UMKC
Summit League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -16.6 360
Results Rating -20.5 361
Pace 73.1 65
Improvement -3.5 313

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F 361 F+ D D D- D
Defense D 308 D D- C B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 279 D 52% 318 -4.1 323
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 51 C- 36% 247 +1.7 91
Three Pointers 38% 237 F+ 28% 354 -4.6 323
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 307 F+ -6.1 349
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 352
Second Chance D+ 27.1% 275 D- 0.88 348 D 0.24 327
Turnovers D 19.1% 318
Freethrows D- 0.26 329 D- 67% 332 D- 0.17 348
Total Offense F -12.1 361

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 198 D+ 12.7% 284
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 248 D- 8.3% 333
Three Pointers D+ 81% 258 C- 1.1% 248
Total D+ 50% 296 D 7.1% 324

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 72 D+ 62% 283 +4.2 319
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 292 C 39% 211 -1.2 95
Three Pointers 40% 216 D+ 36% 278 +0.9 227
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.8 313 D +2.9 297
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 307
Second Chance F+ 36.9% 354 C 1.04 194 D- 0.38 331
Turnovers C 16.9% 174
Freethrows B- 0.27 72 B- 71% 84 B 0.19 59
Total Defense D -4.6 308

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 299 D 7.5% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 46 C+ 5.6% 122
Three Pointers D+ 86% 259 C- 0.8% 182
Total D+ 59% 258 D+ 4.5% 266

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 224 16.0 13
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 135 0.22 335
Improvement -3.6 #329 +0.1 #181

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 362 360 356
Results Rating Rank 364 361 357
Conference Record 1 - 15 2 - 14 3 - 13
Conference Finish 9 9 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 95% 69% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Dakota St. (Home) - 15.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 41 - 132 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 125 @Southern Illinois L 78 - 101 3% -11  26% 0 - 1 F+ -17 B- +4 D A- A- F -20 F F C-
 Tue, Nov 11 249 Iona L 91 - 105 20% -9  5% 0 - 2 F -22 D -4 C C F F -15 F C B+
 Sat, Nov 15 29 @Texas L 55 - 71 0% -11  0% 0 - 3 C+ +2 F -10 F C- A+ A +11 A+ A F
 Wed, Nov 19 50 @TCU L 45 - 81 1% -22  0% 0 - 4 F -22 F -22 F D F C+ +1 B+ F B+
 Mon, Nov 24 272 @Lindenwood L 67 - 80 11% -6  18% 0 - 5 F+ -16 F -13 D- F F C- -3 F A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 211 @Weber St. L 61 - 82 7% -10  0% 0 - 6 F -21 F -15 D F D- D -6 F B A
 Wed, Dec 3 252 Idaho St. L 59 - 68 20% -0  62% 0 - 7 F+ -17 F -14 D- F+ F D+ -4 B- F B
 Sat, Dec 6 186 @Eastern Washington L 66 - 90 6% -15  4% 0 - 8 F -23 F -16 F C+ F D+ -4 B F C
 Wed, Dec 10 211 Weber St. L 60 - 64 16% -3  10% 0 - 9 D -10 F -24 F D+ F A+ +15 A C- A+
 Tue, Dec 16 52 @Oklahoma L 67 - 89 1% -19  4% 0 - 10 D -9 D -6 C- C- F C- -3 B D- D
 Thu, Dec 18 68 @Oklahoma St. L 79 - 91 1% -6  5% 0 - 11 C -1 C +1 B- D- B+ C -0 F B+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 228 @Denver L 74 - 87 8% -12  0% 0 - 12 0 - 1 D- -14 D- -8 F B+ D+ D -6 C- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 239 @Nebraska Omaha W 73 - 66 8% +2  56% 1 - 12 1 - 1 B- +6 D+ -3 D F+ A- A +8 C D+ A
 Thu, Jan 8 129 North Dakota St. L 73 - 97 8% -18  0% 1 - 13 1 - 2 F -25 D+ -2 A- F+ F F -23 F B D-
 Sat, Jan 10 294 North Dakota L 79 - 81 29% +2  65% 1 - 14 1 - 3 D- -13 C +1 A+ F F F -14 D D- F
 Thu, Jan 15 293 @South Dakota L 83 - 99 14% -17  1% 1 - 15 1 - 4 F -21 C- -2 C- F A+ F -18 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 210 @South Dakota St. L 62 - 90 7% -6  13% 1 - 16 1 - 5 F -28 F+ -9 F B D+ F -20 F D- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 239 Nebraska Omaha L 60 - 77 19% -8  5% 1 - 17 1 - 6 F -24 F -24 F F F C+ +1 C F A+
 Wed, Jan 28 228 Denver L 61 - 69 18% +0  49% 1 - 18 1 - 7 F+ -15 F -21 F F B- B+ +6 A+ D+ C+
 Sun, Feb 1 128 @St. Thomas L 64 - 99 3% -23  4% 1 - 19 1 - 8 F -30 F -14 F C D+ F -14 F F B-
 Wed, Feb 4 293 South Dakota L 75 - 82 OT 29% +2  64% 1 - 20 1 - 9 F -18 F -16 D+ F F C -1 B+ C- D-
 Thu, Feb 12 335 @Oral Roberts L 60 - 69 22% -4  27% 1 - 21 1 - 10 F+ -17 F -14 F D C D+ -4 D- A+ F
 Sat, Feb 14 128 St. Thomas L 64 - 104 7% -18  0% 1 - 22 1 - 11 F -41 F -16 D- F+ C+ F -23 F F F
 Thu, Feb 19 294 @North Dakota L 70 - 85 14% -7  9% 1 - 23 1 - 12 F -20 F -17 F F B- C -1 B F A
 Sat, Feb 21 129 @North Dakota St. L 59 - 95 3% -23  1% 1 - 24 1 - 13 F -31 F -20 F F+ C+ D- -7 D- F B+
 Thu, Feb 26 210 South Dakota St. L 68 - 79 15%
 Sat, Feb 28 335 Oral Roberts L 70 - 72 42%
Totals 2 - 25 2 - 14 -17 F -12 A+ F+ D D -5 F+ D- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F D C- F+ F+ 35% 50% 38% D F+ D+ D- D D D- D- D- D D+ C D+ D 43% 17% 40% D D F+ C D- C B- B- B
0.91 52% 36% 28% -6 -1 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 19% .26 67% .17 1.15 62% 39% 36% +3 +1 1.10 37% 1.0 .38 17% .27 71% .18
Nov
7		 Southern Illinois B- F A- B+ D 38% 27% 35% D+ D B A- A- A- A F B- F F F F F 57% 25% 19% F F D F F C- F A- D-
1.02 29% 47% 37% -7 -1 0.85 34% 1.2 .40 16% .36 61% .22 1.33 77% 54% 40% +16 +1 1.36 33% 1.4 .48 16% .41 62% .25
Nov
11		 Iona D A- A+ F B- 30% 33% 38% F C B- D C F B C+ B F F D F F 41% 22% 38% C+ F F A C B+ B+ B+ B+
1.05 68% 67% 17% +3 -2 1.03 38% 0.9 .33 21% .31 71% .22 1.22 73% 43% 54% +18 0 1.39 31% 0.8 .26 21% .20 64% .13
Nov
15		 Texas F D B F F 29% 48% 23% F F C D- C- A+ F B- F A C+ A+ A+ A+ 47% 12% 41% F+ A+ F+ A+ A F F A+ C+
0.87 50% 41% 8% -10 -4 0.73 24% 0.8 .20 10% .14 75% .11 1.13 61% 17% 15% -13 +2 0.80 44% 0.8 .37 8% .48 61% .29
Nov
19		 TCU F F F F F 28% 11% 61% B- F C+ F D F A+ F+ B+ C+ A+ A+ F B+ 41% 20% 39% C+ B+ F+ D- F B+ A F B-
0.63 23% 0% 25% -22 +1 0.59 27% 0.8 .20 25% .36 63% .23 1.14 43% 20% 45% -3 0 0.96 41% 1.2 .49 18% .26 87% .22
Nov
24		 Lindenwood F C+ F C- D- 54% 26% 20% C- D- F F F F A+ A- A+ C- D- A+ D- F 60% 13% 27% F F C- A+ A+ C- F F F
0.89 60% 17% 33% -5 0 0.93 21% 0.9 .18 25% .46 77% .35 1.06 65% 14% 36% +1 +2 1.10 31% 0.5 .14 19% .44 74% .32
Nov
29		 Weber St. F A- D- F D 36% 26% 38% F+ D F F F D- F+ F F D F F F F 48% 9% 43% D- F F A+ B A D C+ D+
0.89 72% 31% 26% -1 -1 0.98 19% 0.7 .14 19% .25 50% .13 1.20 68% 50% 45% +13 +2 1.33 39% 0.6 .25 22% .37 70% .26
Dec
3		 Idaho St. F D+ A F D- 43% 26% 31% D+ D- C- F F+ F C+ D+ C D+ F A+ A+ B 37% 11% 52% D+ B- F C F B B+ C B+
0.97 56% 55% 23% -2 0 0.98 29% 0.8 .23 21% .34 75% .25 1.12 76% 20% 25% -2 +1 1.00 45% 1.0 .45 20% .25 75% .18
Dec
6		 Eastern Washington F C+ D- F F+ 48% 29% 23% D- F D+ A C+ F B+ F C- D+ C C- A A- 43% 9% 47% F B F F F C F C+ F
0.87 61% 36% 18% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.3 .39 28% .38 62% .24 1.18 57% 40% 28% -5 +2 0.96 42% 1.6 .68 18% .42 73% .31
Dec
10		 Weber St. F F B F F 38% 13% 48% C+ F C+ F D+ F B- F+ C A+ B+ C+ A+ A+ 50% 17% 33% C A C+ D C- A+ C+ A+ A+
0.81 50% 43% 16% -15 +1 0.73 30% 0.9 .28 22% .36 67% .24 0.86 50% 33% 24% -10 +1 0.85 31% 1.1 .33 24% .32 50% .16
Dec
16		 Oklahoma D F F A+ C- 36% 26% 38% C C- D B- C- F A+ C A+ C- F+ C A+ A- 44% 12% 44% F+ B D- C- D- D C+ A+ A-
0.95 41% 25% 44% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.1 .29 23% .41 73% .29 1.27 69% 43% 23% -2 +2 1.02 39% 1.3 .51 11% .31 58% .18
Dec
18		 Oklahoma St. C D+ F A B- 38% 13% 49% C+ B- C- F D- B+ A- A+ A+ C F B- F F 62% 17% 21% C- F F+ A+ B+ A+ B C B
1.02 52% 14% 41% 0 +1 1.04 27% 0.8 .22 16% .34 82% .28 1.18 76% 33% 45% +14 +2 1.34 38% 0.6 .24 21% .31 74% .23
Dec
31		 Denver D- A- F F F 52% 15% 33% B F C A+ B+ D+ A- C B+ D D- C- C C- 40% 23% 38% F+ C- B+ D C+ F F D F
1.06 70% 13% 12% -8 +2 0.88 34% 1.4 .47 14% .38 70% .27 1.24 62% 42% 35% +3 0 1.08 26% 1.2 .31 9% .41 81% .33
Jan
3		 Nebraska Omaha D+ F D- A D 38% 29% 33% D- D F B+ F+ A- A- A A A D- A+ D C- 42% 25% 33% C C A- F D+ A A A+ A
1.08 50% 33% 41% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.2 .20 10% .36 82% .30 0.97 65% 25% 38% +1 0 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 22% .21 64% .13
Jan
8		 North Dakota St. D+ B A+ B+ A- 39% 22% 39% C A- A- F F+ F A- F B- F F F F F 34% 19% 47% D+ F F A+ B D- D- D+ D-
1.06 67% 60% 39% +11 0 1.24 38% 0.4 .16 25% .33 65% .21 1.42 72% 50% 52% +20 0 1.42 44% 0.6 .26 13% .32 74% .24
Jan
10		 North Dakota C F A+ A+ A+ 19% 40% 40% F A+ B F F F F A+ C F B+ F F D- 43% 20% 37% B- D F+ C- D- F F+ A+ C
1.21 50% 59% 65% +26 -4 1.45 39% 0.6 .22 27% .29 93% .27 1.24 48% 45% 40% 0 0 1.04 33% 1.1 .36 8% .40 58% .23
Jan
15		 South Dakota C- C+ F+ C+ C- 48% 20% 33% D+ C- D+ F F A+ C- F F F B F F F 46% 13% 41% F+ F F F F F C- F D-
1.09 62% 33% 35% +1 +1 1.07 29% 0.8 .22 10% .26 56% .15 1.30 52% 57% 45% +7 +2 1.19 38% 1.3 .50 13% .38 84% .32
Jan
17		 South Dakota St. F+ C+ F C- F 35% 24% 41% D+ F C+ A- B D+ D- D- F+ F F F F F 49% 20% 31% D+ F F B- D- D+ C A+ B
0.95 61% 8% 33% -6 -1 0.88 30% 1.3 .38 17% .24 69% .17 1.38 72% 80% 44% +20 +1 1.43 37% 1.0 .37 14% .27 60% .16
Jan
24		 Nebraska Omaha F F A+ F F+ 15% 32% 53% F F D- F F F D F F C+ D F A- C 28% 24% 48% B+ C F C- F A+ F B+ F+
0.81 50% 53% 25% -4 -3 0.89 23% 0.6 .13 20% .26 53% .14 1.04 64% 50% 29% +1 -1 1.02 39% 1.1 .42 23% .39 68% .26
Jan
28		 Denver F A- C- F F 24% 36% 40% F F F+ F F B- D F F B+ A+ B A+ A+ 35% 33% 31% C+ A+ F A+ D+ C+ D B C-
0.91 69% 35% 23% -5 -3 0.85 26% 0.7 .19 12% .27 50% .13 1.03 39% 35% 25% -12 -2 0.75 44% 0.9 .38 15% .33 74% .24
Feb
1		 St. Thomas F F F F F 43% 18% 39% C F B+ F C D+ F+ C F+ F F F F F 34% 3% 62% C- F F F+ F B- A+ F A+
0.87 46% 20% 18% -18 +1 0.68 36% 0.9 .34 19% .20 75% .15 1.34 80% 50% 44% +18 +2 1.41 30% 1.1 .33 16% .15 78% .11
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 South Dakota F A F C C 47% 32% 21% F D+ F F+ F F F F+ F C C+ A+ A A 44% 15% 41% D B+ B+ F C- D- F D- F
0.93 70% 28% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.0 .18 22% .21 69% .14 1.02 54% 13% 27% -10 +1 0.85 23% 1.3 .29 15% .51 80% .41
Feb
12		 Oral Roberts F F F D F 50% 9% 41% B F C+ F D C D+ F D- D+ B F D D- 44% 13% 42% D D- F A+ A+ F C+ F D+
0.92 37% 0% 32% -15 +2 0.76 35% 0.9 .30 15% .29 63% .18 1.06 48% 57% 36% 0 +1 1.04 33% 0.3 .11 14% .29 81% .23
Feb
14		 St. Thomas F B A+ F F+ 45% 14% 41% B- D- F A- F+ C+ F A+ F F D F F F 52% 6% 42% F+ F F F F F B+ A- A-
0.88 65% 50% 17% -6 +1 0.93 18% 1.3 .24 16% .03 100% .03 1.43 69% 50% 50% +16 +3 1.40 34% 1.3 .45 10% .24 63% .15
Feb
19		 North Dakota F F F F F 48% 14% 38% C+ F F D+ F B- F B F C A+ A+ C- A- 47% 6% 47% F B D- F F A F F F
0.91 44% 25% 29% -11 +2 0.82 24% 1.1 .26 18% .27 76% .21 1.10 39% 0% 35% -11 +2 0.86 33% 1.5 .50 21% .52 81% .43
Feb
21		 North Dakota St. F C+ B- F F 24% 24% 53% D- F F A+ F+ C+ C F F D- B- A+ F D 39% 7% 54% F D- F F F B+ A+ B+ A+
0.76 64% 43% 23% -6 -1 0.86 13% 1.2 .15 18% .25 38% .09 1.23 54% 25% 42% +4 +2 1.15 46% 1.3 .59 19% .10 67% .06



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 24.2 6.6 30.8 8th
9th 49.8 19.4 69.2 9th
Total 49.8 43.6 6.6 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13 6.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.6
2-14 43.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 43.6
1-15 49.8% 49.8
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 36.0%