Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.9 265
Results Rating -6.3 266
Pace 60.1 358
Improvement +3.7 53

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 241 B- F C- D C
Defense D+ 276 C C D- C B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 301 C 59% 152 -2.1 260
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 216 C+ 40% 104 +0.1 170
Three Pointers 46% 77 B 37% 55 +4.5 43
Shot Selection/Accuracy C -0.2 209 B- +2.6 92
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 102
Second Chance F 19.9% 362 D- 0.90 334 F 0.18 363
Turnovers C- 18.0% 262
Freethrows D- 0.25 341 B 77% 39 D 0.19 298
Total Offense C- -2.6 241

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 203 C 11.0% 176
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 180 C+ 4.5% 145
Three Pointers D- 75% 339 B 0.3% 48
Total C- 53% 228 B- 4.8% 93

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 344 C- 60% 233 -3.9 56
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 98 C 38% 182 +0.8 257
Three Pointers 46% 37 C- 35% 218 +3.2 317
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.8 52 C- +1.0 221
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 186
Second Chance C 30.4% 179 C 1.03 188 C 0.31 187
Turnovers D- 14.0% 332
Freethrows B- 0.28 103 F 80% 364 C 0.22 209
Total Defense D+ -3.3 276

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 55% 306 D 6.9% 328
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F 43% 355 C- 3.9% 239
Three Pointers D 89% 315 A+ 2.9% 10
Total D- 65% 347 D+ 4.3% 286

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 20.2 364 17.0 136
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 361 0.19 247
Improvement +4.3 #15 -0.6 #223

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 291 267 240
Results Rating Rank 315 265 236
Conference Record 5 - 15 6 - 14 8 - 12
Conference Finish 12 12 8
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 84% 63% 91%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Away) - 25.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 35 - 76 - 11
Quad 45 - 1011 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 330 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 59% -6  6% 0 - 1 F+ -16 F+ -9 F B+ C D- -7 F+ F D+
 Tue, Nov 11 20 @BYU L 68 - 85 2% +0  60% 0 - 2 C+ +4 A- +11 A F+ A+ F+ -9 B+ F D
 Tue, Nov 18 235 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 55% +14  100% 1 - 2 C+ +4 B +7 A+ F D+ C- -3 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 125 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 21% -10  0% 1 - 3 F+ -17 F+ -8 B- D- F F+ -10 C+ F D
 Tue, Nov 25 301 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 59% +1  47% 2 - 3 C+ +5 D+ -3 A F F+ A +9 A A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 1 249 Iona L 66 - 89 58% -7  14% 2 - 4 F -31 F -12 C F+ C- F -19 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 361 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 78% -1  31% 2 - 5 F+ -17 F -12 D F F D -5 F D+ B
 Wed, Dec 10 82 @George Washington W 70 - 58 8% +6  98% 3 - 5 A +22 C- -1 A C- F A+ +24 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 159 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 39% -19  0% 3 - 6 F -25 F+ -8 C F F F -18 F B F+
 Tue, Dec 16 356 Rider W 65 - 57 87% +6  87% 4 - 6 D -10 F -11 D- F C- B- +2 A F D-
 Mon, Dec 29 204 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 48% -12  0% 4 - 7 0 - 1 F -23 F -28 F F+ F C+ +2 C A+ C-
 Fri, Jan 2 196 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 47% -4  7% 4 - 8 0 - 2 D -8 D+ -2 B+ F B+ D -6 C- D C+
 Sun, Jan 4 165 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 40% +5  77% 5 - 8 1 - 2 B+ +12 D -5 B+ F C A+ +18 A+ A+ A-
 Thu, Jan 8 114 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 13% -7  0% 5 - 9 1 - 3 D+ -6 D- -6 C- F B C -1 B+ B F
 Sat, Jan 10 215 @Louisiana Tech L 68 - 70 OT 29% +5  89% 5 - 10 1 - 4 C- -2 C +1 B D+ C C- -3 B D+ F+
 Thu, Jan 15 243 UTEP L 69 - 70 56% +2  63% 5 - 11 1 - 5 D -8 C +1 D- B A F+ -9 D- C+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 163 New Mexico St. L 68 - 97 40% -14  0% 5 - 12 1 - 6 F -32 C- -2 B- F+ A F -34 F F F
 Sat, Jan 24 107 @Liberty L 51 - 67 12% -7  17% 5 - 13 1 - 7 D -9 F -16 C+ F F B +4 C A D-
 Wed, Jan 28 163 @New Mexico St. W 73 - 64 21% +5  76% 6 - 13 2 - 7 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ F D+ B +4 D A B
 Sat, Jan 31 243 @UTEP L 55 - 70 33% -2  43% 6 - 14 2 - 8 F+ -16 F -13 F D- F D -6 C+ C- F
 Wed, Feb 4 107 Liberty L 69 - 75 25% -1  28% 6 - 15 2 - 9 D+ -5 C- -1 A- F B D -5 D A+ C+
 Sat, Feb 7 167 Middle Tennessee W 89 - 88 OT 41% +0  45% 7 - 15 3 - 9 C- -2 A +13 A+ C- D F -16 D+ F C-
 Thu, Feb 12 184 @Florida International W 68 - 66 24% +3  62% 8 - 15 4 - 9 C+ +3 D+ -2 B- C F+ B+ +6 A D+ D
 Sat, Feb 14 204 @Missouri St. W 76 - 67 27% +5  83% 9 - 15 5 - 9 B +10 A- +10 A+ F A C+ +1 A+ F+ F
 Wed, Feb 18 147 Western Kentucky L 87 - 88 OT 37% +7  91% 9 - 16 5 - 10 C- -3 A +12 B+ A- A+ F -16 D- F D+
 Sat, Feb 21 167 @Middle Tennessee L 66 - 78 21% -9  14% 9 - 17 5 - 11 D -9 C +0 C+ F+ D F -11 A F F
 Thu, Feb 26 196 @Jacksonville St. L 63 - 70 26%
 Sat, Feb 28 165 @Kennesaw St. L 70 - 79 21%
 Thu, Mar 5 114 Sam Houston St. L 70 - 76 28%
 Sat, Mar 7 215 Louisiana Tech W 63 - 62 51%
Totals 10 - 20 6 - 14 -6 C- -3 C+ B- C D+ -3 B B D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C C+ B B- 34% 35% 46% C B- F D- F C- D- B D D+ C- C C- C- 31% 23% 46% B C C C C D- B- F C
1.05 59% 40% 37% +3 0 1.07 20% 0.9 .18 18% .25 77% .19 1.13 60% 38% 35% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .31 14% .28 80% .20
Nov
3		 Bucknell F+ F F F F 40% 13% 47% B+ F D A+ B+ C D+ F F+ D- C- A+ F F 37% 20% 43% C+ F+ F C F D+ B F C
0.98 48% 14% 28% -12 +1 0.81 29% 1.6 .45 17% .30 61% .19 1.10 58% 20% 41% +1 0 1.04 35% 1.1 .38 18% .24 86% .21
Nov
11		 BYU A- D- D+ A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% C+ A D F F+ A+ F+ A D F+ A D+ C- A- 31% 18% 51% C- B+ F C F D B+ F C
1.12 50% 33% 48% +6 -2 1.10 21% 0.9 .18 8% .16 78% .13 1.40 53% 44% 36% +1 0 1.04 51% 1.2 .62 12% .28 87% .24
Nov
18		 St. Peter's B A+ A+ A+ A+ 30% 26% 43% F+ A+ D- F F D+ D+ D D C- A- F+ F F 28% 19% 53% C F A+ C A+ F A+ F A+
1.21 71% 58% 50% +20 -1 1.39 30% 0.5 .15 21% .38 70% .26 1.04 44% 45% 40% +2 -1 1.05 19% 1.0 .19 12% .10 100% .10
Nov
23		 Southern Illinois F+ A+ A+ D A- 11% 32% 57% F B- C+ F D- F F C+ F F+ F D- A+ D+ 20% 51% 29% A+ C+ F D+ F D F F F
0.87 80% 53% 30% +3 -3 1.02 30% 0.7 .20 28% .14 71% .10 1.16 90% 48% 14% +3 -5 0.98 41% 1.0 .41 15% .43 80% .34
Nov
25		 UNC Greensboro D+ A+ B- A+ A+ 14% 38% 48% F A F F F F+ F F F A B+ A+ D+ B 4% 43% 53% A+ A A- A+ A+ D+ D+ F F
1.14 86% 42% 54% +20 -4 1.34 19% 0.4 .07 17% .15 50% .08 0.94 50% 25% 36% -4 -5 0.83 21% 0.6 .13 14% .40 82% .33
Dec
1		 Iona F B+ F C C 44% 18% 38% C+ C F C+ F+ C- F F F F F F F F 33% 19% 48% B- F A+ A+ A+ D- F+ F F
0.94 67% 20% 33% 0 +1 1.04 22% 1.0 .22 17% .14 38% .05 1.27 76% 60% 48% +20 0 1.42 8% 0.5 .04 14% .32 79% .25
Dec
6		 Delaware St. F D+ F A- D 41% 17% 43% C- D F B- F F F A+ D+ D C- D+ F+ F 45% 25% 30% F F C- D- D+ B F B+ F+
0.94 59% 22% 39% +1 +1 1.06 17% 1.2 .20 23% .22 100% .22 0.98 54% 38% 38% 0 0 1.02 25% 0.9 .22 22% .40 63% .25
Dec
10		 George Washington C- D- A+ A+ A 40% 17% 43% B- A F A+ C- F C- A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A- A+ 37% 14% 49% A- A+ C+ A+ A+ C F A+ D+
1.02 53% 63% 45% +9 +1 1.21 18% 1.5 .27 26% .26 85% .22 0.85 44% 14% 29% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.4 .15 18% .39 64% .25
Dec
13		 Cal St. Northridge F+ F A+ B- C- 29% 13% 58% B- C C- F F F B B- B F B- F F F 43% 19% 38% B- F F+ A+ B F+ A- F C+
0.98 43% 50% 36% -1 0 1.00 26% 0.6 .15 22% .34 78% .27 1.30 52% 70% 50% +13 +1 1.28 38% 0.7 .26 13% .24 79% .19
Dec
16		 Rider F D- A+ D+ F+ 53% 12% 35% B- D- F C F C- A A+ A+ B- A D+ A+ A+ 34% 20% 46% F A B- F F D- A F C+
1.04 52% 60% 33% -1 +2 1.05 15% 1.0 .15 14% .37 80% .30 0.91 41% 40% 17% -17 0 0.68 28% 1.5 .41 14% .17 100% .17
Dec
29		 Missouri St. F F B F F 32% 18% 50% A F F B F+ F C D- D+ C+ B F+ C+ C+ 36% 16% 49% F C A A+ A+ C- D+ F D-
0.71 25% 43% 26% -15 0 0.71 18% 1.2 .21 25% .35 69% .24 1.01 56% 43% 32% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.5 .13 17% .38 74% .28
Jan
2		 Jacksonville St. D+ B+ A+ B- A- 28% 10% 62% C B+ F F F B+ F A- F D C A+ C+ C 51% 3% 46% F C- B- F D C+ F C- F
1.06 64% 60% 35% +5 +1 1.14 19% 0.3 .06 13% .12 83% .10 1.11 55% 0% 33% -3 +3 1.03 26% 1.3 .33 18% .53 69% .37
Jan
4		 Kennesaw St. D B+ B+ C+ B+ 51% 19% 30% C+ B+ F F F C F F F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 22% 16% 61% A A+ C A+ A+ A- A+ F B-
1.05 63% 44% 36% +4 +1 1.13 20% 0.7 .13 16% .32 59% .19 0.81 18% 75% 23% -13 -1 0.76 35% 0.5 .19 20% .24 92% .22
Jan
8		 Sam Houston St. D- A- F D- D+ 27% 10% 63% B- C- F F F B F D F C D- A+ C+ B+ 35% 25% 40% B+ B+ C- A B F D F F
0.96 69% 20% 29% -4 +1 0.96 17% 0.8 .14 14% .22 67% .15 1.15 67% 15% 33% -3 -1 0.94 37% 0.8 .29 10% .32 89% .28
Jan
10		 Louisiana Tech C D- B A- B 36% 15% 49% C+ B F A+ D+ C D C+ D+ C- D+ A+ B C+ 36% 34% 30% A B C+ D- D+ F+ F C F
1.03 47% 43% 39% +1 +1 1.04 20% 1.5 .30 18% .28 73% .20 1.06 59% 25% 29% -7 -2 0.85 33% 0.9 .31 15% .53 63% .34
Jan
15		 UTEP C F F A F+ 37% 23% 40% C D- D A+ B A B- C- B- F+ F B- C+ D 33% 24% 44% D- D- A+ F C+ F A+ B- A
1.12 38% 30% 41% -5 0 0.91 30% 1.4 .41 13% .39 71% .28 1.14 72% 31% 33% +2 -1 1.05 18% 1.3 .24 6% .16 67% .10
Jan
17		 New Mexico St. C- F F A+ B- 39% 17% 43% B B- F A- F+ A D D D- F F D+ F F 27% 30% 43% B F C- F F F A F C+
1.10 44% 25% 45% 0 0 1.02 19% 1.3 .25 10% .32 72% .23 1.57 80% 41% 46% +14 -2 1.27 33% 2.0 .67 6% .19 100% .19
Jan
24		 Liberty F A+ F B B- 33% 28% 40% D C+ F A+ F F B+ F D+ B D+ B F+ C- 36% 6% 57% B C B- A+ A D- B- A- B
0.85 69% 27% 38% +3 -1 1.05 4% 2.0 .08 27% .29 54% .16 1.11 65% 33% 41% +8 +2 1.21 16% 0.4 .06 10% .24 62% .15
Jan
28		 New Mexico St. A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 34% 23% 43% C A+ F F F D+ F+ A+ B- B C+ D- F F+ 18% 32% 50% A D D+ A+ A B A+ D+ A
1.22 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.32 19% 0.5 .10 17% .30 100% .30 1.07 56% 44% 40% +6 -3 1.08 34% 0.6 .20 17% .16 75% .12
Jan
31		 UTEP F A+ F F F 27% 22% 51% C- F B F D- F A+ A+ A+ D D- A+ F C- 27% 42% 31% A C+ F A C- F F F F
0.88 73% 11% 10% -21 -1 0.59 39% 0.6 .25 22% .60 93% .56 1.12 67% 21% 43% -1 -4 0.93 35% 0.8 .27 10% .44 80% .36
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 Liberty C- A+ A B A 28% 24% 48% D A- F F F B F+ A+ D+ D F A+ F+ F+ 30% 9% 61% A D A+ A+ A+ C+ F F F
1.11 71% 50% 38% +9 -1 1.18 8% 1.0 .08 16% .17 89% .15 1.20 85% 25% 41% +13 +1 1.30 9% 0.0 .00 14% .37 90% .34
Feb
7		 Middle Tennessee A B- D+ A+ A+ 35% 7% 59% B+ A+ D B+ C- D B+ A+ A+ F F F B F+ 11% 30% 59% A+ D+ F F F C- F+ C- D-
1.30 63% 33% 52% +17 +2 1.39 22% 1.2 .26 18% .37 90% .34 1.28 83% 63% 31% +8 -3 1.11 42% 1.3 .53 15% .32 68% .22
Feb
12		 Florida International D+ A- A+ D+ B 31% 10% 58% C B- D+ B C F+ F C+ F B+ B+ B+ A- A 37% 24% 39% B+ A C D D+ D A+ F A+
1.02 67% 60% 32% +3 +1 1.10 31% 1.1 .34 24% .22 73% .16 0.99 50% 31% 29% -8 -1 0.85 33% 1.1 .37 15% .16 78% .12
Feb
14		 Missouri St. A- A+ D- A+ A+ 30% 34% 36% C- A+ F F F A D- A+ B- C+ A A+ C+ A+ 16% 35% 49% A+ A+ B F F+ F B- F+ C
1.21 93% 31% 47% +15 -2 1.28 13% 0.0 .00 13% .31 94% .29 1.07 50% 17% 32% -10 -4 0.75 28% 1.5 .44 11% .32 72% .23
Feb
18		 Western Kentucky A A- A+ C+ A- 33% 24% 43% C B+ D- A+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ F D D C F+ 34% 24% 42% B+ D- B- F F D+ F D- F
1.25 67% 55% 35% +7 -1 1.15 22% 1.7 .37 12% .55 79% .44 1.27 59% 42% 33% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.6 .48 13% .51 81% .41
Feb
21		 Middle Tennessee C A A+ D B 24% 29% 48% F C+ F A+ F+ D A A+ A+ F F B- A+ A 31% 29% 41% B+ A F F F F F F F
1.06 70% 50% 30% +3 -2 1.05 8% 2.0 .16 18% .41 86% .35 1.26 73% 36% 20% -5 -2 0.90 41% 1.3 .54 8% .33 89% .30



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.1 0.1 4th
5th 0.3 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 0.4 6th
7th 0.8 0.2 1.0 7th
8th 0.2 3.2 0.1 3.4 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 3.3 0.0 6.0 9th
10th 1.1 9.0 1.1 11.2 10th
11th 10.7 11.4 0.1 22.2 11th
12th 22.1 28.8 4.4 55.3 12th
Total 22.1 40.7 27.6 8.6 1.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 1.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.0
8-12 8.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.6
7-13 27.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 27.4
6-14 40.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 40.6
5-15 22.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 22.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 16.0 99.6 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 15.7%