Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.2 179
Results Rating -0.6 167
Pace 63.7 313
Improvement +2.9 73

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 152 C B D+ F+ C-
Defense C- 221 C C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 256 D+ 55% 269 -2.7 279
2 Pt. Jumpers 36% 195 C- 37% 203 +0.1 177
Three Pointers 43% 145 B- 36% 87 +2.4 92
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 225 C +0.1 170
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 182
Second Chance B 35.6% 44 B- 1.09 88 B 0.39 47
Turnovers D+ 18.1% 272
Freethrows F+ 0.24 348 D- 67% 331 F+ 0.16 358
Total Offense C +0.4 152

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 63% 16 D 13.6% 323
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 53 D+ 6.9% 296
Three Pointers B 91% 40 D+ 1.3% 294
Total A- 68% 13 D 6.9% 316

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 41 C 58% 176 +3.2 285
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 215 C 38% 162 -0.6 140
Three Pointers 37% 295 C 34% 211 -1.9 106
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 271 C +0.1 182
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 198
Second Chance C 29.7% 158 B- 0.97 92 C+ 0.29 114
Turnovers C- 15.9% 231
Freethrows F+ 0.38 349 D- 76% 344 F 0.29 357
Total Defense C- -1.6 221

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 161 D- 5.5% 351
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 255 C- 3.9% 235
Three Pointers C+ 83% 140 B- 1.3% 88
Total C+ 54% 153 D 3.7% 323

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.4 292 17.5 213
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 359 0.16 148
Improvement +1.8 #104 +1.1 #123

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 208 179 150
Results Rating Rank 205 173 138
Conference Record 11 - 9 12 - 8 13 - 7
Conference Finish 5 3 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17% 20% 16%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 5% 15% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round17% 20% 16%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Away) - 33.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 00 - 1
Quad 38 - 48 - 6
Quad 411 - 619 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 26 @Iowa L 69 - 101 4% -21  0% 0 - 1 D- -13 C+ +3 A+ A+ F F -17 F F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 193 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 42% +2  64% 1 - 1 C+ +3 C -0 B- B F B- +3 A+ B F+
 Thu, Nov 20 142 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 31% -7  0% 1 - 2 D -10 F -14 F C+ F B +4 C+ B B+
 Sun, Nov 23 199 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 42% +1  43% 1 - 3 C -0 C- -2 D- B B- C+ +2 A- D- D+
 Wed, Nov 26 109 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 43% +13  97% 2 - 3 A- +15 A+ +18 B+ A+ C C- -3 B- D C
 Fri, Nov 28 278 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 79% +11  95% 3 - 3 C- -3 F -14 F B- D A+ +12 A+ C A-
 Sun, Nov 30 326 Stetson W 80 - 62 87% +12  95% 4 - 3 C+ +4 B+ +8 A- A A- C -1 B+ C F
 Thu, Dec 4 225 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 48% -1  50% 5 - 3 1 - 0 C +1 B- +4 B- C+ D C- -2 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 271 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 58% +1  44% 5 - 4 1 - 1 D+ -5 D- -7 F D- B B- +2 C- A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 161 Toledo W 75 - 70 58% -6  28% 6 - 4 C+ +2 D+ -3 D D- A B+ +5 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 198 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 65% -3  18% 7 - 4 2 - 1 C- -2 B- +5 C- B A- D- -7 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 355 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 84% +2  58% 8 - 4 C- -3 B- +5 B F C- D- -7 C- F F
 Mon, Dec 29 195 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 65% +1  45% 8 - 5 2 - 2 D+ -7 C- -2 C- A D+ D -5 D- A- C
 Fri, Jan 2 255 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 53% +0  39% 9 - 5 3 - 2 B- +6 A- +9 D+ A+ F D+ -3 F D A
 Sun, Jan 4 172 @Oakland L 73 - 96 37% -14  1% 9 - 6 3 - 3 F -21 D+ -3 C- D+ C+ F -18 D+ F F
 Sun, Jan 11 261 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 76% -5  6% 9 - 7 3 - 4 D- -14 C +1 C D- B F -15 F F B+
 Thu, Jan 15 325 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 72% +2  65% 9 - 8 3 - 5 D -10 C+ +2 B- B- F+ F -12 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 195 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 42% +3  71% 10 - 8 4 - 5 C+ +4 C +2 C- B+ C+ B- +2 C+ B+ C
 Thu, Jan 22 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 78% +7  82% 11 - 8 5 - 5 C+ +3 B +6 A+ A+ F D+ -4 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 225 Green Bay L 67 - 71 70% -5  11% 11 - 9 5 - 6 D -11 D- -6 C- D+ D D+ -5 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 325 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 87% +5  80% 12 - 9 6 - 6 C+ +3 C+ +3 C B C- B- +2 C A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 261 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 83 56% -5  12% 12 - 10 6 - 7 F+ -15 D -6 F+ A+ F+ F+ -9 F+ B+ F+
 Wed, Feb 4 153 Wright St. W 72 - 66 56% +5  73% 13 - 10 7 - 7 C+ +3 D -5 B- D+ C+ A- +8 A B+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 198 @Youngstown St. W 72 - 66 42% +2  60% 14 - 10 8 - 7 B- +7 C+ +3 D- A+ D+ B +4 C- A C-
 Thu, Feb 12 314 @Cleveland St. W 85 - 68 69% +10  78% 15 - 10 9 - 7 B +11 A- +11 B- B+ B C+ +2 B A- F
 Sun, Feb 15 172 Oakland W 93 - 69 60% +7  78% 16 - 10 10 - 7 A +20 A+ +18 A+ A+ D+ B +4 B- A+ C+
 Sun, Feb 22 153 @Wright St. L 71 - 75 33%
 Wed, Feb 25 255 Detroit Mercy W 78 - 71 74%
 Sat, Feb 28 314 Cleveland St. W 85 - 74 85%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 8 -1 C +0 A+ C C- C- -2 B- D- F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C D+ C- B- C 36% 36% 43% C- C B B- B D+ F+ D- F+ C- C C C C 44% 19% 37% D+ C C B- C+ C- F+ D- F
1.09 55% 37% 36% 0 0 1.02 36% 1.1 .39 18% .24 67% .16 1.11 58% 38% 34% 0 +1 1.03 30% 1.0 .29 16% .38 76% .18
Nov
4		 Iowa C+ A+ F A+ A+ 19% 24% 57% F+ A+ A+ A A+ F A+ F B F F A+ F F 57% 10% 33% F F F F+ F B- F D- F
1.00 86% 11% 48% +10 -2 1.19 45% 1.2 .52 33% .48 55% .26 1.47 79% 25% 43% +15 +3 1.38 45% 1.2 .55 16% .76 82% .62
Nov
6		 Drake C B+ B- B- B- 36% 22% 41% C+ B- A- D+ B F F A+ F B- B A+ A- A+ 42% 20% 38% D A+ D- A+ B F+ F F F
1.09 67% 38% 38% +5 0 1.12 39% 0.9 .33 23% .14 100% .14 1.06 52% 18% 29% -10 0 0.84 30% 0.8 .24 11% .48 78% .38
Nov
20		 St. Bonaventure F F B F F 47% 14% 39% B+ F B- D+ C+ F D A+ C B D+ A+ B B+ 56% 10% 33% F C+ F A+ B B+ D F+ F+
0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22 1.09 63% 20% 31% -1 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26
Nov
23		 Monmouth C- C- A+ F D+ 29% 36% 36% F D- A D B B- F F F C+ A D+ B+ B+ 30% 33% 37% A- A- D- D D- D+ F D F
1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04 1.03 43% 40% 29% -7 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42
Nov
26		 Illinois-Chicago A+ B F A B+ 43% 10% 47% B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ C C A- C+ C- A+ F F+ A- 60% 10% 31% F B- F B+ D C F A+ F
1.30 62% 0% 39% +1 +2 1.08 48% 1.4 .70 21% .30 81% .24 1.09 40% 50% 38% -8 +3 0.93 47% 0.9 .42 18% .59 58% .34
Nov
28		 Southern Utah F F A+ F F 27% 31% 41% F F C+ B B- D D F F A+ C A+ A+ A+ 47% 22% 31% C- A+ B+ F+ C A- F+ A D+
0.94 43% 56% 19% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.1 .36 15% .22 50% .11 0.84 57% 10% 21% -13 0 0.78 25% 1.1 .28 23% .32 63% .20
Nov
30		 Stetson B+ D- A+ A+ A 27% 25% 48% F+ A- B- A+ A A- C- F F C A F A+ B 24% 35% 41% A+ B+ A- F C F F D- F
1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11 1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28
Dec
4		 Green Bay B- A+ A- C B+ 25% 38% 38% F B- A F C+ D D+ F D- C- C- F C+ F 50% 16% 34% D F A A+ A+ C F D- F
1.18 77% 45% 35% +8 -3 1.11 41% 0.9 .38 16% .32 67% .21 1.15 59% 86% 33% +8 +1 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 16% .55 81% .44
Dec
6		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee D- F+ D- C- F 42% 29% 29% F+ F D D- D- B D+ A+ B B- C- A C+ C 37% 14% 49% F+ C- A- A+ A+ F+ F D F
1.01 50% 33% 33% -5 -1 0.90 26% 1.0 .26 14% .31 89% .28 1.04 58% 29% 32% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.6 .15 11% .44 71% .32
Dec
13		 Toledo D+ B C- F+ D+ 42% 23% 35% D+ D C+ F D- A A+ F A+ B+ A A+ C- A+ 43% 35% 22% B A+ B+ B B+ F F F F
1.09 65% 36% 29% 0 0 1.02 36% 0.7 .26 13% .47 64% .30 1.02 45% 22% 36% -10 -2 0.78 24% 0.9 .21 10% .49 87% .42
Dec
17		 Youngstown St. B- F A A+ C- 46% 21% 33% B- C- A+ F B A- B- C+ B- D- F F F F 35% 5% 59% D- F F D F A+ F D- F
1.19 42% 45% 47% 0 0 1.04 50% 0.8 .38 15% .37 76% .28 1.15 77% 100% 45% +20 +2 1.46 37% 1.1 .42 33% .49 77% .38
Dec
20		 St. Francis (PA) B- D F A+ B 42% 11% 47% B- B F F+ F C- A C+ A D- D A+ F+ D+ 31% 24% 45% C+ C- B- F F F A A+ A+
1.24 58% 20% 52% +11 +2 1.27 24% 1.0 .24 19% .44 74% .33 1.10 63% 17% 39% 0 -1 1.00 25% 1.7 .42 11% .18 50% .09
Dec
29		 Northern Kentucky C- C- A+ D C- 31% 21% 48% D C- B+ A A D+ F F F D F+ C- A+ D- 58% 17% 25% D- D- A+ F A- C F D+ F
1.09 56% 55% 32% +1 -1 1.04 39% 1.3 .53 21% .25 50% .13 1.12 68% 38% 25% +2 +2 1.10 18% 1.2 .21 17% .46 74% .34
Jan
2		 Detroit Mercy A- D+ F C+ D 51% 13% 36% B D+ A+ B A+ F A+ A+ A+ D+ B- D+ F F 41% 37% 22% D+ F C F D A F C F
1.24 54% 17% 35% -4 +2 0.98 48% 1.2 .58 19% .58 88% .51 1.13 53% 41% 60% +7 -2 1.13 32% 1.1 .35 21% .48 77% .37
Jan
4		 Oakland D+ A+ D- D- C 33% 33% 33% F+ C- C- C- D+ C+ B+ D+ B F C- F A+ F+ 35% 31% 33% A+ D+ F+ D F F F F F
1.07 76% 35% 29% +3 -2 1.04 32% 0.9 .30 15% .29 71% .21 1.41 59% 73% 19% +4 -2 1.06 37% 1.2 .44 9% .59 89% .53
Jan
11		 Purdue Fort Wayne C C- B- B C 42% 9% 49% B- C B- F D- B F D- F F B- F F F 28% 23% 49% A F F+ F F B+ F C F+
1.15 59% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.13 38% 0.7 .27 17% .19 70% .13 1.23 54% 64% 43% +12 -1 1.23 27% 1.4 .38 19% .32 71% .23
Jan
15		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ A+ A+ B- 44% 12% 44% C B- C B B- F+ B B B+ F C+ C- F F 46% 27% 27% D+ F F+ A+ A+ F F D+ F
1.18 52% 50% 48% +8 +2 1.21 37% 1.3 .48 23% .44 78% .35 1.22 58% 40% 53% +8 0 1.18 33% 0.5 .15 10% .49 74% .37
Jan
17		 Northern Kentucky C D- F B D 44% 7% 48% A- C- C A+ B+ C+ A+ D+ A B- D A+ A+ B- 48% 10% 41% F+ C+ B B B+ C F C- F
1.09 50% 25% 38% -1 +2 1.04 34% 1.4 .47 19% .45 68% .31 1.06 64% 17% 25% -5 +2 0.97 26% 0.9 .24 17% .53 73% .38
Jan
22		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee B B+ D- A+ A+ 49% 14% 37% B- A+ A B A+ F A+ F A D+ C B F F 33% 22% 44% C F A+ A+ A+ C- D- B- D
1.25 67% 33% 56% +16 +2 1.37 41% 1.3 .52 23% .50 63% .31 1.08 56% 33% 46% +6 -1 1.13 22% 0.8 .17 14% .33 65% .22
Jan
24		 Green Bay D- D+ F A- C- 30% 15% 54% C+ C- C- D+ D+ D F F F D+ D- D+ A C+ 47% 15% 38% D C C F F C A+ C- A
1.08 57% 14% 40% +1 0 1.04 30% 1.1 .32 16% .23 58% .13 1.15 64% 43% 28% 0 +1 1.04 24% 1.9 .45 16% .25 77% .19
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 IU Indianapolis C+ F+ D+ A+ C 46% 13% 41% C C A D B C- F A+ F B- B+ C+ D- C 39% 22% 39% D+ C B+ A+ A C+ A A+ A
1.24 52% 33% 47% +5 +2 1.15 47% 1.1 .50 20% .17 88% .15 0.97 53% 36% 37% -1 0 1.00 23% 0.8 .17 17% .10 60% .06
Jan
31		 Purdue Fort Wayne D B+ F F F 43% 8% 49% B F+ C A+ A+ F+ F F F F+ B- A- F F+ 46% 13% 40% D F+ A C B+ F+ F F F
1.02 68% 25% 24% -4 +2 0.98 34% 1.6 .56 23% .17 44% .07 1.19 54% 29% 48% +5 +1 1.15 14% 1.0 .14 11% .32 95% .31
Feb
4		 Wright St. D C F A+ B- 41% 22% 37% C B- F A+ D+ C+ F F F A- A A+ B+ A+ 55% 12% 33% F A D A+ B+ D D- B+ D+
1.05 59% 25% 45% +4 0 1.09 18% 1.5 .27 16% .21 58% .12 0.96 46% 17% 29% -11 +2 0.84 35% 0.8 .27 15% .38 68% .26
Feb
7		 Youngstown St. C+ C F D D- 38% 23% 40% C- D- A A+ A+ D+ F A+ F B F A+ A C+ 50% 6% 44% F C- A- A A C- A+ D A
1.12 61% 27% 32% -3 0 0.96 42% 1.5 .65 20% .14 86% .12 1.02 72% 0% 27% 0 +3 1.08 23% 0.9 .20 19% .15 75% .11
Feb
12		 Cleveland St. A- A+ C A- B 22% 20% 59% D- B- A- C B+ B F+ F F C+ D+ F+ A- B- 29% 20% 51% B- B A+ C A- F F F+ F
1.35 82% 40% 40% +11 -1 1.22 45% 1.1 .48 13% .24 69% .16 1.08 62% 44% 30% 0 -1 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 13% .40 82% .33
Feb
15		 Oakland A+ A+ A- A A+ 38% 11% 51% B+ A+ A A+ A+ D+ D- F F B A- D B- B+ 56% 16% 29% F+ B- C- A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.41 80% 50% 41% +15 +1 1.34 44% 1.3 .56 17% .18 40% .07 1.04 48% 43% 31% -6 +2 0.93 32% 0.6 .19 15% .43 83% .36



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 5.0 5.0 1st
2nd 0.1 20.3 16.6 37.0 2nd
3rd 2.3 25.4 27.7 3rd
4th 0.0 11.9 6.1 18.0 4th
5th 0.7 7.6 8.4 5th
6th 1.6 1.5 3.1 6th
7th 0.7 0.1 0.8 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 3.0 23.6 51.8 21.6 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 23.3% 5.0    2.0 2.5 0.6
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.0% 5.0 2.0 2.5 0.6



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 21.6% 22.2% 22.2% 13.8 0.0 1.4 2.8 0.6 0.0 16.8
12-8 51.8% 17.6% 17.6% 14.4 0.0 0.5 4.3 4.2 0.2 42.6
11-9 23.6% 13.2% 13.2% 14.8 0.0 0.8 2.0 0.3 20.4
10-10 3.0% 8.3% 8.3% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 2.8
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 17.3% 17.3% 0.0% 14.3 82.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.8% 100.0% 13.8 0.8 29.5 57.5 12.1 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 5.8%
Lose Out 1.0%