IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#319
Expected Predictive Rating	-9.0	#308

Pace	67.6	#237
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#334

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.9	#259

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.4%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.2	15.1	15.6

.500 or above	4.9%	7.7%	2.0%
.500 or above in Conference	8.3%	10.9%	5.6%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	42.2%	36.0%	48.6%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Home) - 51.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	2 - 10	2 - 14
Quad 4	7 - 8	9 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 06, 2024	48	@ LSU	L	60-95	3%	0 - 1			-22.2	-9.4	-11.1
Nov 08, 2024	145	@ Tulane	L	64-80	12%	0 - 2			-12.0	-10.6	-0.6
Nov 12, 2024	191	@ Rice	L	50-66	17%	0 - 3			-14.7	-18.3	+2.6
Nov 18, 2024	276	SE Louisiana	W	68-67	51%
Nov 22, 2024	332	@ Northwestern St.	L	68-70	43%
Nov 23, 2024	177	North Alabama	L	67-75	23%
Nov 29, 2024	171	Stephen F. Austin	L	66-71	32%
Dec 02, 2024	160	Texas Arlington	L	73-79	28%
Dec 11, 2024	361	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	80-71	79%
Dec 14, 2024	160	@ Texas Arlington	L	70-82	14%
Dec 17, 2024	358	Houston Christian	W	77-69	78%
Dec 21, 2024	289	Old Dominion	W	73-72	53%
Jan 02, 2025	197	@ Georgia Southern	L	69-79	20%
Jan 04, 2025	268	@ Coastal Carolina	L	64-70	29%
Jan 09, 2025	231	@ Southern Miss	L	68-76	23%
Jan 11, 2025	188	@ Louisiana	L	64-74	18%
Jan 15, 2025	121	Troy	L	65-74	22%
Jan 18, 2025	188	Louisiana	L	67-71	35%
Jan 23, 2025	198	South Alabama	L	67-71	38%
Jan 25, 2025	203	Appalachian St.	L	66-69	39%
Jan 30, 2025	198	@ South Alabama	L	64-74	21%
Feb 01, 2025	121	@ Troy	L	62-77	10%
Feb 05, 2025	223	@ Georgia St.	L	66-75	22%
Feb 13, 2025	146	Texas St.	L	63-70	28%
Feb 15, 2025	231	Southern Miss	L	71-73	41%
Feb 19, 2025	146	@ Texas St.	L	60-73	14%
Feb 22, 2025	115	@ Arkansas St.	L	64-79	9%
Feb 25, 2025	126	James Madison	L	68-76	24%
Feb 28, 2025	115	Arkansas St.	L	67-76	21%
Projected Record						8 - 21	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.2	1st
2nd												0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.4	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.7	3rd
4th										0.0	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	0.8	0.3	0.0								1.5	5th
6th									0.2	1.1	0.7	0.1									2.2	6th
7th								0.1	1.2	1.5	0.2	0.0									3.0	7th
8th							0.1	0.9	2.2	0.7	0.0										3.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.7	2.8	1.8	0.2	0.0										5.5	9th
10th					0.0	0.5	3.0	3.3	0.6	0.0											7.5	10th
11th				0.0	0.6	3.2	4.7	1.4	0.1												10.1	11th
12th			0.0	1.0	4.0	6.0	2.6	0.2													13.8	12th
13th	0.0	0.4	2.2	6.1	7.4	3.6	0.5	0.0													20.3	13th
14th	2.5	6.8	9.5	7.5	3.2	0.6	0.0														30.1	14th

Total	2.5	7.2	11.8	14.6	15.2	13.9	11.6	8.8	6.1	3.9	2.2	1.2	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0					Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2	80.0%	0.0		0.0
15-3	60.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
14-4	55.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	15.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
12-6	4.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2	0.0%																		0.0			0.0		0.0
15-3	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
14-4	0.1%		13.9%	13.9%		14.0														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
13-5	0.3%		8.1%	8.1%		14.9															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
12-6	0.6%		5.1%	5.1%		14.7															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
11-7	1.2%		2.5%	2.5%		15.3																0.0	0.0	1.2
10-8	2.2%		1.7%	1.7%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	2.2
9-9	3.9%		1.0%	1.0%		15.8																0.0	0.0	3.8
8-10	6.1%		0.3%	0.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	6.0
7-11	8.8%		0.3%	0.3%		15.9																0.0	0.0	8.8
6-12	11.6%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.6
5-13	13.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	13.9
4-14	15.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	15.2
3-15	14.6%																							14.6
2-16	11.8%																							11.8
1-17	7.2%																							7.2
0-18	2.5%																							2.5

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	15.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	99.8		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%