Cornell
Ivy League
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#131
Expected Predictive Rating+1.3#151
Pace77.1#22
Improvement+2.7#48

Offense
Total Offense+4.0#72
First Shot+7.9#17
After Offensive Rebound-3.9#347
Layup/Dunks+4.2#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.5#12
Freethrows-0.1#182
Improvement+2.2#49

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#242
First Shot-1.3#215
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#265
Layups/Dunks-2.7#289
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#135
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+0.5#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.7% 17.2% 12.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.2 13.6
.500 or above 89.1% 91.2% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 81.3% 82.3% 73.8%
Conference Champion 21.2% 22.1% 14.4%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.5% 4.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round16.7% 17.2% 12.3%
Second Round1.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Siena (Home) - 88.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 31 - 3
Quad 35 - 46 - 7
Quad 410 - 316 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 118   Samford W 88-86 57%     1 - 0 +1.9 -2.9 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 165   @ La Salle L 77-93 46%     1 - 1 -13.4 +0.5 -12.8
  Nov 16, 2024 267   Lafayette W 81-71 83%     2 - 1 +1.3 +7.4 -5.8
  Nov 21, 2024 256   Robert Morris L 76-86 82%     2 - 2 -18.2 -1.8 -16.0
  Nov 25, 2024 247   @ Iona W 84-68 63%     3 - 2 +14.2 +5.7 +7.3
  Nov 27, 2024 100   @ Syracuse L 72-82 28%     3 - 3 -2.2 -3.5 +2.1
  Dec 04, 2024 241   @ Colgate W 84-57 62%     4 - 3 +25.6 +14.8 +12.2
  Dec 08, 2024 312   @ Army W 103-84 75%     5 - 3 +13.5 +24.8 -11.7
  Dec 10, 2024 128   @ California W 88-80 38%     6 - 3 +12.9 +11.3 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2024 141   Illinois St. L 77-80 64%     6 - 4 -5.1 +5.4 -10.7
  Dec 30, 2024 304   Siena W 81-68 88%    
  Jan 11, 2025 179   @ Columbia L 83-84 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 292   @ Penn W 81-75 70%    
  Jan 20, 2025 174   Brown W 80-75 69%    
  Jan 25, 2025 110   @ Princeton L 79-84 33%    
  Jan 31, 2025 280   Dartmouth W 86-75 85%    
  Feb 01, 2025 243   Harvard W 82-73 80%    
  Feb 08, 2025 98   Yale L 80-81 49%    
  Feb 14, 2025 243   @ Harvard W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 280   @ Dartmouth W 83-78 68%    
  Feb 21, 2025 98   @ Yale L 78-84 28%    
  Feb 22, 2025 174   @ Brown L 77-78 48%    
  Feb 28, 2025 292   Penn W 84-72 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 110   Princeton W 82-81 54%    
  Mar 08, 2025 179   Columbia W 86-80 69%    
Projected Record 15 - 10 8 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Ivy League Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 4.8 7.5 5.3 2.1 0.4 21.2 1st
2nd 0.1 2.2 8.0 8.7 3.2 0.4 22.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.5 8.8 7.3 1.7 0.0 20.4 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 7.4 5.3 0.8 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.5 5.1 3.2 0.4 0.0 10.2 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 3.0 1.9 0.2 6.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 0.9 0.1 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.1 8th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.6 5.5 9.2 13.4 16.8 17.2 15.2 10.6 5.7 2.1 0.4 Total



Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
13-1 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.0
12-2 93.2% 5.3    4.3 0.9 0.0
11-3 70.0% 7.5    4.1 3.0 0.3
10-4 31.6% 4.8    1.4 2.3 1.0 0.1
9-5 6.6% 1.1    0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
8-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
7-7 0.0%
Total 21.2% 21.2 12.3 6.6 1.9 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.4% 52.5% 52.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
13-1 2.1% 40.7% 40.7% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2
12-2 5.7% 36.5% 36.5% 12.5 0.1 1.0 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-3 10.6% 31.4% 31.4% 12.9 0.0 0.9 1.9 0.6 0.0 7.3
10-4 15.2% 25.2% 25.2% 13.2 0.0 0.5 2.1 1.2 0.1 11.4
9-5 17.2% 21.0% 21.0% 13.7 0.1 1.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 13.5
8-6 16.8% 13.4% 13.4% 14.0 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.4 0.0 14.5
7-7 13.4% 3.8% 3.8% 14.5 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.9
6-8 9.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 9.1
5-9 5.5% 5.5
4-10 2.6% 2.6
3-11 1.1% 1.1
2-12 0.3% 0.3
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.7% 16.7% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.9 5.0 1.2 0.0 83.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.0 1.1 1.1 5.4 8.7 57.6 25.0 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%