St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.6 #259
Expected Predictive Rating -4.3 #233
Pace 64.5 #302
Improvement +3.1 #41

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #314 F C+ C C+ C
Defense #163 C D A- F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #251 0.93 #361 -5.8 #340
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #225 0.69 #260 -1.5 #249
Three Pointers 46% #81 0.78 #363 -2.7 #277
1st FG Attempt 0.82 #364 -10.0 #364
Freethrows 17.3 #196 79% #25 13.6 #117
Second Chance 33.4% #106 1.03 #199 0.34 #131
Turnovers 16.8% #192
Total Offense -5.6 #314

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #36 1.15 #164 -3.3 #288
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #287 0.67 #79 +2.0 #49
Three Pointers 39% #246 0.99 #152 +1.7 #117
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #157 +0.4 #156
Freethrows 24.7 #360 75% #274 18.4 #7
Second Chance 36.3% #341 1.01 #150 0.37 #289
Turnovers 19.8% #38
Total Defense +0.0 #163

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #174 1.9% #330
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -19.9% #365 -2.6% #132
Possession Length 18.8 #324 16.6 #73
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #92 0.19 #259
Improvement -1.1 #259 +4.1 #5

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.2% 3.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.5 15.5
.500 or above 50.2% 62.2% 35.0%
.500 or above in Conference 78.2% 88.0% 65.8%
Conference Champion 5.1% 7.9% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.4%
First Four1.2% 1.3% 1.1%
First Round4.4% 5.6% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Merrimack (Home) - 56.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 42 - 8
Quad 412 - 714 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 53 @Seton Hall L 50 - 77 5%  -16  0 - 1 -14 -4 F C C- -14 C F D
 Sat, Nov 8 349 Fairleigh Dickinson W 93 - 83 83%  +7  1 - 1 -6 +6 C+ C+ C+ -13 F F A+
 Wed, Nov 12 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 61 - 78 5%  -10  1 - 2 -3 -4 F B D +0 D- A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 277 @Delaware L 70 - 81 42%  -14  1 - 3 -15 +0 C D+ A- -15 F B- B
 Sat, Nov 22 286 Umass Lowell W 68 - 66 66%  +2  2 - 3 -8 -12 F B F +4 F C A+
 Sat, Nov 29 230 Dartmouth L 61 - 87 55%  -7  2 - 4 -33 -11 F A- F -24 F F F
 Fri, Dec 5 331 Canisius W 69 - 57 78%  +6  3 - 4 1 - 0 -2 -3 F A F +2 A+ F C
 Sun, Dec 7 354 Niagara W 71 - 43 84%  +13  4 - 4 2 - 0 +12 +1 F A B- +15 A+ D A+
 Sat, Dec 13 103 @Georgetown L 68 - 76 OT 11%  -7  4 - 5 -0 -2 F F C+ +2 D+ D- A+
 Mon, Dec 29 282 @Fairfield W 70 - 66 43%  -1  5 - 5 3 - 0 +0 -4 F D- D+ +4 A- F B+
 Fri, Jan 2 140 Marist W 69 - 59 36%  +3  6 - 5 4 - 0 +8 +1 F A+ B+ +7 A+ A+ B-
 Fri, Jan 9 292 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 70 45%  +7  6 - 6 4 - 1 -9 -6 F D F -3 A+ F C-
 Sun, Jan 11 237 Merrimack W 65 - 63 56% 
 Wed, Jan 14 158 @Quinnipiac L 67 - 75 21% 
 Sat, Jan 17 348 Rider W 69 - 59 82% 
 Mon, Jan 19 214 Iona W 71 - 70 51% 
 Sat, Jan 24 237 @Merrimack L 62 - 66 33% 
 Fri, Jan 30 292 Mount St. Mary's W 70 - 65 67% 
 Sun, Feb 1 348 @Rider W 66 - 62 63% 
 Thu, Feb 5 311 @Manhattan W 72 - 71 52% 
 Sat, Feb 7 190 Siena L 65 - 66 48% 
 Fri, Feb 13 285 @Sacred Heart L 71 - 73 44% 
 Sun, Feb 15 282 Fairfield W 72 - 68 65% 
 Fri, Feb 20 214 @Iona L 68 - 74 29% 
 Sun, Feb 22 190 @Siena L 62 - 69 28% 
 Fri, Feb 27 311 Manhattan W 75 - 69 72% 
 Sun, Mar 1 140 @Marist L 58 - 68 19% 
Totals 13 - 14 11 - 9 -6 -6 F C+ C +0 C D A-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.8 2.4 0.6 0.1 8.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.0 5.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 6.8 5.0 0.7 0.0 14.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 6.8 5.8 1.0 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.3 6.5 1.4 0.0 15.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 3.9 5.3 1.5 0.1 11.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 4.2 1.3 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.5 1.2 0.1 4.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.1 0.1 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.2 6.3 10.7 14.6 16.8 16.2 13.8 8.9 5.0 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 93.0% 0.7    0.6 0.2
16-4 69.0% 1.4    0.8 0.6 0.1
15-5 37.8% 1.9    0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0
14-6 9.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 26.1% 26.1% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.8% 21.7% 21.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
16-4 2.0% 16.2% 16.2% 14.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.7
15-5 5.0% 11.9% 11.9% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 4.4
14-6 8.9% 10.2% 10.2% 15.4 0.0 0.5 0.4 8.0
13-7 13.8% 8.1% 8.1% 15.6 0.0 0.4 0.7 12.7
12-8 16.2% 5.9% 5.9% 15.8 0.2 0.8 15.2
11-9 16.8% 3.2% 3.2% 15.8 0.1 0.5 16.2
10-10 14.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.4
9-11 10.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 10.6
8-12 6.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 6.3
7-13 3.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 3.2
6-14 1.2% 1.2
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 15.5 94.9 0.0%