Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-12.7#353
Expected Predictive Rating-21.1#363
Pace65.1#278
Improvement+0.5#157

Offense
Total Offense-4.3#295
First Shot+1.1#143
After Offensive Rebound-5.4#364
Layup/Dunks-3.0#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#80
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.3#54
Freethrows-2.0#295
Improvement-1.0#254

Defense
Total Defense-8.3#360
First Shot-8.4#363
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#178
Layups/Dunks-3.7#313
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#157
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#326
Freethrows-1.0#253
Improvement+1.4#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.8% 7.4% 1.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 63.0% 43.4% 68.3%
First Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 30 - 60 - 10
Quad 45 - 175 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 11   @ Arizona L 64-93 1%     0 - 1 -9.9 -0.9 -8.1
  Nov 09, 2024 87   St. Bonaventure L 78-87 8%     0 - 2 -5.6 +18.2 -24.9
  Nov 13, 2024 358   @ Mercyhurst L 52-62 44%     0 - 3 -21.1 -18.2 -4.2
  Nov 16, 2024 281   SIU Edwardsville L 58-76 27%     0 - 4 -24.4 -13.4 -11.9
  Nov 17, 2024 293   @ Western Michigan L 69-92 21%     0 - 5 -27.1 -5.4 -22.2
  Nov 19, 2024 13   @ Maryland L 37-108 1%     0 - 6 -52.0 -28.4 -17.7
  Nov 23, 2024 174   Brown L 76-83 20%     0 - 7 -10.6 +11.1 -22.6
  Nov 27, 2024 256   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 16%     0 - 8 -10.2 -5.5 -5.0
  Dec 06, 2024 195   Merrimack L 52-60 22%     0 - 9 0 - 1 -12.7 -17.7 +4.4
  Dec 08, 2024 304   Siena L 53-66 43%     0 - 10 0 - 2 -23.9 -13.9 -12.4
  Dec 14, 2024 217   Maine L 79-84 26%     0 - 11 -10.9 +11.9 -23.3
  Dec 18, 2024 121   @ Loyola Chicago L 60-72 5%     0 - 12 -6.4 -3.4 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 78   @ Bradley L 59-92 3%     0 - 13 -22.6 -0.8 -27.1
  Jan 05, 2025 295   @ Sacred Heart L 70-78 21%    
  Jan 10, 2025 303   Rider L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 12, 2025 206   St. Peter's L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 16, 2025 247   @ Iona L 66-77 15%    
  Jan 18, 2025 297   @ Fairfield L 70-78 22%    
  Jan 23, 2025 295   Sacred Heart L 73-75 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 231   Marist L 64-70 29%    
  Jan 31, 2025 320   Niagara L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 06, 2025 249   @ Quinnipiac L 69-80 16%    
  Feb 08, 2025 195   @ Merrimack L 61-75 10%    
  Feb 12, 2025 320   @ Niagara L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 16, 2025 234   Mount St. Mary's L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 21, 2025 231   @ Marist L 61-73 14%    
  Feb 23, 2025 304   @ Siena L 64-72 24%    
  Feb 28, 2025 279   Manhattan L 74-77 38%    
  Mar 02, 2025 247   Iona L 69-74 33%    
  Mar 06, 2025 303   @ Rider L 65-73 24%    
  Mar 08, 2025 206   @ St. Peter's L 59-73 11%    
Projected Record 5 - 26 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 1.6 0.1 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.2 0.4 11.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.5 4.8 7.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 19.8 12th
13th 1.4 5.2 10.6 13.8 11.8 6.2 1.4 0.1 0.0 50.5 13th
Total 1.4 5.2 10.8 15.3 17.0 16.2 13.0 9.3 5.8 3.2 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 21.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 3.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0
13-7 0.1% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.3% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.3
11-9 0.8% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-10 1.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.6
9-11 3.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 3.2
8-12 5.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.8
7-13 9.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.3
6-14 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
5-15 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.2
4-16 17.0% 17.0
3-17 15.3% 15.3
2-18 10.8% 10.8
1-19 5.2% 5.2
0-20 1.4% 1.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.4%