Sacred Heart
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#313
Expected Predictive Rating-7.0#282
Pace72.2#97
Improvement+3.5#11

Offense
Total Offense-3.0#254
First Shot-3.5#284
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#151
Layup/Dunks-1.7#237
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.8#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#32
Freethrows-4.0#344
Improvement+1.6#63

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#325
First Shot-4.0#306
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#245
Layups/Dunks+1.4#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#38
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#337
Freethrows-2.5#310
Improvement+1.9#32
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.9% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 23.7% 32.8% 14.8%
.500 or above in Conference 41.1% 53.5% 28.9%
Conference Champion 3.1% 5.1% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 11.5% 5.9% 17.0%
First Four2.1% 2.5% 1.6%
First Round2.0% 2.7% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 49.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 31 - 51 - 7
Quad 412 - 1213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 114   @ Temple L 70-81 10%     0 - 1 -4.9 -4.5 +0.3
  Nov 06, 2024 15   @ Connecticut L 56-92 2%     0 - 2 -17.7 -13.4 -2.9
  Nov 09, 2024 328   @ Dartmouth L 76-81 44%     0 - 3 -11.5 -5.3 -5.8
  Nov 15, 2024 331   Holy Cross L 75-82 57%     0 - 4 -16.8 +3.8 -21.5
  Nov 16, 2024 349   New Hampshire W 80-63 67%     1 - 4 +4.5 +10.1 -4.2
  Nov 17, 2024 210   @ Brown L 70-89 20%     1 - 5 -18.0 +0.5 -19.5
  Nov 21, 2024 262   Central Connecticut St. W 67-54 53%     2 - 5 +4.3 -4.6 +9.4
  Dec 01, 2024 273   @ Boston University W 73-65 32%     3 - 5 +4.9 +1.3 +3.7
  Dec 06, 2024 248   Iona L 72-73 49%    
  Dec 08, 2024 256   @ Quinnipiac L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 18, 2024 260   Albany W 80-79 51%    
  Dec 22, 2024 197   @ Miami (OH) L 70-79 19%    
  Jan 05, 2025 346   Canisius W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 10, 2025 231   Merrimack L 69-70 45%    
  Jan 12, 2025 259   @ Mount St. Mary's L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 309   @ Siena L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 202   St. Peter's L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 23, 2025 346   @ Canisius W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 304   @ Niagara L 71-74 38%    
  Feb 02, 2025 325   Manhattan W 79-75 65%    
  Feb 06, 2025 240   Rider L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 281   @ Fairfield L 70-74 34%    
  Feb 14, 2025 256   Quinnipiac W 78-77 52%    
  Feb 16, 2025 309   Siena W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 21, 2025 231   @ Merrimack L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 23, 2025 202   @ St. Peter's L 64-73 21%    
  Feb 28, 2025 241   Marist L 70-71 48%    
  Mar 02, 2025 281   Fairfield W 73-71 55%    
  Mar 06, 2025 325   @ Manhattan L 76-78 44%    
  Mar 08, 2025 248   @ Iona L 70-76 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.2 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.2 2.0 3.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.4 4th
5th 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 4.2 2.6 0.4 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 4.3 0.7 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.1 1.5 0.1 9.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.9 2.6 0.2 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.4 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 4.0 3.3 0.7 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 1.7 3.3 2.7 0.8 0.0 9.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.7 2.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 6.9 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.1 6.7 9.2 10.8 11.9 12.7 12.1 9.5 7.9 5.1 3.3 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-3 90.7% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-4 79.8% 0.7    0.5 0.1 0.0
15-5 54.3% 1.0    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 22.4% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
13-7 4.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 23.1% 23.1% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.3% 24.4% 24.4% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
16-4 0.8% 13.7% 13.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.7
15-5 1.9% 15.0% 15.0% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6
14-6 3.3% 12.9% 12.9% 15.9 0.1 0.4 2.9
13-7 5.1% 10.7% 10.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 4.6
12-8 7.9% 6.2% 6.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 7.4
11-9 9.5% 3.9% 3.9% 16.0 0.4 9.2
10-10 12.1% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.3 11.7
9-11 12.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 12.6
8-12 11.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 11.8
7-13 10.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.8
6-14 9.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.2
5-15 6.7% 6.7
4-16 4.1% 4.1
3-17 2.1% 2.1
2-18 1.0% 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.7 97.1 0.0%