Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.2#332
Expected Predictive Rating-8.1#295
Pace71.1#114
Improvement-0.3#200

Offense
Total Offense-5.7#329
First Shot-3.0#263
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#325
Layup/Dunks+1.4#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#263
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#254
Freethrows-0.4#208
Improvement-0.3#195

Defense
Total Defense-4.5#316
First Shot-1.8#239
After Offensive Rebounds-2.7#345
Layups/Dunks-1.8#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#124
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#159
Freethrows-1.8#311
Improvement+0.0#178
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.2% 9.6% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 15.7% 26.0% 10.4%
.500 or above in Conference 58.4% 65.1% 54.9%
Conference Champion 7.6% 9.8% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 6.6% 10.4%
First Four7.6% 8.6% 7.1%
First Round3.5% 4.5% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Away) - 34.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 31 - 7
Quad 411 - 1112 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 100   @ Syracuse L 82-86 6%     0 - 1 +3.8 +4.1 +0.1
  Nov 06, 2024 153   Cal St. Northridge L 75-97 24%     0 - 2 -24.9 -5.5 -17.2
  Nov 13, 2024 10   @ Connecticut L 49-90 1%     0 - 3 -21.3 -12.7 -13.5
  Nov 16, 2024 87   @ St. Bonaventure L 52-71 4%     0 - 4 -9.6 -9.3 -2.0
  Nov 22, 2024 288   Tennessee Martin W 65-53 37%     1 - 4 +5.2 -11.5 +16.4
  Nov 23, 2024 189   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 61-82 14%     1 - 5 -19.5 -9.9 -10.0
  Nov 25, 2024 227   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 77-97 18%     1 - 6 -20.6 -2.4 -16.7
  Nov 29, 2024 279   @ Manhattan W 81-77 26%     2 - 6 +0.6 -0.7 +1.1
  Dec 03, 2024 312   Army L 100-103 3OT 55%     2 - 7 -14.5 -6.7 -7.0
  Dec 07, 2024 302   Binghamton L 62-72 52%     2 - 8 -20.8 -9.3 -12.4
  Dec 18, 2024 280   @ Dartmouth W 80-76 26%     3 - 8 +0.6 +3.9 -3.4
  Dec 22, 2024 83   @ Notre Dame L 62-91 4%     3 - 9 -18.9 -6.4 -12.3
  Dec 29, 2024 320   @ Niagara L 68-72 34%    
  Jan 03, 2025 336   @ LIU Brooklyn L 70-72 42%    
  Jan 10, 2025 333   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-78 61%    
  Jan 12, 2025 358   Mercyhurst W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 18, 2025 361   @ Chicago St. W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 20, 2025 323   Stonehill W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 24, 2025 219   Central Connecticut St. L 66-70 35%    
  Jan 30, 2025 333   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 78-81 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 307   @ Wagner L 59-64 32%    
  Feb 06, 2025 339   @ St. Francis (PA) L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 08, 2025 358   @ Mercyhurst W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 13, 2025 307   Wagner W 62-61 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 361   Chicago St. W 75-68 75%    
  Feb 20, 2025 339   St. Francis (PA) W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 336   LIU Brooklyn W 73-69 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 219   @ Central Connecticut St. L 63-73 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 323   @ Stonehill L 70-74 36%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.4 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 7.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 4.7 4.9 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.8 6.5 5.3 1.5 0.1 15.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 6.6 5.8 1.0 0.0 14.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.9 5.9 1.1 0.0 13.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.6 5.8 1.2 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 4.9 1.3 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 2.4 3.3 1.2 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.6 0.7 0.0 4.9 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.6 7.8 11.7 14.3 15.7 15.1 11.5 8.2 4.7 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-2 95.0% 0.8    0.7 0.1
13-3 81.3% 1.7    1.3 0.4 0.0
12-4 51.5% 2.4    1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0
11-5 22.2% 1.8    0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 4.1% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 7.6% 7.6 4.0 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.2% 28.7% 28.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.9% 28.7% 28.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 0.6
13-3 2.2% 23.0% 23.0% 15.9 0.0 0.5 1.7
12-4 4.7% 20.2% 20.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0 3.8
11-5 8.2% 15.1% 15.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2 7.0
10-6 11.5% 11.7% 11.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3 10.1
9-7 15.1% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 1.4 13.7
8-8 15.7% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 1.1 14.6
7-9 14.3% 5.3% 5.3% 16.0 0.8 13.6
6-10 11.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.4 11.3
5-11 7.8% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.1 7.7
4-12 4.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.5
3-13 2.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-14 0.8% 0.8
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.2% 8.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 8.0 91.8 0.0%