Delaware
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.7#215
Expected Predictive Rating-3.5#224
Pace73.8#64
Improvement-0.9#246

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#155
First Shot+3.2#85
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#324
Layup/Dunks+1.1#140
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#82
Freethrows+1.6#83
Improvement+0.8#117

Defense
Total Defense-3.2#278
First Shot-4.1#310
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#96
Layups/Dunks-4.8#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#43
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#215
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement-1.8#304
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 8.6% 4.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 13.5 14.5
.500 or above 43.9% 74.0% 43.2%
.500 or above in Conference 54.7% 71.6% 54.3%
Conference Champion 4.4% 10.2% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 1.7% 4.5%
First Four0.3% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round4.5% 8.6% 4.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. John's (Away) - 2.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 10
Quad 410 - 615 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 266   Bucknell L 73-85 72%     0 - 1 -20.6 -8.5 -10.9
  Nov 07, 2024 256   Robert Morris W 81-77 70%     1 - 1 -4.2 -0.5 -4.0
  Nov 12, 2024 247   @ Iona W 64-58 47%     2 - 1 +4.2 -7.2 +11.5
  Nov 18, 2024 185   Bryant L 84-85 56%     2 - 2 -5.2 +0.2 -5.4
  Nov 23, 2024 220   Vermont L 71-75 52%     2 - 3 -7.3 +0.8 -8.1
  Nov 24, 2024 98   Yale W 100-94 23%     3 - 3 +11.0 +21.3 -10.8
  Nov 30, 2024 303   @ Rider W 72-66 58%     4 - 3 +1.2 +4.8 -2.9
  Dec 03, 2024 327   Delaware St. W 93-80 82%     5 - 3 +0.6 +4.9 -5.6
  Dec 06, 2024 163   @ Duquesne L 66-80 30%     5 - 4 -11.2 +1.3 -13.5
  Dec 20, 2024 206   @ St. Peter's L 64-72 36%     5 - 5 -7.1 +3.1 -11.4
  Dec 28, 2024 15   @ St. John's L 68-89 2%    
  Jan 02, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 73-78 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 261   Monmouth W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 09, 2025 324   @ N.C. A&T W 85-81 63%    
  Jan 11, 2025 248   @ Hampton L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 16, 2025 306   Stony Brook W 81-73 78%    
  Jan 18, 2025 181   Elon W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 23, 2025 149   @ Hofstra L 68-74 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 154   @ Drexel L 69-75 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 209   Towson W 70-67 60%    
  Feb 01, 2025 261   @ Monmouth L 77-78 49%    
  Feb 06, 2025 134   UNC Wilmington L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 221   William & Mary W 87-83 63%    
  Feb 13, 2025 209   @ Towson L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 15, 2025 296   Campbell W 78-70 76%    
  Feb 20, 2025 154   Drexel W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 149   Hofstra W 71-70 50%    
  Feb 27, 2025 117   @ College of Charleston L 76-85 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 74-81 26%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.0 2.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 6.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.1 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.7 3.1 0.3 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.5 0.8 0.0 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 2.3 5.5 1.8 0.1 9.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 5.2 3.2 0.2 0.0 9.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.3 0.7 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.4 1.4 0.0 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.5 1.9 0.2 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 4.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.2 5.9 8.8 11.7 13.6 14.1 13.2 10.5 7.9 4.8 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 86.1% 1.0    0.7 0.3 0.0
14-4 55.0% 1.4    0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 23.9% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.1 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 26.9% 26.9% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 22.2% 22.2% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 22.0% 22.0% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.5% 20.2% 20.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.0
13-5 4.8% 13.3% 13.3% 14.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.2
12-6 7.9% 11.1% 11.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 7.0
11-7 10.5% 7.5% 7.5% 14.7 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 9.7
10-8 13.2% 4.5% 4.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 12.7
9-9 14.1% 2.8% 2.8% 15.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 13.7
8-10 13.6% 1.6% 1.6% 15.7 0.1 0.2 13.4
7-11 11.7% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 11.5
6-12 8.8% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 5.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.9
4-14 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.2
3-15 1.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.7 0.6 95.4 0.0%