Bradley
Missouri Valley
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.6 #116
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 #130
Pace 68.7 #198
Improvement +1.8 #87

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #131 C C- B B- D+
Defense #102 C B- A+ D A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #308 1.25 #83 -1.2 #226
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #136 0.60 #341 -1.1 #228
Three Pointers 44% #127 1.07 #106 +2.9 #95
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #162 +0.6 #161
Freethrows 18.8 #109 73% #158 13.8 #112
Second Chance 27.0% #282 1.08 #144 0.29 #249
Turnovers 15.0% #82
Total Offense +1.2 #131

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #338 1.13 #142 +4.8 #44
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #42 0.75 #167 -2.1 #322
Three Pointers 43% #123 1.08 #271 -2.4 #278
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #158 +0.4 #157
Freethrows 20.3 #317 71% #122 14.4 #59
Second Chance 30.9% #186 0.93 #50 0.29 #101
Turnovers 21.0% #16
Total Defense +2.4 #102

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #264 -2.5% #26
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.4% #145 1.8% #216
Possession Length 16.8 #139 17.2 #181
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #184 0.16 #132
Improvement +2.1 #61 -0.2 #208

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.1% 10.7% 7.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 12.4 12.6
.500 or above 92.3% 96.5% 87.3%
.500 or above in Conference 87.0% 93.6% 79.3%
Conference Champion 7.1% 10.7% 3.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.1% 10.7% 7.1%
Second Round1.0% 1.2% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Iowa (Home) - 54.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 7
Quad 37 - 59 - 11
Quad 410 - 219 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 119 St. Bonaventure L 63 - 69 53%  -4  0 - 1 -3 -6 B+ F B +3 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Nov 8 323 Central Michigan W 85 - 54 93%  +14  1 - 1 +18 +8 A+ F C+ +11 A+ B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 12 235 Tennessee Martin L 67 - 78 84%  +9  1 - 2 -18 -11 F C- F -6 F C- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 100 @San Francisco L 64 - 75 33%  -2  1 - 3 -3 -3 F D C -1 F A+ A+
 Wed, Nov 19 286 Umass Lowell W 87 - 77 89%  -0  2 - 3 +0 +12 B+ B+ D+ -11 C- C C-
 Mon, Nov 24 242 Princeton W 88 - 64 78%  +8  3 - 3 +19 +15 A+ F B+ +5 D F A+
 Tue, Nov 25 108 UC San Diego L 77 - 87 47%  -3  3 - 4 -6 +5 C- A+ F -11 B F D+
 Wed, Nov 26 99 Liberty W 74 - 64 44%  +10  4 - 4 +15 +8 A A+ F +8 B A A+
 Tue, Dec 2 145 Washington St. W 64 - 60 71%  -3  5 - 4 +2 -8 F C+ A+ +10 C+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 325 Northern Illinois W 84 - 55 93%  +14  6 - 4 +16 +2 B F A+ +13 A+ C B
 Thu, Dec 18 191 @Indiana St. W 108 - 99 3OT 60%  +1  7 - 4 1 - 0 +10 +8 C C- A+ -1 C+ B+ F
 Sun, Dec 21 130 Southern Illinois W 73 - 69 68%  +4  8 - 4 2 - 0 +3 +0 C B- F +3 A B B-
 Mon, Dec 29 263 Evansville W 76 - 68 87%  -2  9 - 4 3 - 0 -1 +3 D+ F A+ -4 C+ D+ F
 Thu, Jan 1 73 @Belmont L 78 - 88 24%  -3  9 - 5 3 - 1 +1 +9 A+ C F -8 C F A+
 Sun, Jan 4 91 @Murray St. L 66 - 86 30%  -14  9 - 6 3 - 2 -11 -3 F C- A+ -8 F B B+
 Wed, Jan 7 169 Drake W 93 - 66 76%  +20  10 - 6 4 - 2 +23 +12 A C+ A+ +9 B+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 96 Northern Iowa W 64 - 63 54% 
 Tue, Jan 13 263 @Evansville W 73 - 67 73% 
 Sat, Jan 17 85 @Illinois St. L 69 - 75 28% 
 Wed, Jan 21 191 Indiana St. W 79 - 70 79% 
 Sat, Jan 24 184 Illinois-Chicago W 76 - 68 78% 
 Sat, Jan 31 169 @Drake W 72 - 70 56% 
 Tue, Feb 3 188 Valparaiso W 75 - 66 79% 
 Fri, Feb 6 96 @Northern Iowa L 61 - 66 33% 
 Mon, Feb 9 73 Belmont L 77 - 78 45% 
 Sun, Feb 15 130 @Southern Illinois L 72 - 73 45% 
 Wed, Feb 18 188 @Valparaiso W 72 - 69 60% 
 Sat, Feb 21 85 Illinois St. L 72 - 73 49% 
 Tue, Feb 24 184 @Illinois-Chicago W 73 - 71 59% 
 Sun, Mar 1 91 Murray St. W 80 - 79 52% 
Totals 18 - 12 12 - 8 +4 +1 C C- B +2 C B- A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.3 0.8 0.1 7.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.6 3.6 0.7 0.1 12.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 3.3 7.5 4.4 0.6 0.0 16.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 4.5 9.3 5.8 0.9 21.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.9 5.2 9.4 5.1 0.7 0.0 21.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.7 3.4 5.4 2.7 0.4 0.0 12.6 6th
7th 0.2 1.7 2.4 1.3 0.1 5.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.8 7.2 12.4 17.0 18.3 16.4 12.0 7.0 3.0 0.9 0.1 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 94.3% 0.8    0.7 0.2
16-4 75.5% 2.3    1.3 0.9 0.1
15-5 39.6% 2.8    0.7 1.3 0.6 0.1
14-6 8.9% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.1% 7.1 2.9 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 36.0% 36.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.9% 29.9% 29.9% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
16-4 3.0% 21.7% 21.7% 11.8 0.2 0.4 0.0 2.4
15-5 7.0% 17.3% 17.3% 12.1 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 5.8
14-6 12.0% 15.4% 15.4% 12.3 0.1 1.2 0.5 0.0 10.2
13-7 16.4% 10.9% 10.9% 12.5 0.1 1.0 0.7 0.1 14.6
12-8 18.3% 8.3% 8.3% 12.7 0.6 0.8 0.2 16.7
11-9 17.0% 6.0% 6.0% 12.9 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 16.0
10-10 12.4% 3.8% 3.8% 13.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 12.0
9-11 7.2% 2.2% 2.2% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 7.0
8-12 3.8% 1.7% 1.7% 14.6 0.0 0.0 3.8
7-13 1.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.4
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 9.1% 9.1% 0.0% 12.5 90.9 0.0%