UMKC
Summit League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.4#222
Expected Predictive Rating-4.5#246
Pace64.8#290
Improvement+3.8#21

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#232
First Shot-4.4#305
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#52
Layup/Dunks-10.7#364
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#251
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.3#24
Freethrows+1.3#107
Improvement+4.8#1

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#208
First Shot+0.7#148
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#322
Layups/Dunks-2.1#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#85
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#119
Freethrows+0.0#185
Improvement-1.0#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 6.7% 4.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 29.3% 37.2% 15.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.7% 66.5% 39.2%
Conference Champion 4.8% 6.6% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.9% 3.9% 12.2%
First Four1.4% 1.2% 1.6%
First Round5.1% 6.1% 3.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Dakota (Home) - 63.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 32 - 54 - 9
Quad 49 - 713 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2024 6   @ Iowa St. L 56-82 2%     0 - 1 -3.4 -3.7 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2024 46   @ Creighton L 56-79 6%     0 - 2 -9.1 -10.8 +1.9
  Nov 22, 2024 232   American L 60-64 51%     0 - 3 -7.7 -12.4 +4.5
  Nov 23, 2024 233   Albany L 65-67 52%     0 - 4 -5.8 -4.8 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2024 270   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 59-80 48%     0 - 5 -23.8 -19.3 -2.6
  Dec 04, 2024 259   Idaho L 77-82 68%     0 - 6 -13.3 -1.1 -12.3
  Dec 07, 2024 155   @ Montana St. L 62-74 27%     0 - 7 -8.9 -2.5 -7.9
  Dec 10, 2024 314   @ Portland W 69-64 58%     1 - 7 -0.6 -1.8 +1.5
  Dec 14, 2024 289   Bowling Green W 85-77 73%     2 - 7 -1.9 +10.7 -12.3
  Dec 17, 2024 101   @ Wichita St. W 74-64 15%     3 - 7 +17.7 +10.0 +8.3
  Dec 21, 2024 142   East Tennessee St. W 73-66 45%     4 - 7 +4.9 +11.5 -5.4
  Jan 02, 2025 236   South Dakota W 81-77 64%    
  Jan 04, 2025 284   Oral Roberts W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 08, 2025 294   @ Nebraska Omaha W 70-69 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 114   @ North Dakota St. L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 18, 2025 275   @ North Dakota L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 23, 2025 120   South Dakota St. L 69-72 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 125   St. Thomas L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 30, 2025 319   @ Denver W 72-69 59%    
  Feb 01, 2025 284   @ Oral Roberts W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 114   North Dakota St. L 70-73 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 275   North Dakota W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 13, 2025 236   @ South Dakota L 78-80 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 294   Nebraska Omaha W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 23, 2025 120   @ South Dakota St. L 66-75 20%    
  Feb 27, 2025 319   Denver W 75-66 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 125   @ St. Thomas L 68-77 22%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.4 6.2 2.7 0.4 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 7.6 8.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 20.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 7.2 6.5 1.6 0.1 17.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.4 5.7 5.2 1.1 0.0 13.5 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 4.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 2.3 0.5 0.0 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.2 4.9 8.3 11.9 15.2 16.2 14.4 11.6 7.7 4.3 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
14-2 96.2% 0.6    0.5 0.1
13-3 76.6% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1
12-4 38.9% 1.7    0.6 0.8 0.3 0.0
11-5 11.3% 0.9    0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.2 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.1% 34.3% 34.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.6% 23.9% 23.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
13-3 1.8% 20.5% 20.5% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.4
12-4 4.3% 14.7% 14.7% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.6
11-5 7.7% 13.2% 13.2% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.1 6.7
10-6 11.6% 8.6% 8.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 10.6
9-7 14.4% 6.5% 6.5% 15.4 0.0 0.6 0.4 13.5
8-8 16.2% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.0 0.7 15.4
7-9 15.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.5 14.7
6-10 11.9% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 11.7
5-11 8.3% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.2
4-12 4.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.8
3-13 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.1
2-14 0.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.7% 5.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.0 2.1 2.3 94.3 0.0%