Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#197
Expected Predictive Rating-15.9#350
Pace66.9#258
Improvement+0.7#105

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#268
First Shot-1.8#229
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#258
Layup/Dunks+0.6#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#322
Freethrows+5.2#12
Improvement-0.1#192

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#131
First Shot+3.2#90
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#285
Layups/Dunks+6.3#30
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#168
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#173
Freethrows-3.7#341
Improvement+0.8#75
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 0.8% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.9 13.2
.500 or above 11.4% 14.6% 4.5%
.500 or above in Conference 18.0% 20.7% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 26.0% 22.6% 33.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.4%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 21 - 61 - 9
Quad 34 - 85 - 17
Quad 45 - 410 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 234   Marist L 72-79 68%     0 - 1 -13.6 -1.9 -11.9
  Nov 13, 2024 142   @ Charlotte L 48-65 28%     0 - 2 -12.6 -18.4 +4.3
  Nov 16, 2024 233   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 45%     0 - 3 -4.6 -8.8 +5.0
  Nov 20, 2024 241   Maine W 66-61 69%    
  Nov 26, 2024 87   Louisiana Tech L 63-71 22%    
  Nov 27, 2024 246   Ball St. W 70-68 59%    
  Dec 08, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 60-84 1%    
  Dec 14, 2024 141   Belmont L 73-74 50%    
  Dec 18, 2024 208   @ William & Mary L 73-75 41%    
  Dec 21, 2024 347   VMI W 79-65 89%    
  Dec 28, 2024 216   Florida Gulf Coast W 66-62 64%    
  Dec 31, 2024 143   George Washington W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 04, 2025 129   @ Massachusetts L 66-73 27%    
  Jan 08, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 11, 2025 117   Rhode Island L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 15, 2025 114   @ St. Bonaventure L 62-70 23%    
  Jan 18, 2025 101   Saint Louis L 71-75 38%    
  Jan 25, 2025 130   Davidson L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 29, 2025 143   @ George Washington L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 01, 2025 50   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-74 11%    
  Feb 05, 2025 207   Duquesne W 68-64 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 11, 2025 105   Loyola Chicago L 67-70 40%    
  Feb 15, 2025 161   Fordham W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 19, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 64-72 25%    
  Feb 22, 2025 100   @ Saint Joseph's L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 25, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-71 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 64   @ Dayton L 61-74 13%    
  Mar 08, 2025 96   George Mason L 64-68 36%    
Projected Record 10 - 19 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.5 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.3 1.5 0.9 0.1 2.8 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 3.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 2.6 0.9 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.4 2.6 2.0 0.2 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 3.6 0.7 0.0 6.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.2 2.1 0.1 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.8 0.5 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.4 5.2 1.5 0.0 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.8 5.8 2.4 0.2 13.1 13th
14th 0.1 1.3 4.2 6.1 3.3 0.4 0.0 15.6 14th
15th 0.9 3.1 5.1 4.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 16.8 15th
Total 0.9 3.2 6.5 9.9 13.0 13.7 13.3 11.9 9.7 7.1 4.8 2.8 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 87.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0
15-3 79.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 43.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 29.2% 29.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 20.4% 20.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 12.5% 12.5% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 11.5% 11.5% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 1.8% 6.8% 6.8% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7
11-7 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-8 4.8% 1.8% 1.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
9-9 7.1% 1.1% 1.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.0
8-10 9.7% 0.5% 0.5% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 11.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9
6-12 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
5-13 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
4-14 13.0% 13.0
3-15 9.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.9
2-16 6.5% 6.5
1-17 3.2% 3.2
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 99.3 0.0%