Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.9#351
Expected Predictive Rating-18.6#360
Pace67.1#252
Improvement-3.3#362

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#321
First Shot-1.9#233
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#338
Layup/Dunks-4.4#307
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#51
Freethrows-2.2#291
Improvement-2.9#362

Defense
Total Defense-7.6#360
First Shot-8.9#362
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#104
Layups/Dunks-6.1#343
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#300
Freethrows+1.4#103
Improvement-0.4#256
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.4% 0.9% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 7.2% 11.0% 5.9%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 42.0% 33.2% 45.0%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Brown (Home) - 25.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 61 - 10
Quad 46 - 156 - 25


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -10.5 -2.6 -7.1
  Nov 09, 2024 114   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 11%     0 - 2 -8.4 +14.7 -24.2
  Nov 13, 2024 359   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 44%     0 - 3 -21.4 -17.3 -5.4
  Nov 16, 2024 269   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 24%     0 - 4 -23.5 -13.4 -10.9
  Nov 17, 2024 319   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 25%     0 - 5 -28.7 -5.6 -23.6
  Nov 19, 2024 30   @ Maryland L 37-108 1%     0 - 6 -55.1 -29.3 -19.9
  Nov 23, 2024 221   Brown L 68-75 25%    
  Nov 27, 2024 288   @ Robert Morris L 65-74 18%    
  Dec 06, 2024 230   Merrimack L 64-71 27%    
  Dec 08, 2024 306   Siena L 67-69 43%    
  Dec 14, 2024 241   Maine L 63-69 29%    
  Dec 18, 2024 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 62-82 3%    
  Dec 21, 2024 93   @ Bradley L 60-81 2%    
  Jan 05, 2025 331   @ Sacred Heart L 73-79 31%    
  Jan 10, 2025 240   Rider L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 12, 2025 178   St. Peter's L 61-70 21%    
  Jan 16, 2025 217   @ Iona L 65-78 12%    
  Jan 18, 2025 274   @ Fairfield L 65-75 19%    
  Jan 23, 2025 331   Sacred Heart W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 25, 2025 234   Marist L 67-73 28%    
  Jan 31, 2025 327   Niagara L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 06, 2025 224   @ Quinnipiac L 67-80 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 230   @ Merrimack L 61-74 14%    
  Feb 12, 2025 327   @ Niagara L 69-76 28%    
  Feb 16, 2025 260   Mount St. Mary's L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 21, 2025 234   @ Marist L 64-76 14%    
  Feb 23, 2025 306   @ Siena L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 28, 2025 328   Manhattan L 72-73 48%    
  Mar 02, 2025 217   Iona L 68-75 26%    
  Mar 06, 2025 240   @ Rider L 66-78 15%    
  Mar 08, 2025 178   @ St. Peter's L 58-73 10%    
Projected Record 6 - 25 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.7 0.1 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.2 0.9 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.5 1.7 0.2 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.6 4.7 5.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 15.1 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 3.3 6.8 6.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 21.3 12th
13th 1.3 4.3 7.6 8.8 6.0 2.2 0.4 0.0 30.6 13th
Total 1.3 4.4 8.5 12.3 14.5 14.6 13.1 10.8 7.9 5.4 3.3 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 59.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 13.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 3.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0% 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.1% 14.8% 14.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.2% 7.6% 7.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
13-7 0.4% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4
12-8 1.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.0 1.0
11-9 2.1% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 2.0
10-10 3.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 3.3
9-11 5.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.4
8-12 7.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.9
7-13 10.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.8
6-14 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.6
4-16 14.5% 14.5
3-17 12.3% 12.3
2-18 8.5% 8.5
1-19 4.4% 4.4
0-20 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%