Texas San Antonio
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#278
Expected Predictive Rating-16.7#351
Pace75.0#53
Improvement-0.8#286

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#221
First Shot+0.6#153
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#304
Layup/Dunks+0.0#186
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#19
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.4#337
Freethrows+2.8#58
Improvement-0.5#263

Defense
Total Defense-4.3#313
First Shot-2.6#261
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#283
Layups/Dunks-4.5#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#206
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows+0.8#136
Improvement-0.4#243
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.7 13.9
.500 or above 2.3% 7.5% 1.5%
.500 or above in Conference 5.4% 10.6% 4.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 55.9% 42.5% 58.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Away) - 13.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 61 - 10
Quad 33 - 83 - 18
Quad 43 - 47 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2024 93   @ Bradley L 72-85 9%     0 - 1 -4.4 -1.8 -1.7
  Nov 16, 2024 247   Arkansas Little Rock L 64-81 55%     0 - 2 -24.3 -14.4 -9.4
  Nov 25, 2024 124   @ Troy L 71-83 13%    
  Nov 27, 2024 230   Merrimack L 69-72 40%    
  Nov 30, 2024 357   Houston Christian W 85-74 85%    
  Dec 03, 2024 44   @ St. Mary's L 64-84 3%    
  Dec 07, 2024 27   @ Arkansas L 68-90 2%    
  Dec 15, 2024 255   @ North Dakota L 75-79 35%    
  Dec 29, 2024 303   @ Army L 69-71 45%    
  Jan 04, 2025 146   @ Tulane L 73-83 19%    
  Jan 07, 2025 147   Tulsa L 79-83 37%    
  Jan 11, 2025 94   Wichita St. L 72-81 23%    
  Jan 14, 2025 171   @ Rice L 70-78 23%    
  Jan 18, 2025 83   North Texas L 62-72 19%    
  Jan 21, 2025 103   @ UAB L 71-85 12%    
  Jan 25, 2025 113   Temple L 72-79 28%    
  Jan 29, 2025 75   @ Florida Atlantic L 74-91 7%    
  Feb 01, 2025 83   @ North Texas L 59-75 9%    
  Feb 05, 2025 146   Tulane L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 145   East Carolina L 70-74 37%    
  Feb 12, 2025 94   @ Wichita St. L 69-84 11%    
  Feb 15, 2025 147   @ Tulsa L 76-86 20%    
  Feb 19, 2025 121   South Florida L 73-79 30%    
  Feb 23, 2025 145   @ East Carolina L 67-77 20%    
  Mar 02, 2025 171   Rice L 73-75 42%    
  Mar 04, 2025 33   Memphis L 74-89 10%    
  Mar 09, 2025 142   @ Charlotte L 65-75 19%    
Projected Record 6 - 21 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.8 0.1 2.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.2 3.8 8th
9th 0.3 1.8 2.8 0.6 0.0 5.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.2 5.3 2.7 0.3 0.0 12.1 11th
12th 0.2 1.8 5.6 7.5 4.0 0.6 0.0 19.8 12th
13th 5.0 10.7 13.1 10.0 4.0 0.8 0.0 43.6 13th
Total 5.0 10.8 15.0 16.1 15.0 12.5 9.3 6.6 4.2 2.6 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 84.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 55.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.1
13-5 0.2% 12.7% 12.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.4% 2.4% 2.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
11-7 0.8% 5.0% 5.0% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
10-8 1.3% 1.1% 1.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3
9-9 2.6% 0.3% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
8-10 4.2% 0.3% 0.3% 15.6 0.0 0.0 4.2
7-11 6.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.6
6-12 9.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.3
5-13 12.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.5
4-14 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.0
3-15 16.1% 16.1
2-16 15.0% 15.0
1-17 10.8% 10.8
0-18 5.0% 5.0
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%