Delaware
Conference USA
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.6 #277
Expected Predictive Rating -7.7 #280
Pace 61.7 #349
Improvement +1.6 #97

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #308 B- F D F C-
Defense #219 C B- D C B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #307 1.11 #242 -3.6 #299
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #184 0.85 #57 +0.8 #136
Three Pointers 46% #84 1.12 #54 +5.0 #38
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #117 +2.3 #116
Freethrows 12.1 #355 73% #184 8.8 #350
Second Chance 21.8% #357 0.83 #354 0.18 #363
Turnovers 18.8% #302
Total Offense -5.2 #308

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #322 1.11 #115 +4.4 #54
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #138 0.78 #225 -0.7 #237
Three Pointers 46% #53 1.05 #241 -3.5 #314
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #171 +0.2 #169
Freethrows 15.2 #74 80% #363 12.2 #195
Second Chance 29.4% #131 0.96 #83 0.28 #97
Turnovers 14.7% #291
Total Defense -1.4 #219

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #229 -1.1% #86
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.1% #106 0.9% #196
Possession Length 19.4 #352 17.3 #201
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.09 #358 0.20 #266
Improvement -2.2 #310 +3.8 #15

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 1.2% 2.7% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 8.0% 1.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 55.7% 34.6% 64.6%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
First Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana Tech (Away) - 29.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 33 - 104 - 14
Quad 46 - 810 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 314 @Bucknell L 70 - 78 48%  +4  0 - 1 -14 -4 F A D+ -10 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 8 @BYU L 68 - 85 1%  +0  0 - 2 +6 +16 A+ F A+ -12 A- F D-
 Tue, Nov 18 259 St. Peter's W 81 - 70 58%  +14  1 - 2 +2 +10 A+ F C- -7 F A F
 Sun, Nov 23 130 Southern Illinois L 59 - 79 21%  -10  1 - 3 -18 -9 C+ F F -10 B- D D
 Tue, Nov 25 284 UNC Greensboro W 73 - 60 51%  +1  2 - 3 +6 +1 A+ F F +7 A+ A+ D+
 Mon, Dec 1 214 Iona L 66 - 89 47%  -7  2 - 4 -29 -8 C+ F D -20 F A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 352 @Delaware St. L 72 - 75 OT 63%  -1  2 - 5 -13 -7 C- F F -6 F D+ A-
 Wed, Dec 10 70 @George Washington W 70 - 58 6%  +6  3 - 5 +23 +1 A+ D F +23 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 211 Cal St. Northridge L 66 - 88 46%  -19  3 - 6 -28 -8 C F F -21 F B- F
 Tue, Dec 16 348 Rider W 65 - 57 79%  +6  4 - 6 -7 -5 D+ F C- -1 A- F F
 Mon, Dec 29 192 Missouri St. L 43 - 61 44%  -12  4 - 7 0 - 1 -23 -25 F F F -1 C A+ C
 Fri, Jan 2 208 Jacksonville St. L 64 - 67 46%  -4  4 - 8 0 - 2 -9 +0 A- F A- -9 C D+ C
 Sun, Jan 4 162 Kennesaw St. W 67 - 52 37%  +5  5 - 8 1 - 2 +12 -1 A F C +14 A+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 134 @Sam Houston St. L 60 - 72 15%  -7  5 - 9 1 - 3 -7 -5 D+ F B+ -4 B- A- F
 Sat, Jan 10 228 @Louisiana Tech L 58 - 64 30% 
 Thu, Jan 15 244 UTEP W 65 - 64 54% 
 Sat, Jan 17 136 New Mexico St. L 65 - 70 31% 
 Sat, Jan 24 99 @Liberty L 60 - 75 8% 
 Wed, Jan 28 136 @New Mexico St. L 62 - 73 15% 
 Sat, Jan 31 244 @UTEP L 62 - 67 33% 
 Wed, Feb 4 99 Liberty L 63 - 72 21% 
 Sat, Feb 7 123 Middle Tennessee L 63 - 69 30% 
 Thu, Feb 12 164 @Florida International L 67 - 76 20% 
 Sat, Feb 14 192 @Missouri St. L 60 - 68 25% 
 Wed, Feb 18 155 Western Kentucky L 70 - 74 38% 
 Sat, Feb 21 123 @Middle Tennessee L 60 - 72 14% 
 Thu, Feb 26 208 @Jacksonville St. L 60 - 67 26% 
 Sat, Feb 28 162 @Kennesaw St. L 68 - 77 19% 
 Thu, Mar 5 134 Sam Houston St. L 69 - 74 32% 
 Sat, Mar 7 228 Louisiana Tech W 61 - 60 50% 
Totals 9 - 21 5 - 15 -7 -5 B- F D -1 C B- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 4th
5th 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 1.9 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.4 3.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.2 1.3 0.1 5.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.8 3.4 0.4 8.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 5.1 5.9 1.2 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.5 8.2 7.5 2.1 0.1 22.1 11th
12th 1.5 5.7 10.9 12.9 8.5 2.4 0.2 42.1 12th
Total 1.5 5.7 11.5 16.6 18.6 16.0 12.9 8.9 4.7 2.2 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 6.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-8 0.4% 4.1% 4.1% 15.0 0.0 0.4
11-9 0.9% 3.7% 3.7% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
10-10 2.2% 1.8% 1.8% 15.1 0.0 0.0 2.1
9-11 4.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.7 0.0 0.0 4.7
8-12 8.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.8
7-13 12.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.9
6-14 16.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 16.0
5-15 18.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 18.6
4-16 16.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.6
3-17 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.5
2-18 5.7% 5.7
1-19 1.5% 1.5
0-20
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.6 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%