San Francisco
West Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.1#57
Expected Predictive Rating+13.9#27
Pace69.6#170
Improvement+0.9#89

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#63
First Shot+7.4#26
After Offensive Rebound-3.0#325
Layup/Dunks+2.0#106
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#50
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement-0.3#220

Defense
Total Defense+4.6#57
First Shot+0.9#150
After Offensive Rebounds+3.7#19
Layups/Dunks-1.3#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#127
Freethrows+0.4#159
Improvement+1.2#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 2.9% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 4.0% 7.1% 2.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 27.4% 38.9% 20.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.7% 33.7% 16.0%
Average Seed 9.2 8.8 9.6
.500 or above 97.3% 99.3% 96.1%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 94.0% 88.6%
Conference Champion 4.7% 6.6% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four7.8% 9.8% 6.5%
First Round23.7% 33.9% 17.1%
Second Round11.9% 17.6% 8.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.1% 6.5% 2.6%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.6% 1.0%
Final Four0.6% 0.9% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Memphis (Neutral) - 39.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 5
Quad 24 - 36 - 7
Quad 36 - 211 - 9
Quad 410 - 021 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 269   Cal Poly W 86-78 94%     1 - 0 -0.6 -1.7 +0.0
  Nov 09, 2024 42   Boise St. W 84-73 54%     2 - 0 +19.0 +16.6 +2.7
  Nov 13, 2024 263   Long Beach St. W 84-54 94%     3 - 0 +21.7 +11.7 +11.8
  Nov 16, 2024 350   Chicago St. W 82-37 98%     4 - 0 +29.1 +0.3 +26.9
  Nov 21, 2024 33   Memphis L 76-79 39%    
  Nov 25, 2024 49   Clemson L 71-72 48%    
  Dec 01, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 79-53 99%    
  Dec 05, 2024 100   Saint Louis W 80-73 75%    
  Dec 15, 2024 104   Loyola Chicago W 75-70 67%    
  Dec 18, 2024 95   @ Bradley W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 21, 2024 213   Montana W 79-64 91%    
  Dec 28, 2024 154   Loyola Marymount W 75-63 85%    
  Dec 30, 2024 97   Santa Clara W 79-72 73%    
  Jan 02, 2025 291   @ Pacific W 79-66 88%    
  Jan 04, 2025 79   @ Washington St. L 74-75 46%    
  Jan 09, 2025 289   Portland W 81-62 95%    
  Jan 11, 2025 97   @ Santa Clara W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 248   @ Pepperdine W 78-68 82%    
  Jan 18, 2025 96   Oregon St. W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 23, 2025 43   @ St. Mary's L 67-72 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 298   San Diego W 83-64 95%    
  Feb 01, 2025 79   Washington St. W 77-72 66%    
  Feb 06, 2025 43   St. Mary's W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 154   @ Loyola Marymount W 72-66 69%    
  Feb 13, 2025 1   @ Gonzaga L 69-85 8%    
  Feb 15, 2025 298   @ San Diego W 80-67 88%    
  Feb 20, 2025 291   Pacific W 82-63 95%    
  Feb 27, 2025 96   @ Oregon St. W 69-68 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 1   Gonzaga L 72-82 19%    
Projected Record 20 - 9 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.9 1.0 0.1 4.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.0 7.0 9.2 6.3 1.6 26.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.7 9.2 7.7 2.4 0.2 23.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.7 7.8 4.9 0.8 0.0 17.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.7 3.1 0.4 12.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 8.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.9 0.7 0.1 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.5 8th
9th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.8 7.8 11.6 15.0 16.5 15.5 12.0 7.7 3.5 1.0 0.1 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 1.0    0.8 0.3
16-2 54.1% 1.9    0.9 1.0 0.0
15-3 16.4% 1.3    0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0
14-4 3.3% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.7% 4.7 2.2 2.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 40.8% 59.2% 2.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.0% 98.3% 30.6% 67.6% 4.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.5%
16-2 3.5% 92.3% 20.9% 71.4% 6.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.3 90.2%
15-3 7.7% 79.7% 15.6% 64.0% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.6 75.9%
14-4 12.0% 58.8% 11.4% 47.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 1.9 2.3 0.2 4.9 53.5%
13-5 15.5% 34.3% 6.9% 27.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 0.4 10.2 29.5%
12-6 16.5% 17.4% 4.2% 13.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.8 0.3 13.6 13.8%
11-7 15.0% 7.9% 2.3% 5.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 13.8 5.7%
10-8 11.6% 3.1% 1.6% 1.6% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 11.2 1.6%
9-9 7.8% 1.4% 1.0% 0.4% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.7 0.4%
8-10 4.8% 0.5% 0.5% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.1%
7-11 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 2.7
6-12 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 1.2
5-13 0.4% 0.4
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 27.4% 6.1% 21.4% 9.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.3 3.5 5.6 8.9 1.4 0.0 72.6 22.7%