West Georgia
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -10.2 #325
Expected Predictive Rating -7.5 #289
Pace 70.2 #144
Improvement -1.2 #244

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #285 D- C C D+ F
Defense #330 D C D+ C- F+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #314 1.01 #338 -5.6 #345
2 Pt. Jumpers 34% #8 0.76 #161 +5.4 #9
Three Pointers 32% #339 0.93 #293 -5.9 #341
1st FG Attempt 0.90 #336 -6.1 #336
Freethrows 0.27 #291 72% #195 0.19 #276
Second Chance 30.1% #196 1.04 #148 0.31 #170
Turnovers 17.2% #210
Total Offense -4.4 #285

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 48% #4 1.23 #276 -7.3 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #322 0.83 #296 +1.3 #86
Three Pointers 36% #305 1.06 #241 +1.6 #118
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #311 -4.3 #311
Freethrows 0.32 #260 72% #187 0.23 #247
Second Chance 31.1% #202 1.02 #173 0.32 #191
Turnovers 14.6% #305
Total Defense -5.7 #330

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -4.3% #357 2.6% #358
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.9% #312 5.7% #293
Possession Length 17.9 #244 16.2 #30
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #223 0.25 #355
Improvement -0.1 #187 -1.1 #248

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 4.3% 5.9% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 16.4% 21.5% 4.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.8% 3.3% 24.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Home) - 69.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 41 - 7
Quad 410 - 1011 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 13 @Nebraska L 53 - 86 1% -11  0 - 1 -12 -9 F B B+ -2 A F C
 Mon, Nov 10 35 @UCLA L 62 - 83 1% -11  0 - 2 -4 +2 A C- F -7 D B- B
 Fri, Nov 14 344 The Citadel W 100 - 92 67% +8  1 - 2 -7 +12 C+ A+ B -19 F B- F
 Mon, Nov 17 333 @Tennessee Tech W 61 - 59 41% +6  2 - 2 -6 -12 F F F +7 A- C B
 Fri, Nov 21 302 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 64 54% +4  3 - 2 -3 -5 D A- F +1 A- B F+
 Sun, Nov 23 115 @Georgia Tech L 66 - 82 7% -3  3 - 3 -10 -4 D+ D+ B+ -6 D F+ C
 Mon, Dec 1 140 @Troy W 93 - 89 2OT 10% -0  4 - 3 +8 +4 D- D+ A+ +3 D A+ B
 Sat, Dec 6 333 Tennessee Tech L 59 - 87 64% -10  4 - 4 -42 -20 F C+ F -22 F A+ F+
 Sat, Dec 13 260 Georgia Southern L 85 - 91 44% -9  4 - 5 -15 +3 D- A+ F -18 D- F D+
 Mon, Dec 22 34 @Georgia L 74 - 103 1% -16  4 - 6 -12 -4 D- C C- -3 B+ F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 305 Bellarmine W 87 - 85 54% +10  5 - 6 1 - 0 -9 +5 F+ D- A+ -14 F+ B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 265 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 76 45% -1  6 - 6 2 - 0 +3 +8 D+ B+ B -5 C- C- F+
 Thu, Jan 8 351 @North Florida W 85 - 73 48% +6  7 - 6 3 - 0 +2 -1 D C- C +3 B+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 295 @Jacksonville L 43 - 75 30% -17  7 - 7 3 - 1 -37 -23 F F+ F -20 F A F
 Thu, Jan 15 329 @Stetson L 86 - 95 40% -4  7 - 8 3 - 2 -16 +6 D- B B+ -22 F C- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 223 @Florida Gulf Coast L 72 - 90 18% -3  7 - 9 3 - 3 -18 -3 D F A -15 F F C
 Thu, Jan 22 219 Central Arkansas L 65 - 86 35% -9  7 - 10 3 - 4 -27 -9 D+ A+ F -20 F A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 24 208 Queens W 74 - 66 34% +4  8 - 10 4 - 4 +2 -3 B- F+ D- +5 A- D+ B-
 Wed, Jan 28 305 @Bellarmine L 74 - 77 32% -5  8 - 11 4 - 5 -8 +3 C C C- -11 F+ D F
 Sat, Jan 31 175 Austin Peay L 78 - 81 28% -6  8 - 12 4 - 6 -7 +0 D- D+ A+ -7 C+ A+ D
 Thu, Feb 5 351 North Florida W 89 - 84 70%
 Sat, Feb 7 295 Jacksonville W 70 - 69 52%
 Wed, Feb 11 326 @North Alabama L 73 - 76 40%
 Sat, Feb 14 219 @Central Arkansas L 71 - 81 18%
 Wed, Feb 18 265 @Eastern Kentucky L 75 - 82 25%
 Sat, Feb 21 208 @Queens L 76 - 86 17%
 Wed, Feb 25 178 Lipscomb L 75 - 81 29%
 Sat, Feb 28 326 North Alabama W 76 - 73 62%
Totals 11 - 17 7 - 11 -10 -4 D- C C -6 D C D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 4.6 2.0 0.1 7.9 5th
6th 1.6 9.5 6.2 0.6 17.9 6th
7th 0.3 9.0 9.0 0.9 19.3 7th
8th 0.0 3.6 11.7 2.3 0.0 17.7 8th
9th 0.7 9.5 4.6 0.1 15.0 9th
10th 0.0 3.4 7.2 0.4 11.1 10th
11th 0.5 4.6 1.1 0.0 6.2 11th
12th 1.5 1.4 0.1 3.0 12th
Total 2.0 10.2 21.8 27.5 22.2 12.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.7
10-8 3.5% 3.5
9-9 12.1% 12.1
8-10 22.2% 22.2
7-11 27.5% 27.5
6-12 21.8% 21.8
5-13 10.2% 10.2
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.0%