Bryant
America East
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#185
Expected Predictive Rating-5.7#265
Pace82.7#2
Improvement-1.0#248

Offense
Total Offense-0.4#179
First Shot-3.2#270
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#32
Layup/Dunks-3.6#306
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#198
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#198
Freethrows+1.5#94
Improvement-0.7#231

Defense
Total Defense-0.8#196
First Shot-0.9#202
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#178
Layups/Dunks-1.5#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#83
Freethrows-1.7#300
Improvement-0.4#218
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.9% 25.1% 19.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.7 15.2
.500 or above 59.9% 78.1% 55.0%
.500 or above in Conference 89.1% 92.7% 88.1%
Conference Champion 28.1% 34.7% 26.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.6% 0.3% 0.7%
First Four4.2% 2.1% 4.7%
First Round19.2% 24.2% 17.9%
Second Round0.7% 1.2% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grand Canyon (Away) - 20.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 33 - 54 - 9
Quad 412 - 716 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 304   Siena L 88-90 OT 82%     0 - 1 -12.9 -2.9 -9.7
  Nov 14, 2024 330   @ Buffalo W 87-64 71%     1 - 1 +15.9 +1.8 +11.8
  Nov 18, 2024 215   @ Delaware W 85-84 44%     2 - 1 +1.3 +1.7 -0.5
  Nov 21, 2024 323   @ Stonehill L 66-67 68%     2 - 2 -7.1 -9.1 +2.0
  Nov 24, 2024 87   @ St. Bonaventure L 70-85 16%     2 - 3 -5.6 +3.8 -9.3
  Nov 26, 2024 318   Tennessee St. W 97-85 77%     3 - 3 +3.1 +6.0 -4.7
  Nov 27, 2024 174   @ Chattanooga L 76-84 36%     3 - 4 -5.6 +4.7 -10.6
  Dec 02, 2024 154   @ Drexel W 78-73 34%     4 - 4 +8.1 +6.7 +1.4
  Dec 06, 2024 173   Brown L 75-76 59%     4 - 5 -4.6 -0.7 -3.9
  Dec 11, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 77-99 4%     4 - 6 -3.3 +5.4 -6.4
  Dec 14, 2024 178   Fordham L 84-86 49%     4 - 7 -2.9 +0.6 -3.3
  Dec 22, 2024 209   @ Towson L 65-70 43%     4 - 8 -4.4 -4.5 +0.0
  Dec 30, 2024 107   @ Grand Canyon L 77-86 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 217   Maine W 78-73 67%    
  Jan 11, 2025 220   Vermont W 73-68 69%    
  Jan 16, 2025 233   @ Albany L 84-85 49%    
  Jan 18, 2025 144   Umass Lowell W 85-84 54%    
  Jan 23, 2025 355   @ New Hampshire W 83-74 79%    
  Jan 25, 2025 302   Binghamton W 81-71 81%    
  Jan 30, 2025 245   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89-88 51%    
  Feb 01, 2025 352   @ NJIT W 78-70 78%    
  Feb 06, 2025 233   Albany W 87-81 70%    
  Feb 08, 2025 302   @ Binghamton W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 352   NJIT W 81-67 91%    
  Feb 15, 2025 245   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 92-86 72%    
  Feb 20, 2025 220   @ Vermont L 70-71 47%    
  Feb 27, 2025 144   @ Umass Lowell L 82-87 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 217   @ Maine L 75-76 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 355   New Hampshire W 86-71 91%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 10 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 3.2 7.8 8.9 5.4 2.0 0.4 28.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 4.9 9.4 6.4 1.7 0.2 23.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 4.1 8.1 3.9 0.5 0.0 17.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.2 2.9 0.2 0.0 12.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.3 0.2 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.3 2.8 1.5 0.1 5.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.7 0.1 3.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.3 3.0 5.8 9.4 13.2 16.4 16.8 14.7 10.6 5.6 2.0 0.4 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
15-1 100.0% 2.0    2.0 0.0
14-2 97.1% 5.4    4.9 0.5 0.0
13-3 83.5% 8.9    6.3 2.4 0.1
12-4 53.2% 7.8    3.5 3.5 0.8 0.0
11-5 19.3% 3.2    0.6 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0
10-6 2.1% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 28.1% 28.1 17.6 7.9 2.1 0.4 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.4% 45.1% 45.1% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-1 2.0% 43.9% 43.9% 13.6 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1
14-2 5.6% 37.9% 37.9% 14.1 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 3.5
13-3 10.6% 34.1% 34.1% 14.6 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.8 0.2 7.0
12-4 14.7% 28.4% 28.4% 15.0 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.0 10.5
11-5 16.8% 22.1% 22.1% 15.4 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.7 13.1
10-6 16.4% 16.2% 16.2% 15.6 0.0 0.9 1.7 13.8
9-7 13.2% 13.4% 13.4% 15.9 0.1 1.6 11.4
8-8 9.4% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0 8.3
7-9 5.8% 9.0% 9.0% 16.0 0.5 5.3
6-10 3.0% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.2 2.9
5-11 1.3% 4.2% 4.2% 16.0 0.1 1.3
4-12 0.5% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-13 0.2% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 20.9% 20.9% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 3.8 7.8 8.1 79.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 11.8 17.2 82.8