Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.2#256
Expected Predictive Rating-2.1#198
Pace71.0#120
Improvement-0.7#228

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#308
First Shot-3.6#281
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#261
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#337
Freethrows+3.7#19
Improvement+1.2#94

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#182
First Shot-2.6#259
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#42
Layups/Dunks-2.6#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#263
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#96
Freethrows-1.1#266
Improvement-1.9#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.8% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 56.4% 69.3% 43.7%
.500 or above in Conference 32.3% 44.3% 20.6%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 7.4% 3.8% 10.9%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round2.8% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Kentucky (Home) - 49.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 32 - 83 - 10
Quad 413 - 616 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 59-87 4%     0 - 1 -13.3 -6.2 -6.7
  Nov 07, 2024 215   @ Delaware L 77-81 30%     0 - 2 -3.7 -3.9 +0.5
  Nov 14, 2024 323   Stonehill W 63-51 75%     1 - 2 -0.1 -14.7 +15.0
  Nov 15, 2024 347   Lindenwood W 67-53 82%     2 - 2 -0.9 -4.4 +5.1
  Nov 17, 2024 343   New Orleans W 73-62 81%     3 - 2 -3.6 -9.8 +5.7
  Nov 21, 2024 131   @ Cornell W 86-76 18%     4 - 2 +14.7 +8.9 +5.3
  Nov 27, 2024 353   Canisius W 72-64 84%     5 - 2 -7.7 -8.1 +0.7
  Nov 30, 2024 147   @ Ohio L 68-84 21%     5 - 3 -12.7 -4.8 -7.8
  Dec 04, 2024 187   Youngstown St. L 58-72 47%     5 - 4 0 - 1 -18.4 -16.2 -1.5
  Dec 08, 2024 160   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-82 22%     5 - 5 0 - 2 -2.1 -6.4 +4.9
  Dec 17, 2024 209   Towson W 68-67 51%     6 - 5 -4.4 +2.8 -7.1
  Dec 21, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) W 90-77 80%     7 - 5 -1.2 +4.7 -6.6
  Dec 29, 2024 205   Northern Kentucky L 66-67 50%    
  Jan 02, 2025 321   @ Detroit Mercy W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 183   @ Oakland L 63-70 25%    
  Jan 08, 2025 218   Cleveland St. W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 12, 2025 168   Wright St. L 74-76 43%    
  Jan 17, 2025 329   @ Green Bay W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 19, 2025 132   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-80 18%    
  Jan 22, 2025 187   @ Youngstown St. L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 183   Oakland L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 351   IU Indianapolis W 76-66 82%    
  Feb 02, 2025 168   @ Wright St. L 71-79 24%    
  Feb 05, 2025 321   Detroit Mercy W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 08, 2025 205   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-70 29%    
  Feb 12, 2025 218   @ Cleveland St. L 67-72 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 160   Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 21, 2025 329   Green Bay W 79-72 75%    
  Feb 23, 2025 132   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 27, 2025 351   @ IU Indianapolis W 73-69 64%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 3.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.5 0.6 0.0 5.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.9 1.2 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.4 2.3 0.1 11.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.5 6.8 3.5 0.3 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.8 7.0 8.2 3.6 0.5 0.0 22.6 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 3.4 6.0 4.7 1.7 0.2 16.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.9 1.7 0.5 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.9 11th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.3 7.2 10.7 13.4 15.0 14.3 12.2 9.0 5.6 3.2 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 87.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 59.5% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 23.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 4.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 23.8% 23.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.2% 18.8% 18.8% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-5 0.6% 16.1% 16.1% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-6 1.4% 14.3% 14.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2
13-7 3.2% 11.0% 11.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.9
12-8 5.6% 8.1% 8.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 5.1
11-9 9.0% 5.6% 5.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 8.5
10-10 12.2% 3.7% 3.7% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 11.7
9-11 14.3% 2.4% 2.4% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 13.9
8-12 15.0% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 14.7
7-13 13.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.3
6-14 10.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.6
5-15 7.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 7.2
4-16 4.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-17 1.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.9
2-18 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.2 97.0 0.0%