Chattanooga
Southern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.0#117
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#108
Pace66.7#216
Improvement+5.4#13

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#56
First Shot+6.0#44
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#212
Layup/Dunks+2.8#84
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.3#14
Freethrows-1.2#263
Improvement+4.9#15

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#259
First Shot-3.2#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#134
Layups/Dunks+1.5#111
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#334
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#314
Freethrows+1.3#95
Improvement+0.6#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 03 - 3
Quad 37 - 410 - 7
Quad 412 - 222 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 61   @ USC L 51-77 19%     0 - 1 -13.8 -15.1 -0.2
  Nov 07, 2024 27   @ St. Mary's L 74-86 9%     0 - 2 +5.4 +18.8 -14.5
  Nov 11, 2024 278   @ Austin Peay L 61-67 74%     0 - 3 -9.8 -8.9 -1.4
  Nov 14, 2024 330   Morehead St. W 76-62 93%     1 - 3 +0.6 -3.2 +3.6
  Nov 17, 2024 212   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 87-82 62%     2 - 3 +4.9 +5.6 -1.3
  Nov 25, 2024 260   Tennessee St. W 85-78 85%     3 - 3 -1.2 +1.7 -3.5
  Nov 27, 2024 149   Bryant W 84-76 69%     4 - 3 +5.9 +12.7 -6.7
  Dec 03, 2024 97   Lipscomb L 62-80 53%     4 - 4 -15.8 -8.0 -8.6
  Dec 12, 2024 246   @ Evansville W 75-67 68%     5 - 4 +6.2 +8.3 -1.8
  Dec 15, 2024 358   Alabama A&M W 85-63 97%     6 - 4 +3.2 +16.5 -10.4
  Dec 21, 2024 43   @ Indiana L 65-74 14%     6 - 5 +5.6 +2.4 +2.9
  Jan 01, 2025 265   @ Mercer L 94-99 OT 71%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -7.9 +6.4 -13.4
  Jan 04, 2025 357   @ The Citadel W 81-68 91%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +0.8 +8.7 -7.0
  Jan 09, 2025 158   UNC Greensboro L 75-78 70%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -5.5 +10.6 -16.5
  Jan 12, 2025 299   VMI W 91-66 89%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +14.3 +23.6 -6.6
  Jan 15, 2025 129   Wofford W 83-81 OT 64%     9 - 7 3 - 2 +1.2 +7.7 -6.5
  Jan 18, 2025 138   @ Furman W 75-71 46%     10 - 7 4 - 2 +8.0 +5.8 +2.4
  Jan 23, 2025 124   Samford L 69-73 63%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -4.5 -2.8 -1.9
  Jan 25, 2025 154   @ East Tennessee St. W 71-63 50%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +11.1 +0.8 +10.3
  Jan 29, 2025 339   @ Western Carolina W 84-60 87%     12 - 8 6 - 3 +15.0 -1.5 +13.8
  Feb 01, 2025 265   Mercer W 93-84 86%     13 - 8 7 - 3 +0.6 +11.8 -11.9
  Feb 05, 2025 129   @ Wofford W 79-70 43%     14 - 8 8 - 3 +13.7 +13.1 +1.5
  Feb 08, 2025 138   Furman W 85-72 67%     15 - 8 9 - 3 +11.5 +13.3 -1.3
  Feb 12, 2025 124   @ Samford W 82-68 42%     16 - 8 10 - 3 +19.0 +10.2 +8.9
  Feb 15, 2025 154   East Tennessee St. W 78-71 70%     17 - 8 11 - 3 +4.6 +20.0 -14.1
  Feb 19, 2025 339   Western Carolina W 91-86 94%     18 - 8 12 - 3 -9.5 +12.6 -22.0
  Feb 22, 2025 357   The Citadel W 76-75 96%     19 - 8 13 - 3 -16.7 +10.3 -26.8
  Feb 27, 2025 158   @ UNC Greensboro W 75-63 50%     20 - 8 14 - 3 +15.0 +13.4 +3.1
  Mar 01, 2025 299   @ VMI W 91-70 78%     21 - 8 15 - 3 +15.8 +17.5 -1.5
  Mar 08, 2025 265   Mercer W 76-61 79%     22 - 8 +9.3 +2.8 +6.5
  Mar 09, 2025 138   Furman L 77-80 OT 57%     22 - 9 -1.8 +4.7 -6.5
Projected Record 22 - 9 15 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 100.0
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%