Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.6 #331
Expected Predictive Rating -4.6 #237
Pace 63.4 #329
Improvement +3.4 #33

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #338 F D+ D- C D-
Defense #289 D+ C F C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #301 0.84 #365 -8.0 #359
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #59 0.77 #157 +2.6 #62
Three Pointers 39% #223 0.95 #261 -2.3 #269
1st FG Attempt 0.86 #353 -7.7 #353
Freethrows 18.0 #152 69% #282 12.4 #189
Second Chance 25.8% #310 1.11 #104 0.29 #253
Turnovers 18.9% #307
Total Offense -7.0 #338

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #320 1.32 #334 +0.7 #152
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #273 0.81 #262 +0.7 #148
Three Pointers 50% #17 0.98 #149 -3.7 #317
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #258 -2.4 #259
Freethrows 16.2 #130 73% #202 11.8 #220
Second Chance 30.6% #172 1.06 #215 0.33 #193
Turnovers 12.8% #350
Total Defense -3.6 #289

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.3% #309 0.0% #165
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -13.2% #350 4.6% #264
Possession Length 19.3 #342 17.2 #183
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #275 0.18 #191
Improvement +1.6 #80 +1.8 #73

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 10.5% 23.6% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 26.6% 48.9% 22.5%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 1.1% 6.0%
First Four0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Away) - 15.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 412 - 813 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 75 @Dayton L 48 - 88 3%  -21  0 - 1 -29 -12 F C F -21 F F F
 Sat, Nov 8 119 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 89 7%  -7  0 - 2 -13 +5 A+ F D -20 C- F F
 Wed, Nov 12 307 Mercyhurst W 58 - 55 54%  +3  1 - 2 -9 -11 C F F +2 C A+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 86 @High Point L 50 - 93 4%  -25  1 - 3 -33 -18 F C+ F -17 F D F
 Fri, Nov 21 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60 - 57 65%  +3  2 - 3 -12 -6 C B- F -5 C D- D
 Sun, Nov 23 359 Binghamton W 75 - 66 76%  +3  3 - 3 -9 +3 D- A+ C- -11 C F F
 Sat, Nov 29 179 Buffalo L 53 - 71 28%  -8  3 - 4 -22 -20 F C- F -4 C+ C D
 Fri, Dec 5 259 @St. Peter's L 57 - 69 22%  -6  3 - 5 0 - 1 -15 -9 F B- C -6 B- F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 190 @Siena L 52 - 74 14%  -14  3 - 6 0 - 2 -21 -15 F D F -8 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 339 @Maine W 70 - 43 42%  +16  4 - 6 +18 +4 B C- F +17 A+ D- B+
 Tue, Dec 16 141 @Rhode Island L 45 - 62 9%  -3  4 - 7 -13 -19 F F F +5 B+ A+ C
 Mon, Dec 22 129 @Duquesne L 59 - 103 8%  -22  4 - 8 -39 -15 F D F -22 F C F
 Fri, Jan 2 282 Fairfield W 85 - 81 47%  +4  5 - 8 1 - 2 -6 +9 C B+ A+ -15 D D- F
 Sun, Jan 4 285 Sacred Heart W 82 - 78 47%  -4  6 - 8 2 - 2 -6 +4 F B C- -10 F C F
 Fri, Jan 9 311 @Manhattan W 70 - 64 33%  -1  7 - 8 3 - 2 -0 -4 F F B+ +5 C+ A+ C
 Sun, Jan 11 214 @Iona L 66 - 77 15% 
 Wed, Jan 14 354 Niagara W 67 - 61 70% 
 Sat, Jan 17 292 Mount St. Mary's L 67 - 68 48% 
 Thu, Jan 22 285 @Sacred Heart L 68 - 75 27% 
 Sat, Jan 24 282 @Fairfield L 67 - 74 25% 
 Fri, Jan 30 140 Marist L 58 - 67 21% 
 Sun, Feb 1 190 Siena L 63 - 69 30% 
 Tue, Feb 3 354 @Niagara L 64 - 65 49% 
 Thu, Feb 5 158 @Quinnipiac L 65 - 78 11% 
 Fri, Feb 13 214 Iona L 69 - 74 33% 
 Sun, Feb 15 311 Manhattan W 73 - 72 55% 
 Fri, Feb 20 348 @Rider L 64 - 65 45% 
 Sun, Feb 22 292 @Mount St. Mary's L 65 - 71 28% 
 Fri, Feb 27 237 Merrimack L 63 - 66 38% 
 Sun, Mar 1 158 Quinnipiac L 68 - 75 25% 
Totals 12 - 18 8 - 12 -11 -7 F D+ D- -4 D+ C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.6 0.1 3.1 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 2.8 1.4 0.2 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 4.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.1 4.9 0.9 0.0 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 5.1 6.7 1.9 0.1 14.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 4.4 7.8 2.9 0.2 15.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.5 7.8 4.0 0.4 16.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.8 6.1 3.5 0.5 0.0 13.2 11th
12th 0.2 1.5 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 6.9 12th
13th 0.4 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.0 13th
Total 0.5 2.7 6.9 12.1 16.7 18.4 16.2 12.1 7.7 4.1 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0%
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-5 34.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 24.1% 24.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-6 0.6% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.6
13-7 1.9% 4.8% 4.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.8
12-8 4.1% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0
11-9 7.7% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 7.6
10-10 12.1% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 12.0
9-11 16.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 16.1
8-12 18.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.4
7-13 16.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.7
6-14 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
5-15 6.9% 6.9
4-16 2.7% 2.7
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.9 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.5%