Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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All team stats adjusted for opponents. See methodology page for details.

Predictive Rating +3.1 116
Results Rating +4.7 103
Consistency 0.13 65
Pace 69.5 146
Improvement +8.8 2

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 238 D+ C C D+ B
Defense B 43 B C+ D+ A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 195 C+ 59% 140 +0.1 174
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 329 D+ 35% 289 -3.3 328
Three Pointers 49% 35 D- 30% 327 +0.8 154
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +0.9 69 D+ -3.1 285
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.98 244
Second Chance C+ 31.9% 130 C- 1.01 216 C 0.32 149
Opponents' Steals C- 10.1% 258
Other Turnovers C+ 7.0% 152
Turnovers C 17.1% 212
Freethrows D 0.27 293 B- 75% 108 D+ 0.20 254
Total Offense C- -2.5 238

Assists Opponents' Blocks
Close Shots A- 62% 21 C- 11.5% 209
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 19% 265 D+ 6.4% 274
Three Pointers C 83% 214 F 2.1% 353
Total B+ 64% 34 C- 6.2% 253


Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 307 B 53% 60 -4.4 49
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 45 B- 35% 76 +1.1 282
Three Pointers 41% 189 B- 32% 105 -1.0 139
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -0.9 41 B -3.4 49
1st FG Attempt B 0.93 43
Second Chance C 30.6% 196 B- 0.96 69 C+ 0.29 129
Turnovers from Steals D+ 8.0% 292
Other Turnovers C+ 7.5% 132
Turnovers D+ 15.5% 253
Freethrows A 0.22 8 B- 71% 86 A 0.15 9
Total Defense B +5.6 43

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 116 B 15.3% 43
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 250 C- 3.9% 224
Three Pointers D+ 87% 268 B 1.7% 53
Total C 55% 170 B- 6.9% 81

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.3 171 17.3 179
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 116 0.16 129
Consistency 0.12 168 0.13 207
Improvement +1.3 124 +7.5 2

NCAA Tournament Selection
At-Large Selection Status Out of Consideration
Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Prediction Ranges
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 131 116 102
Results Rating Rank 130 104 89
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 13 - 5
Conference Finish 4 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 3% 2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.2 12.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 3% 2%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%
Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 37.1% chance of victory

Projected Record by Quadrant
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 38 - 210 - 10
Quad 49 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 324 Lafayette W 85 - 76 93% +6  93% 1 - 0 C- -5 C+ +3 F A+ A D- -7 C F F+
 Sat, Nov 8 214 Drexel W 76 - 65 81% +1  44% 2 - 0 B- +5 C- -1 D+ D B- B+ +5 A+ F D
 Wed, Nov 12 56 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 18% -20  1% 2 - 1 F -22 F -14 F B- F D- -7 D D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 162 @Penn L 74 - 83 52% -1  30% 2 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -4 C+ F C- C- -2 F+ B+ B-
 Thu, Nov 20 102 @UNLV L 85 - 99 34% -4  17% 2 - 3 D+ -7 C +1 C- F B+ D -6 B- D- C-
 Sun, Nov 30 239 Princeton W 60 - 58 76% +1  65% 3 - 3 C- -2 F -11 F A+ F A- +8 C D B+
 Sat, Dec 6 166 Temple W 70 - 69 64% +2  55% 4 - 3 C +0 C +0 F+ A- F+ C+ +0 C- B A-
 Tue, Dec 9 363 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 98% +14  87% 5 - 3 C +1 B +6 C+ D+ B- D -5 F A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 76 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 24% -2  24% 5 - 4 C+ +3 D- -8 F D+ D+ A +10 B+ A- C-
 Thu, Dec 18 361 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 98% +12  99% 6 - 4 D+ -5 F -11 F B- D- A- +7 A D- C+
 Mon, Dec 22 228 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 82% -2  30% 6 - 5 D- -13 F -15 F D- D- B- +2 B- D- C
 Wed, Dec 31 24 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 8% -12  7% 6 - 6 0 - 1 C- -4 A+ +18 B- A+ A+ F -24 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 111 Davidson L 56 - 62 60% +5  84% 6 - 7 0 - 2 D+ -5 F+ -10 F+ C+ C- B- +3 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 120 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 62% -0  36% 7 - 7 1 - 2 B- +7 B+ +9 A C+ A- C- -3 D+ D C
 Sun, Jan 11 136 @Richmond W 67 - 65 45% +8  99% 8 - 7 2 - 2 B- +7 D- -6 C- D+ B- A+ +13 A+ B+ F+
 Wed, Jan 14 138 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 64 68% +4  72% 9 - 7 3 - 2 C+ +2 D- -7 D+ F+ D- A +10 A+ B D+
 Mon, Jan 19 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 79 15% -0  37% 9 - 8 3 - 3 B- +7 C- -1 A D F A- +8 B+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 24 75 Dayton W 81 - 74 44% +3  54% 10 - 8 4 - 3 B+ +12 B- +5 C+ C+ A+ B+ +6 A- D B+
 Tue, Jan 27 279 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 64 74% +20  99% 11 - 8 5 - 3 A- +17 A +14 A A+ C+ B +5 B B- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 210 @La Salle W 67 - 58 61% +7  89% 12 - 8 6 - 3 B +9 C- -1 B D+ F A +11 B A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 78 George Washington W 76 - 73 44% +4  73% 13 - 8 7 - 3 B- +8 C -0 B+ D- F+ A- +8 A+ C- B
 Sat, Feb 7 105 @George Mason L 52 - 60 35% +0  43% 13 - 9 7 - 4 C -1 F -12 F A+ F A +10 A+ C+ D-
 Tue, Feb 10 159 Fordham L 64 - 68 72% +3  65% 13 - 10 7 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -3 B- C D- D -5 B D- F
 Wed, Feb 18 138 @St. Bonaventure W 71 - 65 46% +2  66% 14 - 10 8 - 5 B +10 D -5 F C A A+ +15 A+ B+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 279 Loyola Chicago W 75 - 61 88% +10  94% 15 - 10 9 - 5 C+ +4 C +0 C- B+ C+ B +5 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 25 105 George Mason W 81 - 63 57% +15  94% 16 - 10 10 - 5 A +19 A +13 A B A+ A- +8 A- A C+
 Sat, Feb 28 135 @Rhode Island W 61 - 55 44% +3  72% 17 - 10 11 - 5 B +11 F+ -10 F+ F B A+ +20 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Mar 4 111 @Davidson L 65 - 68 37%
 Sat, Mar 7 210 La Salle W 71 - 62 80%
Totals 18 - 11 12 - 6 +3 C- -2 B- D+ B B +6 D- B- D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ D+ D- D+ 38% 23% 49% B D+ C+ C- C C D B- D+ B B B- B- B 34% 26% 41% B+ B C B- C+ D+ A B- A
1.05 59% 35% 30% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 17% .27 75% .20 1.01 53% 35% 32% -3 -1 0.93 31% 1.0 .29 16% .22 71% .19
Nov
3		 Lafayette C+ D+ B+ F F 45% 16% 39% B+ F A A A+ A A- A+ A+ D- C+ D B C 44% 19% 37% C C F+ F F F+ F A+ C
1.20 56% 44% 23% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.4 .54 10% .35 86% .30 1.08 54% 40% 30% -4 +1 0.96 31% 1.3 .38 13% .37 52% .19
Nov
8		 Drexel C- C F C D 44% 25% 31% C+ D+ C- F D B- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ D+ A+ 39% 23% 39% C+ A+ F F+ F D B- B B
1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42 0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15
Nov
12		 Virginia Tech F F A- F F 34% 20% 46% C+ F B- C B- F F A F D- F A+ C- D 44% 20% 36% D+ D C D- D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.80 42% 45% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 26% .09 80% .07 1.27 78% 25% 36% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.3 .41 9% .18 58% .10
Nov
17		 Penn D+ B+ C- D+ C 36% 14% 50% C+ C+ B F F C- C- C+ C C- C C+ F D- 47% 22% 31% F F+ D+ A+ B+ B- D- F F
0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16 1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 0 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31
Nov
20		 UNLV C D F B- C- 37% 19% 44% C C- C- F F B+ A+ C- A+ D C- A F+ B 55% 25% 20% C- B- F A D- C- F B- F
1.07 52% 27% 36% -3 0 0.96 28% 0.7 .20 15% .50 71% .35 1.24 61% 31% 40% +1 +1 1.06 51% 0.7 .37 15% .72 67% .49
Nov
30		 Princeton F B D- F F 40% 14% 47% B- F C+ A+ A+ F D A- C- A- A+ F D+ D+ 18% 27% 56% A+ C A F D B+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20 0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06
Dec
6		 Temple C F+ A F F 41% 9% 50% A- F+ A+ F A- F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D F B+ C- 35% 22% 43% C+ C- F A+ B A- F C F
1.11 50% 50% 27% -7 +2 0.91 49% 0.8 .41 19% .41 86% .35 1.09 63% 50% 30% +2 0 1.04 45% 0.5 .24 17% .46 75% .34
Dec
9		 Coppin St. B A A+ C+ C+ 23% 6% 70% C C+ F A+ D+ B- B+ A+ A+ D F F A F 27% 43% 29% A+ F A+ A+ A+ F A F B-
1.28 73% 67% 36% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 15% .42 88% .36 0.96 71% 45% 27% +4 -4 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 16% .23 85% .19
Dec
11		 Syracuse D- A+ F F F 36% 20% 44% C F B- F D+ D+ A+ D- A+ A C+ A+ F B+ 43% 29% 27% A- B+ A+ F A- C- F A+ D
0.91 69% 11% 15% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.9 .31 20% .49 67% .32 1.02 59% 27% 43% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.5 .25 14% .47 54% .25
Dec
18		 Delaware St. F C- F D F 38% 15% 48% C- F A+ F B- D- C F D A- A+ A- A- A+ 37% 35% 29% C- A F+ D D- C+ A B+ A
0.99 61% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.94 44% 0.9 .41 21% .34 61% .21 0.76 32% 28% 27% -16 -2 0.65 30% 0.8 .26 21% .21 64% .13
Dec
22		 Coastal Carolina F D+ B+ F F 33% 20% 47% B+ F D F D- D- F+ A- D B- D F A+ C 25% 42% 34% A+ B- B- F D- C D+ B- C-
0.87 50% 45% 19% -12 0 0.78 23% 0.8 .19 15% .23 79% .18 0.95 62% 50% 17% -3 -4 0.89 23% 1.4 .31 15% .28 71% .20
Dec
31		 Saint Louis A+ C F B+ B- 37% 21% 42% C+ B- A A+ A+ A+ A C+ A F F A+ F F 39% 7% 54% B- F B+ B- B F A+ A+ A+
1.21 53% 18% 36% -5 0 0.92 36% 1.4 .49 9% .40 75% .30 1.56 76% 25% 62% +29 +2 1.63 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 64% .12
Jan
3		 Davidson F+ B- B+ F F+ 31% 26% 43% D+ F+ C+ C C+ C- A+ B+ A+ B- A+ D+ B A+ 28% 23% 49% B A+ F F F A+ D- F F
0.92 62% 45% 17% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.0 .31 18% .42 71% .30 1.02 36% 44% 32% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.4 .54 23% .34 81% .28
Jan
7		 Duquesne B+ B- A+ B- A 41% 14% 45% B+ A A- F+ C+ A- A B A C- C- F B- D 35% 18% 47% A D+ F+ C+ D C A+ F A-
1.21 61% 75% 36% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.8 .31 14% .42 76% .32 1.12 62% 64% 32% +5 0 1.12 37% 1.0 .37 17% .23 87% .20
Jan
11		 Richmond D- A F F D+ 36% 18% 46% B+ C- D- B- D+ B- F F F A+ A+ A D A 9% 49% 42% A+ A+ A- C+ B+ F+ A A A
0.96 70% 20% 27% -4 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 16% .10 50% .05 0.93 40% 29% 38% -4 -6 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
14		 St. Bonaventure D- D+ D D+ D- 45% 12% 43% B+ D+ C F F+ D- B- A+ A- A A+ A- B- A+ 39% 33% 28% B+ A+ D- A B D+ B+ C+ B+
1.03 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26 0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16
Jan
19		 Virginia Commonwealth C- D+ A+ A+ A 55% 9% 36% A A D D D F B+ F C+ A- A A+ D+ A- 40% 9% 51% C- B+ A F C D+ A- B A-
0.99 50% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 25% 0.9 .22 25% .35 63% .22 1.09 48% 20% 37% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 14% .32 70% .22
Jan
24		 Dayton B- B- B- D C 33% 10% 57% A- C+ C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D+ F+ A 53% 15% 33% D+ A- C F+ D B+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 59% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 16% .41 81% .33 0.99 41% 38% 39% -7 +2 0.93 28% 1.4 .38 20% .25 60% .15
Jan
27		 Loyola Chicago A A+ F B A 44% 18% 38% B- A B- A+ A+ C+ F F F B C- C B C+ 19% 25% 57% A+ B D A B- F+ A+ D- A
1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05 0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14
Jan
31		 La Salle C- D+ F A+ B 29% 11% 60% C+ B D C D+ F C- A C A D+ C+ A+ B+ 44% 25% 31% C B B A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
1.03 54% 0% 44% +4 +1 1.11 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 75% .18 0.89 58% 36% 18% -8 0 0.85 30% 0.6 .18 12% .14 38% .05
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 George Washington C B+ A B A- 35% 18% 47% C B+ C F D- F+ D A+ C A- A+ F+ B- A+ 25% 7% 67% A- A+ F B+ C- B A- B- A-
1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20 1.04 43% 50% 32% -5 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
7		 George Mason F C+ F F F 21% 19% 60% C- F A+ A- A+ F F F F A A+ D- A A 33% 35% 33% A+ A+ C+ C C+ D- A+ F A
0.86 60% 0% 21% -18 -1 0.64 44% 1.1 .49 23% .09 50% .04 1.00 47% 44% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 13% .23 83% .19
Feb
10		 Fordham D+ F B- B+ C 34% 11% 55% A B- B D- C D- A+ F A- D F A+ A C+ 18% 36% 46% A+ B A- F D- F F F+ F
1.01 47% 40% 38% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .43 55% .23 1.08 89% 28% 26% -4 -3 0.88 29% 1.4 .40 11% .37 76% .28
Feb
18		 St. Bonaventure D F A+ F F 42% 7% 51% A- F C+ D+ C A F+ F F A+ A A+ B- A+ 29% 36% 36% A+ A+ A- B- B+ C- A+ F A+
1.02 43% 75% 29% -8 +2 0.91 30% 1.0 .30 13% .21 69% .15 0.94 47% 24% 33% -9 -3 0.80 30% 0.9 .27 16% .10 100% .10
Feb
21		 Loyola Chicago C D+ A D D 45% 12% 43% A- C- C A+ B+ C+ C A+ B B A C+ D- C+ 36% 16% 48% B C+ A A+ A+ C- B+ D B-
1.14 52% 50% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 12% .29 88% .26 0.93 44% 38% 38% -2 0 0.98 24% 0.4 .11 18% .26 71% .19
Feb
25		 George Mason A A+ A+ D+ A 41% 14% 45% A- A F A+ B A+ F D F A- D A- A+ A- 35% 20% 45% C A- D- A+ A C+ A+ F+ A-
1.26 74% 50% 32% +7 +1 1.18 14% 2.3 .32 5% .15 67% .10 0.98 67% 30% 26% -4 0 0.94 35% 0.6 .21 17% .26 79% .21
Feb
28		 Rhode Island F+ B- A+ F F 50% 4% 46% A+ F+ D F F B D F F+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ 34% 8% 58% D+ A+ C+ A+ A+ C- C- C+ C
0.87 59% 50% 16% -11 +3 0.85 26% 0.5 .14 19% .31 61% .19 0.78 41% 50% 21% -16 +1 0.72 31% 0.3 .08 19% .37 71% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 29.3 30.2 59.5 3rd
4th 12.8 27.7 40.5 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 12.8 57.0 30.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 30.2% 3.4% 3.4% 12.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0 29.1
12-6 57.0% 2.0% 2.0% 12.6 0.0 0.5 0.6 0.1 55.9
11-7 12.8% 1.1% 1.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.3% 2.3% 0.0% 12.4 97.7 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.0% 100.0% 12.2 9.2 65.0 25.2 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.4%
Lose Out 6.1%