Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#173
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#179
Pace64.9#289
Improvement+1.9#80

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#184
First Shot-2.5#249
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#71
Layup/Dunks-3.1#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#258
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#64
Freethrows-1.9#287
Improvement-0.1#179

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#165
First Shot+3.4#79
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#357
Layups/Dunks-2.6#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#240
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#22
Freethrows+1.5#73
Improvement+1.9#46
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.7% 12.6% 8.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 78.1% 94.6% 77.5%
.500 or above in Conference 63.6% 77.5% 63.1%
Conference Champion 9.6% 16.3% 9.4%
Last Place in Conference 6.4% 3.6% 6.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.7% 12.6% 8.5%
Second Round0.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 3.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 21 - 4
Quad 35 - 35 - 8
Quad 49 - 515 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 304   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 66%     0 - 1 -5.9 -4.6 -1.2
  Nov 10, 2024 217   Maine L 67-69 70%     0 - 2 -7.9 -5.2 -2.8
  Nov 15, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 76-58 92%     1 - 2 +2.1 +0.4 +2.5
  Nov 16, 2024 313   Holy Cross L 65-73 84%     1 - 3 -19.5 -11.5 -8.5
  Nov 17, 2024 295   Sacred Heart W 89-70 82%     2 - 3 +8.8 +15.6 -5.8
  Nov 23, 2024 353   @ Canisius W 83-76 80%     3 - 3 -2.7 +13.6 -15.4
  Nov 27, 2024 306   Stony Brook W 77-54 83%     4 - 3 +12.0 +2.5 +10.9
  Dec 03, 2024 220   @ Vermont W 60-53 49%     5 - 3 +6.7 +4.5 +3.9
  Dec 06, 2024 185   @ Bryant W 76-75 41%     6 - 3 +2.8 +2.5 +0.2
  Dec 10, 2024 93   Rhode Island W 84-80 2OT 38%     7 - 3 +6.5 -4.0 +9.8
  Dec 22, 2024 8   @ Kansas L 53-87 3%     7 - 4 -13.1 -9.0 -3.9
  Dec 31, 2024 16   @ Kentucky L 68-87 4%    
  Jan 11, 2025 99   @ Yale L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 18, 2025 243   Harvard W 72-65 74%    
  Jan 20, 2025 131   @ Cornell L 75-80 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 280   Dartmouth W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 31, 2025 292   @ Penn W 70-67 62%    
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ Princeton L 68-75 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 179   @ Columbia L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 14, 2025 110   Princeton L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 292   Penn W 73-64 80%    
  Feb 21, 2025 179   Columbia W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 22, 2025 131   Cornell W 78-77 53%    
  Feb 28, 2025 243   @ Harvard W 69-68 53%    
  Mar 01, 2025 280   @ Dartmouth W 72-69 60%    
  Mar 08, 2025 99   Yale L 70-73 41%    
Projected Record 14 - 12 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 3.1 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 9.6 1st
2nd 0.1 1.9 5.9 5.1 1.3 0.1 14.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.7 8.1 6.0 1.0 0.0 18.0 3rd
4th 0.2 3.3 9.5 6.0 0.7 0.0 19.7 4th
5th 0.2 3.1 8.5 4.7 0.5 0.0 17.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 5.7 2.9 0.3 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 1.6 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 0.6 0.1 3.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 6.3 10.7 14.9 17.3 16.6 13.5 9.2 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 93.3% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
11-3 71.6% 3.4    1.9 1.3 0.2
10-4 33.6% 3.1    0.8 1.5 0.7 0.1
9-5 6.5% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.6% 9.6 4.8 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 43.6% 43.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-1 0.5% 38.1% 38.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.9% 30.7% 30.7% 12.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3
11-3 4.7% 25.9% 25.9% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 3.5
10-4 9.2% 19.1% 19.1% 13.5 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.1 7.4
9-5 13.5% 16.6% 16.6% 13.9 0.0 0.6 1.2 0.5 0.0 11.2
8-6 16.6% 11.4% 11.4% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.0 14.7
7-7 17.3% 4.3% 4.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 16.5
6-8 14.9% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 14.9
5-9 10.7% 10.7
4-10 6.3% 6.3
3-11 3.0% 3.0
2-12 1.2% 1.2
1-13 0.2% 0.2
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.7% 8.7% 0.0% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.5 1.8 0.1 91.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%