Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.2#98
Expected Predictive Rating+3.5#129
Pace63.6#325
Improvement-0.2#207

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#110
First Shot+4.7#59
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#293
Layup/Dunks+0.8#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#132
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#114
Freethrows+1.2#125
Improvement+0.5#110

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#96
First Shot+1.7#125
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#119
Layups/Dunks-2.4#256
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#85
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#280
Freethrows+5.2#5
Improvement-0.7#270
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 6.4% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.9% 3.6% 1.1%
Average Seed 10.4 10.1 10.8
.500 or above 85.4% 94.6% 80.9%
.500 or above in Conference 76.5% 85.0% 72.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.4% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 0.6%
First Four1.0% 1.6% 0.7%
First Round3.3% 5.6% 2.1%
Second Round1.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Texas (Away) - 32.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 5
Quad 22 - 43 - 8
Quad 34 - 27 - 11
Quad 411 - 118 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 303   Utah Tech W 80-57 93%     1 - 0 +12.1 +2.5 +9.7
  Nov 08, 2024 226   Weber St. W 76-48 85%     2 - 0 +21.9 +7.1 +17.3
  Nov 15, 2024 275   Cal St. Fullerton W 70-51 90%     3 - 0 +10.3 +3.4 +9.4
  Nov 21, 2024 39   Oregon L 75-78 38%     3 - 1 +5.4 +10.0 -4.8
  Nov 25, 2024 84   @ North Texas L 59-64 32%    
  Nov 30, 2024 147   UC Davis W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 07, 2024 285   Idaho W 76-62 91%    
  Dec 14, 2024 56   UC Irvine L 67-68 47%    
  Dec 17, 2024 306   Sacramento St. W 71-55 93%    
  Dec 22, 2024 111   College of Charleston W 73-72 56%    
  Dec 30, 2024 290   Portland W 76-61 90%    
  Jan 02, 2025 154   @ Loyola Marymount W 67-65 57%    
  Jan 04, 2025 299   San Diego W 78-63 92%    
  Jan 09, 2025 99   @ Santa Clara L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 293   @ Pacific W 73-64 79%    
  Jan 16, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 67-81 11%    
  Jan 18, 2025 57   @ San Francisco L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 23, 2025 245   Pepperdine W 76-64 86%    
  Jan 25, 2025 99   Santa Clara W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 28, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 64-84 4%    
  Feb 06, 2025 78   Washington St. W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 08, 2025 41   St. Mary's L 65-68 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 290   @ Portland W 73-64 77%    
  Feb 15, 2025 293   Pacific W 76-61 91%    
  Feb 20, 2025 245   @ Pepperdine W 73-67 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 299   @ San Diego W 75-66 79%    
  Feb 27, 2025 57   San Francisco L 68-69 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 41   @ St. Mary's L 62-71 23%    
Projected Record 17 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.2 1.4 4.4 4.0 2.0 0.3 12.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.6 4.6 1.0 0.0 15.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.8 8.8 4.3 0.6 19.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.1 5.3 8.1 3.7 0.4 0.0 18.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.4 5.3 6.3 2.5 0.1 15.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.6 3.5 1.1 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.1 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 0.1 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.7 1.9 4.0 6.6 10.1 13.3 15.8 16.0 12.7 9.7 5.3 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 61.9% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
15-3 24.3% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1
14-4 4.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1
13-5 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 86.8% 36.8% 50.0% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 79.2%
16-2 0.8% 61.6% 17.5% 44.0% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 53.4%
15-3 2.7% 36.2% 13.0% 23.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.7 26.7%
14-4 5.3% 14.0% 5.5% 8.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 4.6 9.0%
13-5 9.7% 6.4% 3.7% 2.7% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 9.0 2.8%
12-6 12.7% 3.5% 3.0% 0.4% 11.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 12.3 0.4%
11-7 16.0% 1.3% 1.3% 0.1% 11.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 15.8 0.1%
10-8 15.8% 0.4% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 15.7
9-9 13.3% 0.4% 0.4% 12.0 0.1 13.3
8-10 10.1% 0.2% 0.2% 12.4 0.0 0.0 10.1
7-11 6.6% 6.6
6-12 4.0% 4.0
5-13 1.9% 1.9
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.8% 1.9% 1.8% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.6 1.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 96.2 1.9%