Brown
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#214
Expected Predictive Rating-2.4#211
Pace64.9#271
Improvement-2.5#296

Offense
Total Offense-0.7#194
First Shot-2.4#242
After Offensive Rebound+1.7#91
Layup/Dunks-2.5#280
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#64
Freethrows-1.9#295
Improvement-0.1#190

Defense
Total Defense-2.2#238
First Shot+1.3#137
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#355
Layups/Dunks-2.8#286
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#40
Freethrows+1.6#76
Improvement-2.4#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.7% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 14.6 14.9
.500 or above 57.9% 76.4% 42.8%
.500 or above in Conference 34.4% 52.0% 20.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.5% 2.0% 15.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round1.9% 2.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 44.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 22 - 12 - 4
Quad 33 - 34 - 7
Quad 49 - 613 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 246   @ Siena L 71-72 OT 49%     0 - 1 -3.6 -4.1 +0.5
  Nov 10, 2024 199   Maine L 67-69 55%     0 - 2 -6.2 -3.3 -2.9
  Nov 15, 2024 357   New Hampshire W 76-58 89%     1 - 2 +1.7 +0.3 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2024 319   Holy Cross L 65-73 80%     1 - 3 -19.8 -11.0 -9.4
  Nov 17, 2024 288   Sacred Heart W 89-70 74%     2 - 3 +9.6 +14.9 -4.3
  Nov 23, 2024 352   @ Canisius W 83-76 77%     3 - 3 -3.5 +12.9 -15.6
  Nov 27, 2024 318   Stony Brook W 77-54 80%     4 - 3 +11.3 +1.6 +11.1
  Dec 03, 2024 240   @ Vermont W 60-53 47%     5 - 3 +4.9 +4.2 +2.3
  Dec 06, 2024 144   @ Bryant W 76-75 26%     6 - 3 +4.7 +3.0 +1.7
  Dec 10, 2024 121   Rhode Island W 84-80 2OT 39%     7 - 3 +3.8 -4.4 +7.5
  Dec 22, 2024 7   @ Kansas L 53-87 2%     7 - 4 -12.5 -7.9 -4.3
  Dec 31, 2024 22   @ Kentucky L 54-88 4%     7 - 5 -15.8 -12.2 -5.0
  Jan 11, 2025 69   @ Yale L 58-79 11%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -10.7 -6.4 -5.8
  Jan 18, 2025 241   Harvard L 67-80 66%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -20.1 -5.7 -14.9
  Jan 20, 2025 122   @ Cornell W 83-82 23%     8 - 7 1 - 2 +5.8 +10.4 -4.7
  Jan 25, 2025 257   Dartmouth L 83-84 69%     8 - 8 1 - 3 -9.0 +6.0 -15.0
  Jan 31, 2025 273   @ Penn W 88-79 54%     9 - 8 2 - 3 +5.2 +13.2 -7.8
  Feb 01, 2025 129   @ Princeton L 49-69 24%     9 - 9 2 - 4 -15.6 -17.9 +0.5
  Feb 08, 2025 237   @ Columbia L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 14, 2025 129   Princeton L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 273   Penn W 75-69 73%    
  Feb 21, 2025 237   Columbia W 79-75 67%    
  Feb 22, 2025 122   Cornell L 77-80 42%    
  Feb 28, 2025 241   @ Harvard L 69-70 46%    
  Mar 01, 2025 257   @ Dartmouth W 74-73 50%    
  Mar 08, 2025 69   Yale L 69-77 24%    
Projected Record 13 - 13 6 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.5 2.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.3 5.7 1.8 0.0 11.1 3rd
4th 1.2 10.0 13.5 3.9 0.2 28.8 4th
5th 0.6 10.7 13.6 3.1 0.1 28.1 5th
6th 0.4 5.7 9.0 1.7 0.0 16.7 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 5.7 1.3 9.2 7th
8th 0.6 2.2 0.6 0.0 3.4 8th
Total 0.6 4.8 12.6 22.1 25.6 20.0 10.5 3.3 0.5 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 5.6% 0.0    0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 0.5% 7.4% 7.4% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.5
9-5 3.3% 8.4% 8.4% 14.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.1
8-6 10.5% 8.0% 8.0% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.1 9.6
7-7 20.0% 3.1% 3.1% 15.1 0.1 0.5 0.1 19.4
6-8 25.6% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.1 25.5
5-9 22.1% 22.1
4-10 12.6% 12.6
3-11 4.8% 4.8
2-12 0.6% 0.6
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.6%