George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +5.7 89
Expected Predictive Rating +9.4 61
Pace 63.1 326
Improvement -4.6 340

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ #102 B- C C+ A- C
Defense B- #92 B- B C- B B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 136 65% 46 +3.9 55
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 160 39% 144 +0.5 141
Three Pointers 38% 236 33% 222 -2.0 254
1st FG Attempt 1.07 103 +2.4 105
Second Chance 31.5% 154 0.99 231 0.31 173
Turnovers 16.3% 143
Freethrows 0.39 7 72% 204 0.28 15
Total Offense +2.7 102

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 304 58% 185 +2.4 98
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 72 32% 18 +0.1 184
Three Pointers 42% 147 33% 128 +0.2 170
1st FG Attempt 0.96 90 +2.7 92
Second Chance 26.9% 62 0.92 46 0.25 41
Turnovers 16.2% 219
Freethrows 0.25 34 72% 141 0.18 37
Total Defense +3.0 92

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Selection +0.0 191 -0.7 64
Shot Type Accuracy +2.4 100 -2.0 96
Possession Length 18.1 260 17.8 272
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 170 0.14 65
Improvement -4.1 #345 -0.5 #219

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.5 11.4 11.6
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round5% 6% 4%
Second Round1% 1% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 35.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 23 - 5
Quad 310 - 313 - 8
Quad 411 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 212 Wofford W 70 - 46 86% +9  90% 1 - 0 A +18 D -5 D C+ D- A+ +25 A+ A- A+
 Fri, Nov 7 130 Winthrop W 96 - 90 74% +0  40% 2 - 0 B- +5 A- +11 A+ D+ D+ D -6 D A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 327 New Hampshire W 61 - 44 95% +7  94% 3 - 0 C+ +4 F -15 F C D- A+ +20 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 308 Jacksonville W 79 - 57 94% +12  97% 4 - 0 B +10 B- +4 A+ F F B+ +7 B- B A+
 Mon, Nov 24 199 Ohio W 92 - 69 78% +20  97% 5 - 0 A +20 A+ +18 A- B+ A+ B- +3 B- D B-
 Tue, Nov 25 114 Florida Atlantic W 74 - 65 60% +11  99% 6 - 0 B+ +12 A +14 A+ C- A C +0 C A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 29 222 James Madison W 82 - 66 86% +1  48% 7 - 0 B +10 B +6 A F+ D- B +4 A B- F
 Tue, Dec 2 159 Cornell W 99 - 81 80% +5  68% 8 - 0 A- +15 A +11 A+ F+ D+ B- +3 D A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 55 @Virginia Tech L 62 - 73 24% -10  6% 8 - 1 C+ +2 C- -1 C- B F B- +2 D+ A+ C-
 Sat, Dec 13 253 Old Dominion W 73 - 61 90% +10  96% 9 - 1 C+ +4 D- -7 D- D C- A +11 B+ D+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 312 Loyola Maryland W 86 - 79 94% -1  44% 10 - 1 D+ -5 B+ +8 D- B- A F -13 D+ F D-
 Sun, Dec 28 185 Penn W 83 - 79 83% +3  72% 11 - 1 C -1 B +7 B A A+ D -7 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 226 @La Salle W 80 - 75 72% -5  8% 12 - 1 1 - 0 C+ +5 A+ +14 F+ A+ A+ F+ -9 C- B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 116 Rhode Island W 61 - 50 71% +4  84% 13 - 1 2 - 0 B +11 D -5 C+ F+ A+ A+ +18 B+ A+ B-
 Wed, Jan 7 157 @Fordham W 67 - 58 61% +1  48% 14 - 1 3 - 0 B+ +12 C+ +3 D+ D+ B- A- +9 B+ A D-
 Sat, Jan 10 51 Virginia Commonwealth W 86 - 80 41% +1  42% 15 - 1 4 - 0 B+ +14 A+ +17 A- B+ A+ C- -3 C B- D-
 Tue, Jan 13 277 @Loyola Chicago W 82 - 74 81% -3  17% 16 - 1 5 - 0 C+ +4 A +13 C A+ B- D- -7 F D F
 Mon, Jan 19 84 George Washington W 69 - 64 58% +1  59% 17 - 1 6 - 0 B +9 D -5 B C D+ A+ +13 A A+ C
 Sat, Jan 24 116 @Rhode Island L 65 - 74 49% -5  3% 17 - 2 6 - 1 C- -3 B +5 C- B A+ F+ -10 C+ B- F
 Wed, Jan 28 111 Davidson W 60 - 52 69% +3  72% 18 - 2 7 - 1 B +9 D+ -3 B+ F F A+ +13 A+ C+ B+
 Sat, Jan 31 134 @St. Bonaventure W 77 - 73 54% -8  1% 19 - 2 8 - 1 B +9 C +1 B+ C F B+ +8 F+ A+ B
 Wed, Feb 4 108 Duquesne L 65 - 71 67% -0  43% 19 - 3 8 - 2 D+ -5 D -5 B+ D F C -1 A- F F+
 Sat, Feb 7 136 Saint Joseph's W 60 - 52 75% -0  44% 20 - 3 9 - 2 B- +7 D+ -3 D C- B A +11 A+ F A
 Tue, Feb 10 128 @Richmond L 70 - 82 53% -17  0% 20 - 4 9 - 3 D+ -7 D -4 D- B- F C- -3 D B+ C-
 Fri, Feb 13 84 @George Washington L 74 - 78 36%
 Wed, Feb 18 97 Dayton W 71 - 68 64%
 Wed, Feb 25 136 @Saint Joseph's W 69 - 68 55%
 Sat, Feb 28 134 St. Bonaventure W 75 - 68 75%
 Tue, Mar 3 51 @Virginia Commonwealth L 70 - 78 22%
 Sat, Mar 7 22 Saint Louis L 71 - 79 23%
Totals 23 - 7 12 - 6 +6 C+ +3 B- C C+ B- +3 B- B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B+ C+ C- B- 40% 22% 38% C B- C+ C- C C+ A C A- B- C B+ C+ B- 34% 24% 42% B B- B B B C- B+ C+ B
1.12 65% 39% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.0 .31 16% .39 72% .28 1.04 58% 32% 33% -2 -1 0.96 27% 0.9 .25 16% .25 72% .28
Nov
3		 Wofford D C+ D D D+ 42% 25% 33% D- D D A C+ D- C D+ C A+ D- A+ A+ A+ 19% 19% 62% A+ A+ B- A+ A- A+ C A+ B
1.08 60% 33% 31% -2 0 0.98 27% 1.4 .37 18% .30 75% .23 0.71 63% 13% 23% -14 -1 0.71 26% 0.7 .18 25% .33 63% .20
Nov
7		 Winthrop A- A+ F+ A+ A+ 36% 13% 51% B- A+ A+ F D+ D+ A+ D+ A+ D F B D F 19% 22% 59% A+ D A A+ A+ F D F F
1.25 76% 33% 42% +12 +1 1.28 44% 0.6 .28 18% .69 72% .50 1.17 73% 31% 37% +4 -2 1.07 24% 0.2 .04 8% .41 86% .35
Nov
15		 New Hampshire F B F F F 43% 17% 39% C+ F B D- C D- A+ B- A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 33% 35% 33% A+ A+ A F D+ A+ A- F C+
0.92 65% 13% 11% -15 +1 0.74 37% 0.9 .32 18% .50 78% .39 0.67 47% 19% 13% -20 -2 0.57 17% 1.7 .28 27% .19 89% .17
Nov
18		 Jacksonville B- A+ C A+ A+ 47% 21% 32% C+ A+ C+ F F F A+ F A+ B+ B+ F A+ B 50% 19% 31% D- B- F A+ B A+ D F F
1.21 83% 38% 58% +23 +1 1.50 32% 0.4 .12 20% .67 63% .42 0.87 48% 50% 23% -8 +1 0.88 39% 0.6 .23 29% .32 87% .28
Nov
24		 Ohio A+ C+ F A+ A 35% 15% 51% C+ A- B+ C+ B+ A+ C D C- B- D+ C C+ C- 18% 40% 42% A+ B- F B- D B- D B+ C-
1.36 58% 25% 46% +8 0 1.18 41% 1.1 .44 9% .33 70% .23 1.02 63% 44% 32% +2 -4 0.98 36% 0.9 .33 18% .36 65% .23
Nov
25		 Florida Atlantic A B- B A+ A+ 40% 28% 33% D- A+ A- F C- A A C- A- C F A+ B- C 38% 23% 40% B C C A+ A+ C- A- D B
1.25 59% 42% 57% +13 -1 1.26 34% 0.7 .24 12% .40 71% .29 1.10 78% 18% 32% +2 0 1.04 34% 0.5 .17 17% .24 75% .18
Nov
29		 James Madison B A+ A+ C+ A+ 41% 17% 41% C+ A F A F+ D- A+ B+ A+ B D+ A+ B- A- 24% 25% 51% A+ A A- F+ B- F A- F B-
1.24 71% 57% 35% +9 +1 1.22 16% 1.3 .20 15% .64 78% .50 0.99 62% 14% 32% -7 -2 0.85 23% 1.2 .28 9% .23 79% .18
Dec
2		 Cornell A A+ F A+ A+ 44% 20% 35% C A+ B F F+ D+ A A+ A+ B- C A+ F D+ 45% 2% 53% F D A- A+ A+ C C+ B C+
1.37 83% 18% 53% +17 0 1.37 36% 0.7 .25 17% .41 84% .35 1.12 61% 0% 44% +9 +3 1.25 25% 0.9 .22 18% .29 71% .20
Dec
6		 Virginia Tech C- F C- B C- 40% 17% 43% B C- A D+ B F B+ A- A- B- D- C D D+ 33% 21% 46% C+ D+ A A+ A+ C- A D+ A-
0.96 42% 38% 35% -6 +1 0.91 41% 0.9 .38 25% .29 79% .23 1.13 71% 36% 38% +6 0 1.13 26% 0.6 .16 14% .23 77% .18
Dec
13		 Old Dominion D- C- F D- F+ 54% 18% 28% B D- D- C- D C- A+ C A+ A B+ B+ C B+ 36% 34% 30% B B+ A- F D+ A+ B- D- C+
1.03 59% 11% 29% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 15% .52 74% .38 0.86 50% 29% 33% -6 -2 0.86 18% 1.7 .30 22% .25 79% .20
Dec
21		 Loyola Maryland B+ B+ B- F D 33% 31% 35% F+ D- B- C- B- A A+ B+ A+ F A+ C- F D+ 37% 15% 48% C D+ D- F F D- D F F+
1.28 71% 44% 22% 0 -2 0.98 36% 1.2 .42 10% .57 79% .45 1.18 40% 38% 42% -1 +1 1.02 32% 1.3 .41 15% .30 82% .25
Dec
28		 Penn B A+ A+ F B 48% 26% 26% C- B B+ A- A A+ A+ F A- D D D F F 32% 28% 40% C+ F A A+ A+ F A- A+ A+
1.21 75% 69% 8% +6 0 1.14 38% 1.1 .41 10% .45 50% .23 1.15 61% 44% 48% +11 -1 1.21 24% 0.7 .16 12% .25 53% .13
Dec
31		 La Salle A+ D+ A- F F+ 44% 27% 29% D+ F+ D A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+ F+ A F+ D- D+ 33% 27% 40% B C- C B B- F F C+ F
1.27 52% 46% 21% -6 0 0.90 24% 2.1 .52 0% .44 75% .33 1.19 44% 46% 37% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.9 .29 6% .46 70% .32
Jan
3		 Rhode Island D C F A+ B- 38% 24% 38% D+ C+ F A+ F+ A+ A+ F B A+ D- A+ B- B 26% 19% 55% A B+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+
0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28 0.80 67% 22% 31% -3 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06
Jan
7		 Fordham C+ C+ A+ F D- 53% 22% 24% A D+ D- B D+ B- A+ A- A+ A- A+ A- C A- 45% 18% 37% D- B+ D- A+ A D- B- A+ B+
1.07 58% 50% 9% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.2 .25 14% .49 77% .37 0.93 43% 33% 32% -9 +1 0.86 40% 0.5 .21 14% .19 60% .11
Jan
10		 Virginia Commonwealth A+ A+ A+ F A 41% 31% 29% D- A- D- A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- F D B- D+ 31% 23% 46% A+ C B- C B- D- D- D+ D-
1.29 75% 53% 21% +6 -1 1.12 23% 1.7 .38 11% .40 88% .35 1.20 73% 45% 32% +5 -1 1.10 32% 1.1 .35 12% .43 76% .32
Jan
13		 Loyola Chicago A C D- A+ C+ 43% 32% 26% D+ C A+ A+ A+ B- A+ C- A+ D- F F B+ F 50% 8% 42% F+ F B F D F D+ A+ B-
1.29 55% 33% 50% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.4 .60 11% .46 77% .35 1.17 68% 75% 29% +5 +2 1.16 29% 1.3 .36 14% .33 56% .18
Jan
19		 George Washington D B- A+ C B 37% 17% 46% C+ B F A+ C D+ A D- B A+ B+ A+ B A+ 50% 4% 46% D A A+ F A+ C A+ C+ A+
1.02 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 14% 2.3 .31 19% .37 65% .24 0.95 52% 0% 30% -7 +3 0.94 20% 1.3 .26 18% .20 73% .14
Jan
24		 Rhode Island B D A+ F C- 44% 22% 34% C C- C+ A B A+ A+ A A+ F+ D- A+ B C+ 48% 14% 39% D C+ A+ F B- F F D F
1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38 1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40
Jan
28		 Davidson D+ A- A+ D B+ 40% 18% 43% B+ B+ A F F F A+ F+ A+ A+ B+ B- A+ A+ 18% 33% 49% A+ A+ D+ B+ C+ B+ A+ C A+
1.03 69% 57% 29% +5 +1 1.13 40% 0.3 .13 22% .49 59% .29 0.89 50% 40% 27% -6 -3 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 21% .13 67% .09
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 St. Bonaventure C A+ A+ F B 50% 12% 38% A- B+ B- C- C F C- F D- B+ C+ F F F 47% 29% 24% C F+ A+ C- A+ B F A+ D-
1.09 73% 67% 25% +6 +2 1.17 32% 1.0 .32 23% .28 67% .18 1.04 57% 62% 45% +11 0 1.22 19% 1.0 .19 20% .44 56% .25
Feb
4		 Duquesne D A+ F A- A- 30% 30% 39% D- B+ C+ F D F D+ F F C A- A+ D A- 39% 20% 41% A- A- C- F F F+ D+ D D
1.01 86% 21% 39% +6 -2 1.11 30% 0.7 .20 26% .32 53% .17 1.10 50% 22% 37% -4 0 0.93 32% 1.4 .45 14% .38 76% .29
Feb
7		 Saint Joseph's D+ F+ B+ F D+ 33% 35% 33% D D C- C- C- B C A+ B A C- A+ A+ A+ 21% 19% 60% A A+ F D F A A+ A+ A+
1.00 47% 44% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 13% .23 83% .19 0.86 60% 0% 21% -18 -1 0.64 44% 1.1 .49 23% .09 50% .04
Feb
10		 Richmond D B- F F F 44% 19% 37% A- D- A- D B- F A+ D A+ C- F A+ D D+ 28% 15% 57% F D A C B+ C- C+ F C-
1.00 63% 25% 19% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.1 .41 21% .54 67% .36 1.17 73% 25% 39% +6 0 1.15 19% 1.0 .19 14% .32 84% .27



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.8 7.2 4.9 0.6 15.7 2nd
3rd 1.4 18.2 27.5 12.1 1.0 60.3 3rd
4th 0.0 5.4 8.4 1.2 15.0 4th
5th 0.3 4.5 0.8 5.6 5th
6th 0.9 1.3 2.2 6th
7th 0.8 0.1 0.9 7th
8th 0.2 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 2.2 12.8 27.6 31.5 19.3 6.0 0.7 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 12.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-4 1.2% 0.1    0.1 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.7% 11.3% 8.5% 2.8% 11.0 0.1 0.6 3.1%
14-4 6.0% 11.1% 10.0% 1.2% 11.1 0.0 0.6 0.1 5.3 1.3%
13-5 19.3% 7.1% 6.8% 0.3% 11.3 1.0 0.4 0.0 18.0 0.3%
12-6 31.5% 5.1% 5.0% 0.1% 11.5 0.9 0.7 0.1 29.9 0.1%
11-7 27.6% 3.4% 3.4% 11.8 0.3 0.6 0.1 26.6
10-8 12.8% 1.8% 1.8% 12.1 0.2 0.0 12.6
9-9 2.2% 1.4% 1.4% 12.0 0.0 2.1
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.9% 4.8% 0.2% 11.5 95.1 0.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.9%