Cornell
Ivy League
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.1 #176
Expected Predictive Rating -2.8 #208
Pace 79.2 #9
Improvement +0.6 #158

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #54 A- C+ C- C B+
Defense #353 F+ D+ D C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #228 1.26 #73 +0.8 #145
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #355 0.84 #65 -4.5 #355
Three Pointers 55% #4 1.18 #14 +11.6 #1
1st FG Attempt 1.18 #14 +7.9 #17
Freethrows 0.29 #232 73% #147 0.21 #205
Second Chance 29.9% #203 1.15 #44 0.34 #109
Turnovers 17.8% #256
Total Offense +6.3 #54

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #77 1.30 #334 -5.4 #344
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #203 0.81 #276 -0.2 #203
Three Pointers 38% #275 1.16 #344 -1.1 #238
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #353 -6.6 #353
Freethrows 0.32 #238 72% #144 0.23 #230
Second Chance 31.2% #205 1.16 #332 0.36 #300
Turnovers 14.4% #314
Total Defense -7.5 #353

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.8% #25 0.8% #243
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 12.9% #18 12.0% #354
Possession Length 14.5 #7 17.8 #273
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #73 0.22 #328
Improvement +2.3 #66 -1.7 #280

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 6.6% 1.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.5
.500 or above 22.8% 39.0% 11.8%
.500 or above in Conference 48.2% 69.5% 33.8%
Conference Champion 1.9% 4.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 4.7% 1.8% 6.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.8% 6.6% 1.9%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Columbia (Away) - 40.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 53 - 10
Quad 49 - 412 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Fri, Nov 7 145 @Kent St. L 102 - 110 31% -8  0 - 1 -4 +19 A+ A- F -22 F F F
 Sun, Nov 9 87 @Illinois St. L 65 - 76 16% -4  0 - 2 -2 -4 F B- B- +3 B- C B
 Thu, Nov 13 310 @Lafayette W 97 - 78 68% +7  1 - 2 +13 +15 B+ B+ C -3 C D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 336 Army W 86 - 73 88% +6  2 - 2 -1 -5 B- F+ F +2 B+ B- F+
 Thu, Nov 20 222 Colgate W 95 - 94 2OT 69% -0  3 - 2 -5 -5 C+ F F -1 B- C- D
 Sun, Nov 30 315 @Bucknell W 101 - 72 70% +14  4 - 2 +23 +21 A+ A- F +0 A F B+
 Tue, Dec 2 84 @George Mason L 81 - 99 16% -5  4 - 3 -8 +10 A+ C D+ -17 F B C+
 Wed, Dec 3 155 @Towson L 80 - 93 35% -3  4 - 4 -10 +12 A+ D- D+ -22 F F C-
 Sun, Dec 7 228 @Samford L 90 - 93 49% +3  4 - 5 -4 +7 D B+ C+ -10 F F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 21 316 @Albany W 83 - 75 70% -0  5 - 5 +1 +20 A- A+ C+ -17 F D+ F
 Mon, Dec 29 10 @Michigan St. L 97 - 114 2% -6  5 - 6 +6 +23 A+ C+ A- -14 F B D
 Mon, Jan 5 183 Columbia L 99 - 104 63% -1  5 - 7 0 - 1 -10 +8 B A- D -17 F B- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 229 Dartmouth L 91 - 102 71% -8  5 - 8 0 - 2 -18 +9 B- B- F+ -26 F F F
 Sat, Jan 17 80 @Yale L 68 - 102 15% -21  5 - 9 0 - 3 -24 -4 F+ D- B -19 F D- F
 Mon, Jan 19 280 @Brown W 89 - 67 60% +13  6 - 9 1 - 3 +18 +18 A+ C+ B -0 F+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 24 165 @Harvard W 86 - 79 36% -2  7 - 9 2 - 3 +10 +20 A B+ C- -10 C+ F F
 Fri, Jan 30 213 Princeton W 87 - 64 68% +16  8 - 9 3 - 3 +17 +24 A+ A+ F -4 B- D- D+
 Sat, Jan 31 180 Penn L 81 - 91 63% -11  8 - 10 3 - 4 -14 +3 B D- B+ -17 F A B-
 Sat, Feb 7 183 @Columbia L 87 - 90 40%
 Fri, Feb 13 213 @Princeton L 82 - 83 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 180 @Penn L 87 - 90 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 165 Harvard W 82 - 80 58%
 Fri, Feb 27 80 Yale L 85 - 90 31%
 Sat, Feb 28 280 Brown W 84 - 75 80%
 Sat, Mar 7 229 @Dartmouth L 89 - 90 49%
Totals 11 - 14 6 - 8 -1 +6 A- C+ C- -7 F+ D+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.0 0.8 1.9 1st
2nd 0.4 5.4 3.8 0.2 9.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.0 8.6 0.7 15.3 3rd
4th 0.0 2.5 13.3 1.7 0.0 17.5 4th
5th 0.6 11.4 5.8 0.0 17.8 5th
6th 0.2 6.5 10.9 0.4 18.0 6th
7th 0.4 5.6 10.3 2.0 18.2 7th
8th 0.5 0.8 0.1 1.4 8th
Total 0.8 6.6 17.5 26.8 25.9 15.8 5.5 1.0 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 75.9% 0.8    0.3 0.4 0.1
9-5 18.9% 1.0    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
8-6 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4 1.0% 27.1% 27.1% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7
9-5 5.5% 17.9% 17.9% 13.8 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.2 4.5
8-6 15.8% 12.9% 12.9% 14.6 0.1 0.7 1.2 0.0 13.8
7-7 25.9% 1.9% 1.9% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 25.4
6-8 26.8% 26.8
5-9 17.5% 17.5
4-10 6.6% 6.6
3-11 0.8% 0.8
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 14.3 96.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 12.7 38.2 50.9 10.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.3%
Lose Out 0.8%