Weber St.
Big Sky
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.9 #212
Expected Predictive Rating -4.7 #241
Pace 71.1 #126
Improvement -1.6 #273

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #158 C C B- C+ B+
Defense #267 C C- D C D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #33 1.15 #197 +3.8 #62
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #272 0.59 #344 -3.0 #321
Three Pointers 39% #229 1.07 #116 -0.2 #186
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #163 +0.6 #163
Freethrows 19.4 #83 70% #269 13.5 #125
Second Chance 32.1% #144 1.03 #198 0.33 #154
Turnovers 15.4% #108
Total Offense +0.2 #158

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #146 1.26 #296 -2.8 #271
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #272 0.78 #221 +1.1 #114
Three Pointers 43% #128 0.92 #73 +1.0 #146
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #207 -0.7 #200
Freethrows 18.4 #238 70% #97 12.9 #152
Second Chance 30.0% #148 1.16 #303 0.35 #247
Turnovers 14.7% #292
Total Defense -3.1 #267

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #54 1.0% #267
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.0% #184 0.7% #192
Possession Length 16.9 #140 17.2 #173
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 #55 0.16 #145
Improvement +0.9 #128 -2.5 #323

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.8% 10.3% 6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.3
.500 or above 33.2% 51.0% 25.7%
.500 or above in Conference 61.1% 78.6% 53.7%
Conference Champion 5.9% 11.8% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 0.8% 4.0%
First Four1.7% 1.3% 1.9%
First Round7.2% 9.8% 6.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Colorado (Away) - 29.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 117 @Utah L 89 - 92 OT 19%  +3  0 - 1 +3 +2 F A D +2 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 35 @Utah St. L 73 - 83 4%  -4  0 - 2 +7 +6 F A+ A +1 A+ C F
 Sat, Nov 15 121 @UC Irvine L 70 - 79 22%  -8  0 - 3 -4 -3 F D C+ +0 C- A- C
 Wed, Nov 19 199 Campbell W 91 - 85 59%  +5  1 - 3 +1 +10 A+ C C -9 B F C
 Sat, Nov 22 156 Texas Arlington L 73 - 74 51%  -0  1 - 4 -4 +6 B- A+ C+ -10 D- D+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 343 UMKC W 82 - 61 86%  +10  2 - 4 +6 +6 A+ F F +1 F A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 3 298 Oral Roberts W 92 - 66 77%  +17  3 - 4 +15 +10 A+ F A+ +4 C A+ B-
 Sun, Dec 7 135 @St. Thomas L 65 - 88 24%  -18  3 - 5 -18 -7 F D+ F -11 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 10 343 @UMKC W 64 - 60 71%  +3  4 - 5 -5 -14 F C F +9 A C B
 Wed, Dec 17 101 @Utah Valley L 74 - 90 15%  -9  4 - 6 -8 +12 C- A+ A+ -21 F F D+
 Sat, Dec 20 227 Utah Tech L 80 - 82 64%  -1  4 - 7 -9 +8 A+ F C -16 F A F
 Thu, Jan 1 154 Portland St. L 90 - 95 OT 50%  -0  4 - 8 0 - 1 -8 +3 C D- A+ -10 C D F
 Sat, Jan 3 296 Sacramento St. W 95 - 82 77%  +10  5 - 8 1 - 1 +2 +9 B B- C -7 F A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 302 @Northern Arizona W 78 - 65 58%  +5  6 - 8 2 - 1 +8 +12 C A- A+ -3 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 161 @Northern Colorado L 76 - 82 30% 
 Thu, Jan 15 255 Eastern Washington W 84 - 78 70% 
 Sat, Jan 17 195 Idaho W 77 - 75 58% 
 Thu, Jan 22 178 @Montana L 78 - 83 34% 
 Sat, Jan 24 153 @Montana St. L 71 - 77 29% 
 Sat, Jan 31 187 Idaho St. W 77 - 75 58% 
 Mon, Feb 2 296 @Sacramento St. W 82 - 80 56% 
 Thu, Feb 5 161 Northern Colorado W 80 - 79 51% 
 Sat, Feb 7 302 Northern Arizona W 78 - 70 77% 
 Thu, Feb 12 195 @Idaho L 74 - 78 37% 
 Sat, Feb 14 255 @Eastern Washington L 81 - 82 48% 
 Thu, Feb 19 153 Montana St. W 74 - 73 50% 
 Sat, Feb 21 178 Montana W 81 - 80 56% 
 Sat, Feb 28 187 @Idaho St. L 74 - 78 37% 
 Mon, Mar 2 154 @Portland St. L 72 - 78 30% 
Totals 13 - 16 9 - 9 -3 +0 C C B- -3 C C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 1.2 2.1 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.9 1st
2nd 0.3 2.5 4.2 2.3 0.6 0.0 0.0 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 3.0 5.9 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.3 3rd
4th 0.2 2.9 6.9 3.5 0.4 0.0 13.9 4th
5th 0.1 2.5 7.3 4.6 0.5 0.0 14.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.8 5.5 0.7 0.0 15.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.7 4.9 0.8 0.0 13.4 7th
8th 0.2 1.4 3.6 3.1 0.7 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.3 10th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.7 7.1 11.3 15.0 16.8 15.5 12.6 8.5 4.7 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 95.5% 0.8    0.6 0.1 0.0
14-4 72.9% 1.5    1.0 0.5 0.0
13-5 43.7% 2.1    0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0
12-6 13.6% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.2% 36.4% 36.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.8% 26.1% 26.1% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 2.1% 22.6% 22.6% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.6
13-5 4.7% 18.4% 18.4% 14.5 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 3.9
12-6 8.5% 14.5% 14.5% 14.8 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.1 7.3
11-7 12.6% 11.2% 11.2% 15.1 0.1 1.0 0.3 11.1
10-8 15.5% 9.4% 9.4% 15.4 0.0 0.8 0.6 14.0
9-9 16.8% 6.9% 6.9% 15.9 0.1 1.1 15.6
8-10 15.0% 3.8% 3.8% 16.0 0.6 14.5
7-11 11.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 11.1
6-12 7.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.0
5-13 3.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 3.6
4-14 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
3-15 0.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.4
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.8% 7.8% 0.0% 15.2 92.2 0.0%