Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -12.4 344
Results Rating -11.5 334
Pace 62.7 333
Improvement +0.9 158

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense F+ 352 F+ D- D- D+ D+
Defense D+ 279 D C- D+ C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 278 F 44% 365 -6.8 356
2 Pt. Jumpers 41% 133 C- 36% 250 +0.7 139
Three Pointers 41% 174 C- 32% 254 -0.9 217
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 269 F+ -6.4 352
1st FG Attempt F+ 0.88 353
Second Chance D+ 26.7% 287 D- 0.88 343 D- 0.24 331
Turnovers D- 19.7% 332
Freethrows D+ 0.28 259 D+ 70% 261 D+ 0.20 278
Total Offense F+ -9.0 352

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 118 F+ 15.4% 350
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 30% 105 B 2.7% 35
Three Pointers D 77% 322 D+ 1.3% 285
Total C 56% 175 D+ 6.6% 285

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 220 D 64% 324 +1.4 223
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 286 D 42% 307 -0.6 136
Three Pointers 45% 53 C- 35% 237 +3.1 315
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.4 236 D +3.4 310
1st FG Attempt D 1.10 308
Second Chance C- 31.6% 230 C 1.02 174 C- 0.32 218
Turnovers D+ 15.3% 271
Freethrows C 0.31 207 C 72% 157 C 0.22 199
Total Defense D+ -3.4 279

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 261 D+ 8.1% 299
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 300 C- 4.1% 221
Three Pointers C 84% 163 C- 0.8% 185
Total D+ 60% 276 D 4.1% 306

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 335 17.2 165
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 293 0.18 214
Improvement -0.4 #210 +1.3 #109

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 351 343 331
Results Rating Rank 347 335 319
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 12 11 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 5% 0% 6%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Mount St. Mary's (Away) - 21.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 30 - 60 - 9
Quad 49 - 139 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 87 @Dayton L 48 - 88 3% -21  0% 0 - 1 F -30 F -16 F C F F -18 D- F F
 Sat, Nov 8 142 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 89 7% -10  11% 0 - 2 F+ -15 C +1 B+ F+ C F -18 C F F
 Wed, Nov 12 290 Mercyhurst W 58 - 55 43% +3  70% 1 - 2 D+ -8 F -13 C F D- B+ +6 C+ B+ B
 Mon, Nov 17 90 @High Point L 50 - 93 3% -25  2% 1 - 3 F -34 F -21 F C+ F F -16 F D- F
 Fri, Nov 21 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 60 - 57 65% +3  87% 2 - 3 D- -13 F+ -9 C- B- D- D+ -4 C D- D
 Sun, Nov 23 359 Binghamton W 75 - 66 74% +3  74% 3 - 3 D -10 C -0 D A+ D+ F+ -9 C- F F
 Sat, Nov 29 207 Buffalo L 53 - 71 26% -8  21% 3 - 4 F -24 F -23 F C- D+ C- -2 B- C- D
 Fri, Dec 5 235 @St. Peter's L 57 - 69 14% -6  10% 3 - 5 0 - 1 D- -13 F -12 F D C- C- -2 A F D
 Sun, Dec 7 191 @Siena L 52 - 74 11% -14  4% 3 - 6 0 - 2 F -21 F -19 F D- F D+ -4 D A F
 Sat, Dec 13 343 @Maine W 70 - 43 38% +16  88% 4 - 6 A- +18 C +1 B- C- F+ A+ +19 A+ C- A-
 Tue, Dec 16 124 @Rhode Island L 45 - 62 6% -3  44% 4 - 7 D- -11 F -21 F F F A- +8 B A B-
 Mon, Dec 22 110 @Duquesne L 59 - 103 5% -22  2% 4 - 8 F -38 F -15 D D+ F F -20 F D F+
 Fri, Jan 2 264 Fairfield W 85 - 81 36% +4  87% 5 - 8 1 - 2 C- -5 B+ +8 C+ B A+ F -12 C- D- F+
 Sun, Jan 4 286 Sacred Heart W 82 - 78 42% -4  8% 6 - 8 2 - 2 D+ -6 C +1 F+ B D D- -7 D C- D+
 Fri, Jan 9 319 @Manhattan W 70 - 64 31% -1  39% 7 - 8 3 - 2 C -1 F+ -9 F F+ B- A- +8 C- A+ C+
 Sun, Jan 11 249 @Iona L 48 - 74 16% -8  13% 7 - 9 3 - 3 F -28 F -20 F D- A+ F -11 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 336 Niagara L 54 - 59 59% -3  14% 7 - 10 3 - 4 F -20 F -17 F F+ F+ D+ -4 D+ A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 284 Mount St. Mary's L 68 - 78 41% -1  50% 7 - 11 3 - 5 F -20 D- -7 B- F C- F -14 F C- C
 Thu, Jan 22 286 @Sacred Heart L 66 - 69 22% +2  58% 7 - 12 3 - 6 D+ -7 F -13 D+ F D+ B+ +6 D A+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 264 @Fairfield L 55 - 61 18% -7  4% 7 - 13 3 - 7 D -9 F -15 F C- F B+ +6 D+ B- A-
 Fri, Jan 30 181 Marist L 86 - 88 OT 22% +1  41% 7 - 14 3 - 8 D+ -6 B+ +9 A B B- F -15 F B+ C
 Sun, Feb 1 191 Siena L 63 - 78 24% -8  24% 7 - 15 3 - 9 F -20 D -4 C- C- F F -18 F F D+
 Tue, Feb 3 336 @Niagara L 56 - 65 36% -8  0% 7 - 16 3 - 10 F -18 F -11 F F B- F+ -9 F C B-
 Thu, Feb 5 192 @Quinnipiac L 60 - 75 11% -13  1% 7 - 17 3 - 11 D- -14 F -15 F C+ D- C+ +1 D+ F A
 Fri, Feb 13 249 Iona L 63 - 69 33% -3  27% 7 - 18 3 - 12 D- -14 F+ -10 C- F F D -5 C+ C+ C
 Sun, Feb 15 319 Manhattan L 65 - 69 53% -6  18% 7 - 19 3 - 13 F+ -17 F -15 F F C+ C- -3 B- F D+
 Fri, Feb 20 356 @Rider W 72 - 66 48% +6  95% 8 - 19 4 - 13 D+ -6 D- -7 C F F C+ +1 D A+ F
 Sun, Feb 22 284 @Mount St. Mary's L 62 - 70 22%
 Fri, Feb 27 160 Merrimack L 59 - 68 19%
 Sun, Mar 1 192 Quinnipiac L 65 - 72 24%
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -12 F+ -9 D F+ D+ D+ -3 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings F+ F C- C- F+ 35% 41% 41% D+ F+ D+ D- D- D- D+ D+ D+ D+ D D C- D 37% 17% 45% C- D C- C C- D+ C C C
0.96 44% 36% 32% -6 -1 0.88 27% 0.9 .24 20% .28 70% .20 1.14 64% 42% 35% +3 0 1.10 32% 1.0 .32 15% .31 72% .20
Nov
3		 Dayton F F A- D F 36% 26% 38% C F B D C F D- F F F F A+ A+ D- 48% 11% 41% D+ D- F F F F F A F
0.76 27% 45% 31% -11 -1 0.79 33% 0.9 .30 30% .25 45% .11 1.39 95% 20% 17% +5 +2 1.16 35% 1.4 .48 6% .69 68% .47
Nov
8		 St. Bonaventure C B- A A+ A 29% 31% 40% F B+ D F F+ C B F+ C+ F C- D C C 33% 24% 43% C+ C F D- F F D- C- D-
1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23 1.39 61% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25
Nov
12		 Mercyhurst F C- A+ F C 47% 21% 32% C- C F F F D- A+ F B+ B+ B F A+ C 17% 33% 50% B+ C+ A- B B+ B B+ D+ B
0.94 56% 63% 25% 0 +1 1.03 19% 0.8 .15 21% .54 58% .31 0.89 50% 63% 21% -3 -3 0.90 21% 1.0 .21 18% .16 75% .12
Nov
17		 High Point F F F+ F F 38% 25% 38% D- F A- D- C+ F A+ F A+ F F F D F 37% 11% 53% C F A- F D- F A+ D A+
0.75 33% 30% 20% -19 -1 0.63 39% 0.9 .37 32% .55 64% .35 1.40 81% 67% 37% +14 +1 1.32 26% 1.7 .44 9% .17 80% .13
Nov
21		 Maryland Eastern Shore F+ F F+ A+ C 30% 23% 48% D- C- D A+ B- D- F D F D+ A+ C D- D+ 19% 30% 51% A+ C D D D- D D+ B+ C-
1.03 46% 30% 43% +1 -1 1.02 28% 1.5 .41 19% .21 70% .15 0.98 38% 38% 36% -2 -3 0.93 32% 1.0 .32 21% .26 67% .17
Nov
23		 Binghamton C F+ F A+ D 41% 20% 39% D+ D F+ A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+ F+ F F A+ D+ 26% 24% 50% B+ C- F+ F F F F D+ F
1.22 50% 22% 47% +1 0 1.05 24% 2.2 .52 13% .39 86% .34 1.07 80% 67% 16% -1 -1 0.97 26% 1.0 .26 16% .62 78% .48
Nov
29		 Buffalo F F B+ F F 40% 23% 36% D+ F F A+ C- D+ C D+ C- C- B- C- C+ B- 23% 10% 67% C+ B- A F C- D B- F C
0.82 47% 45% 12% -15 0 0.72 23% 1.3 .29 19% .27 71% .19 1.10 55% 40% 34% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.7 .31 14% .31 82% .25
Dec
5		 St. Peter's F F F F F 40% 17% 43% C F B F D C- A+ F B+ C- A+ F A+ A+ 42% 12% 47% F A C+ F F D F F+ F
0.89 41% 14% 22% -18 +1 0.67 40% 0.8 .33 20% .55 64% .35 1.07 39% 60% 20% -15 +1 0.74 33% 1.3 .44 16% .48 81% .39
Dec
7		 Siena F F C- F F 42% 18% 40% B F C- F D- F A B- A D+ F A+ C- D+ 27% 15% 58% D- D B- A+ A F D+ A+ B-
0.81 37% 38% 22% -16 +1 0.71 30% 0.8 .23 22% .38 74% .28 1.15 79% 25% 33% +3 0 1.08 27% 0.7 .19 9% .31 61% .19
Dec
13		 Maine C F A+ A+ B- 38% 22% 40% D+ B- C C- C- F+ C+ D- C A+ A+ B A+ A+ 40% 21% 40% C- A+ F A+ C- A- B- A+ A
1.09 35% 50% 50% +4 0 1.09 37% 1.0 .37 22% .34 65% .22 0.67 35% 33% 24% -16 0 0.70 26% 0.8 .21 25% .29 50% .14
Dec
16		 Rhode Island F F C- C- F 43% 29% 29% D F D F F F D C+ D+ A- B A+ B- B+ 37% 8% 56% D B F A+ A B- A+ F B+
0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23 0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22
Dec
22		 Duquesne F D- C B- C 22% 47% 31% F D F A+ D+ F C F F+ F F F F F 38% 4% 58% D F B+ F D F+ A D B+
0.81 50% 38% 36% -1 -5 0.91 18% 1.3 .24 29% .35 56% .19 1.41 76% 100% 47% +20 +2 1.47 25% 1.4 .36 14% .27 76% .21
Jan
2		 Fairfield B+ F F A+ C+ 34% 16% 50% D C+ D+ A+ B A+ A+ C A+ F D+ A- B- C 43% 20% 37% D C- F C- D- F+ F D F
1.27 35% 25% 52% +4 0 1.10 29% 1.4 .40 9% .44 74% .33 1.21 59% 30% 32% -2 0 0.98 40% 0.9 .38 12% .39 74% .29
Jan
4		 Sacred Heart C A+ D F D- 35% 23% 43% D- F+ F A+ B D A+ A+ A+ D- F D B+ D 27% 11% 61% D+ D B+ F C- D+ F F F
1.20 79% 33% 24% -1 0 1.00 23% 1.8 .42 16% .64 84% .54 1.14 83% 40% 30% +3 0 1.09 21% 1.3 .29 18% .50 86% .43
Jan
9		 Manhattan F+ D C F F 42% 29% 29% D F C- F F+ B- A- A A A- D- A+ D C- 36% 28% 36% B C- B- A+ A+ C+ A+ F A
1.05 55% 40% 27% -4 -1 0.92 35% 0.9 .30 14% .31 83% .26 0.96 63% 20% 37% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.4 .11 17% .18 90% .16
Jan
11		 Iona F F F B- F 48% 25% 27% C F F B+ D- A+ F B+ F F C- F F F 38% 9% 53% F+ F D F F A- A+ A+ A+
0.78 24% 23% 36% -19 0 0.63 23% 1.1 .25 10% .14 75% .11 1.21 59% 75% 50% +16 +1 1.38 29% 1.3 .36 21% .12 50% .06
Jan
14		 Niagara F F B- F F 25% 16% 59% C- F A- F F+ F+ B D+ B- D+ C- A- D+ C- 56% 17% 27% D D+ D- A+ A- D+ F F+ F
0.93 45% 43% 23% -12 0 0.77 41% 0.6 .26 19% .34 75% .25 1.02 57% 29% 36% -2 +2 1.02 26% 0.4 .10 17% .37 78% .29
Jan
17		 Mount St. Mary's D- D D+ A B 25% 20% 55% D+ B- F F F C- F A+ F F F F F F 32% 28% 40% A+ F C D C- C C- D D+
1.01 50% 36% 40% +3 -1 1.05 17% 0.5 .08 15% .12 100% .12 1.16 73% 46% 42% +12 -1 1.23 29% 1.1 .32 22% .33 71% .23
Jan
22		 Sacred Heart F F A+ A+ D 45% 9% 45% B D+ F F F D+ F F F B+ A- A+ F D+ 39% 6% 56% F D A- A+ A+ D+ A- A+ A+
0.96 36% 60% 48% +2 +2 1.09 21% 0.3 .05 16% .12 57% .07 1.00 48% 0% 43% +2 +2 1.09 19% 0.6 .11 17% .21 50% .11
Jan
24		 Fairfield F F F F F 58% 8% 34% A- F A+ F C- F F F F B+ C- D- B D+ 43% 26% 31% C+ D+ F A+ B- A- F+ A+ C-
0.90 45% 25% 24% -14 +3 0.80 45% 0.7 .30 23% .17 38% .06 1.00 56% 45% 31% -1 0 1.00 41% 0.7 .27 20% .33 56% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
30		 Marist B+ B B B+ A 38% 13% 48% A- A B- B- B B- A- F B- F F F C- F 44% 25% 31% D F D+ A+ B+ C F D F
1.16 65% 43% 36% +5 +1 1.13 33% 1.1 .36 18% .43 62% .26 1.19 81% 50% 33% +13 0 1.27 29% 0.8 .21 18% .46 82% .38
Feb
1		 Siena D F F A+ B- 9% 33% 58% F C- A+ F C- F F+ C- D- F F F+ F+ F 38% 24% 38% D F F D- F D+ F A- F
1.06 25% 27% 46% +4 -4 1.02 47% 0.6 .28 23% .22 70% .15 1.31 81% 50% 38% +14 0 1.29 38% 1.1 .42 15% .43 68% .30
Feb
3		 Niagara F C- A+ F F 40% 17% 44% B- F F A+ F B- F A+ F F+ F F F F 50% 5% 45% F F C- C+ C B- B F+ C+
0.97 58% 63% 19% -6 +1 0.92 16% 1.4 .23 14% .16 88% .14 1.13 70% 50% 44% +14 +3 1.35 23% 0.8 .18 21% .20 78% .15
Feb
5		 Quinnipiac F F F A F 41% 24% 35% D+ F D- A+ C+ D- A+ F+ A- C+ A- F D+ D+ 30% 20% 50% C D+ C F F A F D+ F
0.82 35% 8% 41% -13 0 0.76 26% 1.3 .34 20% .39 65% .26 1.02 46% 44% 36% 0 -1 1.00 32% 1.5 .48 22% .51 72% .37
Feb
13		 Iona F+ B+ D B C+ 24% 31% 45% F C- C- F F F D- F F D A+ C- F+ B 45% 12% 43% F+ C+ B F+ C+ C F F F
0.98 67% 33% 36% +2 -2 1.02 32% 0.6 .19 23% .20 60% .12 1.07 42% 40% 39% -4 +2 0.98 21% 1.2 .24 17% .47 88% .41
Feb
15		 Manhattan F A+ F F F 33% 27% 39% D- F F F F C+ B- A+ A C- A B F+ B 46% 26% 28% C- B- D F F D+ F A+ D+
1.00 76% 29% 25% -2 -1 0.96 24% 0.5 .12 14% .27 93% .25 1.07 43% 33% 38% -6 0 0.89 30% 1.8 .55 14% .43 58% .25
Feb
20		 Rider D- D+ A+ B C- 51% 7% 42% B C B- F F F A+ A+ A+ C+ C+ C+ B- C- 47% 24% 29% F D A A+ A+ F D+ A C
1.07 55% 67% 39% +3 +3 1.14 38% 0.4 .14 24% .43 86% .37 0.98 52% 36% 29% -5 0 0.91 24% 0.4 .10 7% .29 61% .18



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 14.8 29.0 11.0 1.3 56.1 11th
12th 33.9 9.5 0.4 43.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 13th
Total 48.8 38.5 11.4 1.3 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.3
6-14 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
5-15 38.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 38.5
4-16 48.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 48.8
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 46.0%