Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.5 #206
Expected Predictive Rating +0.3 #163
Pace 65.3 #288
Improvement -1.3 #250

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #174 C- B+ C- D D+
Defense #246 C- C C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #260 1.07 #283 -3.4 #294
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #97 0.78 #141 +1.9 #86
Three Pointers 40% #198 1.03 #156 -0.1 #183
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #218 -1.6 #217
Freethrows 14.8 #304 71% #217 10.6 #302
Second Chance 36.6% #36 1.07 #148 0.39 #58
Turnovers 17.6% #245
Total Offense -0.2 #174

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #53 1.17 #193 -3.3 #289
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #212 0.78 #214 +0.2 #170
Three Pointers 37% #280 1.04 #218 +1.5 #129
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #232 -1.6 #231
Freethrows 24.2 #357 74% #233 17.8 #8
Second Chance 30.9% #188 1.02 #161 0.32 #171
Turnovers 15.6% #244
Total Defense -2.3 #246

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.5% #276 1.1% #273
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.9% #202 2.0% #218
Possession Length 18.5 #297 17.1 #154
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #341 0.17 #174
Improvement +0.9 #126 -2.2 #307

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.0% 10.0% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 92.2% 95.7% 84.4%
.500 or above in Conference 81.7% 88.2% 67.4%
Conference Champion 4.3% 5.6% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round8.8% 9.9% 6.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 64 - 9
Quad 414 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 20 @Iowa L 69 - 101 3%  -21  0 - 1 -13 +7 A+ A+ F -20 F F C+
 Thu, Nov 6 169 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 33%  +2  1 - 1 +4 +4 B- B F +0 A+ B- F
 Thu, Nov 20 119 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 22%  -4  1 - 2 -8 -9 F D F +1 C A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 23 194 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 37%  +1  1 - 3 -0 +0 F A- B- -0 A- D- C
 Wed, Nov 26 184 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 59%  +13  2 - 3 +9 +17 B A+ C -7 C D+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 329 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 85%  +11  3 - 3 -7 -12 F C+ C- +7 A+ C- A
 Sun, Nov 30 337 Stetson W 80 - 62 87%  +12  4 - 3 +4 +11 B+ A+ A+ -5 B C- F
 Thu, Dec 4 249 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 48%  -1  5 - 3 1 - 0 +0 +7 B- C+ F -7 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 226 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 43%  +1  5 - 4 1 - 1 -3 -4 F D- C +2 D A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 180 Toledo W 75 - 70 58%  -6  6 - 4 +1 -1 F D- A+ +1 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 210 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 62%  -3  7 - 4 2 - 1 -3 +9 C+ B+ A+ -12 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 361 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 83%  +2  8 - 4 -4 +8 B F C- -11 D- F F
 Mon, Dec 29 174 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 56%  +1  8 - 5 2 - 2 -6 +1 D+ A+ C -7 F A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 281 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 55%  +0  9 - 5 3 - 2 +4 +11 D A+ F -7 F D A+
 Sun, Jan 4 124 @Oakland L 73 - 96 23%  -14  9 - 6 3 - 3 -18 -0 C- C- C- -18 C+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 243 Purdue Fort Wayne W 76 - 71 69% 
 Thu, Jan 15 355 @IU Indianapolis W 86 - 78 77% 
 Sat, Jan 17 174 @Northern Kentucky L 72 - 76 34% 
 Thu, Jan 22 226 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77 - 73 65% 
 Sat, Jan 24 249 Green Bay W 73 - 68 69% 
 Wed, Jan 28 355 IU Indianapolis W 89 - 75 90% 
 Sat, Jan 31 243 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 73 - 74 47% 
 Wed, Feb 4 148 Wright St. L 71 - 72 50% 
 Sat, Feb 7 210 @Youngstown St. L 70 - 73 40% 
 Thu, Feb 12 321 @Cleveland St. W 78 - 74 66% 
 Sun, Feb 15 124 Oakland L 80 - 82 44% 
 Sun, Feb 22 148 @Wright St. L 69 - 75 29% 
 Wed, Feb 25 281 Detroit Mercy W 78 - 71 75% 
 Sat, Feb 28 321 Cleveland St. W 81 - 71 83% 
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 9 -3 +0 C- B+ C- -2 C- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.7 1.0 0.2 4.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.9 2.2 0.3 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 5.7 8.0 3.0 0.4 18.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 6.1 9.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 19.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 4.4 8.2 2.8 0.2 16.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 6.3 2.8 0.2 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.4 4.4 3.0 0.3 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.9 1.8 0.3 5.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.3 3.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 5.5 9.7 14.8 18.4 18.4 15.0 9.4 4.3 1.2 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-4 79.1% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.0
15-5 39.6% 1.7    0.7 0.7 0.3 0.0
14-6 12.4% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.3% 4.3 1.6 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.2% 34.3% 34.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 1.2% 25.0% 25.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-5 4.3% 18.1% 18.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 3.5
14-6 9.4% 16.6% 16.6% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 7.8
13-7 15.0% 13.4% 13.4% 14.5 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.0 13.0
12-8 18.4% 9.1% 9.1% 14.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 16.7
11-9 18.4% 7.7% 7.7% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.3 17.0
10-10 14.8% 5.0% 5.0% 15.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 14.1
9-11 9.7% 3.3% 3.3% 15.6 0.1 0.2 9.3
8-12 5.5% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.4
7-13 2.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.1
6-14 0.9% 0.9
5-15 0.2% 0.2
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.0% 9.0% 0.0% 14.6 91.0 0.0%