IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Bryant
America East
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	-11.8	#347
Expected Predictive Rating	-11.2	#333

Pace	63.6	#317
Improvement	-3.0	#306

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#344	D-	D+	D	D	B-
Defense	#308	C-	D+	D-	C+	F+

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	34%	#311	1.03	#318	-5.2	#340
2 Pt. Jumpers	13%	#327	0.64	#332	-3.6	#343
Three Pointers	54%	#9	0.85	#347	+2.0	#110
1st FG Attempt			0.89	#350	-6.9	#353
Freethrows	0.23	#350	78%	#19	0.18	#317
Second Chance	26.8%	#286	1.00	#219	0.27	#274
Turnovers					19.3%	#326
Total Offense					-7.2	#344

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	48%	#6	1.13	#133	-4.4	#325
2 Pt. Jumpers	16%	#325	0.65	#29	+2.7	#13
Three Pointers	37%	#291	1.11	#307	+0.4	#163
1st FG Attempt			1.04	#224	-1.3	#225
Freethrows	0.28	#128	73%	#233	0.21	#143
Second Chance	36.2%	#348	0.97	#96	0.35	#276
Turnovers					13.0%	#346
Total Defense					-4.5	#308

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	1.3%	#105	2.6%	#356
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	-14.0%	#360	0.1%	#188
Possession Length	19.3	#345	16.8	#110
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.11	#343	0.21	#302
Improvement	-0.4	#203	-2.6	#315

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.6%	4.4%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
.500 or above in Conference	21.8%	32.9%	9.2%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	6.8%	3.2%	10.8%

First Four	3.6%	4.3%	2.6%
First Round	1.6%	2.1%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Albany (Home) - 53.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 4
Quad 3	0 - 6	0 - 10
Quad 4	9 - 11	9 - 21

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	174 @Siena	L	66 - 82	11%	-10	0 - 1		-14	-3	B-	B	F	-12	B-	F	F
Fri, Nov 7	115 @Georgia Tech	L	45 - 74	6%	-19	0 - 2		-23	-25	F	F	F	+4	C	A+	C
Wed, Nov 12	229 Dartmouth	W	82 - 75	32%	+1	1 - 2		+0	+1	C+	F	B+	-1	C+	A-	D-
Sun, Nov 16	160 @Valparaiso	L	50 - 68	9%	-4	1 - 3		-15	-14	F	B-	F+	-3	B+	D-	F+
Wed, Nov 19	60 @Virginia Tech	L	61 - 78	2%	-5	1 - 4		-5	-5	C	F+	C-	-0	B-	F	C-
Sun, Nov 23	9 @Connecticut	L	49 - 72	0%	-14	1 - 5		+1	-7	D+	C-	F	+7	A+	B-	F+
Sat, Nov 29	165 @Harvard	L	53 - 56	10%	-2	1 - 6		-0	-8	F	C+	C-	+7	B+	B+	D+
Tue, Dec 2	328 Stonehill	W	77 - 65	56%	+4	2 - 6		-1	+14	B	A+	D-	-13	D-	C	F
Fri, Dec 5	280 @Brown	L	56 - 75	22%	-12	2 - 7		-23	-12	D+	F	F+	-12	F+	C-	F
Wed, Dec 10	231 @Iona	L	63 - 69	16%	-5	2 - 8		-7	-5	B-	F+	F	-2	B-	D+	F
Sat, Dec 13	161 Marist	L	74 - 82	21%	-6	2 - 9		-11	+6	A+	F	F+	-18	F	C-	D+
Mon, Dec 22	98 @High Point	L	47 - 93	4%	-27	2 - 10		-38	-21	F	D	F	-21	F	F	A+
Sat, Jan 3	346 @Maine	W	56 - 51	38%	+5	3 - 10	1 - 0	-4	-15	F	F+	F	+12	A+	D	C+
Thu, Jan 8	314 Umass Lowell	L	63 - 77	52%	-6	3 - 11	1 - 1	-26	-10	F+	D-	C-	-17	F+	F	D-
Sat, Jan 10	316 @Albany	L	46 - 71	31%	-13	3 - 12	1 - 2	-32	-19	F	D	C-	-18	F	A	F
Thu, Jan 15	261 Maryland Baltimore Co.	W	79 - 74 OT	38%	+1	4 - 12	2 - 2	-4	+3	B+	B+	F	-7	D-	B+	C-
Mon, Jan 19	324 @NJIT	L	55 - 79	33%	-9	4 - 13	2 - 3	-31	-13	F	F	F	-21	F	B-	F
Sat, Jan 24	211 Vermont	L	52 - 62	29%	-8	4 - 14	2 - 4	-16	-8	F	A-	D	-11	B	F+	F+
Thu, Jan 29	361 @Binghamton	L	60 - 63	55%	-2	4 - 15	2 - 5	-16	-8	F	F	A-	-9	C-	C-	F
Sat, Jan 31	320 New Hampshire	W	92 - 84	54%	+1	5 - 15	3 - 5	-5	+10	C	A+	C-	-15	D	C-	F
Thu, Feb 5	316 Albany	W	69 - 68	53%
Sat, Feb 7	346 Maine	W	64 - 61	62%
Thu, Feb 12	314 @Umass Lowell	L	68 - 74	30%
Sat, Feb 14	211 @Vermont	L	61 - 73	14%
Thu, Feb 19	361 Binghamton	W	71 - 64	76%
Thu, Feb 26	261 @Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	64 - 73	19%
Sat, Feb 28	324 NJIT	W	69 - 68	55%
Tue, Mar 3	320 @New Hampshire	L	66 - 71	32%
Totals						8 - 20	6 - 10	-12	-7	D-	D+	D	-5	C-	D+	D-

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected America East Finish

	0-16	1-15	2-14	3-13	4-12	5-11	6-10	7-9	8-8	9-7	10-6	11-5	12-4	13-3	14-2	15-1	16-0	Total
1st											0.1	0.1						0.1	1st
2nd										0.3	0.4	0.0						0.8	2nd
3rd								0.0	0.9	2.2	0.5							3.7	3rd
4th								1.1	6.3	2.7	0.1							10.2	4th
5th							0.7	8.4	6.7	0.3								16.1	5th
6th						0.5	8.7	11.7	1.1									22.0	6th
7th					0.3	5.9	13.7	3.2	0.0									23.1	7th
8th				0.4	5.6	11.2	4.4	0.1										21.7	8th
9th				0.6	1.3	0.4	0.0											2.3	9th

Total				1.0	7.1	18.0	27.6	24.5	15.0	5.5	1.1	0.1							Total

America East Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5	58.8%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-6	5.2%	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
9-7	0.0%
8-8	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5	0.1%																				0.0	0.1
10-6	1.1%	12.7%	12.7%		16.0																0.1	1.0
9-7	5.5%	8.3%	8.3%		16.0																0.5	5.1
8-8	15.0%	5.2%	5.2%		16.0																0.8	14.3
7-9	24.5%	4.0%	4.0%		16.0																1.0	23.5
6-10	27.6%	3.0%	3.0%		16.0																0.8	26.8
5-11	18.0%	1.5%	1.5%		16.0																0.3	17.7
4-12	7.1%	1.3%	1.3%		16.0																0.1	7.0
3-13	1.0%																					1.0
2-14
1-15
0-16

Total	100%	3.6%	3.6%	0.0%	16.0																	96.4	0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.0%