Central Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.2#237
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#186
Pace69.8#153
Improvement-5.1#356

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#288
First Shot-4.4#303
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#175
Layup/Dunks-0.3#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#303
Freethrows+0.3#153
Improvement-2.7#340

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot-0.4#188
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#153
Layups/Dunks+5.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#347
Freethrows-0.1#201
Improvement-2.5#334
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.1% 6.8% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.6 15.0
.500 or above 30.3% 43.6% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 64.5% 78.4% 53.4%
Conference Champion 5.9% 10.3% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.2% 1.3% 4.7%
First Four0.8% 0.7% 0.9%
First Round4.7% 6.4% 3.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio (Home) - 44.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 21 - 5
Quad 32 - 44 - 9
Quad 48 - 612 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 156   @ South Alabama W 74-70 24%     1 - 0 +7.1 +5.9 +1.3
  Nov 07, 2024 306   Stony Brook L 72-73 74%     1 - 1 -12.0 -5.3 -6.7
  Nov 11, 2024 17   @ Marquette L 62-70 3%     1 - 2 +10.3 -5.6 +16.3
  Nov 13, 2024 82   @ George Mason W 70-69 10%     2 - 2 +11.1 +5.3 +5.8
  Nov 25, 2024 111   @ Minnesota L 65-68 16%     2 - 3 +3.3 +1.6 +1.5
  Dec 14, 2024 224   @ Valparaiso L 77-93 36%     2 - 4 -16.5 -6.1 -8.6
  Dec 17, 2024 24   Mississippi St. L 59-83 5%     2 - 5 -9.6 -2.2 -9.7
  Dec 21, 2024 11   @ Arizona L 41-94 3%     2 - 6 -33.9 -22.1 -11.9
  Jan 04, 2025 147   Ohio L 74-76 45%    
  Jan 07, 2025 148   @ Akron L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 10, 2025 208   @ Toledo L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 14, 2025 305   Eastern Michigan W 75-68 73%    
  Jan 18, 2025 349   @ Northern Illinois W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 21, 2025 252   Ball St. W 72-68 63%    
  Jan 25, 2025 293   Western Michigan W 74-68 71%    
  Jan 28, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 289   Bowling Green W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 04, 2025 200   Miami (OH) W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 11, 2025 116   @ Kent St. L 60-70 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 148   Akron L 73-75 45%    
  Feb 18, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 71-79 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 293   @ Western Michigan L 71-72 49%    
  Feb 25, 2025 330   Buffalo W 77-68 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 305   @ Eastern Michigan W 72-71 52%    
  Mar 04, 2025 252   @ Ball St. L 69-71 42%    
  Mar 07, 2025 349   Northern Illinois W 76-65 83%    
Projected Record 12 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.3 2.0 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 5.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.6 1.9 0.5 0.1 9.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.6 4.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 10.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 5.6 2.1 0.2 0.0 12.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 3.3 6.0 2.6 0.2 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.0 3.3 0.3 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 5.1 3.6 0.4 0.0 10.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.3 0.6 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.8 9.5 12.0 14.0 14.0 12.7 9.9 6.8 4.1 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.4% 0.7    0.6 0.0
15-3 73.3% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.0
14-4 48.1% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
13-5 18.5% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.9% 5.9 2.9 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 31.9% 31.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 25.4% 25.4% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5
15-3 1.9% 19.7% 19.7% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.5
14-4 4.1% 15.8% 15.8% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5
13-5 6.8% 11.8% 11.8% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 6.0
12-6 9.9% 8.5% 8.5% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 9.1
11-7 12.7% 6.6% 6.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 11.9
10-8 14.0% 4.4% 4.4% 15.7 0.2 0.4 13.4
9-9 14.0% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 13.6
8-10 12.0% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 11.8
7-11 9.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.4
6-12 6.8% 6.8
5-13 4.0% 4.0
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.1% 5.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.9 1.4 94.9 0.0%