Robert Morris
Horizon
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.3 #220
Expected Predictive Rating -2.6 #204
Pace 64.2 #304
Improvement -2.1 #277

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #175 C B D+ D- C
Defense #265 C- C+ C- F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #226 1.07 #293 -2.7 #275
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #156 0.77 #159 +0.5 #154
Three Pointers 42% #170 1.07 #96 +1.5 #124
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #192 -0.7 #192
Freethrows 0.25 #322 69% #292 0.17 #335
Second Chance 35.3% #53 1.09 #94 0.38 #50
Turnovers 18.0% #268
Total Offense -0.4 #175

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #49 1.17 #187 -3.2 #288
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #202 0.77 #214 +0.1 #179
Three Pointers 36% #301 1.09 #282 +1.0 #133
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #249 -2.0 #248
Freethrows 0.39 #358 76% #339 0.30 #361
Second Chance 30.8% #184 0.97 #97 0.30 #137
Turnovers 15.9% #228
Total Defense -3.0 #265

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.5% #226 0.9% #260
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.9% #186 3.0% #240
Possession Length 18.3 #279 17.4 #213
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #354 0.16 #150
Improvement +0.0 #173 -2.1 #297

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 7.9% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 81.5% 94.2% 71.3%
.500 or above in Conference 53.2% 74.1% 36.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.4% 0.1% 0.6%
First Round6.4% 7.8% 5.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Home) - 44.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 35 - 65 - 8
Quad 411 - 617 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 21 @Iowa L 69 - 101 3% -21  0 - 1 -12 +7 A+ A+ F -20 F F C
 Thu, Nov 6 162 @Drake W 81 - 79 OT 28% +2  1 - 1 +5 +4 B B F +0 A+ C+ F+
 Thu, Nov 20 141 @St. Bonaventure L 61 - 75 24% -7  1 - 2 -10 -10 F C F+ +0 C B B
 Sun, Nov 23 207 @Monmouth L 70 - 71 OT 37% +1  1 - 3 -1 +1 D B B -2 B D D+
 Wed, Nov 26 135 Illinois-Chicago W 88 - 74 43% +13  2 - 3 +13 +19 B A+ C -6 C+ D+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 284 Southern Utah W 61 - 54 74% +11  3 - 3 -3 -11 F B- D +9 A+ C A-
 Sun, Nov 30 329 Stetson W 80 - 62 83% +12  4 - 3 +5 +12 A- A+ A- -5 B C- F
 Thu, Dec 4 258 @Green Bay W 80 - 78 47% -1  5 - 3 1 - 0 -0 +5 C+ C+ D- -5 F+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 254 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 72 - 74 46% +1  5 - 4 1 - 1 -4 -4 F+ D- B- -0 C- A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 159 Toledo W 75 - 70 49% -6  6 - 4 +2 -1 D D A+ +3 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 225 Youngstown St. W 80 - 77 OT 63% -3  7 - 4 2 - 1 -4 +8 C- B A- -11 F F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 357 @St. Francis (PA) W 79 - 70 78% +2  8 - 4 -2 +8 B F C -10 D+ F F
 Mon, Dec 29 193 Northern Kentucky L 77 - 79 58% +1  8 - 5 2 - 2 -7 +1 C- A+ D+ -8 D- A C
 Fri, Jan 2 278 @Detroit Mercy W 85 - 77 51% +0  9 - 5 3 - 2 +4 +11 D+ A+ F -6 F D A
 Sun, Jan 4 129 @Oakland L 73 - 96 22% -14  9 - 6 3 - 3 -18 +1 C- C- C -20 D+ F+ F+
 Sun, Jan 11 216 Purdue Fort Wayne L 74 - 79 61% -5  9 - 7 3 - 4 -11 +5 C+ D- B+ -16 F F A-
 Thu, Jan 15 340 @IU Indianapolis L 93 - 96 OT 69% +2  9 - 8 3 - 5 -12 +4 C+ C+ F+ -15 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 193 @Northern Kentucky W 92 - 89 OT 35% +3  10 - 8 4 - 5 +4 +4 C- B+ C -1 C B+ C
 Thu, Jan 22 254 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 88 - 76 69% +7  11 - 8 5 - 5 +4 +10 A+ A+ F -6 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 258 Green Bay L 67 - 71 69% -5  11 - 9 5 - 6 -12 -5 C- C- D- -8 C F C
 Wed, Jan 28 340 IU Indianapolis W 74 - 58 85% +5  12 - 9 6 - 6 +1 +5 C B- C -1 C A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 216 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 71 - 83 38% -5  12 - 10 6 - 7 -12 -2 D A+ D- -11 D- A- D-
 Wed, Feb 4 144 Wright St. L 73 - 74 45%
 Sat, Feb 7 225 @Youngstown St. L 71 - 74 40%
 Thu, Feb 12 306 @Cleveland St. W 80 - 78 58%
 Sun, Feb 15 129 Oakland L 78 - 80 42%
 Sun, Feb 22 144 @Wright St. L 70 - 77 25%
 Wed, Feb 25 278 Detroit Mercy W 78 - 72 73%
 Sat, Feb 28 306 Cleveland St. W 83 - 75 77%
Totals 16 - 13 10 - 10 -3 +0 C B D+ -3 C- C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.0 3.4 0.6 7.3 3rd
4th 0.3 7.4 10.6 3.2 0.1 21.7 4th
5th 0.0 4.7 13.8 3.9 0.2 22.6 5th
6th 1.1 12.5 5.8 0.2 19.7 6th
7th 0.1 5.8 7.3 0.4 13.5 7th
8th 1.0 6.0 1.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 2.3 0.0 4.9 9th
10th 0.6 1.4 0.1 2.1 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.7 4.9 15.3 25.9 27.7 17.7 6.9 0.9 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 1.7% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.9% 15.6% 15.6% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
12-8 6.9% 12.6% 12.6% 14.3 0.0 0.5 0.3 0.0 6.1
11-9 17.7% 10.9% 10.9% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.1 15.7
10-10 27.7% 7.1% 7.1% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.4 25.8
9-11 25.9% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.5 24.9
8-12 15.3% 2.6% 2.6% 15.7 0.1 0.3 14.9
7-13 4.9% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.7
6-14 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.7
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 15.0 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.2 7.4 63.0 29.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 0.3%