Norfolk St.
Mid-Eastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#206
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#160
Pace65.5#288
Improvement-0.3#204

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#192
First Shot-0.7#208
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#173
Layup/Dunks-0.5#203
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.1#344
Freethrows+3.7#35
Improvement+0.2#141

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#230
First Shot+4.2#63
After Offensive Rebounds-5.8#360
Layups/Dunks+5.1#46
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.2#349
Freethrows+4.4#16
Improvement-0.4#251
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.0% 44.1% 34.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.5 15.2
.500 or above 75.5% 91.1% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 95.1% 98.0% 94.7%
Conference Champion 46.8% 57.6% 45.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Four8.7% 4.9% 9.2%
First Round30.8% 41.5% 29.7%
Second Round1.2% 2.8% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stanford (Away) - 9.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 32 - 43 - 8
Quad 415 - 517 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 128   James Madison W 83-69 44%     1 - 0 +13.3 +10.4 +3.1
  Nov 12, 2024 208   @ William & Mary L 73-84 39%     1 - 1 -10.4 -3.7 -6.4
  Nov 16, 2024 310   @ Hampton W 67-58 62%     2 - 1 +3.6 +2.3 +2.6
  Nov 20, 2024 67   @ Stanford L 64-78 10%    
  Nov 22, 2024 89   @ Grand Canyon L 67-78 15%    
  Nov 25, 2024 169   @ UC Davis L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 01, 2024 285   @ Stony Brook W 71-70 54%    
  Dec 09, 2024 131   Hofstra L 67-68 45%    
  Dec 11, 2024 11   @ Baylor L 60-82 2%    
  Dec 15, 2024 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 66-69 38%    
  Dec 19, 2024 282   Alabama St. W 70-66 64%    
  Dec 20, 2024 235   Grambling St. W 67-66 55%    
  Dec 29, 2024 125   @ High Point L 70-78 24%    
  Dec 31, 2024 8   @ Tennessee L 60-83 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 354   Maryland Eastern Shore W 77-62 90%    
  Jan 06, 2025 345   @ Delaware St. W 73-66 73%    
  Jan 11, 2025 363   Coppin St. W 76-56 96%    
  Jan 13, 2025 333   @ Morgan St. W 77-72 67%    
  Jan 25, 2025 232   Howard W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 01, 2025 321   South Carolina St. W 75-65 80%    
  Feb 03, 2025 267   NC Central W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 15, 2025 354   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 74-65 77%    
  Feb 17, 2025 345   Delaware St. W 76-63 87%    
  Feb 22, 2025 363   @ Coppin St. W 73-59 88%    
  Feb 24, 2025 333   Morgan St. W 80-69 83%    
  Mar 01, 2025 321   @ South Carolina St. W 72-68 62%    
  Mar 03, 2025 267   @ NC Central W 71-70 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 232   @ Howard L 71-73 44%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 4.4 11.7 15.1 10.9 4.1 46.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.9 5.5 10.0 6.6 1.6 24.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.4 6.4 2.7 0.2 14.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.7 3.4 0.9 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.2 9.1 13.4 17.1 18.5 16.8 10.9 4.1 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 4.1    4.1
13-1 100.0% 10.9    10.5 0.4
12-2 90.3% 15.1    11.9 3.2 0.0
11-3 63.3% 11.7    5.9 5.0 0.7
10-4 25.8% 4.4    1.2 2.1 1.1 0.1
9-5 4.2% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 46.8% 46.8 33.6 10.9 2.1 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 4.1% 68.0% 68.0% 0.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.3 0.2%
13-1 10.9% 56.4% 56.4% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.2 0.8 4.8
12-2 16.8% 48.7% 48.7% 15.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 3.4 2.5 8.6
11-3 18.5% 39.5% 39.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.7 11.2
10-4 17.1% 30.0% 30.0% 15.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 3.8 12.0
9-5 13.4% 22.5% 22.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.6 10.4
8-6 9.1% 15.8% 15.8% 16.0 0.1 1.4 7.7
7-7 5.2% 12.4% 12.4% 16.0 0.0 0.6 4.6
6-8 3.0% 7.5% 7.5% 16.0 0.2 2.7
5-9 1.3% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.1 1.2
4-10 0.5% 4.1% 4.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-11 0.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-12 0.0% 0.0
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 35.0% 35.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 5.9 10.3 16.0 65.0 0.0%