Columbia
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.9#179
Expected Predictive Rating+9.0#68
Pace70.3#144
Improvement-2.8#320

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#122
First Shot+2.2#108
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#205
Layup/Dunks+2.7#87
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#293
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#107
Freethrows-0.8#234
Improvement-1.8#306

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#265
First Shot-3.0#275
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#172
Layups/Dunks-0.1#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#249
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#323
Freethrows+1.7#63
Improvement-0.9#259
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 9.6% 5.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 13.0 13.5
.500 or above 93.0% 95.6% 81.4%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 63.0% 50.1%
Conference Champion 9.5% 10.3% 6.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 6.7% 11.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round8.9% 9.6% 5.9%
Second Round0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairfield (Home) - 81.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 1
Quad 21 - 22 - 3
Quad 32 - 44 - 7
Quad 412 - 316 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 322   @ Loyola Maryland W 81-78 69%     1 - 0 -3.1 -0.7 -2.6
  Nov 06, 2024 52   @ Villanova W 90-80 10%     2 - 0 +23.4 +22.7 +1.1
  Nov 09, 2024 327   Delaware St. W 83-62 86%     3 - 0 +8.6 -1.0 +8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 246   Lehigh W 76-75 74%     4 - 0 -6.8 +6.9 -13.5
  Nov 16, 2024 358   Mercyhurst W 77-63 93%     5 - 0 -3.1 +4.8 -6.4
  Nov 20, 2024 336   @ LIU Brooklyn W 80-72 75%     6 - 0 +0.0 +5.9 -6.0
  Nov 23, 2024 306   Stony Brook W 82-63 83%     7 - 0 +8.0 +5.6 +3.1
  Nov 25, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 83-57 91%     8 - 0 +10.1 +3.8 +6.2
  Dec 04, 2024 233   @ Albany L 73-88 50%     8 - 1 -15.8 -5.1 -10.1
  Dec 28, 2024 297   Fairfield W 81-72 82%    
  Dec 30, 2024 63   @ Rutgers L 72-84 12%    
  Jan 11, 2025 131   Cornell W 84-83 52%    
  Jan 18, 2025 98   Yale L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 20, 2025 110   @ Princeton L 73-80 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 292   @ Penn W 76-73 61%    
  Jan 31, 2025 243   Harvard W 77-70 73%    
  Feb 01, 2025 280   Dartmouth W 80-72 78%    
  Feb 08, 2025 174   Brown W 75-72 60%    
  Feb 14, 2025 280   @ Dartmouth W 77-75 59%    
  Feb 15, 2025 243   @ Harvard W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 21, 2025 174   @ Brown L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 98   @ Yale L 72-81 21%    
  Feb 28, 2025 110   Princeton L 76-77 45%    
  Mar 01, 2025 292   Penn W 79-70 79%    
  Mar 08, 2025 131   @ Cornell L 80-86 31%    
Projected Record 16 - 9 7 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.9 3.4 1.8 0.5 0.1 9.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 5.6 4.6 1.3 0.1 13.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.6 7.7 5.4 0.9 0.0 16.7 3rd
4th 0.2 3.1 9.0 5.7 0.7 0.0 18.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.4 8.3 4.7 0.5 0.0 17.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.2 3.1 0.3 12.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.5 0.7 0.1 3.7 8th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.7 7.3 11.7 14.9 16.8 15.8 12.5 8.4 4.8 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
13-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
12-2 94.9% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
11-3 71.7% 3.4    2.0 1.3 0.2
10-4 34.4% 2.9    0.8 1.4 0.6 0.1
9-5 6.5% 0.8    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 4.9 3.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.1% 38.6% 36.4% 2.3% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3.6%
13-1 0.5% 42.3% 41.9% 0.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6%
12-2 1.9% 33.1% 33.1% 12.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
11-3 4.8% 26.9% 26.9% 12.5 0.0 0.6 0.6 0.0 3.5
10-4 8.4% 20.7% 20.7% 12.8 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 6.6
9-5 12.5% 16.1% 16.1% 13.2 0.3 1.1 0.6 0.0 10.5
8-6 15.8% 12.2% 12.2% 13.5 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.1 13.9
7-7 16.8% 6.0% 6.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 15.8
6-8 14.9% 0.6% 0.6% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.8
5-9 11.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.7
4-10 7.3% 7.3
3-11 3.7% 3.7
2-12 1.4% 1.4
1-13 0.3% 0.3
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.1 2.2 4.0 2.2 0.3 0.0 91.1 0.0%