Florida International
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.8#273
Expected Predictive Rating-15.7#349
Pace78.2#23
Improvement-0.7#268

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#302
First Shot-2.9#262
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#267
Layup/Dunks+1.1#136
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#265
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement-0.3#233

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#215
First Shot-1.7#238
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#160
Layups/Dunks-4.2#311
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#204
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#31
Freethrows-3.5#336
Improvement-0.3#235
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.6 15.2
.500 or above 5.4% 11.6% 3.0%
.500 or above in Conference 9.9% 15.4% 7.8%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 46.4% 36.2% 50.2%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round0.6% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Neutral) - 27.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 51 - 6
Quad 33 - 103 - 16
Quad 45 - 59 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 171   @ Rice L 70-77 22%     0 - 1 -4.6 -6.9 +2.8
  Nov 09, 2024 205   @ Southern Utah L 75-80 26%     0 - 2 -4.3 -8.9 +5.4
  Nov 18, 2024 232   Howard L 70-75 52%     0 - 3 -11.4 -8.8 -2.5
  Nov 22, 2024 148   Northeastern L 72-78 27%    
  Nov 23, 2024 239   Cal St. Bakersfield L 71-73 42%    
  Nov 24, 2024 216   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 66-72 29%    
  Dec 04, 2024 75   Florida Atlantic L 76-86 17%    
  Dec 14, 2024 326   @ Stetson W 75-74 51%    
  Dec 17, 2024 145   @ East Carolina L 66-76 19%    
  Dec 21, 2024 361   IU Indianapolis W 80-68 86%    
  Dec 30, 2024 304   Utah Tech W 80-75 67%    
  Jan 02, 2025 165   Middle Tennessee L 72-74 42%    
  Jan 04, 2025 122   Western Kentucky L 78-84 31%    
  Jan 09, 2025 87   @ Louisiana Tech L 65-80 9%    
  Jan 11, 2025 115   @ Sam Houston St. L 71-83 14%    
  Jan 16, 2025 153   New Mexico St. L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 203   UTEP L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 25, 2025 81   Liberty L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 30, 2025 184   @ Jacksonville St. L 66-74 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 160   @ Kennesaw St. L 80-89 23%    
  Feb 06, 2025 115   Sam Houston St. L 74-80 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 87   Louisiana Tech L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 13, 2025 203   @ UTEP L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 15, 2025 153   @ New Mexico St. L 68-77 22%    
  Feb 22, 2025 81   @ Liberty L 61-77 9%    
  Feb 27, 2025 160   Kennesaw St. L 83-86 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 184   Jacksonville St. L 69-71 45%    
  Mar 06, 2025 122   @ Western Kentucky L 75-87 16%    
  Mar 08, 2025 165   @ Middle Tennessee L 69-77 24%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.1 1.2 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.3 4.4 1.5 0.1 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 5.0 5.7 2.2 0.2 14.9 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.3 7.6 6.3 2.4 0.2 0.0 22.0 9th
10th 2.3 6.8 9.9 9.3 5.2 1.7 0.2 0.0 35.3 10th
Total 2.3 6.9 11.0 13.7 14.5 13.7 12.0 9.3 6.7 4.5 2.6 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 72.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 61.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 40.0% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 13.5% 13.5% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 14.5% 14.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 0.8% 7.2% 7.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
11-7 1.4% 4.9% 4.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
10-8 2.6% 3.4% 3.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.5
9-9 4.5% 2.8% 2.8% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.4
8-10 6.7% 1.4% 1.4% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 6.6
7-11 9.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 9.2
6-12 12.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 12.0
5-13 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-14 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.5
3-15 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
2-16 11.0% 11.0
1-17 6.9% 6.9
0-18 2.3% 2.3
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%