Gardner-Webb
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#219
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#156
Pace72.5#91
Improvement-1.1#296

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#210
First Shot+0.5#157
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#285
Layup/Dunks+3.5#76
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#243
Freethrows-0.1#194
Improvement-1.9#354

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#210
First Shot+0.0#176
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#267
Layups/Dunks-1.9#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#95
Freethrows-0.3#205
Improvement+0.8#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 11.1% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.5 15.0
.500 or above 47.8% 57.4% 32.5%
.500 or above in Conference 62.1% 67.2% 54.1%
Conference Champion 10.4% 12.1% 7.6%
Last Place in Conference 6.6% 5.2% 8.9%
First Four1.3% 1.0% 1.8%
First Round9.1% 10.6% 6.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SE Louisiana (Neutral) - 61.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 64 - 11
Quad 411 - 415 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 64-80 3%     0 - 1 +4.4 +4.5 -0.7
  Nov 08, 2024 264   @ NC Central W 88-82 49%     1 - 1 +3.6 +9.4 -6.0
  Nov 11, 2024 23   @ Pittsburgh L 64-83 5%     1 - 2 -2.4 -3.4 +1.9
  Nov 15, 2024 207   Elon W 80-79 59%     2 - 2 -4.2 +8.2 -12.3
  Nov 19, 2024 142   @ Charlotte L 54-60 25%     2 - 3 -1.6 -11.7 +9.5
  Nov 26, 2024 270   SE Louisiana W 74-71 61%    
  Nov 29, 2024 141   @ Belmont L 76-83 25%    
  Dec 04, 2024 206   @ Wofford L 70-74 37%    
  Dec 07, 2024 264   NC Central W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 14, 2024 297   Queens W 82-74 76%    
  Dec 17, 2024 220   @ Georgia Southern L 81-84 39%    
  Dec 21, 2024 145   @ East Carolina L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 02, 2025 310   @ Charleston Southern W 75-72 59%    
  Jan 04, 2025 279   Presbyterian W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 08, 2025 195   Winthrop W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 11, 2025 125   @ High Point L 73-81 23%    
  Jan 15, 2025 226   @ Radford L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 313   South Carolina Upstate W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 22, 2025 176   UNC Asheville W 76-75 54%    
  Jan 29, 2025 179   Longwood W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 195   @ Winthrop L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 05, 2025 176   @ UNC Asheville L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 08, 2025 310   Charleston Southern W 78-69 78%    
  Feb 15, 2025 313   @ South Carolina Upstate W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 19, 2025 179   @ Longwood L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 125   High Point L 76-78 42%    
  Feb 26, 2025 226   Radford W 75-72 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 279   @ Presbyterian W 74-73 51%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.7 3.2 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.1 10.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.9 5.2 2.8 0.7 0.1 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 4.8 6.1 2.3 0.3 0.0 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.1 6.4 2.1 0.1 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.1 6.4 1.8 0.2 14.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.3 5.3 1.6 0.1 12.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 3.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 2.5 0.7 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.6 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 4.4 7.2 10.1 12.8 14.1 13.9 12.6 9.4 6.3 3.7 1.7 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 94.9% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
13-3 80.4% 2.9    2.1 0.8 0.0 0.0
12-4 50.7% 3.2    1.4 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 18.3% 1.7    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.1
10-6 2.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 10.4% 10.4 5.9 3.3 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 48.1% 48.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.5% 44.6% 44.6% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.7% 35.9% 35.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.1
13-3 3.7% 28.7% 28.7% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6
12-4 6.3% 23.2% 23.2% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 4.8
11-5 9.4% 16.8% 16.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.1 7.8
10-6 12.6% 13.2% 13.2% 14.9 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.3 10.9
9-7 13.9% 9.1% 9.1% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 12.6
8-8 14.1% 5.8% 5.8% 15.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 13.3
7-9 12.8% 4.4% 4.4% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 12.2
6-10 10.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.3 9.9
5-11 7.2% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.1
4-12 4.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.3
3-13 2.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-14 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 3.3 2.4 90.3 0.0%