Le Moyne
Northeast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#337
Expected Predictive Rating-11.1#314
Pace67.7#232
Improvement-0.5#242

Offense
Total Offense-5.3#320
First Shot-6.1#330
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#141
Layup/Dunks-2.2#256
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#206
Freethrows-1.8#270
Improvement-0.7#286

Defense
Total Defense-5.4#339
First Shot-1.9#245
After Offensive Rebounds-3.5#336
Layups/Dunks-1.9#240
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#86
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#220
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+0.2#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.2% 14.0% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 20.6% 33.6% 13.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.5% 66.3% 52.6%
Conference Champion 11.3% 15.5% 8.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 6.4% 13.1%
First Four9.8% 13.2% 7.9%
First Round4.2% 6.4% 3.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee Martin (Neutral) - 35.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 30 - 6
Quad 411 - 1312 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 90   @ Syracuse L 82-86 4%     0 - 1 +5.0 +4.4 +1.0
  Nov 06, 2024 194   Cal St. Northridge L 75-97 27%     0 - 2 -26.5 -6.6 -17.7
  Nov 13, 2024 2   @ Connecticut L 49-90 0.5%    0 - 3 -17.7 -6.6 -16.0
  Nov 16, 2024 115   @ St. Bonaventure L 52-71 6%     0 - 4 -12.4 -12.8 -1.3
  Nov 22, 2024 295   Tennessee Martin L 73-77 36%    
  Nov 23, 2024 223   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 69-80 16%    
  Nov 25, 2024 190   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 71-83 13%    
  Nov 29, 2024 329   @ Manhattan L 70-74 36%    
  Dec 03, 2024 294   Army L 66-67 47%    
  Dec 07, 2024 330   Binghamton W 71-69 58%    
  Dec 18, 2024 340   @ Dartmouth L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 22, 2024 52   @ Notre Dame L 57-80 2%    
  Dec 29, 2024 304   @ Niagara L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 03, 2025 338   @ LIU Brooklyn L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 10, 2025 348   Fairleigh Dickinson W 81-76 67%    
  Jan 12, 2025 359   Mercyhurst W 69-62 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 350   @ Chicago St. L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 20, 2025 339   Stonehill W 70-67 61%    
  Jan 24, 2025 286   Central Connecticut St. L 67-69 44%    
  Jan 30, 2025 348   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 78-79 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 280   @ Wagner L 57-65 25%    
  Feb 06, 2025 343   @ St. Francis (PA) L 70-72 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 359   @ Mercyhurst W 66-65 51%    
  Feb 13, 2025 280   Wagner L 60-62 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 350   Chicago St. W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 20, 2025 343   St. Francis (PA) W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 338   LIU Brooklyn W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 27, 2025 286   @ Central Connecticut St. L 64-72 26%    
  Mar 01, 2025 339   @ Stonehill L 67-70 42%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Northeast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 2.1 3.2 3.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 11.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 4.2 4.9 2.2 0.6 0.1 13.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 5.0 5.2 1.6 0.2 13.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.9 4.9 1.2 0.1 13.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 5.3 5.2 1.2 0.0 12.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.4 5.5 1.1 0.0 11.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.2 5.0 1.1 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 2.9 3.2 1.0 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 1.3 2.2 1.8 0.6 0.0 6.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.9 5.3 7.9 11.3 13.0 13.6 12.2 11.2 8.8 5.7 3.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
14-2 95.8% 1.5    1.3 0.2
13-3 83.3% 3.1    2.3 0.8 0.0
12-4 56.9% 3.2    1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0
11-5 24.5% 2.1    0.5 1.0 0.5 0.2
10-6 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.3% 11.3 6.3 3.6 1.1 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1
15-1 0.6% 53.5% 53.5% 15.8 0.1 0.2 0.3
14-2 1.6% 39.2% 39.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6 1.0
13-3 3.8% 33.9% 33.9% 16.0 0.0 1.2 2.5
12-4 5.7% 20.9% 20.9% 16.0 1.2 4.5
11-5 8.8% 18.7% 18.7% 16.0 0.0 1.6 7.1
10-6 11.2% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 1.4 9.8
9-7 12.2% 10.5% 10.5% 16.0 1.3 11.0
8-8 13.6% 7.3% 7.3% 16.0 1.0 12.6
7-9 13.0% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.8 12.2
6-10 11.3% 4.0% 4.0% 16.0 0.5 10.9
5-11 7.9% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.2 7.6
4-12 5.3% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-13 2.9% 2.9
2-14 1.4% 1.4
1-15 0.7% 0.7
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 10.2% 10.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 10.0 89.8 0.0%