Marist
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.6#234
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#170
Pace63.4#330
Improvement+2.7#5

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#208
First Shot-3.2#266
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#75
Layup/Dunks-2.6#270
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#78
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#116
Freethrows-4.5#339
Improvement+1.0#51

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#250
First Shot-2.7#265
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#169
Layups/Dunks-3.2#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#238
Freethrows-0.1#191
Improvement+1.7#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.9% 11.7% 6.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.2
.500 or above 83.1% 85.9% 66.5%
.500 or above in Conference 74.3% 76.3% 62.8%
Conference Champion 13.8% 14.8% 7.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.0% 1.7% 3.7%
First Four1.6% 1.6% 1.7%
First Round10.1% 10.8% 5.4%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: New Hampshire (Home) - 85.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 00 - 0
Quad 32 - 42 - 4
Quad 417 - 819 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 243   @ Harvard L 66-79 40%     0 - 1 -14.1 -2.0 -13.0
  Nov 09, 2024 197   @ Richmond W 79-72 32%     1 - 1 +8.2 +12.2 -3.7
  Nov 15, 2024 303   Army W 91-88 OT 75%     2 - 1 -7.5 +13.6 -21.1
  Nov 19, 2024 339   Dartmouth W 75-62 85%     3 - 1 -1.6 -4.2 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2024 341   New Hampshire W 75-64 86%    
  Nov 30, 2024 283   @ Lehigh L 71-72 49%    
  Dec 06, 2024 260   Mount St. Mary's W 72-67 66%    
  Dec 08, 2024 328   @ Manhattan W 71-68 60%    
  Dec 17, 2024 285   @ Stony Brook L 69-70 49%    
  Dec 21, 2024 311   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 80-72 76%    
  Dec 29, 2024 329   Binghamton W 73-64 79%    
  Jan 03, 2025 217   @ Iona L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 05, 2025 224   Quinnipiac W 73-70 59%    
  Jan 12, 2025 274   Fairfield W 70-65 67%    
  Jan 16, 2025 178   @ St. Peter's L 61-67 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 240   Rider W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 23, 2025 327   @ Niagara W 71-68 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 351   @ Canisius W 73-67 72%    
  Jan 31, 2025 306   Siena W 69-62 74%    
  Feb 06, 2025 274   @ Fairfield L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 217   Iona W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 14, 2025 306   @ Siena W 66-65 54%    
  Feb 16, 2025 230   @ Merrimack L 63-66 39%    
  Feb 21, 2025 351   Canisius W 76-64 86%    
  Feb 23, 2025 327   Niagara W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 28, 2025 331   @ Sacred Heart W 75-71 63%    
  Mar 02, 2025 178   St. Peter's W 64-63 51%    
  Mar 06, 2025 230   Merrimack W 66-63 59%    
  Mar 08, 2025 260   @ Mount St. Mary's L 69-70 45%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.1 3.8 3.0 1.7 0.6 0.2 13.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.1 3.8 1.7 0.4 0.1 12.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.8 3.7 1.2 0.1 12.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.7 3.6 0.9 0.1 11.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 4.2 3.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.8 1.0 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.7 3.5 1.1 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.3 1.2 0.1 6.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 5.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.0 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.9 4.5 6.5 8.5 9.9 11.1 12.0 11.5 10.0 8.2 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.6 0.2 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6 0.0
18-2 97.1% 1.7    1.6 0.1
17-3 87.4% 3.0    2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
16-4 67.1% 3.8    2.3 1.3 0.2 0.0
15-5 37.5% 3.1    1.2 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 12.0% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.8% 13.8 8.7 3.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 53.1% 53.1% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1
19-1 0.6% 46.2% 46.2% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
18-2 1.8% 40.7% 40.7% 13.5 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.1
17-3 3.5% 31.0% 31.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.4
16-4 5.6% 26.4% 26.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 4.1
15-5 8.2% 22.6% 22.6% 14.9 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.3 6.3
14-6 10.0% 16.7% 16.7% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 8.3
13-7 11.5% 12.8% 12.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 10.0
12-8 12.0% 8.4% 8.4% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 10.9
11-9 11.1% 5.7% 5.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 10.5
10-10 9.9% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 9.5
9-11 8.5% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 8.4
8-12 6.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 6.4
7-13 4.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 4.5
6-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 0.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.9
3-17 0.4% 0.4
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 10.9% 10.9% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.3 3.7 3.7 89.1 0.0%