Princeton
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#110
Expected Predictive Rating+7.0#85
Pace66.7#264
Improvement+1.7#33

Offense
Total Offense+3.8#74
First Shot+6.5#33
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#319
Layup/Dunks+2.8#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#21
Freethrows-1.6#267
Improvement+0.1#148

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#157
First Shot-0.6#197
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#126
Layups/Dunks-2.3#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#244
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#209
Freethrows+3.2#40
Improvement+1.5#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 32.7% 35.1% 27.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 13.0
.500 or above 94.7% 97.0% 89.6%
.500 or above in Conference 93.1% 94.4% 90.4%
Conference Champion 41.8% 44.8% 35.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.5% 1.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round32.6% 35.0% 27.3%
Second Round5.5% 6.5% 3.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.5% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wright St. (Neutral) - 68.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 48 - 7
Quad 411 - 218 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 217   Iona W 81-80 82%     1 - 0 -4.7 +6.0 -10.7
  Nov 08, 2024 207   Duquesne W 75-68 73%     2 - 0 +4.7 -0.1 +4.5
  Nov 10, 2024 148   @ Northeastern W 79-76 52%     3 - 0 +6.6 +6.2 +0.4
  Nov 15, 2024 105   Loyola Chicago L 68-73 61%     3 - 1 -3.7 -4.4 +0.8
  Nov 17, 2024 230   @ Merrimack W 68-57 67%     4 - 1 +10.6 +12.3 +0.4
  Nov 21, 2024 186   Wright St. W 82-77 69%    
  Dec 03, 2024 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-75 35%    
  Dec 07, 2024 135   @ Furman L 73-74 48%    
  Dec 10, 2024 261   Monmouth W 80-68 87%    
  Dec 21, 2024 42   Rutgers L 68-75 26%    
  Dec 30, 2024 139   Akron W 75-69 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 243   @ Harvard W 74-69 68%    
  Jan 18, 2025 339   @ Dartmouth W 77-64 87%    
  Jan 20, 2025 192   Columbia W 81-72 78%    
  Jan 25, 2025 167   Cornell W 83-75 75%    
  Jan 31, 2025 108   Yale W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 221   Brown W 77-67 82%    
  Feb 07, 2025 268   @ Penn W 76-69 72%    
  Feb 14, 2025 221   @ Brown W 74-70 64%    
  Feb 15, 2025 108   @ Yale L 70-73 39%    
  Feb 21, 2025 243   Harvard W 77-66 83%    
  Feb 22, 2025 339   @ Dartmouth W 77-64 86%    
  Feb 28, 2025 192   @ Columbia W 78-75 59%    
  Mar 01, 2025 167   @ Cornell W 80-78 55%    
  Mar 08, 2025 268   Penn W 79-66 86%    
Projected Record 17 - 8 10 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 5.1 11.3 13.0 8.6 2.8 41.8 1st
2nd 0.0 1.4 7.1 10.4 6.2 1.4 26.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 5.6 6.1 1.9 0.1 14.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.3 0.7 0.0 8.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 4.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.1 2.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.9 3.8 7.0 10.7 14.8 17.4 17.6 14.3 8.6 2.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 2.8    2.8
13-1 100.0% 8.6    8.2 0.4
12-2 90.5% 13.0    10.4 2.6 0.0
11-3 64.1% 11.3    6.2 4.6 0.5
10-4 29.4% 5.1    1.4 2.6 1.0 0.1 0.0
9-5 6.4% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 41.8% 41.8 29.1 10.5 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 2.8% 67.4% 64.5% 2.9% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.9 8.3%
13-1 8.6% 55.7% 55.1% 0.6% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.7 0.8 0.1 3.8 1.3%
12-2 14.3% 49.1% 49.1% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 7.3 0.1%
11-3 17.6% 39.8% 39.8% 12.7 0.2 2.8 3.0 0.9 0.1 10.6
10-4 17.4% 33.0% 33.0% 13.1 0.0 1.4 2.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.7
9-5 14.8% 26.1% 26.1% 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.6 1.5 0.4 0.0 10.9
8-6 10.7% 18.0% 18.0% 14.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.5 0.0 8.8
7-7 7.0% 6.0% 6.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.6
6-8 3.8% 0.4% 0.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
5-9 1.9% 1.9
4-10 0.8% 0.8
3-11 0.3% 0.3
2-12 0.1% 0.1
1-13 0.0% 0.0
0-14
Total 100% 32.7% 32.5% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 2.5 11.8 11.1 5.2 1.3 0.1 67.3 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 6.3 2.6 3.9 10.5 22.4 30.3 6.6 6.6 3.9 6.6 5.3 1.3