C+ F F 34% 20% 46% B- F C- A+ B+ C- F A+ F+ C+ B F C+ B 53% 12% 35% F C+ B+ D C+ D- F D F
0.91 41% 40% 17% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 14% .17 100% .17 1.04 52% 60% 33% -1 +2 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 14% .37 80% .30
Dec
22		 Virginia Commonwealth B C B F C 42% 40% 19% F D+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ C A+ F F C+ F F 54% 9% 38% F+ F C F F D- B D+ C+
1.09 55% 43% 20% -4 -2 0.91 36% 1.4 .49 15% .41 72% .29 1.39 70% 40% 43% +12 +3 1.30 34% 1.5 .52 12% .35 77% .27
Dec
29		 Manhattan F+ F D+ F F 44% 22% 34% C F A- D B- F+ C F D D- A+ F D+ C 40% 17% 43% D- C F A D- C- F C+ F
1.08 50% 36% 29% -6 0 0.90 45% 1.0 .45 18% .24 62% .15 1.13 32% 75% 35% -4 +1 0.96 41% 0.9 .36 15% .49 78% .38
Jan
4		 Siena D+ C+ A+ F D+ 36% 28% 36% D+ D+ C F F+ A D A+ C F A+ F F B 66% 12% 22% F C- F C- F B- F C+ F
1.09 61% 64% 17% -1 -1 0.98 31% 0.6 .20 12% .25 85% .21 1.24 44% 60% 44% -3 +3 1.02 55% 1.0 .55 18% .45 73% .33
Jan
9		 Fairfield F+ C A+ F C 39% 33% 29% F D+ D F F C- B+ F D+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 13% 45% F A+ F+ F F F F D F
0.99 58% 50% 29% +2 -2 1.02 26% 0.3 .08 16% .34 56% .19 1.09 30% 17% 24% -22 +1 0.62 39% 1.4 .52 10% .39 73% .28
Jan
11		 Marist F B F F F 31% 58% 11% F F F A+ D- C+ B- F D+ D- C+ B- F F+ 48% 20% 32% F F B- A+ A+ F+ A+ D- A+
0.74 64% 27% 0% -10 -5 0.71 9% 2.3 .20 18% .39 57% .22 1.07 56% 36% 44% +3 +1 1.11 23% 0.5 .11 14% .10 83% .09
Jan
14		 Iona B- D+ F A+ C- 41% 36% 23% F D+ A+ A- A+ C A+ C+ A+ F+ C- A+ D+ C- 32% 6% 62% F+ D+ C+ B+ B- F B A+ A+
1.19 56% 29% 44% -1 -2 0.97 47% 1.1 .53 17% .55 71% .40 1.12 59% 0% 36% 0 +1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 7% .21 42% .09
Jan
17		 St. Peter's F+ D- C- F F+ 43% 43% 13% F F A+ F B+ F F D+ F D+ F+ F A+ F 33% 33% 33% A F+ F C+ F+ D- B+ A+ A+
0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22 1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13
Jan
19		 Sacred Heart D- D C- A- D 47% 22% 31% C- D F F F A- D+ F D F F B+ F F 41% 13% 46% F+ F A+ A+ A+ F F A D-
1.10 57% 36% 40% +2 0 1.06 22% 0.9 .20 10% .25 65% .16 1.36 78% 29% 58% +24 +1 1.52 14% 0.8 .10 12% .38 69% .26
Jan
24		 Mount St. Mary's D F F F F 36% 40% 23% F F A+ B- A C+ B- B+ B F D+ C+ F F 46% 8% 46% F+ F C- D D+ D- F A- F
1.00 29% 26% 27% -17 -3 0.62 41% 1.1 .46 13% .36 79% .28 1.16 61% 33% 44% +8 +2 1.23 30% 1.1 .33 20% .47 61% .29
Jan
30		 Manhattan A B+ D- B+ C+ 48% 23% 29% C C+ C+ C+ B- A+ A+ F A+ F F A+ F F 37% 10% 53% F F D B C- F+ F F F
1.34 68% 33% 40% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .45 9% .49 67% .33 1.41 67% 20% 50% +14 +1 1.33 31% 1.0 .31 12% .37 95% .35
Feb
1		 St. Peter's A- B- A- A+ A+ 30% 37% 33% F A+ F+ F F B+ B A+ A+ F A- D+ F F+ 31% 24% 45% B- D- D- F F F B+ A A
1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41 1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
5		 Marist F+ F B- F F 35% 37% 28% F+ F A F C+ C F F F F D- D F F 48% 19% 33% F F F A+ C- D A F B
0.88 44% 41% 15% -12 -2 0.74 41% 0.8 .32 19% .19 44% .08 1.37 65% 44% 63% +19 +1 1.42 36% 0.9 .32 15% .16 100% .16
Feb
7		 Merrimack F F C F F 32% 41% 27% F F F+ B+ D+ A A+ F C F F F C F 59% 10% 31% F F F F F B+ F B- F
0.82 14% 39% 17% -21 -3 0.55 33% 1.1 .37 14% .47 52% .24 1.27 70% 50% 33% +8 +3 1.23 45% 1.3 .60 19% .45 76% .34
Feb
13		 Mount St. Mary's F F D- F F 33% 41% 25% F F D A- C- B+ D F F+ C- F A+ C F 46% 2% 52% F F D+ A+ B+ A A+ B+ A+
0.85 41% 33% 15% -15 -3 0.67 24% 1.2 .29 11% .29 65% .19 1.00 71% 0% 33% +5 +3 1.17 31% 0.8 .23 28% .17 63% .11
Feb
15		 Sacred Heart D+ D- D+ A+ C- 34% 44% 22% F D- C+ F D A- F C+ F+ F D- C+ D- F+ 29% 12% 59% D+ F+ F C- F D- F F F
1.09 55% 35% 54% +4 -3 1.03 33% 0.8 .28 10% .18 73% .13 1.25 64% 33% 38% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.1 .38 16% .40 87% .34
Feb
20		 Canisius F F+ D F+ F 47% 24% 29% C- F D- F F A+ D+ F D- F D+ F F+ F 51% 7% 42% F F F A+ A- A- F F F
0.98 52% 36% 29% -5 0 0.91 24% 0.4 .10 7% .29 61% .18 1.07 55% 67% 39% +3 +3 1.14 38% 0.4 .14 24% .43 86% .37



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 2.6 0.4 3.0 11th
12th 4.1 0.1 4.2 12th
13th 43.1 47.8 1.9 0.0 92.8 13th
Total 43.1 47.8 8.6 0.5 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 0.5% 0.5
4-16 8.6% 8.6
3-17 47.8% 47.8
2-18 43.1% 43.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2%
Lose Out 43.1%