Brown
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.0 267
Results Rating -8.5 302
Pace 66.0 250
Improvement +2.7 84

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 341 D C F+ D- B-
Defense C+ 137 C C+ C+ D C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% 86 D+ 54% 291 +0.2 168
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 191 D- 31% 349 -2.5 297
Three Pointers 41% 194 D 30% 317 -2.5 263
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 96 D- -5.2 338
1st FG Attempt D 0.93 319
Second Chance C- 28.0% 245 B- 1.09 95 C 0.30 193
Turnovers F+ 20.6% 348
Freethrows D- 0.26 331 D+ 69% 274 D- 0.18 334
Total Offense D- -7.2 341

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 63% 14 D 13.6% 320
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 37% 37 C 5.0% 190
Three Pointers C+ 87% 131 C- 1.1% 234
Total A- 67% 20 D 7.0% 319

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 174 C+ 57% 143 -0.3 164
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 177 D- 44% 343 +1.2 294
Three Pointers 40% 194 B- 32% 86 -1.5 120
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 167 C -0.5 161
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 158
Second Chance C 30.6% 193 B- 0.97 78 C+ 0.30 132
Turnovers C+ 17.9% 115
Freethrows D+ 0.34 285 D+ 74% 294 D 0.25 295
Total Defense C+ +1.2 137

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 51% 225 C 11.3% 155
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 202 C+ 5.9% 105
Three Pointers C 84% 188 B- 1.4% 80
Total C 56% 181 C+ 6.1% 133

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.6 200 17.4 201
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 238 0.21 313
Improvement +2.0 #96 +0.6 #147

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 290 266 242
Results Rating Rank 322 292 268
Conference Record 3 - 11 4 - 10 5 - 9
Conference Finish 8 8 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 88% 60% 98%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 26.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 47 - 78 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 191 Siena L 46 - 62 46% -12  6% 0 - 1 F -21 F -30 F F F A- +8 A C A-
 Sun, Nov 9 229 Vermont L 84 - 89 2OT 53% +3  63% 0 - 2 D- -12 D- -7 C+ F D- D+ -4 A- C- F+
 Wed, Nov 12 257 @Boston University L 77 - 90 36% -14  0% 0 - 3 F+ -15 C+ +3 D A D+ F -20 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 14 259 Hampton L 63 - 72 60% -4  20% 0 - 4 F+ -18 F+ -8 B+ B- F F -10 B- F C
 Tue, Nov 18 327 Holy Cross W 68 - 49 77% +12  96% 1 - 4 B- +5 D -5 C- B+ F A+ +13 B A- A
 Thu, Nov 20 214 @Stony Brook L 70 - 80 28% -9  8% 1 - 5 D -10 C- -2 B B F+ F+ -9 D+ F F+
 Sun, Nov 23 343 @Maine W 58 - 53 63% +8  99% 2 - 5 C- -4 F -14 F C+ F A +10 D+ B+ A-
 Wed, Nov 26 346 @New Hampshire W 59 - 47 64% +5  87% 3 - 5 C+ +2 F -15 D D+ F A+ +18 A+ C+ B
 Tue, Dec 2 124 @Rhode Island L 56 - 66 14% -4  14% 3 - 6 C- -4 F -11 F C- C B+ +6 A D- C+
 Fri, Dec 5 354 Bryant W 75 - 56 85% +12  98% 4 - 6 C+ +2 D -6 D+ C- C A- +8 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Dec 9 61 @Providence L 79 - 86 6% -6  0% 4 - 7 B- +5 C- -1 D+ C B- B+ +7 B+ A- B+
 Mon, Jan 5 85 Yale L 53 - 70 18% -3  43% 4 - 8 0 - 1 D- -13 F -25 F D F+ A+ +11 B B A+
 Sat, Jan 10 169 @Penn L 73 - 81 21% -1  35% 4 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -6 C+ +2 C B- C F+ -8 F+ A F+
 Sat, Jan 17 203 Columbia W 86 - 80 OT 48% -1  35% 5 - 9 1 - 2 C +1 B- +4 B- D C+ D+ -3 A F D-
 Mon, Jan 19 171 Cornell L 67 - 89 41% -13  1% 5 - 10 1 - 3 F -26 F -17 D F F F+ -8 F+ C F+
 Sat, Jan 24 254 @Princeton L 53 - 63 35% -1  35% 5 - 11 1 - 4 D- -12 F -19 F A- D B+ +6 A+ B- F
 Fri, Jan 30 146 Harvard L 59 - 69 36% -5  4% 5 - 12 1 - 5 D- -12 D- -8 F A C D -6 F A+ A
 Sat, Jan 31 250 Dartmouth L 70 - 77 OT 57% -4  18% 5 - 13 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -13 F B- F C- -2 C+ B+ C-
 Fri, Feb 6 85 @Yale L 69 - 81 8% -1  37% 5 - 14 1 - 7 C- -2 C- -1 D C C+ C- -2 F A+ B-
 Fri, Feb 13 146 @Harvard L 53 - 56 18% -5  7% 5 - 15 1 - 8 C +1 F -12 F B+ F A+ +13 A D- A+
 Sat, Feb 14 250 @Dartmouth W 79 - 76 34% -3  31% 6 - 15 2 - 8 C +1 C +1 A+ B- F C -0 F+ B+ A-
 Fri, Feb 20 254 Princeton W 80 - 71 58% +5  80% 7 - 15 3 - 8 C +1 B +7 A+ D F D -5 D- C- B+
 Fri, Feb 27 203 @Columbia L 65 - 72 27%
 Sat, Feb 28 171 @Cornell L 75 - 83 21%
 Fri, Mar 6 169 Penn L 68 - 71 41%
Totals 8 - 17 4 - 10 -6 D- -7 B D- B- C+ +1 D D+ D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ D- D D- 42% 37% 41% B- D C- B- C F+ D- D+ D- C+ C+ D- B- C 39% 21% 40% C C C B- C+ C+ D+ D+ D
0.98 54% 31% 30% -5 +1 0.93 28% 1.1 .30 21% .26 69% .18 1.07 57% 44% 32% -1 0 1.01 31% 1.0 .30 18% .34 74% .19
Nov
7		 Siena F F F F F 37% 18% 45% B- F D+ F F F F A D- A- D+ B+ A+ A 40% 36% 23% B A F A+ C A- F A- F
0.69 47% 22% 17% -18 0 0.67 29% 0.4 .12 24% .20 80% .16 0.93 63% 35% 9% -8 -2 0.83 38% 0.7 .28 21% .42 68% .29
Nov
9		 Vermont D- D- D+ A C 44% 15% 42% A- C+ D F F D- B- F D- D+ A- D+ B+ A- 33% 21% 45% B- A- D+ C- C- F+ D+ F F
1.03 52% 33% 42% +2 +1 1.08 22% 0.7 .16 16% .35 54% .19 1.09 50% 43% 30% -4 0 0.92 26% 1.0 .26 12% .31 86% .27
Nov
12		 Boston University C+ A+ F D+ D 31% 19% 50% C- D C- A+ A D+ A+ A+ A+ F F B+ F F 36% 13% 51% D+ F F F F B- F F F
1.20 73% 22% 33% +1 0 1.04 29% 1.6 .45 14% .42 83% .35 1.41 75% 33% 48% +16 +1 1.36 41% 1.8 .73 20% .37 89% .33
Nov
14		 Hampton F+ B+ F B+ B+ 50% 10% 40% A B+ B C- B- F D F F+ F A+ F A+ B- 43% 32% 25% C- B- F C F C F F+ F
0.99 70% 25% 38% +7 +2 1.20 33% 1.0 .33 30% .34 60% .20 1.13 37% 64% 18% -7 -1 0.86 53% 0.9 .47 19% .54 79% .43
Nov
18		 Holy Cross D B C- C- C- 32% 11% 57% C+ C- C A+ B+ F D A+ C- A+ A A- C A- 35% 20% 46% D- B D+ A+ A- A B A+ A+
1.11 67% 40% 33% +2 +1 1.09 29% 1.5 .43 20% .22 82% .18 0.80 44% 33% 33% -6 0 0.89 24% 0.4 .11 21% .23 45% .10
Nov
20		 Stony Brook C- F A+ A+ B 42% 22% 36% C B B- B B F+ F F F F+ C A+ F C- 53% 16% 31% F+ D+ D- F F F+ F B- F+
1.05 48% 55% 44% +5 0 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 19% .20 55% .11 1.20 56% 25% 44% +1 +2 1.08 32% 1.3 .41 13% .35 70% .24
Nov
23		 Maine F D+ F F F 39% 28% 33% D- F D- A+ C+ F C B+ B- A F C- A- F+ 23% 34% 43% A+ D+ C A+ B+ A- A+ A+ A+
0.88 56% 23% 20% -12 -1 0.76 31% 1.3 .41 24% .32 75% .24 0.80 80% 40% 26% +1 -3 0.98 19% 0.7 .13 24% .22 55% .12
Nov
26		 New Hampshire F D+ A+ F D- 48% 13% 39% B+ D F A+ D+ F D F F+ A+ A+ D A A+ 40% 9% 51% D A+ C C+ C+ B A+ F A+
0.90 55% 67% 22% -5 +2 0.96 19% 1.3 .26 20% .29 67% .19 0.72 29% 40% 26% -18 +2 0.70 24% 0.9 .22 21% .08 100% .08
Dec
2		 Rhode Island F F F F+ F 52% 27% 21% C- F A+ F C- C D+ A- C B+ C- B+ A+ A 44% 20% 36% C+ A C- D- D- C+ D- C D-
0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25 1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30
Dec
5		 Bryant D F F A+ D+ 48% 13% 38% C+ D+ D+ C C- C D+ F F A- C+ F A+ C- 33% 10% 57% C- C- A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F A+
1.11 32% 14% 60% -1 +2 1.04 32% 1.0 .32 13% .27 56% .15 0.83 53% 80% 24% -6 +1 0.92 17% 0.5 .08 21% .13 86% .11
Dec
9		 Providence C- D- F B- D 47% 21% 33% B D+ F+ A+ C B- B- B B B+ C- A+ C+ B+ 42% 15% 44% C- B+ C+ A+ A- B+ C+ F D+
1.04 48% 25% 37% -6 +1 0.91 21% 1.4 .28 13% .30 75% .23 1.13 65% 25% 33% +1 +1 1.05 34% 0.9 .32 18% .34 86% .29
Jan
5		 Yale F F F F F 41% 15% 44% B F C- F D F+ F F F A+ B- F A- B+ 47% 19% 34% D+ B B+ C B A+ D A+ B
0.76 41% 25% 21% -18 +1 0.69 27% 0.8 .23 19% .18 60% .11 1.01 55% 56% 31% 0 +1 1.04 28% 1.2 .34 22% .37 60% .22
Jan
10		 Penn C+ C+ F C C- 48% 19% 33% B- C D+ A+ B- C D C+ D+ F+ A+ F F F 31% 40% 29% A+ F+ D A+ A F+ F F+ F
1.08 62% 30% 33% 0 +1 1.04 27% 1.2 .33 16% .21 67% .14 1.20 40% 58% 50% +9 -3 1.15 34% 0.5 .19 13% .49 76% .37
Jan
17		 Columbia B- A+ D F C+ 58% 18% 24% A- B- C- F D C+ A+ B+ A+ D+ B+ B- A- A 47% 16% 36% C- A D- F F D- F+ A+ C
1.18 76% 33% 8% 0 +2 1.06 28% 0.8 .22 12% .53 79% .42 1.09 50% 33% 30% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.2 .50 18% .35 57% .20
Jan
19		 Cornell F C- F C D- 52% 15% 33% B D F F F F F A+ D- F+ F+ A- F F+ 44% 6% 50% D F+ A- F C F+ D- B- D
0.95 59% 25% 35% -1 +2 1.04 16% 0.4 .06 21% .20 100% .20 1.26 70% 33% 42% +11 +2 1.29 25% 1.4 .34 14% .35 71% .25
Jan
24		 Princeton F F F F F 39% 29% 33% D- F C+ A+ A- D F+ C- D- B+ A+ B- A A+ 28% 24% 48% A- A+ C- A- B- F F+ F F
0.83 47% 29% 6% -20 -1 0.59 30% 1.4 .43 16% .24 69% .17 0.99 31% 36% 27% -13 -1 0.74 28% 0.8 .23 11% .39 100% .39
Jan
30		 Harvard D- C- B F F 44% 16% 40% C+ F C- A+ A C A- F D+ D C- F D F 44% 9% 47% F F A+ D+ A+ A F F F
0.97 55% 43% 17% -11 +1 0.82 29% 1.5 .44 16% .33 53% .18 1.13 60% 100% 38% +9 +2 1.24 11% 1.0 .11 23% .62 93% .58
Jan
31		 Dartmouth F F A+ C F 52% 5% 43% A F A+ F+ B- F C+ C C+ C- C- F A+ B- 35% 12% 53% D C+ A+ F B+ C- F F F
0.94 28% 67% 33% -15 +3 0.79 41% 0.9 .35 20% .28 71% .20 1.03 59% 67% 27% -2 +1 1.00 13% 1.5 .19 19% .46 86% .40
Feb
6		 Yale C- D+ F C- D- 44% 11% 44% A- D F A+ C C+ F A+ D- C- F F F F 33% 14% 53% C- F A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ F+
1.06 54% 17% 33% -5 +2 0.96 18% 1.7 .30 14% .16 89% .14 1.24 71% 67% 52% +23 0 1.49 20% 0.0 .00 17% .52 61% .31
Feb
13		 Harvard F C B F F 47% 16% 38% B- F C A+ B+ F B F C- A+ B A- B A 37% 24% 39% B+ A D- D+ D- A+ F A+ D
0.86 57% 43% 6% -16 +1 0.73 30% 1.3 .39 23% .31 60% .19 0.91 53% 30% 31% -5 -1 0.90 31% 1.0 .31 24% .38 61% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
14		 Dartmouth C A+ B+ A- A+ 41% 18% 41% C A+ D A+ B- F B- F D- C F F C+ F 21% 14% 64% B- F+ A+ F B+ A- F F F
1.10 76% 44% 38% +11 +1 1.25 24% 1.4 .34 22% .30 47% .14 1.06 78% 67% 33% +8 0 1.17 12% 1.7 .19 24% .49 81% .40
Feb
20		 Princeton B A+ A A+ A+ 48% 14% 39% B A+ F+ B- D F A F+ B D B F F+ F+ 33% 14% 53% C- D- F A+ C- B+ F C- F
1.25 81% 50% 41% +17 +2 1.39 21% 1.2 .25 19% .38 65% .25 1.11 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.09 40% 0.7 .29 20% .57 76% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 1.5 1.5 4th
5th 3.4 1.2 4.5 5th
6th 1.6 10.4 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 13.2 4.4 17.6 7th
8th 35.6 28.4 0.4 64.4 8th
Total 35.6 43.1 18.5 2.8 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8 2.8% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.8
5-9 18.5% 18.5
4-10 43.1% 43.1
3-11 35.6% 35.6
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 35.6%