Radford
Big South
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#227
Expected Predictive Rating+8.3#69
Pace62.3#344
Improvement-0.6#252

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#117
First Shot+2.1#110
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#183
Layup/Dunks-3.2#283
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#113
Freethrows+1.8#91
Improvement+1.2#38

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#336
First Shot-5.8#333
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#146
Layups/Dunks+4.2#59
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#208
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.2#339
Freethrows-3.9#342
Improvement-1.8#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 13.3% 8.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 13.9 14.5
.500 or above 51.7% 78.0% 49.7%
.500 or above in Conference 58.5% 73.8% 57.3%
Conference Champion 9.5% 16.5% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 3.6% 8.7%
First Four0.9% 0.6% 0.9%
First Round8.3% 13.1% 7.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 7.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 30 - 6
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 412 - 515 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 25   @ Pittsburgh L 56-96 4%     0 - 1 -23.5 -9.3 -13.8
  Nov 08, 2024 208   William & Mary W 89-77 58%     1 - 1 +6.6 +11.2 -4.6
  Nov 12, 2024 305   Old Dominion W 87-75 77%     2 - 1 +1.1 +8.5 -7.4
  Nov 16, 2024 300   @ Evansville W 92-81 55%     3 - 1 +6.6 +26.0 -18.3
  Nov 21, 2024 49   @ Clemson L 63-79 7%    
  Nov 25, 2024 349   Chicago St. W 78-68 82%    
  Dec 01, 2024 343   @ St. Francis (PA) W 74-68 71%    
  Dec 05, 2024 267   @ NC Central L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 08, 2024 233   Bucknell W 72-69 62%    
  Dec 14, 2024 54   @ Utah L 66-82 8%    
  Dec 17, 2024 102   @ Colorado St. L 64-75 16%    
  Dec 22, 2024 72   @ South Carolina L 64-78 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 125   @ High Point L 70-79 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 193   Winthrop W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 314   @ South Carolina Upstate W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 15, 2025 222   Gardner-Webb W 75-72 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 312   @ Charleston Southern W 73-71 58%    
  Jan 22, 2025 179   Longwood W 69-68 53%    
  Jan 25, 2025 281   @ Presbyterian L 72-73 50%    
  Jan 29, 2025 177   @ UNC Asheville L 71-76 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 314   South Carolina Upstate W 79-71 76%    
  Feb 05, 2025 125   High Point L 73-76 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 179   @ Longwood L 66-71 32%    
  Feb 12, 2025 193   @ Winthrop L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 19, 2025 177   UNC Asheville W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 281   Presbyterian W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 26, 2025 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 01, 2025 312   Charleston Southern W 76-68 76%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 8 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.9 2.7 1.4 0.5 0.1 9.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.4 4.7 2.6 0.6 0.1 12.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 4.6 5.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 13.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 5.3 6.0 1.9 0.1 14.3 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 5.0 6.5 1.9 0.1 14.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.6 5.6 1.5 0.1 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 3.8 4.4 1.3 0.1 10.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.9 2.9 0.8 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 1.1 0.3 0.0 4.6 9th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.9 5.2 8.0 10.9 12.9 14.2 13.3 11.4 8.6 5.7 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
14-2 96.5% 1.4    1.2 0.1
13-3 81.5% 2.7    1.9 0.7 0.1
12-4 50.7% 2.9    1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0
11-5 18.9% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 5.5 2.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.1% 40.6% 37.5% 3.1% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0%
15-1 0.5% 36.9% 36.9% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
14-2 1.4% 32.9% 32.9% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-3 3.3% 28.2% 28.2% 13.4 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4
12-4 5.7% 20.1% 20.1% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 4.6
11-5 8.6% 17.2% 17.2% 14.2 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1 7.1
10-6 11.4% 11.8% 11.8% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 10.1
9-7 13.3% 8.8% 8.8% 14.9 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 12.1
8-8 14.2% 6.8% 6.8% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 13.3
7-9 12.9% 4.3% 4.3% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 12.4
6-10 10.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 10.6
5-11 8.0% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.1 7.8
4-12 5.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.1
3-13 2.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 2.9
2-14 1.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.4
1-15 0.3% 0.3
0-16 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.4 2.8 1.7 91.3 0.0%