Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.3 112
Results Rating +3.8 107
Pace 68.2 192
Improvement +2.4 91

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 122 C C- B+ B- C-
Defense C+ 127 C C+ B C- A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 294 C+ 59% 141 -1.8 247
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 186 D 33% 325 -0.3 194
Three Pointers 43% 146 B- 36% 94 +2.3 102
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.5 260 C+ +0.7 142
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 171
Second Chance D+ 26.9% 281 C+ 1.05 141 C- 0.28 246
Turnovers B+ 14.2% 37
Freethrows C+ 0.32 141 B- 75% 114 B- 0.24 118
Total Offense C+ +1.7 122

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 282 B- 9.2% 90
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 24% 189 D 7.7% 320
Three Pointers C- 83% 220 D+ 1.3% 287
Total C- 53% 231 C 5.5% 175

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 331 C 58% 191 -3.7 61
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 23 C 39% 209 +3.0 353
Three Pointers 40% 204 C- 35% 241 +0.3 198
Shot Selection/Accuracy A- -1.4 19 C- +1.0 223
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 164
Second Chance C 30.7% 195 B- 0.97 97 C+ 0.30 143
Turnovers B 19.1% 55
Freethrows C- 0.33 245 C 73% 203 C- 0.24 250
Total Defense C+ +1.6 127

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 49% 189 D+ 8.7% 266
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 119 A- 9.6% 19
Three Pointers C+ 82% 139 D+ 0.4% 295
Total C+ 53% 131 C 5.6% 169

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 149 17.4 198
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 206 0.15 110
Improvement +3.0 #62 -0.5 #221

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 130 114 101
Results Rating Rank 140 111 93
Conference Record 12 - 8 13 - 7 14 - 6
Conference Finish 4 2 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 13
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10% 12% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 12.7
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round10% 12% 9%
Second Round1% 1% 1%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Away) - 37.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 24 - 54 - 6
Quad 38 - 511 - 11
Quad 49 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 142 St. Bonaventure L 63 - 69 59% -4  10% 0 - 1 D+ -5 F -11 C F A- B+ +5 A- B B
 Sat, Nov 8 270 Central Michigan W 85 - 54 88% +14  98% 1 - 1 A +22 B +7 A+ F B A+ +16 A+ A- A-
 Wed, Nov 12 217 Tennessee Martin L 67 - 78 82% -2  27% 1 - 2 F+ -17 F -11 F C+ C D -5 F F A+
 Sat, Nov 15 127 @San Francisco L 64 - 75 42% -2  24% 1 - 3 D+ -6 F+ -8 F D- C B- +2 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 311 Umass Lowell W 87 - 77 91% -0  43% 2 - 3 C- -2 B+ +9 B A D+ F -10 D- A- C-
 Mon, Nov 24 254 Princeton W 88 - 64 79% +8  76% 3 - 3 A +19 A- +10 A+ F C+ A +9 D+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 134 UC San Diego L 77 - 87 56% -3  30% 3 - 4 D -8 B- +5 C A+ F F -13 C+ F D-
 Wed, Nov 26 107 Liberty W 74 - 64 47% +10  98% 4 - 4 B+ +14 B- +4 B A+ F A+ +11 B+ B A
 Tue, Dec 2 126 Washington St. W 64 - 60 64% -3  10% 5 - 4 C+ +4 F -13 F C+ A A+ +17 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 323 Northern Illinois W 84 - 55 93% +14  88% 6 - 4 A- +16 C +2 B D B+ A+ +13 A+ D- B
 Thu, Dec 18 213 @Indiana St. W 108 - 99 3OT 62% +1  44% 7 - 4 1 - 0 B +9 B- +5 D+ C+ A+ B- +2 B A F+
 Sun, Dec 21 125 Southern Illinois W 73 - 69 64% +4  81% 8 - 4 2 - 0 C+ +4 C +1 C B- D+ B- +3 B+ C- B-
 Mon, Dec 29 295 Evansville W 76 - 68 90% -2  32% 9 - 4 3 - 0 C- -3 C- -2 D F A+ C -1 B F+ D-
 Thu, Jan 1 67 @Belmont L 78 - 88 22% -3  8% 9 - 5 3 - 1 C +1 B +6 A C F D+ -5 C- F A
 Sun, Jan 4 123 @Murray St. L 66 - 86 41% -14  1% 9 - 6 3 - 2 D- -14 F+ -8 F C- A+ D- -6 F B B-
 Wed, Jan 7 193 Drake W 93 - 66 79% +20  94% 10 - 6 4 - 2 A +22 B+ +8 B+ C+ A- A+ +12 B A+ A
 Sat, Jan 10 94 Northern Iowa W 75 - 69 52% +2  63% 11 - 6 5 - 2 B +9 B+ +9 B C A+ C+ +1 B+ C+ F
 Tue, Jan 13 295 @Evansville W 94 - 90 OT 78% -3  35% 12 - 6 6 - 2 C -1 A- +10 B- D- A+ F -11 F D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 17 103 @Illinois St. L 62 - 88 33% -13  5% 12 - 7 6 - 3 F -18 D -5 F D+ D+ F -15 F+ F F
 Wed, Jan 21 213 Indiana St. W 75 - 68 81% -3  6% 13 - 7 7 - 3 C +1 D -5 F C A+ B+ +6 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 109 Illinois-Chicago L 70 - 85 60% -8  22% 13 - 8 7 - 4 D- -14 C +2 B- D A+ F -17 F B D
 Sat, Jan 31 193 @Drake W 87 - 73 59% +8  82% 14 - 8 8 - 4 A- +15 A+ +17 A+ B+ C+ C -1 B D+ D
 Tue, Feb 3 151 Valparaiso W 72 - 65 72% +5  83% 15 - 8 9 - 4 C+ +4 C +2 B F+ C B- +3 C F+ B+
 Fri, Feb 6 94 @Northern Iowa L 49 - 61 29% -7  7% 15 - 9 9 - 5 C- -3 F+ -9 D+ F+ F B +4 A- F C+
 Mon, Feb 9 67 Belmont W 95 - 84 OT 42% +2  63% 16 - 9 10 - 5 A- +16 A- +11 A- D- A+ B +5 A+ F A-
 Sun, Feb 15 125 @Southern Illinois W 70 - 60 41% +5  85% 17 - 9 11 - 5 A- +16 C+ +3 C D+ A+ A+ +12 A+ A+ D
 Wed, Feb 18 151 @Valparaiso L 72 - 79 50% -5  2% 17 - 10 11 - 6 C- -4 C+ +3 A- D+ F D- -7 F D D-
 Sat, Feb 21 103 Illinois St. W 74 - 60 56% +9  92% 18 - 10 12 - 6 A- +16 B+ +8 B+ C A+ A +9 C+ A+ A+
 Tue, Feb 24 109 @Illinois-Chicago L 70 - 73 37%
 Sun, Mar 1 123 Murray St. W 83 - 79 63%
Totals 19 - 11 13 - 7 +3 C+ +2 C+ C+ C- C+ +2 B- B- B-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C+ D B- C+ 35% 37% 43% C- C D+ C+ C- B+ C+ B- B- C+ C C C- C- 32% 28% 40% A- C C B- C+ B C- C C-
1.11 59% 33% 36% +1 -1 1.02 27% 1.1 .28 14% .32 75% .24 1.06 58% 39% 35% +1 -1 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 19% .33 73% .23
Nov
3		 St. Bonaventure F A A- F C 33% 25% 41% D C F F F A- D- F F+ B+ A+ D C A- 30% 30% 40% B+ A- D A+ B B D- C D
0.95 71% 46% 29% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.0 .00 14% .23 69% .16 1.04 40% 47% 35% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.7 .28 20% .32 76% .24
Nov
8		 Central Michigan B A+ F A A+ 36% 13% 51% C+ A+ D+ F F B A D+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ A- 23% 55% 21% A+ A+ A B A- A- C F D
1.24 82% 17% 42% +12 +1 1.28 32% 0.9 .29 15% .43 68% .29 0.79 36% 42% 20% -7 -6 0.77 22% 1.0 .22 22% .28 80% .22
Nov
12		 Tennessee Martin F C+ F F F 42% 18% 40% B F F+ A+ C+ C A+ A+ A+ D D- F F F 39% 9% 52% F F A+ F F A+ D+ C+ C-
0.91 63% 13% 6% -19 +1 0.64 26% 1.3 .33 19% .62 81% .51 1.06 65% 50% 43% +11 +2 1.27 27% 1.6 .42 31% .34 65% .22
Nov
15		 San Francisco F+ F A+ F F 31% 12% 58% B F D D D- C A A+ A+ B- B- F F F 43% 17% 40% D+ F F A+ A+ A+ F C+ F
0.94 38% 50% 23% -14 +1 0.75 21% 1.0 .21 13% .36 86% .31 1.10 56% 57% 53% +14 +1 1.31 45% 0.5 .21 26% .46 70% .32
Nov
19		 Umass Lowell B+ A+ F A+ A 30% 36% 34% F B A- B A D+ A+ C A+ F F D C F 21% 47% 32% A+ D- C A+ A- C- F F F
1.29 79% 18% 56% +10 -3 1.17 39% 1.3 .48 15% .45 73% .33 1.14 80% 45% 33% +8 -5 1.09 31% 0.8 .24 19% .48 85% .40
Nov
24		 Princeton A- A+ D+ A+ A+ 30% 15% 55% C- A+ F F F C+ B- C- C+ A D- F A- D+ 28% 18% 54% B- D+ D F F A+ F A+ F+
1.26 81% 38% 45% +16 0 1.34 14% 0.8 .10 13% .33 70% .23 0.92 64% 57% 29% +1 0 1.03 31% 1.2 .38 34% .46 62% .28
Nov
25		 UC San Diego B- F+ B C C 31% 14% 55% C+ C A- A+ A+ F C+ B C+ F A- B- F+ C+ 41% 12% 47% C C+ C- F F D- F F+ F
1.10 47% 43% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.5 .55 20% .27 73% .20 1.24 50% 33% 39% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.7 .45 13% .51 74% .38
Nov
26		 Liberty B- B+ C- A B+ 35% 28% 37% D B A B+ A+ F B A+ A A+ B F C- A- 43% 9% 48% B- B+ C+ A B A F A+ D
1.15 63% 38% 41% +6 -1 1.11 42% 1.4 .58 23% .28 86% .24 1.00 55% 50% 36% +1 +2 1.09 17% 0.8 .13 19% .40 52% .21
Dec
2		 Washington St. F C+ D+ F F 33% 21% 46% C F D A+ C+ A A- F C A+ D- A+ F B- 23% 41% 36% A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ B F C+
0.93 59% 36% 13% -15 0 0.71 23% 1.4 .32 10% .36 59% .21 0.87 70% 22% 50% +5 -4 1.05 25% 0.6 .14 29% .25 83% .21
Dec
6		 Northern Illinois C B+ C B B 41% 15% 44% C B F A+ D B+ D+ A C A+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 47% B A+ F C D- B F A+ C+
1.16 68% 38% 38% +6 +1 1.17 20% 1.3 .27 14% .30 79% .24 0.76 47% 13% 18% -19 0 0.64 40% 0.8 .33 25% .44 46% .20
Dec
18		 Indiana St. B- C- A- D- C 29% 34% 37% F D+ D A C+ A+ B+ F C+ B- C A+ D+ B- 36% 11% 53% B+ B B+ A A F+ F C- F
1.14 55% 50% 29% 0 -2 0.97 28% 1.2 .33 8% .31 63% .20 1.05 61% 0% 35% -2 +1 1.00 20% 0.8 .16 15% .53 70% .37
Dec
21		 Southern Illinois C C- F A+ C 43% 27% 29% C- C B- B- B- D+ A- A+ A+ B- C F A+ B+ 33% 35% 31% A- B+ C D+ C- B- C- C+ C
1.02 55% 14% 47% -2 -1 0.96 31% 1.1 .34 21% .35 90% .32 0.96 59% 56% 13% -4 -2 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 18% .31 67% .21
Dec
29		 Evansville C- A+ F B- D+ 26% 39% 35% F D D F F A+ B+ A A C B- C- B- C+ 17% 47% 36% A+ B D+ F F+ D- B- C+ B-
1.10 79% 24% 37% +1 -3 0.98 28% 0.6 .18 7% .33 81% .27 0.99 56% 40% 32% -1 -5 0.91 25% 1.3 .33 16% .24 71% .17
Jan
1		 Belmont B D C- A+ A 24% 18% 58% C- A A- F C F B F C D+ C- A+ F C 50% 2% 48% F C- F A- F A F D F
1.12 50% 33% 45% +7 -1 1.14 41% 0.8 .32 23% .32 65% .20 1.26 64% 0% 43% +8 +3 1.25 43% 1.1 .46 23% .56 73% .41
Jan
4		 Murray St. F+ F F A+ F 41% 32% 27% D F D B C- A+ D A C- D- F B+ F F 29% 17% 54% B F C+ B+ B B- A F B-
0.96 33% 11% 44% -15 -1 0.69 27% 1.2 .31 6% .25 81% .20 1.25 80% 33% 43% +13 0 1.27 31% 1.0 .31 17% .25 93% .23
Jan
7		 Drake B+ C- A+ B B+ 33% 21% 46% C+ B+ F+ A+ C+ A- A+ C- A A+ A+ A+ F+ B- 24% 22% 55% B B A+ A+ A+ A F A+ F
1.25 58% 58% 38% +7 0 1.16 22% 1.4 .31 11% .42 68% .29 0.89 42% 27% 39% -2 -1 0.96 15% 0.5 .08 19% .46 61% .28
Jan
10		 Northern Iowa B+ A B D+ A- 26% 28% 46% F+ B C- B C A+ A+ F A+ C+ B C+ C- B- 24% 33% 43% A+ B+ A- F C+ F D A C-
1.12 69% 43% 30% +2 -2 1.02 23% 1.0 .23 7% .45 64% .29 1.03 54% 39% 35% 0 -3 0.96 16% 1.3 .21 7% .29 61% .18
Jan
13		 Evansville A- B- A+ D B- 40% 28% 32% C- B- D+ F D- A+ A B A+ F F+ D- F F 20% 36% 44% A F D+ C- D+ C+ F D+ F
1.24 63% 59% 32% +7 -1 1.13 29% 0.8 .24 8% .37 77% .29 1.18 70% 44% 45% +12 -3 1.20 25% 1.1 .28 20% .51 74% .38
Jan
17		 Illinois St. D F F+ D+ F 43% 30% 28% C+ F B- F D+ D+ A+ B+ A+ F F A F F 37% 26% 37% B- F+ F B F F B+ F+ B-
0.93 40% 29% 31% -12 -1 0.77 29% 0.8 .22 18% .42 74% .31 1.32 75% 29% 45% +10 -1 1.20 41% 1.0 .41 12% .22 77% .17
Jan
21		 Indiana St. D F+ F F F 38% 22% 40% C F D- A C A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F D C F 40% 18% 42% A D- A+ A+ A+ A+ A- D+ B+
1.05 48% 25% 23% -14 0 0.75 26% 1.2 .31 4% .45 84% .38 0.95 75% 44% 33% +8 0 1.18 11% 0.7 .07 27% .19 70% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Illinois-Chicago C A A F B 34% 19% 47% C- B- F A+ D A+ A D+ A- F F D F F 20% 43% 37% A+ F B- B+ B D B- F C-
1.07 69% 44% 27% 0 0 1.02 21% 1.3 .27 14% .39 73% .28 1.30 70% 43% 56% +16 -4 1.27 34% 0.9 .31 15% .29 81% .23
Jan
31		 Drake A+ F F A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% D A+ A C B+ C+ D- C+ D C F F A+ C+ 17% 38% 45% A+ B F A D+ D F F F
1.34 43% 20% 70% +14 -2 1.27 40% 0.9 .37 14% .25 71% .18 1.12 75% 56% 19% 0 -4 0.94 35% 0.9 .32 12% .46 81% .37
Feb
3		 Valparaiso C C A+ C+ A- 33% 29% 38% D- B D F F+ C C- C- C- B- D D+ A C 33% 37% 31% B C B F F+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.10 59% 53% 35% +5 -1 1.10 27% 0.6 .17 17% .30 69% .20 1.00 63% 39% 27% -2 -2 0.94 29% 1.5 .43 18% .19 40% .08
Feb
6		 Northern Iowa F+ F F A D+ 33% 13% 54% B- D+ F D- F+ F B A+ A+ B B D+ A+ A 50% 20% 30% C A- F D F C+ D- D D-
0.82 31% 20% 38% -8 +1 0.87 14% 0.8 .11 27% .30 92% .27 1.02 55% 44% 23% -5 +1 0.93 29% 1.2 .35 15% .30 73% .22
Feb
9		 Belmont A- F+ F A+ A- 29% 15% 56% C+ A- F+ C D- A+ A+ C+ A+ B F A+ A A+ 25% 19% 57% A+ A+ F F F A- F D- F
1.23 47% 11% 48% +5 0 1.12 24% 1.0 .24 10% .37 77% .29 1.09 85% 20% 30% 0 -1 1.00 37% 1.4 .53 22% .40 75% .30
Feb
15		 Southern Illinois C+ B+ F D+ C+ 37% 24% 39% C- C F+ B D+ A+ F F F A+ C+ F+ A+ A 35% 41% 24% A+ A+ A- A+ A+ D D+ F F
1.01 64% 29% 30% -2 0 0.97 21% 1.1 .24 10% .14 56% .08 0.87 58% 50% 0% -7 -3 0.81 24% 0.4 .11 14% .32 84% .27
Feb
18		 Valparaiso C+ D F A+ A 27% 24% 49% D- A- D+ C- D+ F C+ C C+ D- C D- F F 43% 32% 25% D+ F C+ F D D- F A+ F
1.08 54% 25% 50% +7 -1 1.14 28% 0.9 .24 23% .33 71% .23 1.19 58% 43% 45% +6 -1 1.11 30% 1.3 .40 12% .57 61% .34
Feb
21		 Illinois St. B+ A+ A- F A- 40% 31% 29% C B+ B F C A+ C- C- C- A F A+ D- C 31% 27% 43% B+ C+ B+ A+ A+ A+ A F B
1.15 86% 44% 13% +4 -1 1.08 31% 0.8 .25 9% .28 69% .19 0.93 73% 23% 38% +3 -1 1.06 23% 0.0 .00 23% .20 80% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 52.2 24.1 76.3 2nd
3rd 8.6 8.6 3rd
4th 15.1 15.1 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 23.7 52.2 24.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 24.1% 13.3% 13.3% 12.3 0.1 2.1 0.9 0.0 20.9
13-7 52.2% 9.9% 9.9% 12.6 0.0 2.2 2.8 0.2 47.0
12-8 23.7% 7.0% 7.0% 12.8 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 22.0
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 10.0% 10.0% 0.0% 12.5 90.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.2% 100.0% 12.3 4.0 65.8 29.4 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.3%
Lose Out 11.6%