Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.0#347
Expected Predictive Rating-18.0#358
Pace67.9#204
Improvement-2.5#294

Offense
Total Offense-7.5#346
First Shot-6.4#340
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#257
Layup/Dunks-3.9#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#14
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#309
Freethrows-2.8#332
Improvement-1.0#249

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#307
First Shot-4.6#318
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#191
Layups/Dunks-1.3#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#347
Freethrows+1.6#73
Improvement-1.5#262
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 95.1% 86.8% 96.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Home) - 13.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 91 - 14
Quad 43 - 134 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 63   @ LSU L 60-95 3%     0 - 1 -23.6 -9.3 -12.6
  Nov 08, 2024 148   @ Tulane L 64-80 8%     0 - 2 -12.1 -10.2 -1.2
  Nov 12, 2024 192   @ Rice L 50-66 11%     0 - 3 -14.6 -19.0 +3.4
  Nov 18, 2024 220   SE Louisiana L 67-70 28%     0 - 4 -9.0 -7.1 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 289   @ Northwestern St. W 65-63 24%     1 - 4 -2.5 -5.8 +3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 163   North Alabama L 62-74 13%     1 - 5 -11.8 -6.4 -6.5
  Nov 29, 2024 249   Stephen F. Austin L 60-68 34%     1 - 6 -15.7 -2.9 -13.9
  Dec 02, 2024 201   Texas Arlington L 70-84 24%     1 - 7 -18.6 -9.6 -8.5
  Dec 11, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-73 81%     2 - 7 -5.2 -5.9 -0.9
  Dec 14, 2024 201   @ Texas Arlington L 68-77 12%     2 - 8 -8.1 -5.1 -3.1
  Dec 17, 2024 316   Houston Christian L 68-74 48%     2 - 9 -17.6 -11.0 -6.6
  Dec 21, 2024 283   Old Dominion L 75-80 OT 41%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -14.8 -4.6 -10.1
  Jan 02, 2025 272   @ Georgia Southern L 82-90 21%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -11.5 +9.2 -20.9
  Jan 04, 2025 292   @ Coastal Carolina L 51-70 24%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -23.8 -20.0 -5.8
  Jan 09, 2025 258   @ Southern Miss L 67-84 19%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -19.7 -14.0 -3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 307   @ Louisiana L 68-71 26%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -8.4 -3.4 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2025 117   Troy L 58-77 13%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -19.0 -8.3 -12.6
  Jan 18, 2025 307   Louisiana L 60-65 46%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -15.9 -14.0 -2.2
  Jan 23, 2025 126   South Alabama L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 25, 2025 123   Appalachian St. L 58-70 14%    
  Jan 30, 2025 126   @ South Alabama L 57-74 5%    
  Feb 01, 2025 117   @ Troy L 60-78 5%    
  Feb 05, 2025 280   @ Georgia St. L 68-76 22%    
  Feb 13, 2025 167   Texas St. L 66-75 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 258   Southern Miss L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 19, 2025 167   @ Texas St. L 63-78 8%    
  Feb 22, 2025 100   @ Arkansas St. L 62-82 4%    
  Feb 25, 2025 149   James Madison L 65-75 17%    
  Feb 28, 2025 100   Arkansas St. L 65-79 10%    
Projected Record 4 - 25 2 - 16




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.4 12th
13th 0.6 2.9 4.0 2.7 0.6 0.0 10.8 13th
14th 20.3 32.8 23.2 9.1 1.9 0.1 87.4 14th
Total 20.3 33.4 26.1 13.2 5.2 1.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 1.6% 1.6
4-14 5.2% 5.2
3-15 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.2
2-16 26.1% 26.1
1-17 33.4% 33.4
0-18 20.3% 20.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 15.2%