St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.2#272
Expected Predictive Rating-7.4#286
Pace59.7#356
Improvement-4.2#333

Offense
Total Offense-7.3#344
First Shot-7.9#356
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#140
Layup/Dunks-7.4#357
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#125
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-4.9#356

Defense
Total Defense+1.1#143
First Shot+1.2#140
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#201
Layups/Dunks-2.1#265
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#7
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#31
Freethrows-3.9#358
Improvement+0.7#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 4.3% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 11.7% 22.7% 5.8%
.500 or above in Conference 7.8% 16.6% 3.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 10.2% 4.2% 13.4%
First Four2.0% 2.4% 1.8%
First Round2.2% 3.2% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 34.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 10 - 1
Quad 32 - 42 - 5
Quad 49 - 1112 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 147   @ Seton Hall L 53-57 18%     0 - 1 -0.5 -10.3 +9.4
  Nov 08, 2024 203   @ Umass Lowell L 74-81 26%     0 - 2 -6.6 -1.3 -5.3
  Nov 11, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 65-75 6%     0 - 3 +1.4 +2.6 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 69-61 38%     1 - 3 +4.8 +3.0 +3.2
  Nov 26, 2024 322   @ Fairleigh Dickinson W 78-76 55%     2 - 3 -5.4 +5.8 -11.1
  Dec 03, 2024 142   @ Duquesne W 62-59 18%     3 - 3 +6.7 +4.2 +3.0
  Dec 06, 2024 271   Manhattan L 67-70 60%     3 - 4 0 - 1 -11.7 -10.6 -1.2
  Dec 08, 2024 256   @ Iona L 63-72 38%     3 - 5 0 - 2 -12.0 -4.5 -8.0
  Dec 20, 2024 232   Delaware W 72-64 52%     4 - 5 +1.4 +3.5 -0.9
  Jan 03, 2025 187   Quinnipiac L 46-59 41%     4 - 6 0 - 3 -16.8 -21.6 +3.4
  Jan 10, 2025 316   @ Niagara L 60-70 52%     4 - 7 0 - 4 -16.6 -11.6 -5.9
  Jan 12, 2025 352   @ Canisius W 62-49 66%     5 - 7 1 - 4 +2.5 -11.9 +15.7
  Jan 16, 2025 211   Marist L 51-56 46%     5 - 8 1 - 5 -10.1 -11.6 +0.5
  Jan 18, 2025 288   @ Sacred Heart W 66-61 43%     6 - 8 2 - 5 +0.5 -9.9 +10.5
  Jan 23, 2025 198   Merrimack L 37-48 42%     6 - 9 2 - 6 -15.2 -26.9 +9.5
  Jan 31, 2025 303   @ Rider L 64-67 47%     6 - 10 2 - 7 -8.5 -0.6 -8.4
  Feb 02, 2025 260   Mount St. Mary's L 64-79 57%     6 - 11 2 - 8 -23.1 -2.8 -22.3
  Feb 06, 2025 246   @ Siena L 60-64 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 271   @ Manhattan L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 14, 2025 326   Fairfield W 67-61 74%    
  Feb 16, 2025 303   Rider W 64-60 68%    
  Feb 21, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 61-64 36%    
  Feb 23, 2025 288   Sacred Heart W 68-65 64%    
  Feb 28, 2025 187   @ Quinnipiac L 61-68 24%    
  Mar 02, 2025 211   @ Marist L 55-61 27%    
  Mar 06, 2025 316   Niagara W 64-59 71%    
  Mar 08, 2025 352   Canisius W 69-60 81%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 0.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 0.7 0.1 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 1.9 2.9 0.2 5.0 6th
7th 1.0 5.4 1.2 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.5 6.3 4.7 0.2 11.7 8th
9th 0.2 5.1 9.6 1.5 16.4 9th
10th 0.2 4.3 11.2 4.0 0.1 19.7 10th
11th 0.1 2.4 8.9 5.6 0.3 17.2 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 6.5 5.2 0.7 14.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.8 1.4 0.2 4.2 13th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.9 10.6 18.9 22.9 21.2 13.8 6.2 1.5 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.2% 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-9 1.5% 13.5% 13.5% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.3
10-10 6.2% 9.5% 9.5% 15.7 0.2 0.4 5.6
9-11 13.8% 4.3% 4.3% 15.9 0.1 0.5 13.2
8-12 21.2% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.8 20.4
7-13 22.9% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.6 22.3
6-14 18.9% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 18.7
5-15 10.6% 10.6
4-16 3.9% 3.9
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.3 2.6 97.0 0.0%