Wisconsin-Milwaukee
Horizon
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#210
Expected Predictive Rating-0.8#196
Pace73.1#78
Improvement+1.3#57

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#153
First Shot+0.5#156
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#160
Layup/Dunks-1.9#251
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#112
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#258
Freethrows+3.8#30
Improvement+0.7#74

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#285
First Shot-0.4#193
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#321
Layups/Dunks+1.4#136
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#109
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#279
Freethrows-0.1#190
Improvement+0.5#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.5% 11.2% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 56.0% 65.7% 39.6%
.500 or above in Conference 69.6% 74.6% 61.1%
Conference Champion 11.0% 13.4% 7.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.1% 2.6%
First Four1.0% 0.8% 1.3%
First Round9.0% 10.9% 6.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland St. (Home) - 62.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 74 - 10
Quad 412 - 516 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2024 118   @ Northern Iowa L 68-87 20%     0 - 1 -12.7 -0.6 -12.7
  Nov 13, 2024 179   @ Longwood L 62-76 33%     0 - 2 -12.0 -15.6 +5.5
  Nov 19, 2024 207   @ Duquesne W 80-74 38%     1 - 2 +6.7 +9.8 -3.0
  Nov 22, 2024 218   Portland St. W 85-82 63%    
  Nov 23, 2024 204   Wofford W 75-72 60%    
  Nov 24, 2024 163   St. Thomas W 76-75 53%    
  Nov 27, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 70-83 11%    
  Nov 30, 2024 229   @ Southern Miss L 79-81 42%    
  Dec 05, 2024 219   Cleveland St. W 76-73 63%    
  Dec 11, 2024 252   @ Green Bay L 79-80 47%    
  Dec 15, 2024 139   Akron L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 29, 2024 361   IU Indianapolis W 83-68 91%    
  Jan 02, 2025 176   @ Oakland L 71-76 34%    
  Jan 04, 2025 338   @ Detroit Mercy W 79-73 70%    
  Jan 08, 2025 140   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 77-84 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 252   Green Bay W 82-77 67%    
  Jan 17, 2025 190   Youngstown St. W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 19, 2025 288   Robert Morris W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 22, 2025 186   @ Wright St. L 82-86 36%    
  Jan 24, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 02, 2025 140   Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-81 47%    
  Feb 05, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 80-71 79%    
  Feb 08, 2025 219   @ Cleveland St. L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 14, 2025 186   Wright St. W 85-83 56%    
  Feb 16, 2025 201   Northern Kentucky W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 21, 2025 190   @ Youngstown St. L 75-79 36%    
  Feb 23, 2025 288   @ Robert Morris W 74-73 54%    
  Feb 27, 2025 176   Oakland W 74-73 55%    
  Mar 01, 2025 338   Detroit Mercy W 82-70 84%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 2.9 2.3 1.2 0.5 0.1 11.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.1 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.3 5.0 2.9 0.6 0.1 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.0 5.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.1 5.5 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.7 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.5 3.3 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 2.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.7 5.6 7.5 9.6 11.1 11.8 11.9 10.8 8.7 6.6 4.3 2.6 1.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
18-2 98.2% 1.2    1.2 0.1
17-3 89.1% 2.3    1.9 0.4 0.0
16-4 67.7% 2.9    1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
15-5 39.7% 2.6    1.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-6 13.8% 1.2    0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 11.0% 11.0 6.7 3.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 42.3% 42.3% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.5% 49.2% 49.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 1.2% 37.8% 37.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8
17-3 2.6% 32.9% 32.9% 13.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7
16-4 4.3% 24.4% 24.4% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.3
15-5 6.6% 22.0% 22.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.5 0.1 5.1
14-6 8.7% 16.1% 16.1% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 7.3
13-7 10.8% 12.5% 12.5% 15.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 9.5
12-8 11.9% 8.7% 8.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 10.9
11-9 11.8% 6.6% 6.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 11.0
10-10 11.1% 4.1% 4.1% 15.8 0.1 0.4 10.7
9-11 9.6% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 9.4
8-12 7.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 7.4
7-13 5.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 5.6
6-14 3.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.7
5-15 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
4-16 1.1% 1.1
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.5% 9.5% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.5 2.9 2.3 90.5 0.0%