Oakland
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#214
Expected Predictive Rating-14.7#340
Pace63.4#326
Improvement+0.2#144

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#218
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#285
Layup/Dunks+8.5#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#181
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.3#325
Freethrows-2.7#311
Improvement+1.5#31

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#196
First Shot-1.6#235
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#131
Layups/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#361
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#127
Freethrows+1.9#85
Improvement-1.3#318
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 12.0% 7.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 24.8% 43.4% 19.7%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 74.9% 60.6%
Conference Champion 9.1% 14.7% 7.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.3% 2.9%
First Four2.3% 1.8% 2.4%
First Round7.5% 11.5% 6.4%
Second Round0.4% 1.0% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Away) - 21.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 20 - 7
Quad 33 - 63 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 40   @ Boise St. L 43-87 7%     0 - 1 -29.9 -20.5 -12.5
  Nov 13, 2024 30   @ Illinois L 54-66 6%     0 - 2 +3.5 -11.5 +14.8
  Nov 16, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 57-78 2%     0 - 3 +0.7 +0.9 -2.5
  Nov 21, 2024 287   Eastern Michigan L 64-68 74%     0 - 4 -13.3 -4.9 -8.9
  Nov 30, 2024 120   @ Toledo L 70-78 21%    
  Dec 05, 2024 143   Wright St. L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 07, 2024 173   @ Youngstown St. L 66-71 33%    
  Dec 17, 2024 35   Michigan St. L 61-75 9%    
  Dec 19, 2024 219   @ Cleveland St. L 66-69 40%    
  Dec 22, 2024 105   Loyola Chicago L 65-72 26%    
  Dec 30, 2024 25   @ Arkansas L 61-80 5%    
  Jan 02, 2025 211   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 253   Robert Morris W 69-64 68%    
  Jan 09, 2025 143   @ Wright St. L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-68 38%    
  Jan 15, 2025 360   IU Indianapolis W 75-60 91%    
  Jan 18, 2025 328   @ Detroit Mercy W 69-65 62%    
  Jan 22, 2025 137   Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 253   @ Robert Morris L 66-67 47%    
  Jan 30, 2025 252   Green Bay W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 201   Northern Kentucky W 67-65 58%    
  Feb 06, 2025 173   Youngstown St. W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 12, 2025 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 72-63 78%    
  Feb 16, 2025 328   Detroit Mercy W 72-62 79%    
  Feb 21, 2025 137   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 23, 2025 219   Cleveland St. W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 27, 2025 211   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 71-74 39%    
  Mar 01, 2025 252   @ Green Bay L 70-71 47%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.3 1.3 2.1 2.6 1.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 9.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.6 2.9 1.0 0.3 0.0 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.4 2.5 0.4 0.1 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 3.7 4.9 2.0 0.3 11.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.3 2.3 0.3 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 3.1 5.1 2.0 0.1 0.0 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.7 3.0 5.2 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.7 2.2 0.3 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.3 3.1 1.2 0.2 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1 4.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.4 2.8 4.4 6.7 8.6 11.2 11.4 11.8 11.1 9.4 7.8 5.5 3.6 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 95.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
17-3 86.3% 1.6    1.4 0.3
16-4 71.8% 2.6    1.9 0.7 0.0
15-5 38.8% 2.1    0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0
14-6 16.5% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
13-7 3.5% 0.3    0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 9.1% 9.1 5.5 2.6 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.3% 39.3% 39.3% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.8% 39.1% 39.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.5
17-3 1.9% 30.1% 30.1% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 1.3
16-4 3.6% 31.8% 31.8% 14.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 2.5
15-5 5.5% 19.0% 19.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 4.4
14-6 7.8% 18.5% 18.5% 15.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 6.3
13-7 9.4% 11.6% 11.6% 15.5 0.0 0.5 0.6 8.3
12-8 11.1% 9.4% 9.4% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 10.1
11-9 11.8% 6.3% 6.3% 15.9 0.1 0.7 11.1
10-10 11.4% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.4 11.0
9-11 11.2% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.2 11.0
8-12 8.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 8.5
7-13 6.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.6
6-14 4.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.4
5-15 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
4-16 1.4% 1.4
3-17 0.9% 0.9
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.6 91.6 0.0%