Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.1#232
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#242
Pace74.1#47
Improvement-3.0#313

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#138
First Shot+3.7#79
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#311
Layup/Dunks+2.1#105
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#334
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#78
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement+0.2#178

Defense
Total Defense-5.5#330
First Shot-6.6#351
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#87
Layups/Dunks-5.4#345
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#65
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#253
Freethrows-1.2#268
Improvement-3.2#328
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.4% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.3 15.7
.500 or above 7.6% 15.1% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 15.8% 30.5% 7.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.4% 0.3% 0.5%
First Round1.1% 1.3% 1.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Home) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 93 - 11
Quad 410 - 713 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 251   Bucknell L 73-85 64%     0 - 1 -19.7 -9.3 -9.2
  Nov 07, 2024 194   Robert Morris W 81-77 50%     1 - 1 -0.1 +0.2 -0.6
  Nov 12, 2024 256   @ Iona W 64-58 46%     2 - 1 +3.0 -6.5 +9.6
  Nov 18, 2024 144   Bryant L 84-85 39%     2 - 2 -2.3 +1.2 -3.4
  Nov 23, 2024 240   Vermont L 71-75 52%     2 - 3 -8.6 +0.8 -9.4
  Nov 24, 2024 69   Yale W 100-94 13%     3 - 3 +13.8 +23.1 -9.6
  Nov 30, 2024 303   @ Rider W 72-66 55%     4 - 3 +0.5 +4.5 -3.3
  Dec 03, 2024 314   Delaware St. W 93-80 75%     5 - 3 +1.7 +5.4 -5.1
  Dec 06, 2024 142   @ Duquesne L 66-80 23%     5 - 4 -10.3 +1.6 -12.9
  Dec 20, 2024 272   @ St. Peter's L 64-72 48%     5 - 5 -11.7 +3.3 -16.2
  Dec 28, 2024 14   @ St. John's L 76-97 2%     5 - 6 -1.4 +12.8 -13.1
  Jan 02, 2025 206   @ Northeastern L 77-80 34%     5 - 7 0 - 1 -2.8 +5.1 -7.9
  Jan 04, 2025 253   Monmouth W 84-64 64%     6 - 7 1 - 1 +12.2 +10.2 +2.7
  Jan 09, 2025 333   @ N.C. A&T W 98-88 66%     7 - 7 2 - 1 +1.6 +4.4 -4.5
  Jan 11, 2025 287   @ Hampton L 77-83 51%     7 - 8 2 - 2 -10.4 +4.9 -15.5
  Jan 16, 2025 318   Stony Brook W 84-74 76%     8 - 8 3 - 2 -1.7 +3.8 -5.5
  Jan 18, 2025 175   Elon W 79-77 46%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -1.2 +2.1 -3.3
  Jan 23, 2025 174   @ Hofstra L 68-93 28%     9 - 9 4 - 3 -23.1 +4.5 -29.1
  Jan 25, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 54-67 31%     9 - 10 4 - 4 -12.1 -10.8 -2.7
  Jan 30, 2025 160   Towson L 66-76 42%     9 - 11 4 - 5 -12.1 -4.0 -8.4
  Feb 01, 2025 253   @ Monmouth L 83-92 45%     9 - 12 4 - 6 -11.8 +9.3 -21.2
  Feb 06, 2025 117   UNC Wilmington L 76-80 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 208   William & Mary W 87-86 56%    
  Feb 13, 2025 160   @ Towson L 68-75 24%    
  Feb 15, 2025 178   Campbell L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 20, 2025 195   Drexel L 72-73 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 174   Hofstra L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 27, 2025 131   @ College of Charleston L 80-88 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 117   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-83 18%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.0 1.9 0.0 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 3.7 0.9 5.4 7th
8th 0.3 4.4 4.1 0.1 8.9 8th
9th 0.1 3.7 8.5 1.8 14.1 9th
10th 0.2 3.3 12.1 6.0 0.2 21.9 10th
11th 0.4 4.8 15.1 10.1 1.2 0.0 31.6 11th
12th 1.8 5.9 4.1 0.5 0.0 12.4 12th
13th 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.7 13th
14th 14th
Total 2.7 11.2 22.7 26.7 20.9 10.9 4.0 0.8 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 11.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.1% 0.0 0.1
11-7 0.8% 7.5% 7.5% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 4.0% 3.2% 3.2% 15.1 0.1 0.0 3.9
9-9 10.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 10.7
8-10 20.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.8 0.1 0.3 20.6
7-11 26.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.3 26.3
6-12 22.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 22.6
5-13 11.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 11.2
4-14 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.0%