Prairie View
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#348
Expected Predictive Rating-13.0#325
Pace77.0#32
Improvement-0.3#214

Offense
Total Offense-6.6#344
First Shot-7.0#345
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#158
Layup/Dunks-10.8#364
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows+1.7#98
Improvement+0.6#102

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#347
First Shot-1.4#224
After Offensive Rebounds-4.7#351
Layups/Dunks-0.7#195
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#177
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.9#32
Freethrows-6.9#360
Improvement-0.9#295
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.2% 3.7% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 8.3% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 38.1% 51.0% 35.8%
Conference Champion 2.0% 3.8% 1.7%
Last Place in Conference 8.0% 3.8% 8.7%
First Four2.1% 3.4% 1.9%
First Round1.1% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fresno St. (Away) - 15.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 30 - 50 - 11
Quad 48 - 119 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 111   @ DePaul L 59-92 4%     0 - 1 -26.0 -17.8 -4.7
  Nov 12, 2024 308   @ Incarnate Word L 81-84 24%     0 - 2 -8.1 +1.1 -9.2
  Nov 18, 2024 68   @ SMU L 69-110 2%     0 - 3 -29.7 -8.8 -15.4
  Nov 20, 2024 253   @ Fresno St. L 73-84 15%    
  Nov 23, 2024 173   @ Northern Colorado L 72-87 8%    
  Nov 30, 2024 212   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 75-88 11%    
  Dec 06, 2024 103   @ UAB L 67-87 3%    
  Dec 08, 2024 29   @ Mississippi St. L 63-92 0.5%   
  Dec 14, 2024 152   @ Loyola Marymount L 64-80 8%    
  Dec 17, 2024 28   @ UCLA L 55-84 1%    
  Dec 22, 2024 171   @ Rice L 66-81 9%    
  Dec 29, 2024 51   @ Oklahoma L 62-87 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 235   Grambling St. L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 06, 2025 275   Southern L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 364   @ Mississippi Valley W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 13, 2025 362   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83-82 52%    
  Jan 18, 2025 320   Jackson St. L 76-77 47%    
  Jan 20, 2025 350   Alcorn St. W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 25, 2025 282   @ Alabama St. L 69-78 21%    
  Jan 27, 2025 346   @ Alabama A&M L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 266   @ Texas Southern L 69-79 18%    
  Feb 08, 2025 286   Bethune-Cookman L 74-77 39%    
  Feb 10, 2025 356   Florida A&M W 76-72 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 275   @ Southern L 69-79 20%    
  Feb 17, 2025 235   @ Grambling St. L 65-77 15%    
  Feb 22, 2025 362   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 85-79 71%    
  Feb 24, 2025 364   Mississippi Valley W 76-65 83%    
  Mar 01, 2025 350   @ Alcorn St. L 72-75 41%    
  Mar 03, 2025 320   @ Jackson St. L 73-80 28%    
  Mar 08, 2025 266   Texas Southern L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 8 - 22 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.0 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.0 1.2 0.1 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.1 1.8 0.2 0.0 8.5 5th
6th 0.2 2.1 5.1 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 12.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 6.0 4.1 0.7 0.0 13.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 5.6 4.0 0.8 0.0 13.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.5 4.8 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.3 12th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.9 4.2 6.9 9.8 12.1 13.3 13.0 11.8 9.5 6.9 4.5 2.8 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.5% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 78.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 45.9% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.6% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.0% 2.0 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 32.0% 32.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 27.3% 27.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.2
15-3 0.6% 19.6% 19.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 0.5
14-4 1.6% 15.7% 15.7% 16.0 0.0 0.2 1.3
13-5 2.8% 11.1% 11.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 2.5
12-6 4.5% 6.9% 6.9% 16.0 0.3 4.2
11-7 6.9% 5.0% 5.0% 16.0 0.3 6.5
10-8 9.5% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.3 9.2
9-9 11.8% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 11.5
8-10 13.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 12.8
7-11 13.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.2
6-12 12.1% 12.1
5-13 9.8% 9.8
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.2% 2.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.2 97.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%