Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#144
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#187
Pace81.9#2
Improvement+4.9#19

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#142
First Shot-1.9#233
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#25
Layup/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#223
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
Freethrows+2.2#62
Improvement+3.6#23

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#173
First Shot+0.7#157
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#260
Layups/Dunks-0.4#180
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#172
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#77
Freethrows-1.7#293
Improvement+1.3#116
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.3% 41.4% 34.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.3 14.8
.500 or above 99.8% 100.0% 99.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 92.3% 94.3% 81.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.2% 0.8%
First Round40.2% 41.4% 34.1%
Second Round1.9% 2.1% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 84.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 33 - 33 - 6
Quad 417 - 520 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 246   Siena L 88-90 OT 80%     0 - 1 -9.6 -1.8 -7.4
  Nov 14, 2024 342   @ Buffalo W 87-64 84%     1 - 1 +13.7 +1.5 +9.8
  Nov 18, 2024 232   @ Delaware W 85-84 61%     2 - 1 -0.6 -0.8 +0.1
  Nov 21, 2024 321   @ Stonehill L 66-67 79%     2 - 2 -8.2 -8.9 +0.6
  Nov 24, 2024 95   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 26%     2 - 3 -7.2 +0.6 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2024 289   Tennessee St. W 97-85 78%     3 - 3 +5.0 +7.4 -4.1
  Nov 27, 2024 138   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 40%     3 - 4 -4.2 +4.8 -9.2
  Dec 02, 2024 195   @ Drexel W 78-73 51%     4 - 4 +5.9 +6.5 -0.6
  Dec 06, 2024 214   Brown L 75-76 74%     4 - 5 -6.4 -2.6 -3.8
  Dec 11, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 77-99 5%     4 - 6 -2.4 +9.8 -9.9
  Dec 14, 2024 191   Fordham L 84-86 60%     4 - 7 -3.4 -0.5 -2.6
  Dec 22, 2024 160   @ Towson L 65-70 43%     4 - 8 -2.1 -4.1 +1.9
  Dec 30, 2024 74   @ Grand Canyon L 66-112 20%     4 - 9 -36.0 -15.6 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 199   Maine W 81-55 70%     5 - 9 1 - 0 +21.8 +6.8 +14.2
  Jan 11, 2025 240   Vermont W 73-53 78%     6 - 9 2 - 0 +12.9 +10.1 +5.4
  Jan 16, 2025 280   @ Albany W 89-79 69%     7 - 9 3 - 0 +5.9 +10.7 -5.2
  Jan 18, 2025 203   Umass Lowell W 85-62 71%     8 - 9 4 - 0 +18.4 +0.1 +16.5
  Jan 23, 2025 357   @ New Hampshire W 95-76 88%     9 - 9 5 - 0 +7.7 +15.9 -8.8
  Jan 25, 2025 313   Binghamton W 83-69 87%     10 - 9 6 - 0 +2.8 +5.5 -2.5
  Jan 30, 2025 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 92-86 66%     11 - 9 7 - 0 +2.8 +7.6 -5.2
  Feb 01, 2025 344   @ NJIT W 92-70 84%     12 - 9 8 - 0 +12.7 +15.3 -3.3
  Feb 06, 2025 280   Albany W 86-76 84%    
  Feb 08, 2025 313   @ Binghamton W 81-74 74%    
  Feb 13, 2025 344   NJIT W 81-66 94%    
  Feb 15, 2025 261   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 93-84 83%    
  Feb 20, 2025 240   @ Vermont W 72-69 60%    
  Feb 27, 2025 203   @ Umass Lowell W 86-85 50%    
  Mar 01, 2025 199   @ Maine W 75-74 50%    
  Mar 04, 2025 357   New Hampshire W 86-69 95%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 14 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.7 6.6 21.2 30.3 24.6 8.9 92.3 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.9 7.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.0 0.3 2.7 10.0 23.2 30.3 24.6 8.9 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 8.9    8.9
15-1 100.0% 24.6    24.6
14-2 100.0% 30.3    28.6 1.7
13-3 91.7% 21.2    16.0 5.2 0.0
12-4 65.6% 6.6    3.2 3.0 0.3
11-5 25.9% 0.7    0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0
10-6 3.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total 92.3% 92.3 81.4 10.3 0.5 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 8.9% 53.3% 53.3% 13.1 0.0 0.9 2.7 1.1 0.1 4.1
15-1 24.6% 45.4% 45.4% 14.0 0.1 2.4 6.2 2.4 0.1 13.4
14-2 30.3% 40.8% 40.8% 14.5 0.0 0.8 4.9 6.2 0.4 17.9
13-3 23.2% 35.8% 35.8% 14.9 0.1 1.9 5.3 1.0 14.9
12-4 10.0% 30.5% 30.5% 15.2 0.0 0.3 1.9 0.9 7.0
11-5 2.7% 24.1% 24.1% 15.5 0.3 0.4 2.1
10-6 0.3% 21.9% 21.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
9-7 0.0% 0.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 40.3% 40.3% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 1.0 6.1 14.3 16.2 2.8 59.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.7% 100.0% 13.1 0.2 18.9 56.1 23.7 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.7%