Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -11.2 330
Results Rating -10.2 323
Pace 67.6 208
Improvement -4.0 327

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D- 343 D- D+ D- C- C+
Defense D+ 287 D D+ C D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 230 D+ 54% 289 -2.6 276
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 269 F+ 30% 357 -2.7 309
Three Pointers 46% 71 F+ 29% 343 -0.7 207
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.4 137 F+ -6.2 350
1st FG Attempt D- 0.90 340
Second Chance D 25.5% 316 C+ 1.07 117 D+ 0.27 265
Turnovers D- 20.0% 339
Freethrows D+ 0.28 269 B 76% 58 C- 0.21 212
Total Offense D- -7.4 343

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 123 F 15.8% 356
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 152 F 9.9% 354
Three Pointers C+ 87% 126 C- 1.2% 268
Total B- 61% 74 F 8.1% 354

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 278 D+ 62% 284 -0.5 157
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 155 D 42% 309 +0.8 255
Three Pointers 44% 95 D 37% 315 +3.4 328
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 118 D- +4.1 325
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 309
Second Chance D 33.7% 304 C- 1.06 237 D+ 0.36 297
Turnovers C 17.2% 148
Freethrows C- 0.33 244 D+ 74% 269 D+ 0.24 265
Total Defense D+ -3.8 287

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 52% 253 D+ 8.0% 301
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 31% 291 D- 1.7% 339
Three Pointers F+ 92% 357 D 0.1% 343
Total D 62% 315 D- 3.2% 340

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.8 238 16.9 119
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 321 0.16 159
Improvement -1.3 #254 -2.6 #308

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 344 332 318
Results Rating Rank 345 321 304
Conference Record 5 - 13 6 - 12 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 28% 5% 61%
First Four1% 1% 1%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Holy Cross (Home) - 59.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 70 - 11
Quad 410 - 1210 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 265 Delaware W 78 - 70 41% +6  92% 1 - 0 C -1 D+ -3 C B F B- +2 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 7 284 @Mount St. Mary's W 73 - 62 25% +4  80% 2 - 0 B- +7 C+ +3 B F A+ B +4 B A- C+
 Tue, Nov 11 254 @Princeton L 63 - 73 19% -5  4% 2 - 1 D- -12 F -13 D F F C+ +0 C- C- C
 Fri, Nov 14 106 Hofstra L 77 - 83 13% -2  35% 2 - 2 C- -5 D+ -3 D+ A+ F C -1 D- A C
 Mon, Nov 17 98 @Pittsburgh L 50 - 84 5% -17  10% 2 - 3 F -26 F -18 F F+ F F -11 F F B+
 Thu, Nov 20 19 @St. John's L 49 - 97 1% -17  22% 2 - 4 F -27 F -18 F D- F D+ -5 F B+ B+
 Mon, Nov 24 166 Bowling Green L 66 - 71 16% -7  6% 2 - 5 D+ -5 D- -6 B+ D F C+ +1 C- D A
 Wed, Nov 26 207 Buffalo L 71 - 73 21% -2  33% 2 - 6 C- -5 C+ +2 C+ C C- D- -7 D A D-
 Sun, Nov 30 171 Cornell L 72 - 101 23% -14  6% 2 - 7 F -33 F -15 F A+ F F -16 F F A-
 Wed, Dec 3 79 @Akron L 77 - 97 3% -11  8% 2 - 8 D -9 B +6 C+ D A+ F -16 F D+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 73 34% -1  39% 2 - 9 D- -14 D- -7 F C+ C- D- -7 F C- B+
 Tue, Dec 9 356 @Rider W 51 - 38 53% +8  99% 3 - 9 C +1 F -23 F F F A+ +26 B A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 26 Iowa L 39 - 94 2% -23  13% 3 - 10 F -39 F -27 D+ F F F -17 F+ F C-
 Wed, Dec 31 327 @Holy Cross L 58 - 65 37% -4  9% 3 - 11 0 - 1 F+ -15 F -15 D- F F C -1 D+ C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 307 Lehigh W 72 - 65 52% -3  33% 4 - 11 1 - 1 C- -5 F -11 F B C B+ +6 B F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 154 @Navy L 55 - 76 10% -7  38% 4 - 12 1 - 2 F -18 F -13 F F D D- -6 D- F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 315 Loyola Maryland W 70 - 67 55% +1  51% 5 - 12 2 - 2 D -9 F -11 F A- F C+ +2 D- A- A
 Wed, Jan 14 322 Lafayette W 76 - 69 58% +1  53% 6 - 12 3 - 2 D+ -6 C +0 B- A+ F D -6 D D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 244 @Colgate L 76 - 95 18% -14  0% 6 - 13 3 - 3 F -20 D+ -2 D D+ C- F -18 F F D
 Wed, Jan 21 338 Army L 84 - 87 OT 64% -2  31% 6 - 14 3 - 4 F -18 C +0 B- F+ B- F -18 F D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 315 @Loyola Maryland L 62 - 67 32% -2  22% 6 - 15 3 - 5 D- -11 F -11 F C C C -1 C+ F A
 Wed, Jan 28 322 @Lafayette L 79 - 81 35% +4  84% 6 - 16 3 - 6 D -9 B +7 D+ B C- F -16 F F F
 Sat, Jan 31 257 Boston University W 103 - 97 2OT 39% +3  62% 7 - 16 4 - 6 C- -2 A- +10 B+ B- B- F -13 B F F
 Wed, Feb 4 253 @American W 60 - 59 19% -2  21% 8 - 16 5 - 6 C -1 D -5 D- B- F B +4 B D+ B-
 Sat, Feb 7 244 Colgate L 59 - 78 36% -14  0% 8 - 17 5 - 7 F -26 F -24 F D D- C- -2 C+ C D
 Mon, Feb 9 154 Navy L 60 - 76 21% -9  9% 8 - 18 5 - 8 F -19 F -14 F D B- D -5 C+ F C
 Sat, Feb 14 257 @Boston University L 69 - 82 20% -10  4% 8 - 19 5 - 9 F+ -15 D- -7 D+ F C F+ -9 F+ D- B-
 Wed, Feb 18 253 American L 57 - 75 38% -6  19% 8 - 20 5 - 10 F -26 F -17 F+ C- F F -11 C+ D+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 327 Holy Cross W 71 - 69 59%
 Wed, Feb 25 338 @Army L 71 - 73 41%
 Sat, Feb 28 307 @Lehigh L 67 - 73 30%
Totals 9 - 22 6 - 12 -11 D- -7 B F+ C+ D+ -4 F+ B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D- D+ F+ F+ F+ 37% 30% 46% C+ D- D C+ D+ D- D+ B C- D+ D+ D D D- 35% 21% 44% C+ D D C- D+ C C- D+ D+
0.98 54% 30% 29% -6 0 0.90 25% 1.1 .27 20% .28 76% .21 1.14 62% 42% 37% +4 0 1.10 34% 1.1 .36 17% .33 74% .20
Nov
3		 Delaware D+ C- F A C 37% 20% 43% B C B C+ B F D B+ D+ B- A A+ A A+ 40% 13% 47% F+ A+ F F F C- D- A+ C
1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21 0.98 48% 14% 28% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19
Nov
7		 Mount St. Mary's C+ B+ D- B B 42% 17% 42% B B D- F F A+ B F C B F C+ A+ B+ 40% 7% 52% D B D- A+ A- C+ F D- F
1.12 64% 33% 36% +3 +1 1.09 23% 0.3 .08 6% .37 65% .24 0.95 71% 33% 18% -8 +2 0.90 33% 0.6 .21 23% .50 72% .36
Nov
11		 Princeton F F A+ D D- 48% 10% 42% B+ D F F F F A- C A- C+ C D- C- D- 19% 27% 54% A+ C- C D- C- C F A F
0.92 48% 60% 30% -5 +2 0.96 18% 0.5 .09 19% .38 71% .27 1.07 56% 46% 35% +2 -2 1.02 27% 1.1 .30 18% .51 66% .34
Nov
14		 Hofstra D+ A F F D 31% 19% 50% B- D+ C+ A+ A+ F A- A+ A+ C C- F+ F F 20% 33% 47% A D- B+ A+ A C F A+ F
1.03 67% 22% 25% -7 0 0.88 32% 1.6 .53 23% .36 86% .31 1.11 60% 44% 43% +9 -3 1.14 29% 0.8 .24 16% .51 66% .34
Nov
17		 Pittsburgh F F F F F 37% 17% 46% C+ F C+ F F+ F A+ B- A+ F B F F F 35% 20% 45% B F F D+ F B+ B- B- B-
0.77 33% 14% 26% -18 0 0.66 27% 0.5 .14 25% .47 78% .37 1.30 53% 60% 50% +13 0 1.29 44% 1.1 .47 20% .27 64% .17
Nov
20		 St. John's F F F F F 41% 17% 41% B- F F+ D+ D- F A+ D A+ D+ F D C F 47% 13% 40% C- F F A+ B+ B+ D- C- D-
0.65 32% 25% 21% -21 +1 0.61 21% 0.9 .18 32% .42 68% .29 1.28 76% 43% 33% +9 +2 1.23 49% 0.8 .37 17% .45 75% .33
Nov
24		 Bowling Green D- B F A+ B 44% 12% 44% B B+ F A+ D F A- B A C+ A+ D+ F C- 42% 11% 47% C- C- A+ F D A F B F
0.96 63% 0% 42% +3 +2 1.12 15% 1.5 .23 26% .39 75% .29 1.03 42% 40% 43% 0 +2 1.04 16% 1.8 .28 22% .48 69% .33
Nov
26		 Buffalo C+ B+ F B- C+ 40% 9% 51% B C+ A- F C C- D+ F F+ D- B- F F+ D+ 35% 8% 56% D- D D- A+ A D- C- C C-
1.17 68% 25% 38% +6 +2 1.17 41% 0.8 .31 18% .24 58% .14 1.20 53% 50% 41% +5 +1 1.15 31% 0.6 .19 13% .36 74% .26
Nov
30		 Cornell F F B+ F F 33% 22% 45% D- F C A+ A+ F A+ C+ A+ F F F F 43% 0% 57% F F A F F A- A+ D A+
0.98 38% 45% 23% -13 -1 0.76 32% 1.6 .51 23% .46 73% .33 1.37 73% 62% +30 +3 1.69 24% 2.0 .47 22% .16 78% .12
Dec
3		 Akron B C+ F B+ C+ 29% 14% 58% C C+ C+ F D A+ F C- F F F F F+ F 40% 15% 45% C- F B F D+ F F A+ D
1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08 1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24
Dec
6		 Maryland Baltimore Co. D- C F F F 38% 20% 42% C- F B+ D C+ C- A C A- D- D F F F 37% 28% 35% B- F C- C- C- B+ C- D- D+
1.02 58% 20% 29% -7 0 0.88 35% 0.9 .33 14% .31 71% .22 1.13 65% 46% 44% +10 -1 1.20 23% 1.0 .23 19% .29 80% .23
Dec
9		 Rider F D+ F F F 46% 8% 46% B- F F F+ F F F A- F A+ A+ D- A+ B+ 34% 34% 32% C+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A- A+ A+
0.84 55% 25% 23% -10 +2 0.85 19% 0.8 .16 18% .16 75% .12 0.62 36% 43% 23% -11 -2 0.76 17% 0.7 .11 25% .20 33% .07
Dec
20		 Iowa F A+ F F D 31% 15% 54% C+ D+ F F F F F F+ F F D- F F F 49% 16% 35% D+ F+ F D F C- A+ F+ A+
0.60 75% 17% 24% -6 0 0.90 12% 0.7 .08 38% .15 67% .10 1.44 70% 67% 42% +15 +1 1.35 50% 1.2 .58 14% .21 83% .18
Dec
31		 Holy Cross F D+ D C+ D 27% 27% 45% F D- C F F F F F F C C- F A+ D+ 48% 35% 18% C D+ F A C- C+ F C- F
0.93 57% 36% 35% 0 -2 0.98 30% 0.5 .16 21% .10 40% .04 1.04 58% 57% 14% +1 -1 1.03 30% 0.8 .22 18% .51 77% .39
Jan
3		 Lehigh F F F C- F 39% 22% 39% C F D+ A+ B C D+ A+ B+ B+ B+ F A+ B- 33% 33% 33% B+ B A- F F A+ F F F
0.98 29% 25% 33% -15 0 0.72 31% 1.3 .40 16% .29 94% .28 0.89 50% 57% 21% -3 -2 0.93 15% 2.3 .35 29% .40 81% .33
Jan
7		 Navy F C+ F F F 27% 17% 56% B- F F F F D C+ B B- D- D- A+ F F+ 37% 24% 39% C D- F F F B+ C- D D+
0.84 62% 13% 26% -10 0 0.81 19% 0.7 .14 20% .27 79% .21 1.16 65% 18% 44% +4 -1 1.09 38% 1.3 .47 21% .35 78% .27
Jan
10		 Loyola Maryland F C- F F F 44% 16% 40% B F C+ A+ A- F C C C C+ D+ A+ F F 25% 12% 63% B D- D- A+ A- A A F+ A-
1.02 59% 25% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.5 .50 20% .29 75% .22 0.98 62% 17% 39% +4 0 1.10 31% 0.5 .17 22% .17 78% .13
Jan
14		 Lafayette C D F A+ C+ 45% 16% 39% B+ B- D A+ A+ F C- A+ B- D C A+ F F+ 33% 17% 50% B- D B+ F D+ C B F C+
1.15 55% 29% 47% +5 +1 1.14 27% 2.0 .54 23% .27 86% .24 1.05 56% 13% 42% +1 0 1.04 21% 1.3 .26 17% .24 77% .18
Jan
17		 Colgate D+ B+ F F F+ 41% 8% 51% A- D F A+ D+ C- A A+ A+ F F F F F 33% 19% 48% D+ F F F F D F B+ D-
1.06 67% 25% 23% -6 +2 0.94 16% 1.6 .26 15% .40 92% .36 1.33 76% 50% 44% +16 0 1.33 34% 1.4 .48 14% .36 68% .24
Jan
21		 Army C B C C+ C+ 44% 15% 41% B B- C- F F+ B- C+ B B F D- B+ F F 37% 8% 56% D+ F F B+ D+ C- F F F
1.20 67% 38% 36% +5 +1 1.15 30% 0.9 .27 13% .38 78% .30 1.24 63% 25% 41% +7 +2 1.19 38% 0.8 .31 17% .36 90% .33
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Loyola Maryland F C+ F F F 43% 10% 47% A- F D A C C F D+ F C F F A- D+ 18% 28% 55% A+ C+ D- F F A F F F
0.98 64% 20% 17% -12 +2 0.82 27% 1.4 .38 14% .20 73% .15 1.06 71% 45% 27% -1 -2 0.95 31% 1.2 .38 22% .45 91% .41
Jan
28		 Lafayette B B+ B- C+ C+ 20% 42% 38% F D+ C A B C- A+ C+ A+ F F D+ C+ F 32% 18% 50% B F F F F F F F+ F
1.21 67% 42% 35% +4 -4 1.02 32% 1.3 .42 15% .58 75% .43 1.24 79% 38% 32% +5 0 1.11 34% 1.1 .38 12% .54 74% .40
Jan
31		 Boston University A- F A+ A+ A- 39% 24% 37% D+ B+ C- A+ B- B- A+ A+ A+ F D A B- B 37% 17% 46% C B D F F F F F F
1.34 43% 62% 55% +11 0 1.24 28% 1.3 .38 10% .48 85% .41 1.26 64% 30% 33% 0 0 1.03 30% 1.3 .40 9% .42 83% .34
Feb
4		 American D F B- C- F+ 38% 18% 45% C D- F A+ B- F C A+ A B A D+ C+ B 23% 11% 66% B- B F A D+ B- B A+ A-
1.01 47% 43% 33% -4 0 0.95 22% 1.7 .37 24% .38 88% .33 1.00 45% 40% 32% -4 0 0.94 39% 0.7 .27 19% .23 64% .15
Feb
7		 Colgate F D C F F 31% 22% 47% D F F A+ D D- A+ C+ A+ C- C F B+ C+ 36% 26% 38% C+ C+ C C- C D F+ A- D+
0.80 53% 36% 13% -17 -1 0.67 19% 1.3 .24 18% .45 74% .33 1.06 58% 50% 30% +1 -1 1.02 26% 1.0 .26 14% .33 67% .22
Feb
9		 Navy F B+ F F F 35% 11% 55% A F F A- D B- F A+ F+ D C D A- C 38% 33% 29% A- C+ F F F C C+ D C
0.87 68% 17% 17% -13 +1 0.78 20% 1.1 .23 16% .14 100% .14 1.10 56% 44% 29% -1 -2 0.96 39% 1.3 .52 19% .32 78% .25
Feb
14		 Boston University D- D+ A- C- D- 45% 11% 43% A- D+ F B F C F F F F+ C A F F 28% 16% 56% B- F+ F A+ D- B- F F F
1.06 54% 50% 35% 0 +2 1.06 18% 1.2 .21 12% .17 60% .10 1.26 58% 29% 50% +12 0 1.26 48% 0.7 .33 20% .44 91% .40
Feb
18		 American F D+ A+ F F+ 37% 26% 37% D F+ D+ C C- F F C F F B- A+ D- C+ 38% 16% 47% C+ C+ C+ F D+ F F D- F
0.88 56% 73% 13% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.0 .30 23% .28 71% .20 1.16 53% 14% 38% -3 +1 0.98 24% 1.1 .26 11% .54 81% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 3.4 3.4 5th
6th 8.0 4.2 12.1 6th
7th 1.5 16.6 0.6 18.7 7th
8th 33.1 7.1 0.0 40.3 8th
9th 6.0 7.2 13.2 9th
10th 12.1 0.2 12.3 10th
Total 18.1 42.1 31.7 8.1 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 8.1% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.2 7.9
7-11 31.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.4 31.2
6-12 42.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 41.9
5-13 18.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 16.0 99.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%
Lose Out 10.0%