Nicholls St.
Southland
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#229
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#259
Pace66.1#273
Improvement-2.0#337

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot-5.6#322
After Offensive Rebound+3.7#29
Layup/Dunks-3.9#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#265
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows-2.0#284
Improvement-0.6#264

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#215
First Shot-0.5#186
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#254
Layups/Dunks+5.0#44
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#234
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#277
Freethrows-2.5#303
Improvement-1.4#327
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 8.5% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 45.3% 59.9% 34.7%
.500 or above in Conference 76.8% 82.8% 72.4%
Conference Champion 6.0% 7.6% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.7% 1.4%
First Four1.1% 0.7% 1.3%
First Round6.5% 8.1% 5.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Away) - 42.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 32 - 52 - 9
Quad 412 - 614 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 58   @ New Mexico L 84-91 8%     0 - 1 +4.9 +3.5 +2.6
  Nov 08, 2024 195   South Alabama L 64-70 55%     0 - 2 -10.7 -5.0 -6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 201   @ Northern Kentucky W 61-59 34%     1 - 2 +3.0 -6.2 +9.2
  Nov 15, 2024 19   @ Cincinnati L 49-86 4%     1 - 3 -20.0 -12.4 -10.1
  Nov 20, 2024 126   Towson L 64-70 40%     1 - 4 -6.7 -1.7 -5.6
  Nov 30, 2024 247   @ Louisiana L 69-71 42%    
  Dec 05, 2024 272   SE Louisiana W 72-67 69%    
  Dec 07, 2024 356   New Orleans W 80-66 90%    
  Dec 18, 2024 1   @ Gonzaga L 61-89 0.4%   
  Dec 30, 2024 135   @ Seattle L 65-73 23%    
  Jan 04, 2025 316   @ Northwestern St. W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 06, 2025 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 95   @ McNeese St. L 62-74 15%    
  Jan 13, 2025 309   @ Incarnate Word W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 202   Stephen F. Austin W 66-64 56%    
  Jan 20, 2025 292   Lamar W 75-69 72%    
  Jan 25, 2025 223   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 27, 2025 190   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 95   McNeese St. L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 03, 2025 358   Houston Christian W 80-66 89%    
  Feb 08, 2025 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 75-62 87%    
  Feb 10, 2025 316   Northwestern St. W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 272   @ SE Louisiana L 69-70 48%    
  Feb 17, 2025 356   @ New Orleans W 77-69 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 190   UT Rio Grande Valley W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 24, 2025 223   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 75-72 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 202   @ Stephen F. Austin L 63-67 36%    
  Mar 03, 2025 292   @ Lamar W 72-71 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 15 12 - 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 1.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 3.8 5.0 3.2 1.0 0.1 14.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.8 5.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 15.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.6 4.6 1.2 0.1 14.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.8 4.1 1.0 0.0 13.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.1 3.8 0.7 0.1 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 1.6 4.3 2.6 0.6 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 2.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.3 0.2 4.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.3 2.3 3.8 6.1 8.8 10.8 12.8 12.7 12.9 10.2 7.7 5.2 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 89.7% 1.1    0.9 0.2
17-3 61.8% 1.7    1.1 0.6 0.0
16-4 32.0% 1.7    0.8 0.7 0.1
15-5 10.1% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1
14-6 2.5% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.4 2.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 79.2% 79.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 35.9% 35.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2
18-2 1.2% 33.1% 33.1% 13.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8
17-3 2.8% 28.1% 28.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 2.0
16-4 5.2% 23.1% 23.1% 14.6 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 4.0
15-5 7.7% 15.9% 15.9% 14.8 0.0 0.4 0.5 0.3 6.5
14-6 10.2% 12.2% 12.2% 15.2 0.2 0.6 0.5 9.0
13-7 12.9% 7.1% 7.1% 15.5 0.1 0.4 0.5 12.0
12-8 12.7% 3.2% 3.2% 15.7 0.1 0.3 12.3
11-9 12.8% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 12.5
10-10 10.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 10.6
9-11 8.8% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 8.6
8-12 6.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 6.0
7-13 3.8% 3.8
6-14 2.3% 2.3
5-15 1.3% 1.3
4-16 0.5% 0.5
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 7.0% 7.0% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.7 2.4 2.3 93.0 0.0%