Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.2 #286
Expected Predictive Rating -8.4 #298
Pace 60.9 #354
Improvement +0.1 #184

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #298 C+ F D+ D- C
Defense #253 C- B- D C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #277 1.12 #222 -2.7 #274
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #192 0.77 #152 -0.1 #176
Three Pointers 45% #91 1.10 #66 +4.1 #53
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #136 +1.3 #135
Freethrows 0.23 #355 74% #141 0.17 #345
Second Chance 21.6% #356 0.82 #359 0.18 #364
Turnovers 18.4% #290
Total Offense -4.7 #298

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% #326 1.19 #221 +3.3 #73
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #123 0.77 #213 -0.7 #245
Three Pointers 46% #48 1.07 #267 -3.8 #328
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #222 -1.2 #219
Freethrows 0.26 #65 79% #364 0.21 #144
Second Chance 29.2% #122 0.95 #81 0.28 #89
Turnovers 13.9% #332
Total Defense -2.5 #253

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.3% #213 -1.3% #73
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.8% #129 3.8% #255
Possession Length 20.2 #363 16.9 #133
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.07 #362 0.19 #258
Improvement -0.9 #231 +0.9 #123

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 82.8% 63.8% 86.5%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Liberty (Home) - 16.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 84 - 12
Quad 45 - 119 - 23


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 315 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 47% -6  0 - 1 -14 -6 F A- C -8 D- F D+
 Tue, Nov 11 15 @BYU L 68 - 85 1% +0  0 - 2 +4 +14 A+ F+ A+ -13 B F D
 Tue, Nov 18 235 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 50% +14  1 - 2 +4 +10 A+ F D+ -6 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 137 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 21% -10  1 - 3 -19 -8 B- D- F -11 C+ F D+
 Tue, Nov 25 312 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 57% +1  2 - 3 +4 -0 A+ F F+ +5 B+ A+ C-
 Mon, Dec 1 231 Iona L 66 - 89 49% -7  2 - 4 -30 -8 C+ F+ D+ -22 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 353 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 63% -1  2 - 5 -14 -7 D+ F F -6 F D+ B
 Wed, Dec 10 79 @George Washington W 70 - 58 6% +6  3 - 5 +22 +2 A C- F +21 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 187 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 41% -19  3 - 6 -27 -7 C F F -21 F B- F+
 Tue, Dec 16 352 Rider W 65 - 57 79% +6  4 - 6 -8 -8 D+ F D+ +1 A F F+
 Mon, Dec 29 182 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 40% -12  4 - 7 0 - 1 -23 -25 F F F -0 C A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 191 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 42% -4  4 - 8 0 - 2 -8 +0 B+ F B+ -9 C- D+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 142 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 30% +5  5 - 8 1 - 2 +13 -1 A- F C +15 A+ A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 108 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 10% -7  5 - 9 1 - 3 -5 -3 C- F B+ -4 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 10 215 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 25% +5  5 - 10 1 - 4 -2 +2 B D C- -4 C+ C- D
 Thu, Jan 15 257 UTEP L 69 - 70 55% +2  5 - 11 1 - 5 -9 +3 D- B- A+ -13 D- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 167 New Mexico St. L 68 - 97 36% -14  5 - 12 1 - 6 -33 +1 C+ D- A+ -37 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 89 @Liberty L 51 - 67 7% -7  5 - 13 1 - 7 -7 -12 C+ F F +2 C A+ D
 Wed, Jan 28 167 @New Mexico St. W 73 - 64 18% +5  6 - 13 2 - 7 +11 +12 A+ F C- +1 D A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 257 @UTEP L 55 - 70 32% -2  6 - 14 2 - 8 -17 -11 F D- F+ -9 C C F
 Wed, Feb 4 89 Liberty L 63 - 73 16%
 Sat, Feb 7 154 Middle Tennessee L 63 - 67 35%
 Thu, Feb 12 188 @Florida International L 69 - 77 21%
 Sat, Feb 14 182 @Missouri St. L 61 - 70 20%
 Wed, Feb 18 156 Western Kentucky L 67 - 71 34%
 Sat, Feb 21 154 @Middle Tennessee L 60 - 70 17%
 Thu, Feb 26 191 @Jacksonville St. L 61 - 69 22%
 Sat, Feb 28 142 @Kennesaw St. L 67 - 78 14%
 Thu, Mar 5 108 Sam Houston St. L 67 - 75 23%
 Sat, Mar 7 215 Louisiana Tech L 62 - 63 45%
Totals 8 - 22 4 - 16 -7 -5 C+ F D+ -2 C- B- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 7th
8th 0.3 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 2.0 1.0 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 4.1 2.9 0.2 8.4 10th
11th 0.1 2.8 8.2 7.1 1.2 19.3 11th
12th 7.3 19.5 24.4 12.5 2.8 0.1 66.6 12th
Total 7.3 19.6 27.2 21.8 14.5 6.6 2.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10 0.1% 0.1
9-11 0.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.0 0.0 0.6
8-12 2.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.2
7-13 6.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 6.6
6-14 14.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.5
5-15 21.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 21.7
4-16 27.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 27.1
3-17 19.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.6
2-18 7.3% 7.3
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.1%