Long Beach St.
Big West
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#259
Expected Predictive Rating-17.3#353
Pace67.0#254
Improvement-1.0#297

Offense
Total Offense-1.8#224
First Shot-2.2#246
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#151
Layup/Dunks-7.0#346
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#104
Freethrows+1.2#126
Improvement-0.4#244

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#286
First Shot-5.2#321
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#67
Layups/Dunks-4.2#312
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#101
Freethrows-0.3#198
Improvement-0.6#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 4.6% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.3 14.7
.500 or above 11.7% 48.3% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 25.3% 57.5% 25.2%
Conference Champion 0.8% 4.6% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 21.2% 5.7% 21.2%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round1.0% 4.6% 1.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Away) - 0.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 83 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 183   @ South Dakota St. L 79-80 25%     0 - 1 +1.0 +7.1 -6.1
  Nov 13, 2024 59   @ San Francisco L 54-84 7%     0 - 2 -18.0 -9.5 -10.4
  Nov 16, 2024 289   Portland L 61-63 67%     0 - 3 -11.6 -7.5 -4.4
  Nov 20, 2024 1   @ Gonzaga L 63-93 0.2%   
  Nov 23, 2024 253   Fresno St. W 75-72 59%    
  Nov 25, 2024 170   UNC Greensboro L 67-71 34%    
  Nov 26, 2024 203   UTEP L 70-73 40%    
  Nov 27, 2024 251   San Jose St. L 69-70 48%    
  Dec 05, 2024 270   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 68-70 41%    
  Dec 07, 2024 174   Hawaii L 69-70 45%    
  Dec 10, 2024 298   @ San Diego L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 19, 2024 238   @ Pepperdine L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 02, 2025 198   UC Riverside L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 239   @ Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 11, 2025 169   @ UC Davis L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 16, 2025 158   UC San Diego L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 270   Cal St. Fullerton W 71-67 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 194   @ Cal St. Northridge L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 25, 2025 294   @ Cal Poly L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 30, 2025 57   UC Irvine L 64-75 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 119   @ UC Santa Barbara L 67-78 17%    
  Feb 06, 2025 169   UC Davis L 72-74 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 194   Cal St. Northridge L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 14, 2025 174   @ Hawaii L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 20, 2025 198   @ UC Riverside L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 119   UC Santa Barbara L 70-75 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 239   Cal St. Bakersfield W 70-68 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 57   @ UC Irvine L 61-78 7%    
  Mar 06, 2025 158   @ UC San Diego L 66-74 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 294   Cal Poly W 77-72 66%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big West Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.2 2.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 3.4 2.3 0.6 0.1 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.3 3.0 0.6 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.9 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.3 4.2 0.8 0.1 13.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.6 4.0 0.9 0.0 14.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.9 5.1 3.2 0.8 0.0 14.9 10th
11th 0.3 1.3 2.9 3.9 3.5 1.8 0.4 0.0 14.1 11th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.1 5.5 8.1 10.3 11.7 12.1 11.7 10.5 8.4 6.3 4.5 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 96.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 85.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 45.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 25.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 9.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 30.8% 30.8% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.2% 24.2% 24.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 15.6% 15.6% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
15-5 0.9% 16.2% 16.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
14-6 1.8% 9.9% 9.9% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
13-7 2.8% 5.6% 5.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.6
12-8 4.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
11-9 6.3% 1.4% 1.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.2
10-10 8.4% 0.9% 0.9% 15.6 0.0 0.1 8.3
9-11 10.5% 0.7% 0.7% 15.6 0.0 0.0 10.4
8-12 11.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.7
7-13 12.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 12.1
6-14 11.7% 11.7
5-15 10.3% 10.3
4-16 8.1% 8.1
3-17 5.5% 5.5
2-18 3.1% 3.1
1-19 1.3% 1.3
0-20 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%