Bucknell
Patriot League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -9.2 #314
Expected Predictive Rating -9.0 #306
Pace 68.5 #206
Improvement -4.3 #352

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #345 F F C F D+
Defense #228 D- C- C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #357 1.04 #307 -7.3 #355
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% #199 0.44 #363 -3.4 #333
Three Pointers 52% #17 0.93 #284 +3.2 #85
1st FG Attempt 0.87 #349 -7.5 #350
Freethrows 12.3 #353 70% #275 8.6 #354
Second Chance 22.6% #352 0.98 #260 0.22 #348
Turnovers 16.7% #181
Total Offense -7.5 #345

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #222 1.21 #247 -0.2 #192
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #146 0.96 #359 -2.1 #325
Three Pointers 41% #169 1.11 #304 -2.3 #276
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #327 -4.7 #322
Freethrows 17.7 #203 72% #164 12.8 #159
Second Chance 32.5% #254 1.05 #205 0.34 #232
Turnovers 16.2% #208
Total Defense -1.7 #228

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #265 -0.4% #134
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -13.7% #351 10.3% #332
Possession Length 18.3 #283 16.8 #112
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #350 0.17 #166
Improvement -4.4 #358 +0.1 #185

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.7% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.9% 4.0% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 34.8% 42.4% 19.1%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.9% 8.2% 25.4%
First Four3.0% 3.3% 2.3%
First Round1.7% 2.0% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Maryland (Home) - 67.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 411 - 1111 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 277 Delaware W 78 - 70 52%  -4  1 - 0 -2 +1 F A- F -3 A+ F C-
 Fri, Nov 7 292 @Mount St. Mary's W 73 - 62 32%  -1  2 - 0 +7 +5 B- F A+ +2 B- A- B+
 Tue, Nov 11 242 @Princeton L 63 - 73 23%  -12  2 - 1 -12 -7 D+ F F -4 D- C- C
 Fri, Nov 14 109 Hofstra L 77 - 83 16%  -7  2 - 2 -5 -1 C- A- F -4 F A+ C-
 Mon, Nov 17 82 @Pittsburgh L 50 - 84 5%  -20  2 - 3 -24 -15 F F F -12 F F A+
 Thu, Nov 20 21 @St. John's L 49 - 97 1%  -21  2 - 4 -29 -18 F F F -7 F A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 24 132 Bowling Green L 66 - 71 15%  -12  2 - 5 -3 -5 C D- F +1 C C A+
 Wed, Nov 26 179 Buffalo L 71 - 73 23%  -10  2 - 6 -3 +5 C+ C D- -9 D A+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 168 Cornell L 72 - 101 30%  -21  2 - 7 -33 -13 F C F -19 F F A+
 Wed, Dec 3 64 @Akron L 77 - 97 4%  -16  2 - 8 -8 +8 B- F A+ -17 F B F
 Sat, Dec 6 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66 - 73 50%  -4  2 - 9 -16 -7 F F D+ -10 F C+ B
 Tue, Dec 9 348 @Rider W 51 - 38 50%  +6  3 - 9 +4 -17 F F F +22 B- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 20 Iowa L 39 - 94 2%  -23  3 - 10 -39 -23 C- F F -20 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 31 326 @Holy Cross L 58 - 65 42%  -7  3 - 11 0 - 1 -14 -11 F F F -4 F C- C+
 Sat, Jan 3 320 Lehigh W 72 - 65 63%  -8  4 - 11 1 - 1 -6 -9 F C C +2 C+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 193 @Navy L 55 - 76 17%  -16  4 - 12 1 - 2 -20 -12 F F F -9 F F A
 Sat, Jan 10 336 Loyola Maryland W 75 - 70 67% 
 Wed, Jan 14 318 Lafayette W 72 - 69 62% 
 Sat, Jan 17 205 @Colgate L 65 - 75 18% 
 Wed, Jan 21 330 Army W 72 - 68 65% 
 Sat, Jan 24 336 @Loyola Maryland L 72 - 73 46% 
 Mon, Jan 26 318 @Lafayette L 69 - 72 41% 
 Sat, Jan 31 258 Boston University L 69 - 70 48% 
 Wed, Feb 4 241 @American L 66 - 74 23% 
 Sat, Feb 7 205 Colgate L 68 - 72 37% 
 Mon, Feb 9 193 Navy L 67 - 71 36% 
 Sat, Feb 14 258 @Boston University L 66 - 73 27% 
 Wed, Feb 18 241 American L 69 - 71 43% 
 Sun, Feb 22 326 Holy Cross W 69 - 65 65% 
 Wed, Feb 25 330 @Army L 69 - 71 44% 
 Sat, Feb 28 320 @Lehigh L 67 - 69 41% 
Totals 11 - 20 8 - 10 -9 -8 F F C -2 D- C- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 2.4 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.7 6.9 2.2 0.2 15.9 5th
6th 0.7 5.5 7.8 2.1 0.2 16.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 4.2 7.2 2.3 0.2 14.2 7th
8th 0.3 2.8 6.3 3.0 0.2 12.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.6 2.7 0.3 9.9 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.9 1.6 0.2 7.2 10th
Total 0.1 0.6 2.2 5.2 9.4 14.1 16.9 16.8 14.2 10.0 5.9 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 85.7% 0.1    0.1
14-4 46.3% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 25.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 8.4% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.3% 18.5% 18.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.1
12-6 3.1% 12.2% 12.2% 16.0 0.0 0.4 2.7
11-7 5.9% 7.8% 7.8% 16.0 0.5 5.5
10-8 10.0% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.6 9.4
9-9 14.2% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.6 13.6
8-10 16.8% 3.0% 3.0% 16.0 0.5 16.3
7-11 16.9% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.3 16.6
6-12 14.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 14.0
5-13 9.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 9.3
4-14 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.2
3-15 2.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 16.0 96.7 0.0%