Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.2#326
Expected Predictive Rating-11.9#332
Pace67.7#216
Improvement+1.6#74

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#336
First Shot-4.1#297
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#303
Layup/Dunks-1.8#252
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#10
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.4#333
Freethrows-2.7#322
Improvement+0.4#144

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#268
First Shot-2.6#263
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#211
Layups/Dunks-2.9#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#168
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#269
Freethrows+2.2#48
Improvement+1.2#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 7.9% 8.9% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.3% 33.0% 41.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Houston Christian (Home) - 74.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 47 - 98 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 60   @ LSU L 60-95 3%     0 - 1 -22.9 -9.3 -11.9
  Nov 08, 2024 203   @ Tulane L 64-80 17%     0 - 2 -15.1 -11.6 -2.7
  Nov 12, 2024 197   @ Rice L 50-66 16%     0 - 3 -14.7 -18.2 +2.5
  Nov 18, 2024 230   SE Louisiana L 67-70 40%     0 - 4 -9.7 -6.2 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 296   @ Northwestern St. W 65-63 31%     1 - 4 -2.0 -4.6 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2024 193   North Alabama L 62-74 23%     1 - 5 -13.6 -6.0 -8.6
  Nov 29, 2024 214   Stephen F. Austin L 60-68 36%     1 - 6 -13.7 -2.4 -12.3
  Dec 02, 2024 162   Texas Arlington L 70-84 28%     1 - 7 -17.2 -9.7 -6.9
  Dec 11, 2024 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-73 85%     2 - 7 -4.2 -5.8 +0.0
  Dec 14, 2024 162   @ Texas Arlington L 68-77 13%     2 - 8 -6.2 -5.0 -1.3
  Dec 17, 2024 356   Houston Christian W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 21, 2024 318   Old Dominion W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 02, 2025 235   @ Georgia Southern L 69-77 22%    
  Jan 04, 2025 274   @ Coastal Carolina L 63-69 28%    
  Jan 09, 2025 282   @ Southern Miss L 67-73 29%    
  Jan 11, 2025 304   @ Louisiana L 69-73 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 127   Troy L 65-73 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 304   Louisiana W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 23, 2025 201   South Alabama L 65-69 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 171   Appalachian St. L 62-68 31%    
  Jan 30, 2025 201   @ South Alabama L 62-72 18%    
  Feb 01, 2025 127   @ Troy L 62-76 9%    
  Feb 05, 2025 253   @ Georgia St. L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 138   Texas St. L 65-72 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 282   Southern Miss W 71-70 51%    
  Feb 19, 2025 138   @ Texas St. L 62-75 11%    
  Feb 22, 2025 111   @ Arkansas St. L 63-79 8%    
  Feb 25, 2025 112   James Madison L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 28, 2025 111   Arkansas St. L 66-76 19%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 2.6 0.9 0.1 5.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 6.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 4.1 3.8 0.5 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 4.2 5.8 1.4 0.1 12.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.7 7.2 2.8 0.2 15.9 12th
13th 0.1 1.5 5.6 7.8 3.6 0.4 0.0 19.1 13th
14th 1.0 3.9 7.5 7.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 23.2 14th
Total 1.0 4.1 9.1 13.6 16.4 16.4 14.2 10.5 6.8 4.1 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 44.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 8.0% 8.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 1.1% 2.4% 2.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 1.1
10-8 2.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 2.0
9-9 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.1
8-10 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.8
7-11 10.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.5
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.4
4-14 16.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.4
3-15 13.6% 13.6
2-16 9.1% 9.1
1-17 4.1% 4.1
0-18 1.0% 1.0
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%