Bowling Green
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.7#270
Expected Predictive Rating-13.9#340
Pace71.3#121
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.3#241
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#283
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.7% 5.5% 2.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 26.5% 58.5% 25.8%
.500 or above in Conference 39.8% 62.9% 39.3%
Conference Champion 2.9% 8.6% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 13.1% 5.5% 13.3%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.7%
First Round2.4% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Michigan St. (Away) - 2.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 32 - 72 - 10
Quad 49 - 711 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 231   @ Southern Miss L 68-77 30%     0 - 1 -9.3 -8.1 -0.7
  Nov 08, 2024 130   Davidson L 85-91 33%     0 - 2 -7.1 +4.8 -11.4
  Nov 16, 2024 27   @ Michigan St. L 63-84 2%    
  Nov 19, 2024 320   Niagara W 76-70 72%    
  Nov 23, 2024 328   @ Bellarmine W 72-71 53%    
  Nov 29, 2024 233   Weber St. L 70-72 42%    
  Dec 07, 2024 338   Morgan St. W 82-74 77%    
  Dec 14, 2024 205   @ UMKC L 69-75 29%    
  Dec 21, 2024 169   St. Thomas L 73-75 42%    
  Jan 03, 2025 135   Akron L 71-75 36%    
  Jan 07, 2025 311   @ Western Michigan L 73-74 48%    
  Jan 11, 2025 224   @ Ball St. L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 14, 2025 315   Buffalo W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 18, 2025 298   Eastern Michigan W 72-68 65%    
  Jan 21, 2025 213   @ Miami (OH) L 70-76 30%    
  Jan 24, 2025 149   Toledo L 76-80 37%    
  Jan 28, 2025 122   @ Kent St. L 65-77 16%    
  Feb 01, 2025 201   @ Central Michigan L 67-73 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 294   Northern Illinois W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 11, 2025 158   Ohio L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 315   @ Buffalo L 77-78 50%    
  Feb 18, 2025 122   Kent St. L 68-74 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 149   @ Toledo L 73-83 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 298   @ Eastern Michigan L 69-71 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 224   Ball St. W 73-72 52%    
  Mar 04, 2025 294   @ Northern Illinois L 72-74 44%    
  Mar 07, 2025 311   Western Michigan W 76-71 67%    
Projected Record 11 - 16 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 2.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.2 1.1 0.1 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.9 1.6 0.2 8.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.5 4.7 2.1 0.3 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.2 2.0 5.2 3.2 0.3 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 5.1 3.6 0.5 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.7 3.6 0.8 0.0 11.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.4 3.5 0.8 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.7 2.8 0.7 0.1 9.5 11th
12th 0.3 0.9 2.2 2.6 1.6 0.4 0.0 8.0 12th
Total 0.3 0.9 2.5 4.6 7.2 9.4 11.0 11.8 12.5 11.2 9.3 7.3 5.2 3.3 1.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.0% 0.4    0.4 0.1
15-3 75.4% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 45.7% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.7% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.9% 2.9 1.5 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 34.4% 34.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 32.0% 32.0% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.0% 21.0% 21.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 1.9% 15.1% 15.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
13-5 3.3% 11.1% 11.1% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.0
12-6 5.2% 7.5% 7.5% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 4.8
11-7 7.3% 5.4% 5.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 6.9
10-8 9.3% 3.8% 3.8% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 8.9
9-9 11.2% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.0
8-10 12.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.3
7-11 11.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.8
6-12 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 9.4% 9.4
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 4.6% 4.6
2-16 2.5% 2.5
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 2.7% 2.7% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 97.3 0.0%