Bradley
Missouri Valley
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.8#94
Expected Predictive Rating+7.4#75
Pace65.9#243
Improvement-2.7#304

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#110
First Shot+3.7#80
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#260
Layup/Dunks-2.8#284
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#13
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement-4.8#353

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#87
First Shot+4.0#62
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#253
Layups/Dunks+2.2#87
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#63
Freethrows-2.3#331
Improvement+2.1#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.4% 25.5% 20.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.3
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 99.8%
Conference Champion 30.0% 34.5% 16.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round24.4% 25.5% 20.9%
Second Round3.9% 4.3% 2.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.8% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Belmont (Home) - 75.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 5
Quad 311 - 314 - 8
Quad 410 - 024 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 265   Southeast Missouri St. W 88-60 90%     1 - 0 +19.7 +11.1 +8.3
  Nov 08, 2024 103   @ Washington St. L 74-91 45%     1 - 1 -10.0 +2.8 -12.5
  Nov 12, 2024 202   Texas San Antonio W 85-72 83%     2 - 1 +8.5 +1.3 +6.2
  Nov 16, 2024 338   Northern Illinois W 76-60 96%     3 - 1 +1.9 +1.1 +1.5
  Nov 21, 2024 184   Texas St. W 82-68 75%     4 - 1 +12.7 +8.6 +4.5
  Nov 22, 2024 196   Wright St. W 77-74 76%     5 - 1 +1.4 +11.2 -9.4
  Nov 24, 2024 120   Middle Tennessee W 80-69 63%     6 - 1 +13.3 +15.7 -1.4
  Dec 03, 2024 183   @ Southern Illinois W 83-60 67%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +24.3 +13.4 +11.5
  Dec 14, 2024 64   Santa Clara L 74-84 40%     7 - 2 -1.5 +9.2 -11.4
  Dec 18, 2024 72   San Francisco W 66-64 52%     8 - 2 +7.1 -6.2 +13.3
  Dec 21, 2024 352   Canisius W 92-59 97%     9 - 2 +17.5 +23.9 -1.1
  Dec 29, 2024 226   Valparaiso W 81-75 2OT 86%     10 - 2 2 - 0 +0.0 -4.4 +3.8
  Jan 01, 2025 210   @ Indiana St. W 90-89 OT 71%     11 - 2 3 - 0 +0.9 +2.4 -1.6
  Jan 04, 2025 223   Missouri St. W 69-60 86%     12 - 2 4 - 0 +3.1 +3.7 +0.7
  Jan 08, 2025 73   Drake L 57-64 53%     12 - 3 4 - 1 -1.9 -5.7 +2.9
  Jan 11, 2025 123   @ Illinois-Chicago W 61-60 55%     13 - 3 5 - 1 +5.6 -9.3 +15.0
  Jan 15, 2025 210   Indiana St. W 118-65 84%     14 - 3 6 - 1 +47.9 +29.7 +13.1
  Jan 18, 2025 171   @ Murray St. W 74-61 63%     15 - 3 7 - 1 +15.2 +7.1 +9.1
  Jan 21, 2025 140   @ Belmont W 89-77 58%     16 - 3 8 - 1 +15.8 +14.4 +1.4
  Jan 25, 2025 135   Illinois St. W 61-57 74%     17 - 3 9 - 1 +3.0 -7.8 +11.3
  Jan 29, 2025 123   Illinois-Chicago L 70-93 72%     17 - 4 9 - 2 -23.4 -6.6 -16.1
  Feb 02, 2025 108   @ Northern Iowa L 69-83 47%     17 - 5 9 - 3 -7.5 +0.6 -8.6
  Feb 05, 2025 140   Belmont W 82-75 75%    
  Feb 08, 2025 230   @ Evansville W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 12, 2025 183   Southern Illinois W 75-66 82%    
  Feb 16, 2025 73   @ Drake L 61-65 32%    
  Feb 19, 2025 135   @ Illinois St. W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 22, 2025 171   Murray St. W 73-64 81%    
  Feb 26, 2025 226   @ Valparaiso W 76-69 73%    
  Mar 02, 2025 108   Northern Iowa W 71-67 67%    
Projected Record 22 - 8 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 2.7 9.6 13.0 4.5 30.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 8.1 19.6 17.7 4.5 50.7 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.6 6.8 2.9 0.2 13.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.1 0.9 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.6 0.4 1.2 5th
6th 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.9 6.9 16.0 25.3 27.4 17.5 4.5 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 4.5    3.9 0.7
16-4 74.2% 13.0    7.8 5.2 0.0
15-5 34.9% 9.6    3.5 5.4 0.7
14-6 10.6% 2.7    0.4 1.3 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 30.0% 30.0 15.5 12.6 1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 4.5% 35.2% 33.8% 1.3% 11.2 0.0 0.1 1.2 0.4 2.9 2.0%
16-4 17.5% 32.1% 32.0% 0.1% 11.8 1.3 4.0 0.3 11.9 0.2%
15-5 27.4% 25.7% 25.7% 12.1 0.8 5.1 1.1 0.1 20.4
14-6 25.3% 23.2% 23.2% 12.2 0.3 4.1 1.4 0.1 19.4
13-7 16.0% 19.8% 19.8% 12.5 0.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 12.8
12-8 6.9% 12.8% 12.8% 12.5 0.4 0.4 0.0 6.0
11-9 1.9% 10.4% 10.4% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
10-10 0.4% 5.0% 5.0% 13.0 0.0 0.4
9-11 0.0% 0.0 0.0
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 24.4% 24.3% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.1 3.6 15.8 4.6 0.4 75.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.5% 100.0% 11.2 1.3 4.6 71.9 22.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2% 4.2% 11.2 3.3 0.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2% 0.9% 11.0 0.9