IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Jackson St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.8	#320
Expected Predictive Rating	-3.1	#230

Pace	70.8	#130
Improvement	+0.5	#118

Offense
Total Offense	-4.9	#310

First Shot	-4.2	#293
After Offensive Rebound	-0.6	#216

Layup/Dunks	-1.5	#234
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.6	#260
3 Pt Jumpshots	-3.4	#281
Freethrows	+2.2	#77

Improvement	+0.7	#79

Defense
Total Defense	-3.9	#301

First Shot	-8.5	#361
After Offensive Rebounds	+4.5	#16

Layups/Dunks	+3.6	#77
2 Pt Jumpshots	-1.4	#275
3 Pt Jumpshots	-15.0	#364
Freethrows	+4.3	#18

Improvement	-0.2	#218

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.2%	11.4%	6.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.9	15.8	15.9

.500 or above	13.4%	31.9%	11.8%
.500 or above in Conference	74.6%	85.3%	73.6%
Conference Champion	9.0%	15.7%	8.4%
Last Place in Conference	1.3%	0.5%	1.4%

First Four	5.8%	7.5%	5.7%
First Round	4.1%	7.5%	3.8%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Western Kentucky (Away) - 8.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 5
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	1 - 4	1 - 12
Quad 4	11 - 7	12 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	4	@ Houston	L	40-97	1%	0 - 1			-34.5	-19.5	-16.9
Nov 09, 2024	125	@ High Point	L	71-80	10%	0 - 2			-3.5	-3.3	-0.1
Nov 12, 2024	36	@ Xavier	L	57-94	3%	0 - 3			-22.4	-11.7	-9.3
Nov 16, 2024	82	@ Vanderbilt	L	81-94	5%	0 - 4			-3.0	+7.7	-10.2
Nov 20, 2024	122	@ Western Kentucky	L	70-85	8%
Nov 22, 2024	10	@ Kentucky	L	65-94	0.4%
Nov 24, 2024	151	@ Lipscomb	L	69-81	13%
Dec 02, 2024	101	@ Saint Louis	L	68-85	6%
Dec 05, 2024	112	@ Arkansas St.	L	64-80	7%
Dec 08, 2024	12	@ Iowa St.	L	56-84	1%
Dec 20, 2024	203	@ UTEP	L	67-77	19%
Dec 28, 2024	181	@ California Baptist	L	65-76	16%
Jan 04, 2025	350	@ Alcorn St.	W	71-70	54%
Jan 11, 2025	282	Alabama St.	W	70-69	51%
Jan 13, 2025	346	Alabama A&M	W	76-69	72%
Jan 18, 2025	348	@ Prairie View	W	77-76	53%
Jan 20, 2025	266	@ Texas Southern	L	68-75	28%
Jan 25, 2025	286	Bethune-Cookman	W	72-71	52%
Jan 27, 2025	356	Florida A&M	W	75-67	77%
Feb 01, 2025	235	@ Grambling St.	L	64-72	24%
Feb 03, 2025	275	@ Southern	L	68-74	30%
Feb 08, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	75-60	90%
Feb 10, 2025	362	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-74	82%
Feb 15, 2025	356	@ Florida A&M	W	72-70	57%
Feb 17, 2025	286	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	69-74	32%
Feb 22, 2025	350	Alcorn St.	W	74-67	73%
Mar 01, 2025	266	Texas Southern	L	71-72	48%
Mar 03, 2025	348	Prairie View	W	80-73	72%
Mar 06, 2025	362	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-77	64%
Mar 08, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	72-63	77%
Projected Record						11 - 19	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.2	2.6	2.7	1.7	0.6	0.1		9.0	1st
2nd												0.4	2.2	4.5	3.7	1.2	0.2	0.0			12.2	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.8	5.6	3.5	0.7	0.1					13.0	3rd
4th										0.3	2.8	6.1	3.7	0.6	0.0						13.6	4th
5th								0.0	0.2	2.4	5.9	3.8	0.6	0.0							12.9	5th
6th								0.1	2.0	5.3	3.8	0.6	0.0	0.0							11.8	6th
7th							0.1	1.3	4.1	3.2	0.6	0.0									9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.9	3.0	2.8	0.6	0.0										7.3	8th
9th					0.0	0.6	2.0	2.0	0.5	0.0											5.2	9th
10th				0.0	0.4	1.2	1.2	0.4	0.0												3.2	10th
11th		0.0	0.0	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0													1.9	11th
12th	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0														0.6	12th

Total	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.2	2.5	4.4	6.9	9.6	11.8	13.4	13.7	12.4	9.8	7.0	3.9	1.9	0.6	0.1			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	99.6%	0.6		0.6	0.0
16-2	89.8%	1.7		1.4	0.3	0.0
15-3	67.9%	2.7		1.5	1.0	0.1	0.0
14-4	36.6%	2.6		1.0	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0
13-5	12.0%	1.2		0.2	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0
12-6	1.5%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.0%	0.0			0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	9.0%	9.0		4.8	2.9	1.0	0.2	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		27.5%	27.5%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
17-1	0.6%		35.3%	35.3%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4
16-2	1.9%		25.9%	25.9%		15.6														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	1.4
15-3	3.9%		23.6%	23.6%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.8	3.0
14-4	7.0%		17.1%	17.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.1	5.8
13-5	9.8%		12.7%	12.7%		16.0																0.0	1.2	8.5
12-6	12.4%		9.1%	9.1%		16.0																0.0	1.1	11.3
11-7	13.7%		6.0%	6.0%		16.0																	0.8	12.8
10-8	13.4%		4.5%	4.5%		16.0																	0.6	12.8
9-9	11.8%		2.9%	2.9%		16.0																	0.3	11.5
8-10	9.6%		1.6%	1.6%		16.0																	0.2	9.5
7-11	6.9%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
6-12	4.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	4.4
5-13	2.5%																							2.5
4-14	1.2%																							1.2
3-15	0.5%																							0.5
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18	0.0%																							0.0

Total	100%		7.2%	7.2%	0.0%	15.9														0.0	0.1	0.5	6.6	92.8		0.0%