Wright St.
Horizon
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#186
Expected Predictive Rating+1.8#162
Pace76.6#37
Improvement+0.0#166

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#110
First Shot+5.3#46
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#323
Layup/Dunks+5.2#38
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.4#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.0#328
Freethrows+0.7#154
Improvement-0.2#196

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#297
First Shot-7.3#353
After Offensive Rebounds+3.6#24
Layups/Dunks-7.6#351
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#68
Freethrows-0.5#209
Improvement+0.2#149
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.2% 16.5% 11.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 71.2% 84.9% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 84.7% 74.0%
Conference Champion 16.2% 22.0% 13.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.5% 1.2%
First Four0.7% 0.4% 0.9%
First Round12.9% 16.4% 11.4%
Second Round1.0% 1.4% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Neutral) - 31.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 34 - 54 - 8
Quad 413 - 516 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 10   @ Kentucky L 62-103 4%     0 - 1 -21.1 -6.6 -12.1
  Nov 09, 2024 228   @ Miami (OH) W 81-68 46%     1 - 1 +12.8 +6.4 +6.1
  Nov 13, 2024 138   @ Toledo L 77-86 29%     1 - 2 -4.5 +1.6 -5.8
  Nov 21, 2024 110   Princeton L 77-82 31%    
  Nov 30, 2024 292   Air Force W 77-68 79%    
  Dec 05, 2024 176   @ Oakland L 75-78 38%    
  Dec 07, 2024 338   @ Detroit Mercy W 82-75 74%    
  Dec 11, 2024 195   Marshall W 83-80 62%    
  Dec 18, 2024 190   Youngstown St. W 81-78 61%    
  Dec 21, 2024 301   @ Eastern Michigan W 76-73 62%    
  Dec 29, 2024 219   @ Cleveland St. L 77-78 45%    
  Jan 02, 2025 252   Green Bay W 85-79 71%    
  Jan 09, 2025 176   Oakland W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 12, 2025 288   @ Robert Morris W 77-75 58%    
  Jan 15, 2025 140   Purdue Fort Wayne W 84-83 51%    
  Jan 18, 2025 201   @ Northern Kentucky L 75-77 42%    
  Jan 22, 2025 210   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 86-82 64%    
  Jan 25, 2025 338   Detroit Mercy W 85-72 87%    
  Jan 30, 2025 190   @ Youngstown St. L 78-81 40%    
  Feb 02, 2025 288   Robert Morris W 80-72 76%    
  Feb 05, 2025 140   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 80-86 31%    
  Feb 08, 2025 361   IU Indianapolis W 86-70 92%    
  Feb 14, 2025 210   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 83-85 44%    
  Feb 16, 2025 252   @ Green Bay W 83-82 51%    
  Feb 21, 2025 201   Northern Kentucky W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 27, 2025 219   Cleveland St. W 80-75 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 361   @ IU Indianapolis W 83-73 82%    
Projected Record 15 - 12 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.7 4.2 3.6 2.0 0.8 0.2 16.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.0 4.6 1.9 0.4 0.1 15.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.7 3.4 0.9 0.1 0.0 13.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.3 2.9 0.6 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.9 2.7 0.4 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.6 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.5 0.9 0.1 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.5 3.8 5.8 8.2 9.5 11.1 11.8 12.0 10.5 9.1 6.2 4.1 2.0 0.8 0.2 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 97.2% 2.0    1.9 0.1 0.0
17-3 89.4% 3.6    2.9 0.7 0.0
16-4 68.2% 4.2    2.7 1.3 0.2
15-5 40.1% 3.7    1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0
14-6 14.3% 1.5    0.3 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 16.2% 16.2 10.3 4.5 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.2% 61.7% 60.0% 1.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.2%
19-1 0.8% 52.0% 52.0% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4
18-2 2.0% 43.4% 43.4% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2
17-3 4.1% 35.0% 35.0% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.6
16-4 6.2% 31.2% 31.2% 13.6 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.3
15-5 9.1% 24.3% 24.3% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.1 6.9
14-6 10.5% 18.5% 18.5% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.1 8.5
13-7 12.0% 13.3% 13.3% 14.8 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.3 10.4
12-8 11.8% 9.7% 9.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.3 10.7
11-9 11.1% 7.0% 7.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 10.4
10-10 9.5% 4.6% 4.6% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.1
9-11 8.2% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.2 8.0
8-12 5.8% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.7
7-13 3.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.8
6-14 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.0 2.5
5-15 1.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 1.4
4-16 0.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.3
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 13.2% 13.2% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.7 3.9 3.7 1.9 86.8 0.0%