Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#168
Expected Predictive Rating-2.7#210
Pace69.9#155
Improvement-1.5#277

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#231
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#114
Layup/Dunks+2.8#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#284
Freethrows-0.9#237
Improvement-0.7#242

Defense
Total Defense+1.4#127
First Shot+2.0#114
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#234
Layups/Dunks-2.3#263
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#64
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#106
Freethrows+0.9#122
Improvement-0.8#244
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 2.9% 1.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 23.7% 31.9% 14.2%
.500 or above in Conference 36.8% 41.8% 31.1%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 9.3% 7.4% 11.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round2.3% 2.8% 1.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: High Point (Home) - 53.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 35 - 86 - 16
Quad 46 - 213 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 121   College of Charleston L 80-90 38%     0 - 1 -7.5 +0.2 -6.6
  Nov 14, 2024 97   @ Oklahoma St. L 78-85 19%     0 - 2 +1.6 +6.3 -4.4
  Nov 18, 2024 130   North Dakota St. W 69-44 52%     1 - 2 +23.8 -3.2 +28.9
  Nov 22, 2024 7   @ Florida L 68-93 3%     1 - 3 -3.9 +1.6 -4.8
  Nov 25, 2024 101   Louisiana Tech L 79-85 OT 29%     1 - 4 -0.9 -4.5 +4.6
  Nov 26, 2024 220   Eastern Kentucky L 72-77 58%     1 - 5 -7.8 -5.5 -2.1
  Dec 03, 2024 79   Bradley L 60-83 33%     1 - 6 0 - 1 -18.9 -10.6 -9.0
  Dec 07, 2024 282   Southern Indiana W 73-70 81%     2 - 6 -6.7 +1.2 -7.7
  Dec 14, 2024 273   @ Austin Peay W 65-60 60%     3 - 6 +1.9 +0.0 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2024 135   High Point W 73-72 54%    
  Dec 29, 2024 98   @ Northern Iowa L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 01, 2025 290   Evansville W 75-66 80%    
  Jan 05, 2025 153   @ Illinois St. L 68-72 36%    
  Jan 08, 2025 133   @ Belmont L 76-81 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 194   Missouri St. W 71-67 64%    
  Jan 15, 2025 194   @ Missouri St. L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 98   Northern Iowa L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 22, 2025 124   Murray St. L 68-69 50%    
  Jan 25, 2025 199   @ Illinois-Chicago L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 28, 2025 226   @ Valparaiso L 73-74 50%    
  Feb 01, 2025 67   @ Drake L 59-71 14%    
  Feb 05, 2025 290   @ Evansville W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 08, 2025 199   Illinois-Chicago W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 12, 2025 79   @ Bradley L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 133   Belmont W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 19, 2025 124   @ Murray St. L 65-71 30%    
  Feb 22, 2025 226   Valparaiso W 77-71 70%    
  Feb 25, 2025 153   Illinois St. W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 02, 2025 150   @ Indiana St. L 77-81 36%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 4.3 1.6 0.2 10.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.0 2.1 0.1 0.0 10.9 6th
7th 0.3 3.1 5.8 2.8 0.2 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.8 3.7 0.5 0.0 12.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.6 3.3 0.6 0.0 11.0 10th
11th 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.5 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 1.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 5.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.0 6.9 9.7 12.6 13.8 13.2 12.2 9.6 7.1 4.2 2.3 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
17-3 68.3% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 50.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 22.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 6.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 18.3% 18.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-4 0.4% 16.2% 16.2% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-5 1.0% 13.7% 13.7% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8
14-6 2.3% 12.6% 12.6% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0
13-7 4.2% 8.1% 8.1% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.9
12-8 7.1% 5.9% 5.9% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 6.6
11-9 9.6% 3.7% 3.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 9.2
10-10 12.2% 2.4% 2.4% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 11.9
9-11 13.2% 1.5% 1.5% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.0
8-12 13.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.9 0.0 0.1 13.7
7-13 12.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 12.5
6-14 9.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 9.7
5-15 6.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.9
4-16 4.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-17 2.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.0
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.4 0.3 97.7 0.0%