Charleston Southern
Big South
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#310
Expected Predictive Rating-17.8#356
Pace69.9#161
Improvement+2.0#23

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#303
First Shot-8.1#356
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#33
Layup/Dunks-0.8#213
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#318
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#211
Freethrows-3.5#327
Improvement+1.1#50

Defense
Total Defense-3.9#301
First Shot-6.2#339
After Offensive Rebounds+2.3#49
Layups/Dunks-5.3#336
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#296
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#160
Freethrows+0.5#154
Improvement+0.9#61
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.3% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 1.4% 3.5% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 17.0% 23.5% 14.9%
Conference Champion 1.0% 1.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 36.5% 29.0% 38.9%
First Four1.3% 1.8% 1.1%
First Round1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Furman (Home) - 24.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 7
Quad 32 - 92 - 16
Quad 45 - 87 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 49   @ Clemson L 64-91 4%     0 - 1 -14.5 -3.5 -11.0
  Nov 07, 2024 177   @ North Florida L 66-90 16%     0 - 2 -21.8 -14.4 -5.7
  Nov 15, 2024 193   UT Rio Grande Valley L 76-86 25%     0 - 3 -11.4 -7.9 -2.4
  Nov 16, 2024 344   VMI L 69-80 65%     0 - 4 -23.4 -11.1 -12.0
  Nov 19, 2024 48   @ LSU L 68-77 4%     0 - 5 +3.7 +3.9 -0.5
  Nov 23, 2024 133   Furman L 70-77 24%    
  Nov 27, 2024 105   @ Georgia Tech L 69-85 7%    
  Nov 30, 2024 38   @ Miami (FL) L 64-87 2%    
  Dec 03, 2024 301   Tennessee Martin W 77-75 58%    
  Dec 06, 2024 131   @ Davidson L 64-77 11%    
  Dec 09, 2024 314   @ South Carolina St. L 70-73 40%    
  Dec 19, 2024 186   @ North Alabama L 69-79 18%    
  Dec 22, 2024 54   @ Georgia L 63-84 3%    
  Jan 02, 2025 219   Gardner-Webb L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 179   @ Longwood L 64-74 18%    
  Jan 08, 2025 125   High Point L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 15, 2025 195   @ Winthrop L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 18, 2025 226   Radford L 71-73 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 279   @ Presbyterian L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 176   UNC Asheville L 71-76 35%    
  Jan 29, 2025 313   @ South Carolina Upstate L 75-78 40%    
  Feb 01, 2025 179   Longwood L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 05, 2025 195   Winthrop L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 219   @ Gardner-Webb L 69-78 22%    
  Feb 12, 2025 279   Presbyterian W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 176   @ UNC Asheville L 68-79 18%    
  Feb 19, 2025 125   @ High Point L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 22, 2025 313   South Carolina Upstate W 78-75 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 226   @ Radford L 68-76 24%    
Projected Record 7 - 22 5 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.8 2.0 0.3 0.0 6.0 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.0 3.2 0.5 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 5.4 4.6 0.9 0.0 12.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.8 7.3 6.0 1.2 0.0 17.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.2 8.7 6.0 1.3 0.0 22.6 8th
9th 1.2 4.5 7.5 7.6 3.7 0.8 0.0 25.4 9th
Total 1.2 4.6 8.8 13.1 15.3 15.6 13.8 10.7 7.6 4.6 2.7 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 96.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-3 83.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1
12-4 57.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 20.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.0% 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.1% 18.8% 18.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.2% 11.5% 11.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-4 0.6% 13.4% 13.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.3% 6.9% 6.9% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.2
10-6 2.7% 7.3% 7.3% 15.9 0.0 0.2 2.5
9-7 4.6% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2 4.3
8-8 7.6% 3.3% 3.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 7.3
7-9 10.7% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 10.4
6-10 13.8% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 13.7
5-11 15.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 15.5
4-12 15.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 15.2
3-13 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
2-14 8.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.8
1-15 4.6% 4.6
0-16 1.2% 1.2
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%