IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.3	#350
Expected Predictive Rating	-20.9	#364

Pace	65.9	#261
Improvement	+1.4	#96

Offense
Total Offense	-4.4	#297

First Shot	+1.0	#149
After Offensive Rebound	-5.5	#364

Layup/Dunks	-3.7	#310
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.8	#83
3 Pt Jumpshots	+4.8	#44
Freethrows	-1.9	#284

Improvement	-0.9	#259

Defense
Total Defense	-7.9	#359

First Shot	-7.9	#360
After Offensive Rebounds	+0.0	#189

Layups/Dunks	-3.4	#304
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.5	#153
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.3	#329
Freethrows	-0.7	#238

Improvement	+2.2	#31

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	3.5%	6.3%	3.5%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	60.9%	47.1%	61.2%

First Four	0.3%	0.7%	0.2%
First Round	0.1%	0.4%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Bradley (Away) - 1.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 10
Quad 4	5 - 16	5 - 26

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	17	@ Arizona	L	64-93	1%	0 - 1			-10.8	-1.6	-8.4
Nov 09, 2024	89	St. Bonaventure	L	78-87	8%	0 - 2			-5.6	+17.9	-24.6
Nov 13, 2024	358	@ Mercyhurst	L	52-62	45%	0 - 3			-21.1	-18.4	-4.1
Nov 16, 2024	269	SIU Edwardsville	L	58-76	26%	0 - 4			-23.7	-12.6	-11.9
Nov 17, 2024	296	@ Western Michigan	L	69-92	22%	0 - 5			-27.2	-5.4	-22.2
Nov 19, 2024	19	@ Maryland	L	37-108	1%	0 - 6			-52.9	-29.3	-17.7
Nov 23, 2024	156	Brown	L	76-83	19%	0 - 7			-10.0	+11.1	-22.0
Nov 27, 2024	259	@ Robert Morris	L	64-72	17%	0 - 8			-10.3	-5.2	-5.5
Dec 06, 2024	198	Merrimack	L	52-60	23%	0 - 9	0 - 1		-12.6	-17.7	+4.6
Dec 08, 2024	305	Siena	L	53-66	44%	0 - 10	0 - 2		-23.8	-13.9	-12.4
Dec 14, 2024	212	Maine	L	79-84	26%	0 - 11			-10.5	+12.5	-23.4
Dec 18, 2024	106	@ Loyola Chicago	L	60-72	4%	0 - 12			-4.7	-2.5	-3.3
Dec 21, 2024	79	@ Bradley	L	61-83	2%
Jan 05, 2025	284	@ Sacred Heart	L	70-79	21%
Jan 10, 2025	300	Rider	L	68-70	43%
Jan 12, 2025	210	St. Peter's	L	62-69	26%
Jan 16, 2025	258	@ Iona	L	66-76	17%
Jan 18, 2025	280	@ Fairfield	L	69-78	21%
Jan 23, 2025	284	Sacred Heart	L	73-76	41%
Jan 25, 2025	233	Marist	L	65-71	31%
Jan 31, 2025	320	Niagara	L	69-70	48%
Feb 06, 2025	245	@ Quinnipiac	L	69-80	17%
Feb 08, 2025	198	@ Merrimack	L	61-75	11%
Feb 12, 2025	320	@ Niagara	L	66-72	28%
Feb 16, 2025	253	Mount St. Mary's	L	71-75	35%
Feb 21, 2025	233	@ Marist	L	62-74	15%
Feb 23, 2025	305	@ Siena	L	64-72	24%
Feb 28, 2025	293	Manhattan	L	75-77	42%
Mar 02, 2025	258	Iona	L	69-73	36%
Mar 06, 2025	300	@ Rider	L	65-73	24%
Mar 08, 2025	210	@ St. Peter's	L	59-72	12%
Projected Record						5 - 26	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.0							0.0	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0							0.1	2nd
3rd												0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0								0.2	3rd
4th											0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0									0.5	4th
5th										0.1	0.4	0.4	0.0										0.9	5th
6th									0.0	0.4	0.8	0.3	0.0										1.4	6th
7th								0.0	0.3	1.1	0.5	0.0											2.0	7th
8th							0.0	0.2	1.3	1.5	0.2												3.1	8th
9th						0.0	0.1	1.3	2.5	0.6	0.0												4.6	9th
10th					0.0	0.2	1.6	3.7	1.8	0.1	0.0												7.3	10th
11th				0.0	0.3	2.1	5.1	3.5	0.5	0.0													11.6	11th
12th			0.1	1.3	4.4	7.8	5.4	1.2	0.0														20.3	12th
13th	1.1	4.6	9.3	12.9	11.8	6.4	1.6	0.1	0.0														47.9	13th

Total	1.1	4.6	9.5	14.2	16.6	16.4	13.7	10.1	6.4	3.8	1.9	1.0	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0								Total

Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	50.0%	0.0		0.0
14-6	43.8%	0.0			0.0	0.0
13-7	14.3%	0.0			0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%																							0.0
14-6	0.0%																						0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%		8.9%	8.9%		16.0																	0.0	0.1
12-8	0.4%		4.0%	4.0%		16.0																	0.0	0.4
11-9	1.0%		3.9%	3.9%		16.0																	0.0	1.0
10-10	1.9%		1.7%	1.7%		16.0																	0.0	1.9
9-11	3.8%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.1	3.7
8-12	6.4%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.4
7-13	10.1%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
6-14	13.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.7
5-15	16.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	16.4
4-16	16.6%																							16.6
3-17	14.2%																							14.2
2-18	9.5%																							9.5
1-19	4.6%																							4.6
0-20	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	16.0																	0.3	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.1%