St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.1 235
Results Rating -3.0 214
Pace 64.5 287
Improvement +2.3 99

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 271 D- C+ D+ B- C-
Defense C 177 C+ D- B+ F D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 277 D- 50% 349 -4.8 337
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 146 C 38% 186 +0.6 142
Three Pointers 42% 152 D- 30% 326 -1.8 245
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.4 246 D- -5.6 344
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 342
Second Chance B 34.6% 65 C- 0.98 251 C+ 0.34 107
Turnovers D+ 18.0% 267
Freethrows C+ 0.32 130 B- 75% 94 B- 0.24 104
Total Offense D+ -3.9 271

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 46% 221 F+ 15.5% 351
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 30% 113 C 5.1% 195
Three Pointers C 85% 179 B+ 0.1% 10
Total C 55% 185 D+ 6.6% 289

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 84 C+ 57% 151 +1.8 236
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 235 B 34% 56 -1.4 75
Three Pointers 39% 243 C 34% 176 -1.2 133
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 264 C+ -1.3 127
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.01 150
Second Chance D- 35.5% 338 D+ 1.08 260 D- 0.38 330
Turnovers B+ 19.6% 38
Freethrows F 0.40 362 D+ 74% 296 F 0.30 362
Total Defense C -0.2 177

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 245 C+ 12.2% 120
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 234 D+ 3.0% 296
Three Pointers D 89% 319 C 1.0% 134
Total D+ 59% 265 C+ 6.1% 135

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.9 331 16.8 83
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 71 0.20 291
Improvement +0.4 #161 +1.9 #78

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 259 231 198
Results Rating Rank 266 215 175
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 15 - 5
Conference Finish 5 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11% 13% 10%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four2% 1% 2%
First Round10% 13% 9%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Siena (Away) - 31.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 414 - 616 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 54 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 7% -16  2% 0 - 1 D- -14 D -5 F C D+ F -13 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 333 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 83% +7  95% 1 - 1 C- -4 B- +5 B C+ C F -10 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5% -10  9% 1 - 2 C- -3 D- -7 F B- D- B +4 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 265 @Delaware L 70 - 81 45% -14  0% 1 - 3 D- -14 D -4 C+ F B F -10 F B- B+
 Sat, Nov 22 311 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 77% +2  72% 2 - 3 D -10 F -15 F B+ F+ B+ +5 F C+ A+
 Sat, Nov 29 250 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 64% -7  16% 2 - 4 F -34 F -13 F C+ D- F -22 F F F
 Fri, Dec 5 344 Canisius W 69 - 57 86% +6  74% 3 - 4 1 - 0 C- -3 D -5 F A- C B- +3 A+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 336 Niagara W 71 - 43 84% +13  99% 4 - 4 2 - 0 B+ +13 C -0 D A C A+ +18 A+ D A+
 Sat, Dec 13 71 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 9% -7  0% 4 - 5 C+ +3 D+ -3 D- F+ C B+ +6 C+ D A+
 Mon, Dec 29 264 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 45% -1  31% 5 - 5 3 - 0 C +1 D -5 F D- C+ B+ +7 A F B
 Fri, Jan 2 181 Marist W 69 - 59 51% +3  69% 6 - 5 4 - 0 B- +6 D+ -3 F A B- A +9 A+ A C+
 Fri, Jan 9 284 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 50% -1  27% 6 - 6 4 - 1 D -9 F+ -8 F D F+ C -1 A F D
 Sun, Jan 11 160 Merrimack W 76 - 63 46% +9  92% 7 - 6 5 - 1 B +10 A- +11 A+ A F+ C+ +1 A F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 192 @Quinnipiac W 74 - 70 31% +4  72% 8 - 6 6 - 1 B- +5 C+ +2 B F D+ B- +3 C D+ D
 Sat, Jan 17 356 Rider W 69 - 58 90% +4  77% 9 - 6 7 - 1 D+ -7 D- -6 D- B+ C- C+ +1 C+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 19 249 Iona W 77 - 63 64% +3  53% 10 - 6 8 - 1 B- +6 C +1 B D D- B+ +6 A+ D+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 160 @Merrimack L 59 - 67 25% -11  0% 10 - 7 8 - 2 D+ -5 D- -7 F B F C+ +1 C+ F+ B-
 Fri, Jan 30 284 Mount St. Mary's W 66 - 58 72% +1  52% 11 - 7 9 - 2 C- -2 D+ -3 D C+ C- C+ +2 B D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 356 @Rider L 78 - 81 77% +6  94% 11 - 8 9 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +2 F+ A+ B- F -18 F A C
 Thu, Feb 5 319 @Manhattan W 80 - 75 62% +7  97% 12 - 8 10 - 3 C- -2 B+ +8 F B A+ F+ -9 C+ F B+
 Sat, Feb 7 191 Siena W 70 - 65 54% +3  81% 13 - 8 11 - 3 C +0 D- -6 C A- F B+ +7 B+ A D
 Fri, Feb 13 286 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 78 51% -5  4% 13 - 9 11 - 4 D- -11 D+ -3 F A+ B+ F+ -9 F F+ D+
 Sun, Feb 15 264 Fairfield W 83 - 74 68% +14  98% 14 - 9 12 - 4 C +0 C+ +3 A D- F C- -3 C F A+
 Fri, Feb 20 249 @Iona L 64 - 72 OT 42% -2  21% 14 - 10 12 - 5 D -10 F -16 F C- F A- +7 A F A+
 Sun, Feb 22 191 @Siena L 65 - 70 32%
 Fri, Feb 27 319 Manhattan W 78 - 69 81%
 Sun, Mar 1 181 @Marist L 61 - 67 29%
Totals 15 - 12 13 - 7 -4 D+ -4 C+ D- C- C +0 D- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ D- C D- D- 35% 41% 42% C- D- B C- C+ D+ C+ B- B- C C+ B C C+ 42% 19% 39% D+ C+ D- D+ D- B+ F D+ F
1.03 50% 38% 30% -6 0 0.90 35% 1.0 .34 18% .32 75% .24 1.09 57% 34% 34% -1 +1 1.01 35% 1.1 .38 20% .40 74% .24
Nov
3		 Seton Hall D F F D F 27% 24% 49% D- F A- F C D+ A+ B- A+ F C- A+ C- C+ 45% 16% 39% D C D F F D F F F
0.83 36% 10% 30% -16 -1 0.68 38% 0.7 .26 25% .49 73% .35 1.28 59% 17% 33% -3 +1 0.97 39% 1.4 .54 13% .69 83% .57
Nov
8		 Fairleigh Dickinson B- A+ F A+ B 37% 19% 44% C B B- D+ C+ C A B+ A+ F F+ F F F 38% 10% 52% F+ F C- F F A+ F A+ C
1.25 79% 20% 43% +10 0 1.23 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 78% .33 1.12 67% 60% 40% +10 +1 1.25 33% 1.5 .48 24% .36 55% .20
Nov
12		 Virginia Commonwealth D- F A+ F F 33% 22% 44% D+ F A D- B- D- B+ A+ A+ B C- C+ F F+ 44% 12% 44% C- D- D- A+ A+ A+ F C F
0.89 27% 50% 20% -17 -1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .35 89% .31 1.14 61% 40% 44% +8 +1 1.22 39% 0.3 .12 25% .68 74% .51
Nov
18		 Delaware D F A- A C+ 28% 19% 53% C+ C+ F C- F B F A+ F F F F F F 30% 26% 43% B+ F F A+ B- B+ F A- F
1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10 1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26
Nov
22		 Umass Lowell F F B- F F 35% 13% 53% C F D+ A+ B+ F+ F+ C+ D- B+ F D+ A+ F 58% 18% 24% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A+ F
0.95 37% 43% 24% -15 +1 0.75 29% 1.6 .45 17% .20 75% .15 0.93 73% 43% 22% +5 +2 1.16 41% 0.8 .31 34% .61 55% .34
Nov
29		 Dartmouth F F B F F 50% 13% 37% B F B+ D- C+ D- B A+ A F D+ D F F 41% 11% 48% F+ F F C+ F F F F F
0.93 42% 43% 21% -14 +2 0.77 36% 0.9 .31 15% .31 88% .27 1.32 61% 40% 43% +8 +1 1.20 41% 1.1 .45 15% .50 86% .43
Dec
5		 Canisius D F A+ F F 42% 12% 47% B F C+ A+ A- C A+ A A+ B- A- A+ A+ A+ 40% 17% 43% F+ A+ F B- F+ C+ F B+ F
1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39 0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35
Dec
7		 Niagara C F A+ B+ D- 40% 20% 40% C+ D C A+ A C D+ C+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 23% 38% B+ A+ F B- D A+ F F F
1.17 39% 56% 39% -1 0 1.00 33% 1.5 .50 15% .27 79% .21 0.71 53% 11% 20% -16 0 0.69 30% 0.8 .23 30% .33 86% .28
Dec
13		 Georgetown D+ C+ A+ F F+ 29% 20% 51% C+ D- D+ F F+ C A+ F+ A+ B+ C- A+ A B+ 55% 10% 36% F C+ D D+ D A+ F A F
0.96 57% 50% 20% -9 -1 0.84 26% 0.7 .19 17% .49 66% .32 1.07 61% 25% 27% -4 +3 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 21% .64 67% .43
Dec
29		 Fairfield D C+ F F F 57% 10% 33% B+ F A F D- C+ F A F+ B+ A+ B A- A+ 48% 12% 40% F A B F F B F D F
1.04 61% 0% 21% -9 +3 0.90 42% 0.6 .23 15% .19 82% .16 0.98 40% 33% 29% -13 +2 0.81 30% 1.4 .41 18% .34 74% .25
Jan
2		 Marist D+ F+ F F F 36% 22% 42% C+ F B A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ A A+ C- A+ A+ 42% 24% 34% D A+ B- A+ A C+ F F F
1.00 50% 20% 21% -15 0 0.71 35% 1.3 .45 17% .49 79% .39 0.85 33% 42% 18% -18 0 0.66 24% 0.8 .18 19% .41 87% .36
Jan
9		 Mount St. Mary's F+ F B- F F 27% 16% 58% C F A F D F+ A+ C- A+ C A+ A+ B A+ 46% 12% 41% D+ A D- F F D F F F
0.95 33% 43% 27% -12 0 0.78 40% 0.6 .24 18% .51 72% .37 1.02 42% 20% 29% -12 +2 0.80 33% 1.4 .45 20% .59 81% .48
Jan
11		 Merrimack A- A- D+ A+ A+ 38% 38% 24% F A+ A B- A F+ A+ C- A+ C+ C F A+ A+ 43% 17% 39% C+ A F F+ F B+ F D+ F
1.23 64% 36% 56% +9 -2 1.16 52% 1.1 .55 23% .63 70% .44 1.02 55% 50% 11% -13 +1 0.78 35% 1.2 .41 19% .42 81% .34
Jan
14		 Quinnipiac C+ D- A A+ B+ 41% 25% 34% D+ B D F F D+ A+ A A+ B- B- B- D C 40% 27% 33% C+ C B+ F D+ D F A F+
1.06 50% 45% 47% +5 0 1.11 28% 0.7 .20 19% .46 81% .37 1.00 53% 31% 38% -2 -1 0.96 27% 1.3 .36 14% .40 63% .25
Jan
17		 Rider D- B- A+ F D+ 33% 33% 33% F D- A+ D+ B+ C- C- F F C+ B- C+ A+ C+ 43% 43% 13% B C+ F C F A+ D D+ D-
1.11 63% 56% 25% +3 -2 1.04 46% 0.9 .43 14% .26 50% .13 0.93 50% 35% 17% -8 -3 0.80 53% 0.9 .47 27% .31 71% .22
Jan
19		 Iona C C- C A+ B- 49% 19% 33% B- B D D+ D D- A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ 33% 8% 59% D- A+ A F D+ F+ F A+ D+
1.13 57% 38% 43% +4 +1 1.12 29% 0.9 .26 19% .65 75% .49 0.92 29% 50% 30% -12 +1 0.80 17% 1.7 .29 13% .37 55% .20
Jan
24		 Merrimack D- F F F F 36% 22% 42% C- F A+ F B F A+ C- A+ C+ A+ A+ F B- 56% 7% 37% F C+ C- F F+ B- F F F
0.93 44% 30% 16% -18 0 0.64 60% 0.8 .47 25% .51 71% .36 1.06 39% 0% 47% -6 +3 0.95 25% 1.3 .32 17% .48 88% .42
Jan
30		 Mount St. Mary's D+ D+ F B D 33% 24% 43% C- D A- F+ C+ C- B- C B- C+ F+ A+ A- B 38% 15% 46% C+ B F A D B+ F B F+
1.07 53% 17% 36% -5 -1 0.90 38% 0.9 .33 15% .36 74% .27 0.94 67% 0% 28% -7 +1 0.90 42% 0.8 .35 26% .42 63% .26
Feb
1		 Rider C+ F C B D- 31% 24% 45% F F+ B A+ A+ B- D+ D+ D+ F F+ D- F F 30% 37% 33% B F B+ A+ A C F F F
1.20 44% 42% 39% 0 -1 1.00 39% 1.4 .53 12% .26 67% .17 1.24 62% 44% 64% +18 -3 1.33 27% 0.6 .15 17% .44 92% .41
Feb
5		 Manhattan B+ F A+ F F 38% 22% 40% C- F B+ C B A+ A- A A F+ C D- B+ C 27% 22% 51% B- C+ F F+ F B+ F C- F
1.28 47% 55% 25% -6 0 0.90 44% 1.1 .49 6% .31 83% .26 1.20 55% 44% 29% -4 -1 0.93 46% 1.3 .57 19% .52 81% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
7		 Siena D- A+ B F B- 28% 35% 38% F C B+ B+ A- F A+ F A+ B+ C D+ A+ A 44% 22% 34% F+ B+ A+ C- A D F C- F
1.03 82% 43% 27% +4 -3 1.05 38% 1.1 .41 21% .67 61% .41 0.96 59% 45% 18% -6 0 0.90 19% 1.0 .19 15% .36 76% .28
Feb
13		 Sacred Heart D+ F F F F 48% 17% 35% C+ F A- A+ A+ B+ C+ D+ C F+ A B+ F F 31% 17% 52% C- F B- F F+ D+ F C- F
1.11 48% 22% 28% -11 +1 0.83 40% 1.4 .55 11% .28 69% .19 1.22 46% 29% 50% +7 0 1.17 24% 1.5 .36 17% .55 79% .43
Feb
15		 Fairfield C+ C- C A+ A 45% 20% 35% D+ A C+ F D- F A+ A+ A+ C- C A D- C+ 58% 24% 18% D- C F F F A+ F D- F
1.21 56% 38% 57% +11 +1 1.25 32% 0.8 .25 22% .61 85% .52 1.08 54% 27% 38% -4 +1 0.96 41% 1.2 .50 22% .50 74% .37
Feb
20		 Iona F F A+ F F 27% 25% 47% F+ F D+ C+ C- F F A+ D- A- C- B A+ A+ 37% 18% 45% C A F D- F A+ F F+ F
0.84 40% 50% 27% -7 -1 0.85 32% 1.0 .32 24% .17 80% .14 0.95 58% 33% 22% -9 0 0.84 36% 1.1 .41 24% .36 76% .28



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 13.7 35.8 8.1 57.7 2nd
3rd 0.5 22.6 23.1 3rd
4th 3.2 9.4 12.6 4th
5th 6.5 6.5 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 10.2 45.8 35.8 8.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 1.2% 0.1    0.1
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 8.2% 15.6% 15.6% 14.6 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 6.9
14-6 35.8% 12.6% 12.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 2.4 1.9 31.3
13-7 45.8% 9.7% 9.7% 15.7 0.1 1.3 3.0 41.4
12-8 10.2% 5.4% 5.4% 15.9 0.1 0.5 9.6
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.8% 10.8% 0.0% 15.4 89.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.3% 100.0% 14.6 1.3 37.2 58.1 3.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.6%
Lose Out 5.8%