Bradley
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#78
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#65
Pace65.9#257
Improvement+1.3#105

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#52
First Shot+6.4#33
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#258
Layup/Dunks-2.0#252
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#169
3 Pt Jumpshots+9.0#6
Freethrows-0.4#211
Improvement-0.2#189

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#113
First Shot+3.8#69
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#316
Layups/Dunks+0.1#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#53
Freethrows-1.3#276
Improvement+1.5#70
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 29.4% 30.2% 21.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.2% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 11.5 11.5 11.9
.500 or above 99.8% 99.9% 98.8%
.500 or above in Conference 97.4% 98.1% 91.0%
Conference Champion 40.3% 42.4% 20.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
First Round29.1% 29.9% 21.4%
Second Round7.7% 8.0% 4.9%
Sweet Sixteen2.1% 2.2% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Home) - 90.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 33 - 5
Quad 311 - 314 - 7
Quad 410 - 124 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 270   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-60 93%     1 - 0 +19.2 +11.2 +7.6
  Nov 08, 2024 74   @ Washington St. L 74-91 38%     1 - 1 -6.4 +5.6 -11.7
  Nov 12, 2024 226   Texas San Antonio W 85-72 90%     2 - 1 +6.5 +1.2 +4.3
  Nov 16, 2024 349   Northern Illinois W 76-60 97%     3 - 1 +1.0 +0.7 +1.0
  Nov 21, 2024 126   Texas St. W 82-68 69%     4 - 1 +16.1 +11.7 +4.8
  Nov 22, 2024 168   Wright St. W 77-74 77%     5 - 1 +2.6 +11.1 -8.1
  Nov 24, 2024 129   Middle Tennessee W 80-69 70%     6 - 1 +12.8 +15.3 -1.6
  Dec 03, 2024 198   @ Southern Illinois W 83-60 72%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +24.2 +14.0 +10.8
  Dec 14, 2024 72   Santa Clara L 74-84 49%     7 - 2 -2.3 +9.1 -12.1
  Dec 18, 2024 61   San Francisco W 66-64 57%     8 - 2 +7.5 -4.2 +11.6
  Dec 21, 2024 353   Canisius W 92-59 97%     9 - 2 +17.3 +24.1 -1.5
  Dec 29, 2024 224   Valparaiso W 82-68 90%    
  Jan 01, 2025 150   @ Indiana St. W 82-78 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 171   Missouri St. W 75-64 85%    
  Jan 08, 2025 80   Drake W 67-64 61%    
  Jan 11, 2025 192   @ Illinois-Chicago W 77-71 71%    
  Jan 15, 2025 150   Indiana St. W 85-75 82%    
  Jan 18, 2025 133   @ Murray St. W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 21, 2025 130   @ Belmont W 81-78 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 141   Illinois St. W 76-67 81%    
  Jan 29, 2025 192   Illinois-Chicago W 80-68 86%    
  Feb 02, 2025 99   @ Northern Iowa L 71-72 48%    
  Feb 05, 2025 130   Belmont W 84-75 78%    
  Feb 08, 2025 315   @ Evansville W 78-65 89%    
  Feb 12, 2025 198   Southern Illinois W 78-66 86%    
  Feb 16, 2025 80   @ Drake L 64-67 39%    
  Feb 19, 2025 141   @ Illinois St. W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 133   Murray St. W 74-65 78%    
  Feb 26, 2025 224   @ Valparaiso W 79-71 76%    
  Mar 02, 2025 99   Northern Iowa W 74-69 69%    
Projected Record 23 - 7 15 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.9 5.6 10.0 10.7 7.4 3.5 0.8 40.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.9 7.4 8.7 5.0 1.5 0.2 26.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 5.6 4.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 14.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 2.9 5.1 8.0 11.4 14.4 16.0 15.3 12.3 7.6 3.5 0.8 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.8    0.8
19-1 100.0% 3.5    3.5 0.0
18-2 97.1% 7.4    6.9 0.5
17-3 87.4% 10.7    8.6 2.1 0.0
16-4 65.6% 10.0    6.2 3.5 0.4 0.0
15-5 35.1% 5.6    2.3 2.6 0.7 0.1
14-6 13.3% 1.9    0.4 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 40.3% 40.3 28.6 9.6 1.7 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.8% 73.9% 54.0% 19.9% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 43.3%
19-1 3.5% 61.2% 52.7% 8.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.1 1.4 18.1%
18-2 7.6% 48.4% 45.1% 3.3% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 2.4 0.8 0.0 3.9 6.0%
17-3 12.3% 40.6% 39.8% 0.8% 11.4 0.0 0.1 2.6 2.3 0.0 7.3 1.3%
16-4 15.3% 33.4% 33.2% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 1.8 3.2 0.1 10.2 0.2%
15-5 16.0% 29.6% 29.5% 0.1% 11.9 0.9 3.5 0.3 0.0 11.2 0.1%
14-6 14.4% 25.2% 25.2% 12.1 0.4 2.7 0.5 0.0 10.8
13-7 11.4% 20.3% 20.3% 12.2 0.1 1.6 0.6 0.0 9.1
12-8 8.0% 16.7% 16.7% 12.4 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 6.7
11-9 5.1% 10.3% 10.3% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.6
10-10 2.9% 6.9% 6.9% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.7
9-11 1.4% 4.3% 4.3% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.4
8-12 0.7% 2.7% 2.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
7-13 0.3% 3.6% 3.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
6-14 0.1% 2.1% 2.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1
5-15 0.0% 0.0 0.0
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 29.4% 28.6% 0.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 9.3 15.4 2.4 0.2 0.0 70.6 1.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 5.7 0.9 1.8 7.5 17.5 21.9 21.9 11.8 5.7 6.1 2.6 2.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 54.4% 9.6 3.8 1.3 5.1 8.9 20.3 12.7 2.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 43.8% 10.2 3.1 1.6 1.6 9.4 25.0 3.1