St. Francis (PA)
Northeast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.5#336
Expected Predictive Rating-12.1#336
Pace68.5#174
Improvement-1.5#254

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#336
First Shot-3.5#281
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#331
Layup/Dunks-4.0#320
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#93
Freethrows-3.5#350
Improvement-1.1#259

Defense
Total Defense-5.1#318
First Shot-4.4#310
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#245
Layups/Dunks+0.6#146
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.9#352
Freethrows+1.6#74
Improvement-0.4#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 5.6% 2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 20.0% 27.1% 5.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.6% 15.6% 49.5%
First Four4.6% 5.6% 2.6%
First Round1.6% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Le Moyne (Home) - 67.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 31 - 31 - 8
Quad 48 - 129 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 80   @ Dayton L 57-87 3%     0 - 1 -20.2 -13.6 -6.3
  Nov 08, 2024 32   @ Clemson L 62-88 1%     0 - 2 -9.6 -4.9 -4.0
  Nov 10, 2024 178   @ Campbell W 65-64 11%     1 - 2 +2.7 -3.5 +6.2
  Nov 12, 2024 50   @ Penn St. L 62-92 2%     1 - 3 -17.3 -13.7 +0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 58-66 21%     1 - 4 -11.1 -12.9 +1.6
  Nov 23, 2024 85   @ Georgetown L 65-82 4%     1 - 5 -7.5 -1.4 -5.9
  Nov 26, 2024 267   Lehigh W 88-78 38%     2 - 5 +1.6 +12.7 -11.0
  Dec 01, 2024 204   Radford L 70-79 26%     2 - 6 -13.6 -0.3 -14.3
  Dec 14, 2024 316   @ Niagara L 66-69 32%     2 - 7 -9.6 -3.4 -6.5
  Dec 17, 2024 16   @ Maryland L 57-111 1%     2 - 8 -34.8 -7.3 -26.6
  Dec 21, 2024 194   @ Robert Morris L 77-90 13%     2 - 9 -12.1 +1.1 -12.4
  Jan 03, 2025 209   Central Connecticut St. L 59-74 27%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -20.0 -8.1 -13.1
  Jan 05, 2025 321   Stonehill L 60-64 53%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -16.2 -11.8 -4.8
  Jan 10, 2025 353   Mercyhurst W 73-59 66%     3 - 11 1 - 2 -1.6 +4.4 -3.9
  Jan 12, 2025 322   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-71 35%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -3.4 -0.2 -3.2
  Jan 18, 2025 327   @ LIU Brooklyn L 51-64 36%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -20.7 -14.4 -8.2
  Jan 20, 2025 335   @ Wagner L 68-70 2OT 40%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -10.8 -8.5 -2.3
  Jan 24, 2025 327   LIU Brooklyn W 74-64 55%     5 - 13 3 - 4 -2.7 +1.9 -4.2
  Jan 26, 2025 335   Wagner L 66-68 59%     5 - 14 3 - 5 -15.8 -1.4 -14.7
  Jan 30, 2025 353   @ Mercyhurst L 58-62 47%     5 - 15 3 - 6 -14.6 -16.4 +1.6
  Feb 06, 2025 355   Le Moyne W 76-72 68%    
  Feb 08, 2025 359   @ Chicago St. W 70-69 49%    
  Feb 13, 2025 321   @ Stonehill L 68-72 33%    
  Feb 15, 2025 209   @ Central Connecticut St. L 61-72 13%    
  Feb 20, 2025 355   @ Le Moyne L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 322   Fairleigh Dickinson W 74-73 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 359   Chicago St. W 72-67 70%    
Projected Record 8 - 19 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 0.3 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.4 2.4 0.1 4.9 3rd
4th 1.9 7.5 1.0 10.4 4th
5th 0.4 9.8 4.6 0.0 14.8 5th
6th 0.1 6.6 11.0 0.6 18.3 6th
7th 2.7 14.3 2.6 19.5 7th
8th 1.1 10.4 6.0 0.1 17.5 8th
9th 1.4 5.9 5.6 0.2 13.2 9th
Total 1.4 7.0 18.8 27.5 25.4 15.1 4.5 0.4 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 2.4% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.4% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 0.1 0.4
9-7 4.5% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 0.5 4.0
8-8 15.1% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 1.1 14.0
7-9 25.4% 7.0% 7.0% 16.0 1.8 23.6
6-10 27.5% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 1.0 26.5
5-11 18.8% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 18.6
4-12 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.0
3-13 1.4% 1.4
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 16.0 4.6 95.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%