Sam Houston St.
Conference USA
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.2#127
Expected Predictive Rating+1.4#146
Pace70.1#149
Improvement-2.1#308

Offense
Total Offense+2.9#100
First Shot+3.7#77
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks-1.3#224
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#108
Freethrows+0.3#158
Improvement-2.0#320

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#192
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebounds-2.1#324
Layups/Dunks+0.7#141
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#170
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#212
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement-0.1#190
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.3% 12.9% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 12.4 13.2
.500 or above 46.0% 69.4% 43.3%
.500 or above in Conference 64.1% 74.7% 62.9%
Conference Champion 10.0% 14.9% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 3.0% 5.5%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Round9.2% 12.9% 8.7%
Second Round1.3% 2.3% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 10.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 36 - 58 - 14
Quad 46 - 114 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 52   @ Nevada L 75-91 16%     0 - 1 -3.0 +9.2 -12.5
  Nov 09, 2024 286   @ Tarleton St. W 91-62 72%     1 - 1 +25.2 +12.4 +10.6
  Nov 12, 2024 12   @ Baylor L 67-104 7%     1 - 2 -17.9 -2.6 -13.6
  Nov 17, 2024 175   @ Lamar W 85-72 50%     2 - 2 +15.1 +18.4 -2.7
  Nov 27, 2024 173   Appalachian St. L 63-66 61%     2 - 3 -3.8 -3.6 -0.4
  Nov 29, 2024 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 60-69 41%     2 - 4 -4.5 -6.6 +1.3
  Nov 30, 2024 223   Colgate W 82-78 70%     3 - 4 +0.8 +13.2 -12.1
  Dec 03, 2024 45   @ Indiana L 71-97 14%     3 - 5 -12.4 -2.5 -7.5
  Dec 07, 2024 306   Texas Southern W 87-71 89%     4 - 5 +5.1 +13.9 -8.0
  Dec 21, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 69-82 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 201   @ New Mexico St. W 73-72 54%    
  Jan 04, 2025 140   @ UTEP L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 09, 2025 81   Liberty L 69-71 44%    
  Jan 11, 2025 248   Florida International W 80-70 82%    
  Jan 16, 2025 162   @ Kennesaw St. L 80-81 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 167   @ Jacksonville St. L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 23, 2025 131   Middle Tennessee W 76-73 62%    
  Jan 25, 2025 105   Western Kentucky W 79-78 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 101   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 06, 2025 248   @ Florida International W 77-73 64%    
  Feb 08, 2025 81   @ Liberty L 66-74 24%    
  Feb 13, 2025 167   Jacksonville St. W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 15, 2025 162   Kennesaw St. W 83-78 69%    
  Feb 20, 2025 105   @ Western Kentucky L 76-81 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 131   @ Middle Tennessee L 73-76 41%    
  Mar 01, 2025 101   Louisiana Tech W 72-71 50%    
  Mar 06, 2025 140   UTEP W 76-72 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 201   New Mexico St. W 76-69 74%    
Projected Record 14 - 14 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 2.8 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.7 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 12.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.1 3.5 0.7 0.1 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.2 6.3 3.4 0.5 0.0 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.7 6.2 3.3 0.4 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.0 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 4.4 3.1 0.4 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.3 2.6 0.5 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.0 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.1 4.1 6.6 9.5 12.2 13.5 13.5 12.4 9.9 7.2 4.3 2.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 97.9% 0.8    0.8 0.0
15-3 90.4% 2.0    1.6 0.4 0.0
14-4 65.8% 2.8    1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 37.6% 2.7    1.1 1.2 0.4 0.0
12-6 12.5% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.0% 10.0 5.6 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 38.0% 38.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.9% 35.6% 35.6% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.6
15-3 2.2% 31.6% 31.6% 11.9 0.1 0.5 0.1 1.5
14-4 4.3% 23.0% 23.0% 12.2 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 3.3
13-5 7.2% 19.1% 19.1% 12.4 0.0 0.8 0.5 0.0 5.8
12-6 9.9% 14.3% 14.3% 12.7 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.5
11-7 12.4% 11.6% 11.6% 13.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.0 11.0
10-8 13.5% 8.3% 8.3% 13.6 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 12.4
9-9 13.5% 6.5% 6.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.0 12.6
8-10 12.2% 4.7% 4.7% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.6
7-11 9.5% 2.8% 2.8% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.3
6-12 6.6% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.1 6.6
5-13 4.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 4.0
4-14 2.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.1
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.3% 9.3% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 3.4 2.6 1.2 1.1 0.6 90.7 0.0%