Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.9#312
Expected Predictive Rating-9.8#317
Pace60.9#347
Improvement-5.2#347

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#272
First Shot-2.7#254
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#249
Layup/Dunks-1.6#244
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#209
Freethrows-1.0#250
Improvement-0.1#190

Defense
Total Defense-5.3#324
First Shot-6.3#346
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#97
Layups/Dunks+5.2#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-8.7#364
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows-5.0#363
Improvement-5.1#359
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 67.7% 46.1% 71.8%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 16.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 82 - 11
Quad 47 - 109 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 310   Western Michigan W 60-56 59%     1 - 0 -7.2 -12.6 +5.9
  Nov 09, 2024 150   @ East Carolina L 59-63 13%     1 - 1 -0.5 -0.3 -1.0
  Nov 13, 2024 91   @ North Carolina St. L 70-82 6%     1 - 2 -3.1 +1.2 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2024 149   Jacksonville St. L 53-71 24%     1 - 3 -19.5 -10.6 -12.5
  Nov 22, 2024 339   IU Indianapolis W 71-57 60%     2 - 3 +2.6 +0.0 +4.7
  Nov 23, 2024 358   @ Alabama A&M L 70-77 60%     2 - 4 -18.4 -4.7 -13.8
  Nov 30, 2024 345   South Carolina Upstate W 73-51 71%     3 - 4 +7.3 -4.3 +12.5
  Dec 04, 2024 198   @ Campbell W 58-57 18%     4 - 4 +1.8 -5.6 +7.5
  Dec 07, 2024 204   @ Winthrop L 89-96 19%     4 - 5 -6.6 +14.7 -21.3
  Dec 17, 2024 334   @ N.C. A&T W 73-68 48%     5 - 5 -3.3 -2.9 -0.3
  Dec 21, 2024 95   @ Arkansas St. L 67-97 7%     5 - 6 0 - 1 -22.0 +2.3 -25.9
  Jan 02, 2025 300   Louisiana L 68-71 55%     5 - 7 0 - 2 -13.3 -2.6 -10.9
  Jan 04, 2025 323   Louisiana Monroe W 70-51 63%     6 - 7 1 - 2 +6.7 +0.0 +8.7
  Jan 08, 2025 136   @ Appalachian St. L 51-74 12%     6 - 8 1 - 3 -18.9 -5.6 -18.3
  Jan 11, 2025 283   @ Georgia St. L 74-79 33%     6 - 9 1 - 4 -9.3 +2.0 -11.6
  Jan 16, 2025 254   Georgia Southern L 87-88 OT 46%     6 - 10 1 - 5 -8.8 +4.5 -13.2
  Jan 18, 2025 185   Marshall L 64-77 30%     6 - 11 1 - 6 -16.6 -4.9 -12.8
  Jan 23, 2025 254   @ Georgia Southern L 58-85 28%     6 - 12 1 - 7 -29.8 -16.4 -13.2
  Jan 25, 2025 272   @ Old Dominion L 52-74 30%     6 - 13 1 - 8 -25.6 -17.1 -10.7
  Jan 30, 2025 142   @ James Madison L 64-73 12%     6 - 14 1 - 9 -5.2 +3.9 -10.7
  Feb 01, 2025 185   @ Marshall L 65-75 16%    
  Feb 05, 2025 158   South Alabama L 61-68 27%    
  Feb 08, 2025 303   @ Bowling Green L 69-72 36%    
  Feb 13, 2025 136   Appalachian St. L 59-67 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 142   James Madison L 65-73 25%    
  Feb 20, 2025 250   @ Southern Miss L 66-72 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 115   @ Troy L 60-74 9%    
  Feb 26, 2025 283   Georgia St. W 72-71 54%    
  Feb 28, 2025 272   Old Dominion L 67-68 50%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 3 - 15





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.9 10th
11th 0.6 1.7 0.2 2.6 11th
12th 0.8 4.0 1.8 0.1 6.7 12th
13th 3.4 14.8 18.4 7.7 0.6 44.9 13th
14th 6.7 17.5 15.0 4.9 0.5 0.0 44.5 14th
Total 6.7 20.8 29.8 24.1 12.9 4.7 0.9 0.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.9% 0.9
6-12 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.6
5-13 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.8
4-14 24.1% 24.1
3-15 29.8% 29.8
2-16 20.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 20.8
1-17 6.7% 6.7
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.2%