Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2025-26
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#111
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace69.5#134
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.7#145
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#90
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.6% 6.9% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.3% 1.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 10.7 10.7 12.0
.500 or above 69.5% 71.9% 40.4%
.500 or above in Conference 59.5% 61.2% 39.3%
Conference Champion 7.5% 7.9% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 4.4% 10.7%
First Four0.7% 0.8% 0.1%
First Round6.2% 6.5% 2.4%
Second Round1.8% 1.9% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Lafayette (Home) - 92.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 53 - 7
Quad 36 - 49 - 12
Quad 48 - 117 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 03, 2025 308   Lafayette W 75-60 92%    
  Nov 08, 2025 227   Drexel W 69-59 84%    
  Nov 12, 2025 76   @ Virginia Tech L 66-72 28%    
  Nov 19, 2025 278   @ Penn W 76-69 74%    
  Nov 20, 2025 86   @ UNLV L 66-71 32%    
  Nov 30, 2025 171   Princeton W 72-67 66%    
  Dec 09, 2025 362   Coppin St. W 80-56 98%    
  Dec 11, 2025 64   @ Syracuse L 69-77 24%    
  Dec 18, 2025 338   Delaware St. W 82-64 93%    
  Dec 22, 2025 275   Coastal Carolina W 73-60 87%    
  Dec 31, 2025 72   @ Saint Louis L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 03, 2026 144   Davidson W 72-66 70%    
  Jan 07, 2026 115   Duquesne W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 11, 2026 137   @ Richmond L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 14, 2026 120   St. Bonaventure W 68-64 65%    
  Jan 19, 2026 58   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-72 23%    
  Jan 24, 2026 65   Dayton L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 27, 2026 103   @ Loyola Chicago L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 31, 2026 196   @ La Salle W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 04, 2026 85   George Washington W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 07, 2026 99   @ George Mason L 64-68 36%    
  Feb 10, 2026 164   Fordham W 78-70 73%    
  Feb 18, 2026 120   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-67 45%    
  Feb 21, 2026 103   Loyola Chicago W 70-68 57%    
  Feb 25, 2026 99   George Mason W 67-65 56%    
  Feb 28, 2026 146   @ Rhode Island W 74-73 51%    
  Mar 04, 2026 144   @ Davidson W 69-68 50%    
  Mar 07, 2026 196   La Salle W 76-67 76%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.2 7.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.9 3.4 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.5 3.8 2.3 0.7 0.1 9.7 3rd
4th 0.3 2.3 4.3 2.5 0.5 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.3 2.8 0.4 0.0 9.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.6 0.8 0.0 8.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.1 4.1 1.2 0.1 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.0 3.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.2 0.3 0.0 5.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.5 0.6 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.1 0.8 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.7 0.1 3.8 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.3 3.8 5.6 7.3 9.1 10.7 11.1 11.0 10.7 8.9 7.4 5.0 3.1 1.7 0.6 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 99.3% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 87.7% 1.5    1.2 0.2 0.0
15-3 67.8% 2.1    1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.7% 1.9    0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.6% 1.1    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.5% 7.5 4.3 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 94.5% 53.9% 40.6% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.1%
17-1 0.6% 69.0% 33.5% 35.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 53.4%
16-2 1.7% 53.6% 31.7% 21.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.8 32.0%
15-3 3.1% 33.4% 22.3% 11.1% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.1 2.0 14.3%
14-4 5.0% 21.0% 18.2% 2.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.9 3.5%
13-5 7.4% 14.3% 13.0% 1.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.3 1.5%
12-6 8.9% 8.2% 7.9% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.2 0.3%
11-7 10.7% 5.5% 5.4% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.1 0.1%
10-8 11.0% 2.6% 2.6% 12.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.7
9-9 11.1% 1.8% 1.8% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.9
8-10 10.7% 0.8% 0.8% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
7-11 9.1% 0.7% 0.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0
6-12 7.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.6 0.0 0.0 7.3
5-13 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 23.5 0.0 0.0 5.6
4-14 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 6.6% 5.3% 1.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 2.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 93.4 1.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.4 28.4 56.8 14.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 8.0 100.0