Purdue Fort Wayne
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.6#137
Expected Predictive Rating+1.1#178
Pace74.6#61
Improvement+0.1#158

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#104
First Shot+2.8#97
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#175
Layup/Dunks-0.3#191
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#268
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#71
Freethrows+1.3#117
Improvement+1.9#14

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#214
First Shot-2.0#249
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#139
Layups/Dunks-1.5#227
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#55
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#251
Freethrows-0.8#231
Improvement-1.8#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.2% 26.4% 19.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 88.4% 94.1% 81.9%
.500 or above in Conference 91.2% 93.8% 88.1%
Conference Champion 32.8% 37.6% 27.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round23.1% 26.3% 19.4%
Second Round2.5% 3.2% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Drexel (Neutral) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 415 - 319 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 69   @ Central Florida L 68-75 19%     0 - 1 +4.0 -0.3 +4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 291   Bethune-Cookman W 91-69 85%     1 - 1 +12.6 +10.7 +0.6
  Nov 16, 2024 322   Southern Indiana W 93-74 89%     2 - 1 +7.0 +16.8 -9.3
  Nov 20, 2024 33   @ Penn St. L 89-102 11%     2 - 2 +2.3 +20.2 -17.5
  Nov 25, 2024 145   Drexel W 72-71 53%    
  Nov 30, 2024 352   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-69 86%    
  Dec 05, 2024 328   @ Detroit Mercy W 80-72 76%    
  Dec 08, 2024 253   Robert Morris W 79-70 81%    
  Dec 11, 2024 360   IU Indianapolis W 86-67 96%    
  Dec 15, 2024 287   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-71 68%    
  Dec 22, 2024 23   @ Michigan L 70-85 9%    
  Dec 29, 2024 252   @ Green Bay W 81-78 62%    
  Jan 01, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky W 74-73 52%    
  Jan 04, 2025 173   Youngstown St. W 79-74 69%    
  Jan 08, 2025 211   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 85-78 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 328   Detroit Mercy W 83-69 89%    
  Jan 15, 2025 143   @ Wright St. L 82-84 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 214   @ Oakland W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 360   @ IU Indianapolis W 83-70 88%    
  Jan 30, 2025 219   Cleveland St. W 79-72 75%    
  Feb 02, 2025 211   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-81 55%    
  Feb 05, 2025 143   Wright St. W 85-81 63%    
  Feb 08, 2025 252   Green Bay W 84-75 78%    
  Feb 12, 2025 173   @ Youngstown St. L 76-77 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 253   @ Robert Morris W 76-73 62%    
  Feb 21, 2025 214   Oakland W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 27, 2025 201   Northern Kentucky W 77-70 72%    
  Mar 01, 2025 219   @ Cleveland St. W 76-75 54%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.4 5.7 8.1 7.7 5.3 2.5 0.6 32.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 3.1 6.6 5.9 3.0 0.8 0.0 20.2 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.0 5.9 3.8 1.0 0.1 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.8 2.4 0.4 10.5 4th
5th 0.2 1.9 3.5 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.2 1.1 2.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.2 4.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.8 0.1 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.0 1.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.7 3.8 6.3 8.0 10.7 12.0 13.3 12.6 11.2 8.6 5.3 2.5 0.6 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.6    0.6
19-1 100.0% 2.5    2.5 0.0
18-2 99.1% 5.3    5.0 0.3
17-3 90.4% 7.7    6.4 1.3
16-4 72.7% 8.1    5.6 2.3 0.2
15-5 45.2% 5.7    2.8 2.3 0.6 0.0
14-6 18.3% 2.4    0.6 1.0 0.7 0.1
13-7 3.5% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 32.8% 32.8 23.6 7.3 1.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.6% 62.7% 62.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
19-1 2.5% 50.4% 50.4% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3
18-2 5.3% 47.3% 47.3% 12.6 0.1 1.1 1.1 0.3 2.8
17-3 8.6% 42.0% 42.0% 13.0 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.8 0.0 5.0
16-4 11.2% 33.3% 33.3% 13.4 0.5 1.7 1.3 0.3 7.5
15-5 12.6% 30.3% 30.3% 13.8 0.1 1.2 1.8 0.7 0.0 8.8
14-6 13.3% 21.4% 21.4% 14.3 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.0 0.1 10.5
13-7 12.0% 17.7% 17.7% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.1 9.9
12-8 10.7% 12.1% 12.1% 14.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.2 9.4
11-9 8.0% 11.6% 11.6% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 7.1
10-10 6.3% 7.6% 7.6% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.8
9-11 3.8% 3.5% 3.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 3.7
8-12 2.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.6
7-13 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-14 0.6% 0.6
5-15 0.3% 0.3
4-16 0.1% 0.1
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 23.2% 23.2% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.4 7.0 6.6 4.5 1.3 76.8 0.0%